• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.104-107
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• 2002

Traditional queueing analyses are very useful for designing a network's capacity and predicting there performances, however most of the predicted results from the queueing analyses are quite different from the realistic measured performance. And recent empirical studies on LAN, WAN and VBR traffic characteristics have indicated that the models used in the traditional Poisson assumption can't properly predict the real traffic properties due to under estimation of the long range dependence of network traffic and self-similarity. In this paper self-similar characteristics over statistical approaches and real time network traffic measurements are estimated. It is also shown that the self-similar traffic reflects network traffic characteristics by comparing source model.

• Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.23-39
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• 2021

This study aims to explore research trends in Blockchain studies in South Korea using dynamic topic modeling and network analysis. To achieve this goal, we conducted the university & institute collaboration network analysis, the keyword co-occurrence network analysis, and times series topic analysis using dynamic topic modeling. Through the university & institute collaboration network analysis, we found major universities such as Soongsil University, Soonchunhyang University, Korea University, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST) and major institutes such as Ministry of National Defense, Korea Railroad Research Institute, Samil PricewaterhouseCoopers, Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute that led collaborative research. Next, through the analysis of the keyword co-occurrence network, we found major research keywords including virtual assets (Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Virtual currency), blockchain technology (Distributed ledger, Distributed ledger technology), finance (Smart contract), and information security (Security, privacy, Personal information). Smart contracts showed the highest scores in all network centrality measures showing its importance in the field. Finally, through the time series topic analysis, we identified five major topics including blockchain technology, blockchain ecosystem, blockchain application 1 (trade, online voting, real estate), blockchain application 2 (food, tourism, distribution, media), and blockchain application 3 (economy, finance). Changes of topics were also investigated by exploring proportions of representative keywords for each topic. The study is the first of its kind to attempt to conduct university & institute collaboration networks analysis and dynamic topic modeling-based times series topic analysis for exploring research trends in Blockchain studies in South Korea. Our results can be used by government agencies, universities, and research institutes to develop effective strategies of promoting university & institutes collaboration and interdisciplinary research in the field.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.237-244
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• 2015

Export-led policies, FTA signed and economics of scale through a variety of market-oriented policies, such as regulations to improve market grew constantly. Accordingly, the correct decision making accurately analyze the economics market for decision, a problem has been an important issue in predicting. For accurate analysis and decision-making of the most common indicators of the stock market by proposing a number of indicators of economic transformation techniques were applied to the convergence model combining estimation and forecasts problem confirmed its effectiveness. Experimental result, gave the model estimation method to apply a transform to show the valid combinations proposed model state estimation result was confirmed in a very similar exercise aspect of the physical problem and the KOSPI index prediction.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.513-519
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• 2018

The objective of this study was to examine the trends on social network services. The abstracts of 308 articles were extracted from web of science database published between 1994 and 2016. Time series analysis and topic modeling of text mining were implemented. The topic modeling results showed that the research topics were mainly 20 topics: trust, support, satisfaction model, organization governance, mobile system, internet marketing, college student effect, opinion diffusion, customer, information privacy, health care, web collaboration, method, learning effectiveness, knowledge, individual theory, child support, algorithm, media participation, and context system. The time series regression results indicated that trust, support satisfaction model, and remains of the topics were hot topics. This study also provided suggestions for future research.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.33 no.8B
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• pp.667-680
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• 2008

In this work, we present the results of our empirical study on 802.11 wireless LAN network traffic. We collect the packet trace from existing campus wireless LAN infra-structure. We analyzed four different data sets: aggregate traffic, upstream traffic, downstream traffic, tcp only packet trace from aggregate traffic. We analyze the time series aspect of underlying traffic (byte count process and packet count process), marginal distribution of time series, and packet size distribution. We found that in all four data sets there exist long-range dependent property in byte count and packet count process. Inter-arrival distribution is well fitted with Pareto distribution. Upstream traffic, i.e. from the user to Internet, exhibits significant difference in its packet size distribution from the rests. Average packet size of upstream traffic is 151.7 byte while average packet size of the rest of the data sets are all greater than 260 bytes. Packets with full data payloads constitutes 3% and 10% in upstream traffic and the downstream traffic, respectively. Despite the significant difference in packet size distribution, all four data sets have similar Hurst values. The Hurst alone does not properly explain the stochastic characteristics of the underlying traffic. We model the underlying traffic using fractional-ARIMA (FARIMA) and fractional Gaussian Noise (FGN). While the fractional Gaussian Noise based method is computationally more efficient, FARIMA exhibits superior performance in accurately modeling the underlying traffic.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.31 no.5B
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• pp.405-414
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• 2011

