• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
• /
• 2024.01a
• /
• pp.39-40
• /
• 2024

본 연구는 SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations)을 활용하여 신용카드 사용자의 연체 가능성을 예측하는 기계학습 모델의 해석 가능성을 강화하는 방법을 제안한다. 대규모 신용카드 데이터를 분석하여, 고객의 나이, 성별, 결혼 상태, 결제 이력 등이 연체 발생에 미치는 영향을 명확히 하는 것을 목표로 한다. 본 연구를 토대로 금융기관은 더 정확한 위험 관리를 수행하고, 고객에게 맞춤형 서비스를 제공할 수 있는 기반을 마련할 수 있다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.19 no.3
• /
• pp.407-419
• /
• 2006

In this paper, we analyze household overdue loans in Korea which has been causing serious social and economical problems. We consider customers of Bank A in Korea and focus on overdue cash services which have been snowballing in the past few years. From analysis of overdue loans, one can predict possible delays for current customers as well as build a credit evaluation and risk management system for future customers. As a statistical analytical tool, we propose a two-stage Generalized Linear regression Model (GLM) which assumes a logistic model for presence/non-presence of overdue and a gamma model for the amount of overdue in the case of overdue. We perform goodness of fit test for the two-stage model and select significant explanatory variables in each stage of the model. It turns out that age, the amount of credit loans from other financial companies, the amount of cash service from other companies, debit balance, the average amount of cash service, and net profit are important explanatory variables relevant to overdue credit card cash service in Korea.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
• /
• v.15 no.4
• /
• pp.21-36
• /
• 2008

As the great disturbance from abusing credit cards in Korea becomes stabilized, credit card companies need to interpret credit-card delinquents classification models from the viewpoint of profit. However, hit ratio which has been used as a measure of goodness of classification models just tells us how much correctly they classified rather than how much profits can be obtained as a result of using classification models. In this research, we tried to develop a new utility-based measure from the viewpoint of profit and then used this new measure to analyze two classification models(Neural Networks and Decision Tree models). We found that the hit ratio of neural model is higher than that of decision tree model, but the utility value of decision tree model is higher than that of neural model. This experiment shows the importance of utility based measure for credit-card delinquents classification models. We expect this new measure will contribute to increasing profits of credit card companies.