• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수렴 가속

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Mortality Forecasting for the Republic of Korea: the Coherent Lee-Carter Method (한국의 사망력 추계 : 통합 Lee-Carter 방법)

  • Kim, Soo-Young
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.157-177
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines the performance of the coherent Lee-Carter method for the mortality forecasting for the Republic of Korea combined with Japan and the Taiwan Province of China as a group by comparing it with the separately applied Lee-Carter method. It narrowed the gap of life expectancies between three countries from 6.8 years to 3.0 years in 2050, with higher life expectancy forecasts for the Taiwan Province of China and lower ones for Japan than with the separate forecast. This method did not affect the sex-combined life expectancy forecast for the Republic of Korea, but it accelerated the mortality decline for ages 65 and over and decelerated it for the younger age groups, diminishing sex differentials of life expectancy at a slower speed. It suggests that the integration of regional mortality information into mortality forecasting of one country gives several advantages in terms of short run fit within each country as well as long run convergence between countries, a modification of the age pattern of mortality decline, and a consistent application of the forecasting of subgroups within a country.

An Effects of Education Expenditures on the Economic Growth (교육비 지출이 성장에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Woo Sung;Choi, Hyuk-Jun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.185-198
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine a causal relationship and interaction among payment of education expenses, economic growth, imports and exports. The results of 'the Granger causality test' suggest that payment of education expenses are affected by imports and exports; and the other factors are not related. In addition, payment of education expenses and the relationship among variables confirmed by IRF show that payment of education expenses has a minus(-) effect on exports at the beginning and then it turns into plus(+) as a certain time passes. On the other hand, it has a minus(-) effect on imports at the beginning, and this gradually changes to zero(0). Lastly, it turns out that it has a plus(+) effect on GDP. It is therefore estimated that the demand for high-quality manpower is expected to grow and new investments for education to rise with increases in imports and exports with initial acceleration. The findings show that government education investment in foreign languages and research manpower must take precedence in order to meet the demand for high-quality manpower.

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System Identification of Quadrotor IT Convergence UAV using Batch and RLS Estimation Methods (배치추정기법과 RLS추정기법을 사용한 쿼드로터 IT융합 무인항공기 시스템식별)

  • Jung, Sunghun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2017
  • UAVs began to be actively applied to so-called 3D jobs, including the autonomous exploration, investigation, mapping, search and rescue, etc. since the mid-2000s. With this global trend, having a precise controllability of the UAV will certainly revolutionize the life of the modern human in the aspect of tremendous applications of the UAV. In the first part, a simplified dynamic model of the UAV identified using system identification techniques is compared with the previously built time-discrete linear model. In the second part, the three parameters of the dynamic model are estimated using the batch and RLS methods. Angular acceleration data of the quadrotor UAV at the hovering maneuver are analyzed and shown to be converging at all time. Also, according to the quadrotor flight data from both experiments and MATLAB simulations, the batch estimation method turns out to be more accurate than the RLS estimation method based on the comparison of final parameter values.

Fuzzy Nonlinear Adaptive Control of Overhead Cranes for Anti-Sway Trajectory Tracking and High-Speed Hoisting Motion (고속 권상운동과 흔들림억제 궤적추종을 위한 천정주행 크레인의 퍼지 비선형 적응제어)

  • Park, Mun-Soo;Chwa, Dong-Kyoung;Hong, Suk-Kyo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.582-590
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    • 2007
  • Nonlinear adaptive control of overhead cranes is investigated for anti-sway trajectory tracking with high-speed hoisting motion. The sway dynamics of two dimensional underactuated overhead cranes is heavily coupled with the trolley acceleration, hoisting rope length, and the hoisting velocity which is an obstacle in the design of decoupling control based anti-sway trajectory tracking control law To cope with this obstacle. we propose a fuzzy nonlinear adaptive anti-sway trajectory tracking control law guaranteeing the uniform ultimate boundedness of the sway dynamics even in the presence of uncertainties in such a way that it cancels the effect of the trolley acceleration and hoisting velocity on the sway dynamics. In particular. system uncertainties, including system parameter uncertainty unmodelled dynamics, and external disturbances, are compensated in an adaptive manner by utilizing fuzzy uncertainty observers. Accordingly, the ultimate bound of the tracking errors and the sway angle decrease to zero when the fuzzy approximation errors decrease to zero. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.

