• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰성지수

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Seismic Safety Assessment of the Turbine-Generator Foundation using Probabilistic Structural Reliability Analysis (확률론적 구조신뢰성해석을 이용한 터빈발전기 기초의 지진 안전성 평가)

  • Joe, Yang-Hee;Kim, Jae-Suk;Han, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2008
  • Most of the civil structure - bridges, offshore structures, plant, etc. - have been designed by the classical approaches which deal with all the design parameters as deterministic variables. However, some more advanced techniques are required to evaluate the inherent randomness and uncertainty of each design variable. In this research, a seismic safety assessment algorithm based on the structural reliability analysis has been formulated and computerized for more reasonable seismic design of turbine-generator foundations. The formulation takes the design parameters of the system and loading properties as random variables. Using the proposed method, various kinds of parametric studies have been performed and probabilistic characteristics of the resulted structural responses have been evaluated. Afterwards, the probabilistic safety of the system has been quantitatively evaluated and finally presented as the reliability indexes and failure probabilities. The proposed procedure is expected to be used as a fundamental tool to improve the existing design techniques of turbine-generator foundations.

A Study on the Evaluation of Load Carrying Capacity of Highway Bridges based on Structural Reliability Methods (구조신뢰성(構造信賴性) 방법에 의한 도로교(道路橋)의 내하력(耐荷力) 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Shin, Jae Chul;Cho, Hyo Nam;Chang, Dong Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 1987
  • This study is directed for the evolution of the rational approaches to the systematic evaluation of the load carrying capacity of bridges based on the practical and second moment reliability methods. A new approach for the evaluation of load carrying capacity of exsisting bridges is proposed in this study. The key idea behind this approach is in the fact that the load carrying capacity of an existing bridges under extreme traffic truck loadings may be measured by evaluating and classifying the reliability state of the bridge in terms of reliability index(${\beta}$). The rating formulas developed in this study are applied for the evaluation of load carrying capacity of the several actual deteriorated bridges inspected and tested for the capacity rating, and the results are compared with those calculated by using the current rating formulas. It may be concluded that the proposed rating formulas which is derived based on reliability methods, have to eventually replace the current rating formula when the basic statistical data for the resistance and load effects become available in the near future.

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An Efficient Blast Design using Reliability Index (신뢰성지수를 이용한 효율적인 발파설계)

  • 박연수;박선준;강성후
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.821-831
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    • 1998
  • The actual ground vibrations due to NATM and foundation blasting at Seoul(weathered rock), Pusan(weathered rock) and Youngkwang(quartz andesite) have been measured, and the data were analyzed using reliability index($\beta$) to determinate the vibration equations and the maximum charge weight for efficient blast. These were suggested with the division of ultimate limit state($\beta$=0), serviceability limit state($\beta$=1.28) and safety state($\beta$=3), respectively. The reliability index 0 mean 50% data line obtained by the least squares best-fit line. The reliability index 1.28 and 3 represent bounds below 90% and 99.9% of the data, respectively. In this study, reliability index $\beta$=1.28 with security and economy was suggested. The maximum charge weight equations for efficient blast were obtained in W=(Vc/384.90)1.5151.D3(Seoul), W=(Vc/579.82)1.4706.D3(Pusan). W=(Vc/1654.01)1.3456.D3(Youngkwang), and the blast vibration equatiions in V=385(SD)-1.98(Seoul), V=580(SD)-2.04(Pusan), V=1654(SD)-2.23(Youngkwang), respectively. From this study, inference and analysis methods of vibration equations using reliability theory were established.

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Durability Analysis of Underground Structure based on Limit State Function Considering Carbonation (탄산화 기반의 한계상태함수를 활용한 지하구조물의 내구성 평가)

  • Choo, Jin-Ho;Lee, Tae-Jong;Yoon, Tae-Gook;Lee, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2014
  • The priority of repair areas are chosen with the probability distribution of 0.3mm wide crack and carbonation induced corrosion. Data is analyzed and evaluated based on the 28 section of Precise Inspection for Safety and Diagnosis (PISD) in seoul. As the crack is distributed in log-normal, the carbonation and cover are in normal distribution. To have rational in repair sections among 503 sheets of underground structure, it is adopted the reliability index as well as the environment factors: strength, sonic speed, $CO_2$ concentration, corrosion, and content of chloride.

The Risk Factor Analysis of Power Line Tunnel Using the AHP Method in Construction Stage (AHP기반 지중 전력구 굴착 위험요소 평가)

  • Woo, Sang-Kyun;Kim, Kyung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.122-129
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the risk factors which derive from the ground condition of typical construction sites are put forward. In order to prioritize the risk elements, the analytical method of AHP was used. The result of using a weighting factor for each risk analysis showed that if the constituency index is less than 0.1, then reliable results and priorities for each of the risk elements can be calculated using the AHP method. From now on, if the range of measured value can be established, the risk or safety value of concrete structures for power lines can be applicable.