The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) which had a success for time series prediction and system control was applied for modeling the hourly runoff in the Gapcheon watershed. The ANFIS used the antecedent rainfall and runoff as the input. The ANFIS was trained by varying the various simulation factors such as mean areal rainfall estimation, the number of input variables, the type of membership function and the number of membership function. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean peak runoff error (PE), and mean peak time error (TE) were used for validating the ANFIS simulation. The ANFIS predicted runoff was in good agreement with the measured runoff and the applicability of ANFIS for modelling the hourly runoff appeared to be good. The forecasting ability of ANFIS up to the maximum 8 lead hour was investigated by applying the different input structure to ANFIS model. The accuracy of ANFIS for predicting the hourly runoff was reduced as the forecasting lead hours increased. The long-term predictability of ANFIS for forecasting the hourly runoff at longer lead hours appeared to be limited. The ANFIS might be useful for modeling the hourly runoff and has an advantage over the physically based models because the model construction of ANFIS based on only input and output data is relatively simple.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.20 no.7
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• pp.66-85
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to explain and predict trends the AI development process based on AI technology patents (total) and AI reporting frames in major newspapers. To that end, a summary of South Korean and U.S. technology patents filed over the past nine years and the AI (Artificial Intelligence) news text of major domestic newspapers were analyzed. In this study, Topic Modeling and Time Series Return Analysis using Big Data were used, and additional network agenda correlation and regression analysis techniques were used. First, the results of this study were confirmed in the order of artificial intelligence and algorithm 5G (hot AI technology) in the AI technical patent summary, and in the news report, AI industrial application and data analysis market application were confirmed in the order, indicating the trend of reporting on AI's social culture. Second, as a result of the time series regression analysis, the social and cultural use of AI and the start of industrial application were derived from the rising trend topics. The downward trend was centered on system and hardware technology. Third, QAP analysis using correlation and regression relationship showed a high correlation between AI technology patents and news reporting frames. Through this, AI technology patents and news reporting frames have tended to be socially constructed by the determinants of media discourse in AI development.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.95-105
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• 2020

In order to promote efficient coastal management, it is important to continuously monitor the characteristics of the terrain, which are changed by various factors. In this study, time series UAV images were taken of Gyeokpo beach. And the standard deviation of ±11cm(X), ±10cm(Y), and ±15cm(Z) was obtained as a result of comparing with the VRS measurement performance for UAV position accuracy evaluation. Therefore, it was confirmed that the tolerance of the digital map work rule was satisfied. In addition, as a result of monitoring the erosion and sedimentation changes using the DSM(digital surface model) constructed through UAV images, an average of 0.01 m deposition occurred between June 2018 and December 2018, and in December 2018 and June 2019. It was analyzed that 0.03m of erosion occurred. Therefore, 0.02m of erosion occurred between June 2018 and June 2019. From the topographical change analysis results, the area of erosion and sediment height was analyzed, and the area of erosion and sedimentation was widely distributed in the ±0.5m section. If we continuously monitor the topographical changes in the coastal regions by using the 3D terrain modeling results using the time series UAV images presented in this study, we can support the coastal management tasks such as supplement or dredging of sand.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.423-432
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• 2022

This paper analyzes a total of 10,599 papers related to COVID-19 from January 2020 to July 2022 collected from the KCI site using LDA topic modeling so that academic researchers can understand the overall research trend. The results of LDA topic modeling are analyzed by major research categories so that academic researchers can easily figure out topics in their research fields. Then, the detailed research category information in which a lot of research is done by topic is analyzed. It is very important for academic researchers to understand the trend of research topics over time. Therefore, in this paper, the trend of topics is analyzed and presented using time series decomposition.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.83-83
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• 2021

수리구조물로 인한 유황변화와 함께 기후변화로 기인하는 강우변동성 및 온도 증가는 수생태 전반에 악영향을 미치는 주요 인자로 작용하고 있다. 특히, 최근 가뭄으로 인한 유황감소 및 폭염 등으로 여름철 녹조의 발생 빈도 및 강도 증가가 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 하천에서 계측되고 있는 Cyanobacteria 개체수를 기반으로 녹조발생 여부를 전망할 수 있는 모형을 개발하고자 한다. Cyanobacteria 개체수를 기준으로 녹조발생 여부를 판단할 수 있도록 기준값(threshold)을 설정하고 binary 형태로 시계열을 구성하였다. 이를 Bernoulli 모형에 적합하여 녹조 발생 여부를 판단할 수 있도록 모형을 개발하였다. 하천을 따라 나타나는 녹조는 시공간적으로 유사한 특성을 가지며, 이러한 점을 고려하여 여러 관측지점을 동시에 모델링하는 것이 모형의 효율성과 예측성 측면에서 유리하다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강을 따라 여러 녹조관측지점을 대상으로 동시에 모델링이 가능하도록 다변량 Bernoulli 모형 기반의 녹조 예측 모형을 제시하고 과거 자료를 대상으로 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다. 다양한 지표를 기준으로 교차검증을 수행하였으며, 기존 물리적 모델에 비해 모형의 예측성능 및 효율성 측면에서 우수성을 확인할 수 있었다.