• Title/Summary/Keyword: 쌍봉형 정규분포

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Estimation of Probability Density Function of Tidal Elevation Data using the Double Truncation Method (이중 절단 기법을 이용한 조위자료의 확률밀도함수 추정)

  • Jeong, Shin-Taek;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Kim, Jeong-Dae;Hui, Ko-Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2008
  • The double-peak normal distribution function (DPDF) suggested by Cho et al.(2004) has the problems that the extremely high and low tidal elevations are frequently generated in the Monte-Carlo simulation processes because the upper and lower limits of the DPDF are unbounded in spite of the excellent goodness-offit results. In this study, the modified DPDF is suggested by introducing the upper and lower value parameters and re-scale parameters in order to remove these problems. These new parameters of the DPDF are optimally estimated by the non-linear optimization problem solver using the Levenberg-Marquardt scheme. This modified DPDF can remove completely the unrealistically generated tidal levations and give a slightly better fit than the existing DRDF. Based on the DPDF's characteristic power, the over- and under estimation problems of the design factors are also automatically intercepted, too.

Estimation of Probability Density Function of Tidal Elevation Data (조위자료의 확률밀도함수 추정)

  • Hong Yeon Cho;Jeong Shin Taek;Oh Young Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.152-161
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    • 2004
  • Double-peak normal distribution function was suggested as the probability density function of the tidal elevation data in Korean coastal zone. Frequency distribution analysis was carried out using hourly tidal elevation data of the ten tidal gauging stations, i.e., Incheon, Kunsan, Mokpo, Cheju, Yeosu, Masan, Gadeokdo, Pusan, Pohang, and Sokcho which were served through the Internet Homepage by the National Ocean Research Institute. Based on the RMS error and $R^2$ value comparison analysis, it was found that this suggested function as the probability density function of the tidal elevation data was found to be more appropriate than the normal distribution function. The parameters of the double-peak function were estimated optimally using Levenberg-Marquardt method which was modified from the Newton method. The estimated parameters were highly correlated with the non-tidal constants of the tidal gauging stations.

Analysis of the Mean and Standard Deviation due to the Change of the Probability Density Function on Tidal Elevation Data (조위의 확률밀도함수 변화에 따른 평균 및 표준편차 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Lee, Khil-Ha;Kim, Tae-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2010
  • In the process of the probabilistic-based design on the coastal structures, the probability density function (pdf) of tidal elevation data is assumed as the normal distribution function. The pdf shape of tidal elevation data, however, is better-fitted to the double-peak normal distribution function and the equivalent mean and standard deviation (SD) estimation process based on the equivalent normal distribution is required. The equivalent mean and SD (equivalent parameters) are different with the mean and SD (normal parameters) estimated in the condition that the pdf of tidal elevation is normal distribution. In this study, the difference, i.e., estimation error, between equivalent parameters and normal parameters is compared and analysed. The difference is increased as the tidal elevation and its range are increased. The mean and SD differences in the condition of the tidal elevation is ${\pm}400cm$ are above 100 cm and about 80~100 cm, respectively, in Incheon station. Whereas, the mean and SD differences in the condition of the tidal elevation is ${\pm}60cm$ are very small values in the range of 2~4 cm, in Pohang station.

Statistical Characteristics of the Non-tidal Components Data in Korean Coasts (한반도 연안 비조석 성분자료의 통계적 특성)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Yoon, Jong-Tae;Kim, Chang-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.112-123
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    • 2006
  • Double-peak normal distribution function was suggested as the probability density function of the non-tidal components (NTC) data in Korean coastal zone. Frequency distribution analysis of the NTC data was carried out using hourly tidal elevation data of the ten tidal gauging stations, i.e., Incheon, Gunsan, Mokpo, Jeju, Yeosu, Masan, Gadeokdo, Busan, Pohang, and Sokcho which were served through the Internet Homepage by the National Ocean Research Institute. NTC data is defined as the difference between the measured tidal elevation data and the astronomical tidal elevation data using 64 tidal constituents information. Based on the RMS error and R2 value comparison analysis, it was found that this suggested function as the probability density function of the NTC data was found to be more appropriate than the normal distribution function. The parameters of the double-peak function were estimated optimally using Levenberg-Marquardt method which was modified from the Newton method. The standard deviation and skewness coefficient were highly correlated with the non-tidal constants of the tidal gauging stations except Mokpo, Jeju and Sokcho stations.

Birth Weight Distribution by Gestational Age in Korean Population : Using Finite Mixture Modle (우리나라 신생아의 재태 연령에 따른 출생체중의 정상치 : Finite Mixture Model을 이용하여)

  • Lee, Jung-Ju;Park, Chang Gi;Lee, Kwang-Sun
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.48 no.11
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    • pp.1179-1186
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    • 2005
  • Purpose : A universal standard of the birth weight for gestational age cannot be made since girth weight distribution varies with race and other sociodemographic factors. This report aims to establish the birth weight distribution curve by gestational age, specific for Korean live births. Methods : We used the national birth certificate data of all live births in Korea from January 2001 to December 2003; for live births with gestational ages 24 weeks to 44 weeks(n=1,509,763), we obtained mean birth weigh, standard deviation and 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th percentile values for each gestational age group by one week increment. Then, we investigated the birth weight distribution of each gestational age group by the normal Gaussian model. To establish final standard values of Korean birth weight distribution by gestational age, we used the finite mixture model to eliminate erroneous birth slights for respective gestational ages. Results : For gestational ages 28 weeks 32 weeks, birth weight distribution showed a biologically implausible skewed tail or bimodal distribution. Following correction of the erroneous distribution by using the finite mixture model, the constructed curve of birth weight distribution was compared to those of other studies. The Korean birth weight percentile values were generally lower than those for Norwegians and North Americans, particularly after 37 weeks of gestation. The Korean curve was similar to that of Lubchenco both 50th and 90th percentiles, but generally the Korean curve had higher 10th percentile values. Conclusion : This birth weight distribution curve by gestational age is based on the most recent and the national population data compared to previous studies in Korea. We hope that for Korean infants, this curve will help clinicians in defining and managing the large for gestational age infants and also for infants with intrauterine growth retardation.