• Title/Summary/Keyword: 연립방정식 모형

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Estimation of nonlinear censored simultaneous equations models : An Application of Quasi Maximum Likelihood Methods (절삭된 연립방정식 모형의 추정에 대한 몬테칼로 비교)

  • 이회경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 1991
  • This paper presents a Monte Carlo evaluation of estimators for nonlinear consored simultaneous equations models. We examine the performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the two-step quasi maximum likelihood estimator (2QMLE) proposed by Lee and Hurd (1989), and another quasi MLe using least squares at the first step (LSAE) under varying degrees of freedom and underlying distributions, Although QMLE's are not necessarily consistent, the Monte Carlo results show that the 2QMLE may be used as an alternative to MLE when MLE is not applicable in practice.

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A Test of the Rank Conditions in the Simultaneous Equation Models (연립방정식 모형의 계수조건 검정법 제안)

  • So, Sun-Ha;Park, You-Sung;Lee, Dong-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2009
  • Simultaneous equation models, which are widely used in business and economic areas, generally consist of endogenous variables determined within models and exogenous variables externally determined and in the simultaneous equations model framework there are rank and order conditions for the model identification and the existence of unique solutions. By contrast, their estimating results have less efficiencies and furthermore do not exist, since the most estimating procedures are performed under the assumptions for rank and order conditions. We propose the new statistical test for sufficiency of the rank condition under the order condition, and show the asymptotic properties for the test. The Monte Carlo simulation studies are achieved in order to evaluate its power and to suggest the baseline for satisfying the rank conditions.

Pipe Network Analysis by Using Frontal Solution Method (Frontal 기법을 이용한 상수관망의 흐름해석 모형)

  • 박재홍;한건연
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 1996
  • Steady state analysis of pressure and flow in water supply piping systems is a problem of great importance in hydraulic engineering. The basic equations consist of continuity equation and energy equation. The network equations are solved iteratively by using linear solution method. The resulting linear simultaneous equations are solved by frontal method. Frontal method, which is suitable to sparse matrix, gathers only non-zero entries in coefficient matrix. The suggested methodology can analyze faster than the existing routines by using smaller computer memory. The model presented in this study shows accurate and efficient results for various piping systems.

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Simultaneous Equation Models for Evaluating Roundabout Accidents According to Different Driving Types (연립방정식을 이용한 운전유형별 회전교차로 사고모형)

  • Kim, Kyung Hwan;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2012
  • This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within roundabouts. The objective was to develop roundabout accident models for different driving types by using simultaneous equations. In pursuing the above, this study used a statistical program SPSS 17.0 to accommodate data from 148 accidents occurred within 39 roundabouts of Korea. In addition, the 2SLS(2 stage least square) estimation method was adopted to calibrate the models. The main results are as follows. First, both the number of accidents and the EPDO were evaluated to have bilateral relationships. Second, all 6 different simultaneous equation models according to driving types were found to be statistically significant. Third, the developed models were compared to each other with respect to either common or specific variables. Finally, variables such as ADT, conflicting rate, heavy vehicle ratio, circulatory roadway width, number of circulatory roadway lane, approach lane width, average approach lanes, parking places, and bus stops were selected as independent variables for the models.

A Study on Simulation of a Real World to Build a Virtual World (가상 세계를 만들기 위한 현실 세계의 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • 민경하
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.4-4
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    • 1994
  • 미분방정식은 많은 학문에서 현실 세계의 대상을 모형화하고 시뮬레이션하는 데에 매우 유용하게 사용되는 도구이다. 그 중에서도 현실 세계에서 적용되는 물리적 법칙에 근거해서 가상 세계를 만드는 컴퓨터 애니메이션이나 과학적 가시화등의 분양에서는 미분방정식으로 다루고자하는 대상을 모형화하고 시뮬레이션을 통해서 필요한 자료를 추출하는 과정이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 현실 세계에 근거한 가상세계를 만들기 위해서 요구되는 물리적 시뮬레이션을 수행하기 위한 방법을 연구하고, 그 소프트웨어를 개발한다. 현실세게를 모형화하는데에 많이 쓰이는 물리학적 방법은 역학에 근거한 미분방정식들이다. 그 중에서도 연립 상미분방정식의 형태로 많이 나타나는 Newton 방정식은 거시적인 물체들간의운동ㅇㄹ 표현하는데에 많이 사용도니다. 그리고 편미분방정식의 형태로 나타나는 Lagrange 방정식은 Hamilton의 원리를 운동방정식에 적용하여 얻은 것으로 Newton 방정식과 관계가 없는 광버무이한 물리적 현상을 표현하는데에 사용된다. 본 연구에서 개발하는 시물레이션 소프트웨어는 연립 상미분방정식으로 모형화되는 대상을 시뮬레이션할 수 있는 방법과 2c, 편미분방정식으로 모형화되는 대상을 시뮬레이션 할 수 있는 방법을 제공한다.

