• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측유지보수

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Development of Radionuclide Inventory Declaration Methods Using Scaling Factors for the Korean NPPs - Scope and Activity Determination Method - (국내 원전 대상의 척도인자를 활용한 핵종재고량 규명 방법의 개발 - 범위 및 방사능 결정 방법-)

  • Hwang, Ki-ha;Lee, Sang-chul;Kang, Sang-hee;Lee, Kun-Jai;Jeong, Chan-woo;Ahn, Sang-myeon;Kim, Tae-wook;Kim, Kyoung-doek;Herr, Young-hoi
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2004
  • Regulations and guidelines for radioactive waste disposal require detailed information about the characteristics of radioactive waste drums prior to transport to the disposal sites. However, estimation of radionuclide concentrations in the drummed radioactive waste is difficult and unreliable. In order to overcome this difficulty, scaling factor (SF) method has been used to assess the activities of radionuclides, which could not be directly analyzed. A radioactive waste assay system has been operated at Korean nuclear power plant (KORI site) since 1996 and consolidated SF concept has played a dominant role in the determination of radionuclide concentrations. However, SFs are somewhat dispersive and limited in KORI site. Therefore establishment of the assay system using more improved SFs is planned and progressed. In this paper, the scope of research is briefly introduced. For the selection of more reliable activity determination method, the accuracy of predicted SF values for each activity determination method is compared. From the comparison of each activity determination method, it is recommended that SF determination method should be changed from the arithmetic mean to the geometrical mean for more reliable estimation of radionuclide activity. Arithmetic mean method and geometric mean method are compared based on the data set in KORI system. And, this change of SF determination method will prevent an inordinate over-estimation of radionuclide inventory in radwaste drum.

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Stochastic projection on international migration using Coherent functional data model (일관성 함수적 자료모형을 활용한 국제인구이동의 확률적 예측)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.517-541
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    • 2019
  • According to the OECD (2015) and UN (2017), Korea was classified as an immigration country. The designation as an immigration country means that net migration will remain positive and international migration is likely to affect population growth. KOSTAT (2011) used a model with more than 15 parameters to divide sexes, immigration and emigration based on the Wilson (2010) model, which takes into account population migration factors. Five years later, we assume the average of domestic net migration rate for the last five years and foreign government policy likely quota. However, both of these results were conservative estimates of international migration and provide different results than those used by the OECD and UN to classify an immigration country. In this paper, we proposed a stochastic projection on international migration using nonparametric model (FDM by Hyndman and Ullah (2007) and Coherent FDM by Hyndman et al. (2013)) that uses a functional data model for the international migration data of Korea from 2000-2017, noting the international migration such as immigration, emigration and net migration is non-linear and not linear. According to the result, immigration rate will be 1.098(male), 1.026(female) in 2018 and 1.228(male), 1.152(female) in 2025 per 1000 population, and the emigration rate will be 0.907(male), 0.879(female) in 2018 and 0.987(male), 0.959(female) in 2025 per 1000 population. Thus the net migration is expected to increase to 0.191(male), 0.148(female) in 2018 and 0.241(male), 0.192(female) in 2025 per 1000 population.

A Study on the Development of integrated Process Safety Management System based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) (인공지능(AI) 기반 통합 공정안전관리 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • KyungHyun Lee;RackJune Baek;WooSu Kim;HeeJeong Choi
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.403-409
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, the guidelines for the design of an Artificial Intelligence(AI) based Integrated Process Safety Management(PSM) system to enhance workplace safety using data from process safety reports submitted by hazardous and risky facility operators in accordance with the Occupational Safety and Health Act is proposed. The system composed of the proposed guidelines is to be implemented separately by individual facility operators and specialized process safety management agencies for single or multiple workplaces. It is structured with key components and stages, including data collection and preprocessing, expansion and segmentation, labeling, and the construction of training datasets. It enables the collection of process operation data and change approval data from various processes, allowing potential fault prediction and maintenance planning through the analysis of all data generated in workplace operations, thereby supporting decision-making during process operation. Moreover, it offers utility and effectiveness in time and cost savings, detection and prediction of various risk factors, including human errors, and continuous model improvement through the use of accurate and reliable training data and specialized datasets. Through this approach, it becomes possible to enhance workplace safety and prevent accidents.

