• Title/Summary/Keyword: 열 발생 변동

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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of Electrical Conductivity in Coastal Aquifers (연안암반대수층의 해수침투경향성 파악을 위한 전기전도도 시계열 분석과 예측)

  • Ju, Jeong-Woung;Yeo, In Wook
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 2017
  • Seawater intrusion into coastal fractured rock aquifer, resulting in groundwater contamination, is of serious concern in coastal areas of Jeolla Namdo, Korea, which heavily depends on groundwater resources. Time series analysis and forecasting were carried out to analyze and predict EC which is a major indicator of seawater intrusion. Two time series models of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) were tested for suggesting appropriate time series model. Time series data of EC measured over one year showed a increasing trend with short periodic fluctuations, due to tidal effect and pumping, which indicated that EC time series data tended to be non-stationary. SARIMA model was found better fitted to observed EC than any other time series model. Time series analysis and modeling was found to be a useful tool to analyze EC at coastal fractured rock aquifer subject to seawater intrusion.

An Analytical Model for Predicting Heat Transport due to a Point Source in Coastal Water under a Spring-Neap Modulation of Tidal Currents (조류의 대.소조 변동이 존재하는 연안역에서의 점열원에 의한 열오염의 이동 예측을 위한 해석해 모형)

  • 이호진;김종학
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, an analytical solution of calculating the excess temperature field due to a point heat source is presented in the presence of spring-neap modulation of convective alongshore flow. The basic form of the solution is identical to that given by Jung et al. (2003) but the convective term in the exponential kernel function is extended and a spring-neap variation in the horizontal eddy diffusivity is newly introduced. A set of calculations have been performed to examine the sensitivity of the heat build-up to the change in current fields and turbulent dispersion. Results indicate that the excess temperature field is confined within the tidal excursion distance, while the excess temperature field beyond the distance is mainly controlled by the horizontal diffusion. The heat build-up within the distance is considerably affected by the spring-neap variation in the horizontal eddy diffusivity; the relatively high excess temperature more than 1$^{\circ}C$ is extended further when the eddy diffusivity has spring-neap modulation.

A Graphical Improvement in Volatility Analysis for Financial Series (시계열 변동성 그래프의 개선)

  • Lee, Jeong Won;Yoon, Jae Eun;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.785-796
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    • 2013
  • News Impact Curves(NIC) developed by Engle and Ng (1993) have been useful for graphically representing the volatilities arising from financial time series. Adding an improvement and refinement to the original NIC, this article proposes so called two dimensional NIC and principal component NIC. We illustrate the methodology via Kosdaq data.

Zero-Inflated INGARCH Using Conditional Poisson and Negative Binomial: Data Application (조건부 포아송 및 음이항 분포를 이용한 영-과잉 INGARCH 자료 분석)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.583-592
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    • 2015
  • Zero-inflation has recently attracted much attention in integer-valued time series. This article deals with conditional variance (volatility) modeling for the zero-inflated count time series. We incorporate zero-inflation property into integer-valued GARCH (INGARCH) via conditional Poisson and negative binomial marginals. The Cholera frequency time series is analyzed as a data application. Estimation is carried out using EM-algorithm as suggested by Zhu (2012).

Characteristic Change Analysis of Rainfall Events using Daily Rainfall Data (일강우자료를 이용한 강우사상의 변동 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.11
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    • pp.933-951
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    • 2009
  • Climate change of global warming may affect the water circulation in Korea. Rainfall is occurred with complex of multiple climatic indices. Therefore, the rainfall is one of the most significant index due to climate change in the process of water circulation. In this research, multiple time series data of rainfall events were extracted to represent the rainfall characteristics. In addition, the occurrence of rainfall time series analyzed by annual, seasonal and monthly data. Analysis method used change analysis of mean and standard deviation and trend analysis. Also, changes in rainfall characteristics and the relative error was calculated during the last 10 years for comparison with past data. At the results, significant statistical results weren't showed by randomness of rainfall data. However, amount of rainfall generally increased last 10 years, and number of raining days had trend of decrease. In addition, seasonal and monthly changes in the rainfall characteristics can be found to appear differently.

Spectral Analysis of Heart Rate Variability in Electrocardiogram and Pulse-wave using autoregressive model (AR모델을 이용한 심전도와 맥파의 심박변동 스펙트럼 해석)

  • 김낙환;민홍기;이응혁;홍승홍
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • 2000.08a
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    • pp.289-292
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    • 2000
  • 선형 자귀회귀(AR) 모델을 근거로한 HRV 파워 스펙트럼해석은 비침습적으로 자율신경의 반응을 정량화하는데 폭넓게 사용된다. 본 연구는 단구간(2분 미만)의 심전도와 맥파 신호로부터 시계열 HRV의 파워스펙트럼을 추정한다. 시계열은 정상인을 대상으로 검출한 심전도와 맥파신호의 특징점 시간간격(RRI, PPI)으로부터 구하였다. 발생된 시계열은 다항식 보간법에 의해 AR모델에 적합하게 재구성하였으며, AR모델 계수는 Burg법에 의해 계산하였다. AR모델을 적용한 단구간의 심전도와 맥파의 심박변동에 대한 파워스펙트럼밀도는 저주파수(LF)와 고주파수(HF)에서 매끄러운 스펙트럼 파워를 나타내고 있다. 또한 동일한 피험자의 심전도와 맥파의 파워스펙트럼밀도를 비교한 결과 동일한 모양을 나타내었다.