Probability-Based WSD Code for Reinforced Concrete (확률이론(確率理論)에 기초(基礎)한 철근(鐵筋)콘크리트 허용응력설계규준(許容應力設計規準))

  • Cho, Ryo Nam;Shin, Jae Chul;Chun, Chai Myung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 1986
  • This paper presents a method for developing a probability-based working stress design code for reinforced concrete. Reliability of reinforced concrete structural members is evaluated by using an advanced second moment reliability method, and then, a practical method for code calibration is shown in this paper. The target reliability indices for various structural elements are determined by considering the results of the numerical studies on the safety of the structures designed by the current code, and by reflecting the construction practice. A set of allowable stresses and safety factors for reinforced concrete is proposed as a possible substitute for the current safety provisions, based on the rational target reliability indices.

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment of a Steel Composite Hybrid Cable-Stayed Bridge Based on the Optimal Reliabilities (최적신뢰성에 의한 강합성 복합사장교의 확률적 위험도평가)

  • Yoon, Jung Hyun;Cho, Hyo Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.395-402
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    • 2007
  • Probabilistic risk assessment was conducted on a hybrid cable-stayed bridge consisting of a steel-composite plate girder and a concrete girder with a long span, designed using the working stress design and strength design methods. The component reliabilities of the bridge's cables, pylons, girders, and steel-concrete conjunction were evaluated using the AFOSM(Advanced First Order Second Moment) algorithm and the simulation technique at the critical sections, based on the maximum axial force, shear, and positive and negative moments of the selected sections. For the analysis of system reliability, the hybrid cable-stayed bridge consisting of cables, pylons, and plate girders was modeled into combined failure modes, and for system reliability, the probabilities of failure and reliability index of the structural system were evaluated. Based on the results of this study, the critical failure modes of the hybrid cable-stayed bridge based on the bridge's structural characteristics are suggested, and the efficiency of the partial ETA technique for use in the risk assessment method was confirmed.

Social WISDOM: A Issue Detection/Monitoring System (소셜위즈덤: 소셜미디어 이슈 탐지/모니터링 시스템)

  • Lee, Chung-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Oh, Hyo-Jung;Hur, Jeong;Ryu, Pum-Mo;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.431-434
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 소셜 빅데이터에 대한 심층적 언어분석을 통해 이슈를 탐지하고 모니터링하는 소셜위즈덤 시스템을 소개한다. 소셜위즈덤은 키워드의 단순 빈도 정보 외에도 이슈의 신규성, 중요성, 파급력, 관심도, 신뢰도 등을 수치화한 이슈성지수에 기반한 이슈성 측정이 가능하여 정확한 이슈탐지가 가능하다. 또한, 추가적인 정보로 단순 긍부정 분석이 아닌 17 개의 세부감성을 분석해서 제공하고 긍부정에 대한 호불호의 원인분석 정보도 제공하므로, 소셜미디어 분석에 기반한 깊은 인사이트를 제공하여 사용자의 의사결정에 많은 도움을 줄 수 있다.

Reliability Assessment of Concrete Beams Reinforced with GFRP Bars (FRP 보강근을 사용한 콘크리트 보의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Nam, Ho-Yun;Seo, Dae-Won;Han, Byum-Seok;Shin, Sung-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.185-188
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    • 2008
  • Fiber reinforced polymer(FRP) bars are proving to be a valuable solution in the corrosion problem of steel reinforced concrete structures. As such, a number of guidelines for their use have been developed. These guidelines are primarily based on modifications to existing codes of practice for steel reinforced concrete structures. These guidelines are also similar in that though the design equations are presented in the partial factor formats that are often used in probability based design, they are not true probabilistic codes. Instead, they typically make use of already existing design factors for loads and resistances. Thus, when concrete structures reinforced FRP bars are designed, the structural reliability levels are not known. This paper investigates uncertainties of concrete beams reinforced with GFRP bars. Also, the structural reliability levels are evaluated for the flexural failure mode.

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Application Method of the Financial Feasibility study of New Hotels (신규호텔의 재무타당성분석의 적용방안)

  • Choi, Bok-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2009
  • It is evident that a financial feasibility study based on the economic analysis has been theoretically and practically accepted in the aspect of its adequacy. However, it is not easy to apply in the practical business affairs since there exist some difficulties on the economic analysis and the interpretation of the result because of the difficulty of the estimation of the discount rate. This study aims to suggest a method of the financial feasibility study based on the economic analysis. The results of this study are as follows. First, this study can increase the reliance and adequacy of the economic analysis result by suggesting a method of estimating the discount rate by means of the proxy ${\beta}$ method in the practical way. Second, this study can provide the overall frame of the financial feasibility study based on the economic analysis method (namely, Net Present Value Method internal rate of return, profit index method and payback period method)which use discount rate and cash flow. Third, this study can suggest an practical analysis skill required in each step of the financial feasibility study.