Seismic Design of Columns in Inverted V-braced Steel Frames Considering Brace Buckling (가새좌굴을 고려한 역 V형 가새골조의 기둥부재 내진설계법)

  • Cho, Chun-Hee;Kim, Jung-Jae;Lee, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2010
  • According to the capacity design concept which forms the basis of the current steel seismic codes, the braces in concentrically braced frames (CBFs) should dissipate seismic energy through cyclic tension yielding and cyclic compression buckling while the beams and the columns should remain elastic. Brace buckling in inverted V-braced frames induces unbalanced vertical forces which, in turn, impose the additional beam moments and column axial forces. However, due to difficulty in predicting the location of buckling stories, the most conservative approach implied in the design code is to estimate the column axial forces by adding all the unbalanced vertical forces in the upper stories. One alternative approach, less conservative and recommended by the current code, is to estimate the column axial forces based on the amplified seismic load expected at the mechanism-level response. Both are either too conservative or lacking technical foundation. In this paper, three combination rules for a rational estimation of the column axial forces were proposed. The idea central to the three methods is to detect the stories of high buckling potential based on pushover analysis and dynamic behavior. The unbalanced vertical forces in the stories detected as high buckling potential are summed in a linear manner while those in other stories are combined by following the SRSS(square root of sum of squares) rule. The accuracy and design advantage of the three methods were validated by comparing extensive inelastic dynamic analysis results. The mode-shape based method(MSBM), which is both simple and accurate, is recommended as the method of choice for practicing engineers among the three.

The effect of the ISM Code revision in the shipping industry - Focusing on ship price and hull insurance - (ISM Code 개정이 해운산업에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 - 선가 및 선박보험에 대한 영향을 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Sung-Yong;Woo, Su-Han
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2013
  • IMO(International Maritime Organization) is existed the movement for revising ISM Code so that the maintenance history and the trouble information given trading in a ship can be transferred. An empirical analysis was made on the influence that will have upon shipping industry through surveying on the recognition on ISM Code revision in employees of the relevant field and on the expected problems given being amended ISM Code as the above. In conclusion, the positive effect is judged to be more in the aspect of ship safety, which is the aim of ISM Code, rather than the negative effect, which may take place given being revised ISM Code. In other words, the clean market can be formed through this because fairness is maintained on both sides given trading in a ship by which opening the maintenance record and the trouble history is applied equally to a buyer and a seller. Ships can be reduced a loss of time and cost in preventing similar problems and seeking solution that may appear in important equipments, through this maintenance record. Also, based on these materials, it comes to be available for analyzing a risk of ship and preventing and managing a risk, thereby being increased ability of maintenance and repair in a ship, resulting in being judged to likely contributing to ship safety and environmental-pollution prevention.

Active-Sensing Based Damage Monitoring of Airplane Wings Under Low-Temperature and Continuous Loading Condition (능동센서 배열을 이용한 저온 반복하중 환경 항공기 날개 구조물의 손상 탐지)

  • Jeon, Jun Young;Jung, Hwee kwon;Park, Gyuhae;Ha, Jaeseok;Park, Chan-Yik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2016
  • As aircrafts are being operated at high altitude, wing structures experience various fatigue loadings under cryogenic environments. As a result, fatigue damage such as a crack could be develop that could eventually lead to a catastrophic failure. For this reason, fatigue damage monitoring is an important process to ensure efficient maintenance and safety of structures. To implement damage detection in real-world flight environments, a special cooling chamber was built. Inside the chamber, the temperature was maintained at the cryogenic temperature, and harmonic fatigue loading was given to a wing structure. In this study, piezoelectric active-sensing based guided waves were used to detect the fatigue damage. In particular, a beamforming technique was applied to efficiently measure the scattering wave caused by the fatigue damage. The system was used for detection, growth monitoring, and localization of a fatigue crack. In addition, a sensor diagnostic process was also applied to ensure the proper operation of piezoelectric sensors. Several experiments were implemented and the results of the experiments demonstrated that this process could efficiently detect damage in such an extreme environment.

