• Title/Summary/Keyword: 알트만 Z-스코어

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A Study on the Sustainability of New SMEs through the Analysis of Altman Z-Score: Focusing on New and Renewable Energy Industry in Korea (알트만 Z-스코어를 이용한 신생 중소기업의 지속가능성 분석: 신재생에너지산업을 중심으로)

  • Oh, Nak-Kyo;Yoon, Sung-Soo;Park, Won-Koo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-220
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to get a whole picture of financial conditions of the new and renewable energy sector which have been growing rapidly and predict bankruptcy risk quantitatively. There have been many researches on the methodologies for company failure prediction, such as financial ratios as predictors of failure, analysis of corporate governance, risk factors and survival analysis, and others. The research method for this study is Altman Z-score which has been widely used in the world. Data Set was composed of 121 companies with financial statements from KIS-Value. Covering period for the analysis of the data set is from the year 2006 to 2011. As a result of this study, we found that 38 percent of the data set belongs to "Distress" Zone (on alert) while 38% (on watch), summed into 76%, whose level could be interpreted to doubt about the sustainability. The average of the SMEs in wind energy sector was worse than that of SMEs in solar energy sector. And the average of the SMEs in the "Distress" Zone (on alert) was worse than that of the companies of large group in the "Distress" Zone (on alert). In conclusion, Altman Z-score was well proved to be effective for New & Renewable Energy Industry in Korea as a result of this study. The importance of this study lies on the result to demonstrate empirically that the majority of solar and wind enterprises are facing the risk of bankruptcy. And it is also meaningful to have studied the relationship between SMEs and large companies in addition to advancing research on new start-up companies.