• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시계열 표현

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Flood Runoff Analysis using Radar Rainfall and Vflo Model for Namgang Dam Watershed (레이더강우와 Vflo모형을 이용한 남강댐유역 홍수유출해석)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Eul-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2007
  • Recently, very short-term rainfall forecast using radar is required for regional flash flood according to climate change. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS based distributed model using radar rainfall which can express temporal and spatial distribution in actual dam watershed during flood runoff period. Vflo model which was developed Oklahoma university was used as physical based distributed model, and Namgang dam watershed ($2,293km^2$) was applied as study site. Distributed rainfall according to grid resolution was generated by using K-RainVieux, preprocess program of radar rainfall, from JIN radar. Also, GIS hydrological parameters were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map, and used as input data of distributed model(Vflo). Results of this research can provide a base for building of real-time short-term rainfall runoff forecast system according to flash flood in near future.

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Flood Simulation using Vflo and Radar Rainfall Adjustment Data by Statistical Objective Analysis (통계적 객관 분석법에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 Vflo를 이용한 홍수모의)

  • Noh, Hui Seong;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the use of radar rainfall data that can help tracking of the development and movement of rainfall's spatial distribution is drawing much attention in hydrology. The reliability of existing radar rainfall compared to gauge rainfall data on the ground has not yet been confirmed and so we have difficulties to apply the radar rainfall in hydrology. The radar rainfall for the applications in hydrology are adjusted merging method derived from gage. This study uses the Mean-Field Bias (MFB) and Statistical Objective Analysis (SOA) as correction methods to create adjusted grid-based radar rainfall data which can represent the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall. This study used a storm event occurred in August 2010 for the adjustment of radar rainfall. In addition, the grid-based distributed rainfall-runoff model (Vflo), which enables more detailed examinations of spatial flux changes in the basin rather than the lumped hydrological models, has been applied to Gamcheon river basin which is a tributary of Nakdong River located in south-eastern part of the Korean peninsular and the basin area is $1005km^2$. The simulated runoff was compared with the observed runoff in an attempt to evaluate the usability of radar rainfall data and the reliability of the correction methods. The error range of peak discharge using each correction method was within 20 percent and the efficiency of the model was between 60 and 80 percent. In particular, the SOA method showed better results than MFB method. Therefore, the SOA method could be used for the adjustment of grid-based radar rainfall and the adjusted radar rainfall can be used as an input data of rainfall-runoff models.

Application Analysis of GIS Based Distributed Model Using Radar Rainfall (레이더강우를 이용한 GIS기반의 분포형모형 적용성 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Geun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2008
  • According to recent frequent local flash flood due to climate change, the very short-term rainfall forecast using remotely sensed rainfall like radar is necessary to establish. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS-based distributed model coupled with radar rainfall, which can express temporal and spatial distribution, for multipurpose dam operation during flood season. $Vflo^{TM}$ model was used as physically based distributed hydrologic model. The study area was Yongdam dam basin ($930\;km^2$) and the 3 storm events of local convective rainfall in August 2005, and the typhoon.Ewiniar.and.Bilis.collected from Jindo radar was adopted for runoff simulation. Distributed rainfall consistent with hydrologic model grid resolution was generated by using K-RainVieux, pre-processor program for radar rainfall. The local bias correction for original radar rainfall shows reasonable results of which the percent error from the gauge observation is less than 2% and the bias value is $0.886{\sim}0.908$. The parameters for the $Vflo^{TM}$ were estimated from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map. As a result of the 3 events of multiple peak hydrographs, the bias of total accumulated runoff and peak flow is less than 20%, which can provide a reasonable base for building operational real-time short-term rainfall-runoff forecast system.

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A Brief Efficiency Measurement Way for the Korean Container Terminals Using Stochastic Frontier Analysis (확률프론티어분석을 통한 국내컨테이너 터미널의 효율성 측정방법 소고)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.63-87
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure the efficiency of Korean container terminals by using SFA(Stochastic Frontier Analysis). Inputs[Number of Employee, Quay Length, Container Terminal Area, Number of Gantry Crane], and output[TEU] are used for 3 years(2002,2003, and 2004) for 8 Korean container terminals by applying both SFA and DEA models. Empirical main results are as follows: First, Null hypothesis that technical inefficiency is not existed is rejected and in the trasnslog model, the estimate is significant. Second, time-series models show the significant results. Third, average technical efficiency of Korean container terminals are 73.49% in Cobb-Douglas model, and 79.04% in translog model. Fourth, to enhance the technical efficiency, Korean container terminals should increase the handling amount of TEUs. Fifth, both SFA and DEA models have the high Spearman ranking of correlation coefficients(84.45%). The main policy implication based on the findings of this study is that the manager of port investment and management of Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs in Korea should introduce the SFA with DEA models for measuring the efficiency of Korean ports and terminals.