Behaviour of One-Way Concrete Slabs Reinforced with Fiber Reinforced Polymer (FRP) Bars (FRP 보강근을 주근으로 사용한 일방향 콘크리트 슬래브의 거동)

  • Seo, Dae-Won;Han, Byum-Seok;Shin, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.763-771
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    • 2007
  • Over the last few decades, many researches have been conducted in order to find solution to the problem of corrosion in steel reinforced concrete. As a result, methods such as the use of stainless steel bars, epoxy coatings, and concrete additives, etc., have been tried. While effective in some situations, such remedies may still be unable to completely eliminate the problems of steel corrosion. Fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) elements are appealing as reinforcement due to some material properties such as high tensile strength, low density, and noncorrosive. However, due to the generally lower modulus of elasticity of FRP in comparison with the steel and the linear behavior of FRP, certain aspects of the structural behavior of RC members reinforced with FRP may be substantially different from similar elements reinforced with steel reinforcement. This paper presents the flexural behavior of one-way concrete slabs reinforced with FRP bars. They were simply supported and tested in the laboratory under static loading conditions to investigate their crack pattern and width, deflections, strains and mode of failure. The experimental results shows that behavior of the FRP reinforced slabs was bilinearly elastic until failure. Also, the results show that the FRP overreinforced concrete beams in this study can be safe for design in terms of deformability.

A Study of Potential Application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process in Nursing; Predicting the Future of Nursing Education in the U.S. (계층분석과정의 간호적용에 관한 연구 -미국의 미래 간호교육의 예견-)

  • Han, Kyung-Ahe
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 1986
  • 복잡한 사회문제해결에 유용한 접근방법의 하나인 계층분석과정은 수학자인 사티(Saaty)가 개발한 것으로서 이미 사회과학의 여러 분야에 적용되고 있다. 본 논문의 목적은 이 계층분석과정을 간호교육과 관련된 문제에 적용해 봄으로써 이 방법이 실제 문제해결을 위한 유용한 접근방법이 될 수 있는가를 고찰해 보는데 있다. .현대사회문제들은 다양한 관련요소, 그 요소들간이나 다른 문제들과의 복잡한 상호관계, 다수의 의사결정자의 참여, 무한한 대안, 문제의 결과에 대한 불확실성 등으로 인하여 단순한 모델이나 간단한 논리적 혹은 직관적인 판단에 준하여 일시에 해결하기 어려운 경우가 많다. 이러한 상황 하에서 문제와 관련된 요소들을 찾아내고 그 요소들을 계층적으로 분석하여 단계적으로 문제해결에 접근하는 계층분석과정을 활용함으로써 사회과학분야의 문제해결에 유용한 수단이 될 수 있다. 또한 문제와 관련된 요소를 규명하고 계층적으로 분화하는 과정에서 그 문제에 대한 보다 명확한 이해, 분석 및 현상의 흐름을 더 잘 인해하게 된다. 계층분석과정은 1) 계층구조의 설정 2) 구성요소들의 중요도 측정 3) 중요도에 따른 우선 순위의 산정 4) 우선 순위의 일관성 검토과정으로 요약된다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 과정을 통하여 미국 간호계에서 심각한 문제로 대두되어온 기본교육제도상의 쟁점(Issue of Entry into Practice)에 대한 문제 해결책이 마련되는지를 시도하였다. 즉, 기본교육 제도에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들을 규명하여 계층화하고 계층내에 위치하는 구성요소들의 수평적 관계와 계층간의 수직적 관계를 체계적으로 검토하여 간호교육의 미래를 예측해 보았다. 간호교육제도에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 주요 요인들의 계층화는 거시적 환경차원(factors), 관련 이해자 집단차원(actors), 이해자 집단의 목표차원(objectives), 목표달성을 위한 정책차원(Policies), 그리고 간호교육제도의 미래를 예견한 시나리오(scenario)로 이루어졌다. 각 계층을 따라 단계적으로 중요도를 비교하여 최종적으로 각 시나리오의 우선순위 중요도(priority weight)를 구하였다. 각 시나리오의 우선순위 중요도를 간호교육과 관련된 4가지 차원들(학생, 교수, 교육기관, 직업)을 구성하고 있는 특성들에 가중하여 결과를 해석 하였다. 간호교육의 미래에 정치적(55%)과 경제적(25%) 요인이 가장 강한 영향을 미치고, 관련자중에서는 병원(38%) 의사(33%) 그리고 정부(23%)의 순으로 영향을 미친다고 분석되었다. 의외로 간호원 자신들은 큰 영향력이 없는 것으로 보여졌다. 4개의 시나리오 중에서는 그 우선순위 중요도가 현상유지(33%) 자발적4년제(32%), 강제 4년제(19%), 그리고 2~3년제의 우위(18%) 순으로 나타났다. 최종 시나리오 결과를 요약하면 1) 전체 학생수는 감소하나 양질의 간호학생수는 증가하며 2) 박사학위를 소지한 간호학 교수 및 전체 교수의 수가 증가할 것이다. 3) 전체 간호교육기여의 수는 약간 줄 것이며 그중 4년제 기관이 증가하고 반면에 2~3년제의 기관은 감소할 것이다. 4) 전문간호원이 되기 위한 입학용이도에는 별차이가 없겠으나 간호원들의 보수, 지위 및 자율성이 증가하면서 전반적인 간호의 질이 향상될 것이다. 계층분석과정의 적용으로 미국 간호교육계의 가까운 미래를 위와 같이 예견하여 보았으나 이 과정은 예견 뿐 만 아니라 일반적인 의사결정이나 문제 해결의 도구이외에도 복잡한 사회문제의 본질을 분석, 이해함으로써 보다 정화한 정책문제를 규정하는 데에도 유용할 것이다.