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Compensative Relationship Between Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes in Surface Energy Partitioning (지표면 에너지 분배에서 현열과 잠열의 상보적인 움직임에 대한 고찰)

  • Kwanghun Choi;Kyungrock Paik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.44-44
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    • 2023
  • 지표면 위 에너지 수지, 즉 순 복사에너지가 어떤 비율로 지열, 현열, 잠열로 분할되는지를 이해하는 것은 매우 중요한 문제이지만, 에너지 분할과 주변 환경 변수 사이의 인과관계를 역학적으로 설명하는 것은 난제로 남아있다. 이 연구에서는 지표면 에너지 분할에서 어떠한 조건에서라도 보편적으로 발견되는 특성을 찾아서 다양한 식생 조건에서 관측된 복사에너지 및 열 플럭스 관측소의 자료를 토대로 각 에너지 항의 시간 변동성을 분석했다. 시계열 분석을 위해 공분산 기법을 통해 관측한 현열 및 잠열 자료를 제공하는 Fluxnet 자료를 사용했으며, International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP) 구분법에 따라 낙엽수림, 상록수림, 농지 및 사바나에 위치한 관측소의 자료를 비교 분석했다. 모든 관측소에서 에너지 수지에서 현열과 잠열의 합이 전체 순 복사에너지에서 차지하는 비중은 시간에 따라 큰 변화를 보이지 않는다는 특성을 발견했다. 하지만, 현열 또는 잠열이 차지하는 비중은 큰 계절성을 보여주고 있었다. 이를 종합하면 현열과 잠열이 상호보완적으로 발생한다는 것을 의미한다. 한편 시간에 따른 두 열 플럭스의 움직임은 해당 관측소 근처에서 서식하는 식생 특성과 깊게 관련됐음을 확인했다.

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Analysis of Korea's Crustal Movement Velocity After the Great Tohoku-Oki Earthquake by Using GPS (GPS를 이용한 토호쿠 대지진 이후 한반도 지각변동 속도 분석)

  • Ha, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Myong-Kun;Cho, Young-Sik
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.600-608
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    • 2013
  • The great Tohoku-oki earthquake which occurred on March 11, 2011, caused crustal movements in both Korea and Japan. This study attempts to analyze velocity changes of crustal movement of Korea Peninsula due to the Tohoku-oki earthquake and to compare the calculation with precious crustal movenents of Korea Peninsula. We found that the crustal movement velocity of South Korea increased 3.9 mm/yr northward and 7.5 mm/yr eastward on average as a result of the Tohoku-oki earthquake; when this figure is compared with the past crustal movement velocities of the Korea Peninsula.

Integer-Valued GARCH Models for Count Time Series: Case Study (계수 시계열을 위한 정수값 GARCH 모델링: 사례분석)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2015
  • This article is concerned with count time series taking values in non-negative integers. Along with the first order mean of the count time series, conditional variance (volatility) has recently been paid attention to and therefore various integer-valued GARCH(generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have been suggested in the last decade. We introduce diverse integer-valued GARCH(INGARCH, for short) processes to count time series and a real data application is illustrated as a case study. In addition, zero inflated INGARCH models are discussed to accommodate zero-inflated count time series.

Analysis of Condenser Thermal Distribution by the Variance of Voltage & Frequency (전압 및 주파수 변동에 따른 콘덴서 열 분포 해석)

  • Kim, Jong-Gyeum;Park, Young-Jeen
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2009
  • 콘덴서는 유도성 부하의 늦은 역률 보상으로도 사용되며, 비선형 부하에서 발생하는 고조파를 저감하기 위해 리액터에 직렬로 연결하여 사용되기도 한다. 콘덴서는 전압이 증가할 경우 전류도 함께 증가하고, 주파수가 증가할 경우 콘덴서에 흐르는 전류가 증가하기 때문에 전류의 증가는 바로 열의 증가로 콘덴서 절연에 스트레스로 작용하여 고장의 원인을 제공할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 콘덴서에 인가되는 전압의 크기와 주파수를 변화시킬 경우 콘덴서에서 발생하는 열을 열화상 카메라로 측정하여 외부 및 내부에서의 온도분포를 분석하였다. 측정결과 전압과 주파수가 증가할 경우 콘덴서에서 열이 매우 높게 분포함을 확인할 수 있었다.

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