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Diagnosing the stability for the model of a system of equations (모형체계의 안정성 진단)

  • 김태호;김영권;한정혜
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.65-81
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    • 1998
  • Simultaneous equation models, increasingly used in many detailed analyses, tend to get larger and more sophisticated to describe the structure of the study area to be close to the actual situations. In setting up such a system of equations, statistical results and simulation performance of the model as a whole may be meaningless and unrepresentative of the real world due to a structural instability that is built into the model when the equations are combined and solved simultaneously. Even though the use and subsequent analysis of an unstable system are likely to mislead us, most of the studies that take the simultaneous equation approaches neglect such a serious problem. Thus it is necessary to illustrate how to check the stability problem and apply to the actual model, then investigate how such as analysis is able to provide useful information about the structural characteristics of the model from the dynamic viewpoint.

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Simultaneous Equation Bivariate Tobit Analysis of Bottled Water and Water Purifier Consumption Expenditures (생수 및 정수기 소비지출에 대한 이변량 토빗 연립방정식 분석)

  • Yoo, Seung Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.559-577
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    • 2003
  • This paper analyzes household bottled water and water purifier expenditures, taking into account three important characteristics: expenditures may be censored at zero, may be interdependent across expenditure type, and may be endogenously and jointly determined. Censoring, interdependence, and endogeneity of the two expenditures are examined through simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model. Expenditure function parameters are estimated using a 1997 household survey data collected in Seoul. The study detected interdependence between the two expenditures in the data. Moreover, the coefficient of one expenditure variable is statistically significant in the other expenditure equation. Thus, the overall results show that the simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model employed here is appropriate for this analysis of the two expenditures. Finally estimated income and household size elasticities of the expenditures are presented.

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Marginal Propensity to Consume with Economic Shocks - FIML Markov-Switching Model Analysis (경제충격 시기의 한계소비성향 분석 - FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형 이용)

  • Yoon, Jae-Ho;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.6565-6575
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    • 2014
  • Hamilton's Markov-switching model [5] was extended to the simultaneous equations model. A framework for an instrumental variable interpretation of full information maximum likelihood (FIML) by Hausman [4] can be used to deal with the problem of simultaneous equations based on the Hamilton filter [5]. A comparison of the proposed FIML Markov-switching model with the LIML Markov-switching models [1,2,3] revealed the LIML Markov-switching models to be a special case of the proposed FIML Markov-switching model, where all but the first equation were just identified. Moreover, the proposed Markov-switching model is a general form in simultaneous equations and covers a broad class of models that could not be handled previously. Excess sensitivity of marginal propensity to consume with big shocks, such as housing bubble bursts in 2008, can be determined by applying the proposed model to Campbell and Mankiw's consumption function [6], and allowing for the possibility of structural breaks in the sensitivity of consumption growth to income growth.

A Study for an Efficient Utilization of the Linear Model (선형모형의 효율적 활용성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Tae-Ho;Cho Eun Jung;Kim Mi Yun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2005
  • Most of the statistical models that real data can be applicable are static in nature, and thus it is not possible to analyze the effect of variations in the real world over time. Usual specification of the models does not produce the length and the time path of the effect even if the effect of an exogenous variation continues for periods of time. In this study, deriving the dynamic inherence from the static structure of the linear model for better utilization, we attempt to apply actual data to compare and analyze the long-run effect of variations in the market variables between the related markets by formulating a simultaneous equation system. Accordingly, it is proved to be possible to obtain efficient analytical results and to derive various useful implications.