1D, 2D interpretation of stream flooding by HEC-RAS and TELEAMC-2D (HEC-RAS, TELEMAC-2D 모형을 이용한 1, 2차원 하천 범람 해석)

  • Sim, Gyu Hyeon;Song, Si Hoon;Lee, Byung Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.394-394
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    • 2015
  • 급격히 변화하고 있는 산업화와 도시화로 지구 온난화 현상으로 기상이변의 발생빈도가 높아졌고 기후가 불안정하여 예전보다 많은 집중호우가 발생하면서, 홍수로 인한 제내지 침수가 발생되기도 한다. 기후변화로 인한 수재해에 대응하기 위하여 하천 호소 수리 예측 모형의 개선이 필요한 실정이다. 하지만, 자연하천 유역의 강우-유출 상관관계와 지표면 유출현상 및 하도 수리 특성을 자연현상의 복잡성, 강우발생의 시간적 공간적인 발생과정의 임의성, 정확한 해석방법 및 확률 분석에 따르는 불확실성 들을 토대로 단순한 이론과 제한적인 경험공식 등에 의해서 해석, 재현 및 평가를 한다는 것은 매우 어려운 문제이다. 최근 IT 기술의 발전과 더불어, 많은 연구자, 엔지니어들이 기존 수리 수문학적 지식과 IT기술을 융합하여 복잡 다단한 수자원 환경 문제를 해결하고자 한다. 이와 같은 최근 연구 동향에 의거하여, 본 연구에서는 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC-2D 1, 2차원 수리 모형을 연계하여 하천 흐름 분석 및 홍수 범람 해석에 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC 모형을 적용하여 2012년 태풍 '산바(SANBA)'로 인해 홍수 피해를 입은 고령군에 위치한 낙동강 본류 회천 유역(상류 회천교 ~ 하류 도진교)의 하도 내 흐름 분석과 하천 인근 제내지 홍수범람을 예측하였다. 범람해석에 필요한 지형자료를 기초로 하여 각 지형의 조건에 맞게 수치자료를 이용하여 작성하였고, 수자원 정보를 이용하여 유랑, 수위 등 시계열자료를 지류 및 상 하류의 경계조건으로 설정하고, 조도계수 등 하천 기본정보들을 입력하였다. HEC-RAS 모형은 회천교부터 도진교까지 전구간에 대한 종단면과 횡단면별 홍수침수범위 및 홍수위 크기 등 거시적인 1차원 수리해석에 적용하였고, TELEMAC 모형은 HEC-RAS 시뮬레이션 결과를 바탕으로 HEC-RAS에서 나타내기 힘든 2차원 흐름특성, 침수현상 등 일부 범람 구간에 대해 수리해석에 적용하였다. HEC-RAS 시스템은 수공구조물들의 영향과 하천의 영향을 종 횡단면으로 다양한 홍수침수 범위를 1차원으로 나타 낼 수 있으며, TELEMAC 시스템 수리 모의를 통해 얻어진 결과는 유속, 유량, 수심, 하상고 높이 등 2차원으로 나타낼 수 있다. TELEMAC 시스템을 활용한 2차원 분석은 실측자료와 비교적 유사하고 시각, 공간적으로 이해하기 쉽게 표현되므로, 모형 적용성이 우수한 것으로 판단된다. 향후 유역 해석을 위한 수치데이터, 수위, 유량자료를 확보하여 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC 1, 2차원 연계 모형을 적용 한다면, 하천 준설, 하천 구조물 설치, 홍수피해 등 전반적인 하천관리 계획에 활용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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Flood Runoff Simulation Using GIS-Grid Based K-DRUM for Yongdam-Dam Watershed (GIS격자기반 K-DRUM을 활용한 용담댐유역 홍수유출모의)

  • Park, Jin Hyeog;Hur, Young Teck;Ryoo, Kyong Sik;Lee, Geun Sang
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1D
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the rapid development of GIS technology has made it possible to handle a various data associated with spatially hydrological parameters with their attribute information. Therefore, there has been a shift in focus from lumped runoff models to distributed runoff models, as the latter can consider temporal and spatial variations of discharge. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS based distributed model using radar rainfall which can express temporal and spatial distribution in actual dam watershed during flood runoff period. K-DRUM (K-water hydrologic & hydaulic Distributed flood RUnoff Model) which was developed to calculate flood discharge connected to radar rainfall based on long-term runoff model developed by Kyoto- University DPRI (Disaster Prevention Research Institute), and Yondam-Dam watershed ($930km^2$) was applied as study site. Distributed rainfall according to grid resolution was generated by using preprocess program of radar rainfall, from JIN radar. Also, GIS hydrological parameters were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map, and used as input data of distributed model (K-DRUM). Results of this research can provide a base for building of real-time short-term rainfall runoff forecast system according to flash flood in near future.