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Hydrogeological Stability Study on the Underground Oil Storage Caverns by Numerical Modeling (수치모델링을 이용한 지하원유비축시설의 수리지질학적 안정성 연구)

  • 김경수;정지곤
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 2002
  • This study aims to establish the methodology for design of an optimum water curtain system of the unlined underground oil storage cavern satisfying the requirements of hydrodynamic performance in a volcanic terrain of the south coastal area. For the optimum water curtain system in the storage facility, the general characteristics of groundwater flow system in the site are quantitatively described, i.e. distribution of hydraulic gradients, groundwater inflow rate into the storage caverns, and hydrogeologic influence area of the cavern. In this study, numerical models such as MODFLOW, FracMan/MAFIC and CONNECTFLOW are used for calculating the hydrogeological stability parameters. The design of a horizontal water curtain system requires considering the distance between water curtain and storage cavern, spacing of the water curtain boreholes, and injection pressure. From the numerical simulations at different scales, the optimum water curtain systems satisfying the containment criteria are obtained. The inflow rates into storage caverns estimated by a continuum model ranged from about 120 m$^3$/day during the operation stage to 130~140m$^3$/day during the construction stage, whereas the inflow rates by a fracture network model are 80~175m$^3$/day. The excavation works in the site will generate the excessive decline of groundwater level in a main fracture zone adjacent to the cavern. Therefore, the vertical water curtain system is necessary for sustaining the safe groundwater level in the fracture zone.

Correction of Latent Errors in Pavement Deterioration Data using Statistical Methods (통계기법을 활용한 포장파손자료의 잠재오차 보정)

  • Han, Daeseok;Do, Myungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.587-598
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    • 2012
  • Successful implementation of infrastructure asset management system can be started with rich and reliable data. However, measurement errors in the data have always existed in the real world caused for many unknown reasons. It disturbs maintenance activities of agencies, and makes negative effects to reliability of research results on forecasting deterioration process and life cycle cost. Above all, it makes a contradiction that road agencies cannot believe their inspection data surveyed by their hands. It is particularly serious in the road pavement management field. Although road agencies are well recognized the fact, inspecting without measurement error would be a great challenge. Considering the facts, this paper aimed to suggest statistical error processing methods to correct latent error included in pavement surface inspection data. As alternatives, this paper suggested two methods based on probability distribution to consider structure of error and reliability of the data. The suggested methods were empirically tested by using pavement inspection data from Korean National Highway. As the result, this paper confirmed that conventional error processing that just removes only visible errors is not enough to cover uncertainty in pavement deterioration process. The suggested methods would be useful for improving reliability of analysis results required for road infrastructure asset management.