Impact Angle Control for Non-maneuvering Target with Look Angle Measurements and Line of Sight (지향각, 시선각 정보를 이용한 이동표적의 충돌각 제어)

  • Park, Jang-Seong;Lee, Dong-Hee;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Yoon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.47 no.7
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    • pp.508-516
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a guidance law to control Impact Angle in consideration of look angle limit of the missile with strapdown seeker on the non-maneuvering target. The proposed law is based on sliding mode algorithm and generates acceleration commands using look angle and line of sight information provided by the strapdown seeker and navigation system. And, target velocity and target path angle are provided by like TADS (Target Acquisition and Designation System) at launch time. We can confirm that the target interception and impact angle control are possible through the convergence of the proposed sliding surface. In addition, it is possible to confirm that the sign of derivative result of the look angle at the maximum and minimum look angle is opposite to the sign of the look angle, so the look angle limit is not exceeded.

Implementation and Performance Evaluation of a Precision Localizing Device for Hyperloop Pods Driving at Ulta-High Speeds (초고속주행 하이퍼루프 포드의 정밀 위치측정 장치 구현 및 성능평가)

  • Ok, Min-Hwan;Choi, Su-Yong;Choe, Jae-Heon;Lee, Kwan-Sup
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2020
  • A futuristic locomotion system called Hyperloop is projected for driving at ulta-high speed, levitated in the tube. In hyperloop localization of pods on the linear synchronous motor is essential for pod driving. precision localization is required for acceleration and deceleration of pods driving at speed above 1,000km/h, and also required for adjusting the pod speed driving at this very-high speed to maintain inter-vehicle distance. In this work, a new scale of localization is challenged by modified laser surface velocimeter. In acceleration the speed of a virtual pod is calculated along its displacement measured by laser reflection. Under the requirement of precise localization of the pod driving at ultra-high speed, a displacement measurement device, which detects the difference in reflections from tiles passing by the pod, is developed and evaluated through performance test. Tests of pod speeds below 500km/h have showed exact localization results of the precision in centimeters, and tests of pod speeds above 500km/h have showed localization with very low error rates under 0.1%. For the measurement above 500km/h, future works would pursue the error rate converges to zero.

Suppression of Coupled Pitch-Roll Motions using Quasi-Sliding Mode Control (준 슬라이딩 모드 제어를 이용한 선박의 종동요 및 횡동요 억제)

  • Lee, Sang-Do;Cuong, Truong Ngoc;Xu, Xiao;You, Sam-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2021
  • This paper addressed the problems of controlling the coupled pitch-roll motions in a marine vessel exposed to the regular waves in the longitudinal and transversal directions. Stabilization of the pitch and roll motions can be regarded as the essential task to ensure the safety of a ship's navigation. One of the important features in the pitch-roll motions is the resonance phenomena, which result in unexpected large responses in terms of pitch and roll modes in some specific conditions. Besides, owing to its inherent characteristics of coupled combination and nonlinearity of restoring terms, the vessel shows various dynamical behaviors according to the system parameters, especially in the pitch responses. Above all, it can be seen that suppression of pitch rate remains the most significant challenge to overcome for ship maneuvering safety studies. To secure the stable upright condition, a quasi-sliding mode control scheme is employed to reduce the undesirable pitch and roll responses as well as chattering elimination. The Lyapunov theory is adopted to guarantee the closed stability of the pitch-roll system. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the control scheme. Finally, the control goals of state convergences and chattering reduction are effectively realized through the proposed control synthesis.