Time Series Analysis of Park Use Behavior Utilizing Big Data - Targeting Olympic Park - (빅데이터를 활용한 공원 이용행태의 시계열분석 - 올림픽공원을 대상으로 -)

  • Woo, Kyung-Sook;Suh, Joo-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2018
  • This study suggests the necessity of behavior analysis as changes to a park environment to reflect user desires can be implemented only by grasping the needs of park users. Online data (blog) were defined as the basic data of the study. After collecting data by 5 - year units, data mining was used to derive the characteristics of the time series behavior while the significance of the online data was verified through social network analysis. The results of the text mining analysis are as follows. First, primary results included 'walking', 'photography', 'riding bicycles'(inline, kickboard, etc.), and 'eating'. Second, in the early days of the collected data, active physical activity such as exercise was the main factor, but recent passive behavior such as eating, using a mobile phone, games, food and drinking coffee also appeared as a new behavior characteristic in parks. Third, the factors affecting the behavior of park users are the changes of various conditions of society such as internet development and a culture of expressing unique personalities and styles. Fourth, the special behaviors appearing at Olympic Park were derived from educational activities such as cultural activities including watching performances and history lessons. In conclusion, it has been shown that people's lifestyle changes and the behavior of a park are influenced by the changes of the various times rather than the original purpose that was intended during park planning and design. Therefore, it is necessary to create an environment tailored to users by considering the main behaviors and influencing factors of Olympic Park. Text mining used as an analytical method has the merit that past data can be collected. Therefore, it is possible to form analysis from a long-term viewpoint of behavior analysis as well as to measure new behavior and value with derived keywords. In addition, the validity of online data was verified through social network analysis to increase the legitimacy of research results. Research on more comprehensive behavior analysis should be carried out by diversifying the types of data collected later, and various methods for verifying the accuracy and reliability of large-volume data will be needed.

A Study of 'Emotion Trigger' by Text Mining Techniques (텍스트 마이닝을 이용한 감정 유발 요인 'Emotion Trigger'에 관한 연구)

  • An, Juyoung;Bae, Junghwan;Han, Namgi;Song, Min
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.69-92
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    • 2015
  • The explosion of social media data has led to apply text-mining techniques to analyze big social media data in a more rigorous manner. Even if social media text analysis algorithms were improved, previous approaches to social media text analysis have some limitations. In the field of sentiment analysis of social media written in Korean, there are two typical approaches. One is the linguistic approach using machine learning, which is the most common approach. Some studies have been conducted by adding grammatical factors to feature sets for training classification model. The other approach adopts the semantic analysis method to sentiment analysis, but this approach is mainly applied to English texts. To overcome these limitations, this study applies the Word2Vec algorithm which is an extension of the neural network algorithms to deal with more extensive semantic features that were underestimated in existing sentiment analysis. The result from adopting the Word2Vec algorithm is compared to the result from co-occurrence analysis to identify the difference between two approaches. The results show that the distribution related word extracted by Word2Vec algorithm in that the words represent some emotion about the keyword used are three times more than extracted by co-occurrence analysis. The reason of the difference between two results comes from Word2Vec's semantic features vectorization. Therefore, it is possible to say that Word2Vec algorithm is able to catch the hidden related words which have not been found in traditional analysis. In addition, Part Of Speech (POS) tagging for Korean is used to detect adjective as "emotional word" in Korean. In addition, the emotion words extracted from the text are converted into word vector by the Word2Vec algorithm to find related words. Among these related words, noun words are selected because each word of them would have causal relationship with "emotional word" in the sentence. The process of extracting these trigger factor of emotional word is named "Emotion Trigger" in this study. As a case study, the datasets used in the study are collected by searching using three keywords: professor, prosecutor, and doctor in that these keywords contain rich public emotion and opinion. Advanced data collecting was conducted to select secondary keywords for data gathering. The secondary keywords for each keyword used to gather the data to be used in actual analysis are followed: Professor (sexual assault, misappropriation of research money, recruitment irregularities, polifessor), Doctor (Shin hae-chul sky hospital, drinking and plastic surgery, rebate) Prosecutor (lewd behavior, sponsor). The size of the text data is about to 100,000(Professor: 25720, Doctor: 35110, Prosecutor: 43225) and the data are gathered from news, blog, and twitter to reflect various level of public emotion into text data analysis. As a visualization method, Gephi (http://gephi.github.io) was used and every program used in text processing and analysis are java coding. The contributions of this study are as follows: First, different approaches for sentiment analysis are integrated to overcome the limitations of existing approaches. Secondly, finding Emotion Trigger can detect the hidden connections to public emotion which existing method cannot detect. Finally, the approach used in this study could be generalized regardless of types of text data. The limitation of this study is that it is hard to say the word extracted by Emotion Trigger processing has significantly causal relationship with emotional word in a sentence. The future study will be conducted to clarify the causal relationship between emotional words and the words extracted by Emotion Trigger by comparing with the relationships manually tagged. Furthermore, the text data used in Emotion Trigger are twitter, so the data have a number of distinct features which we did not deal with in this study. These features will be considered in further study.