• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.33 no.6A
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• pp.652-658
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• 2008

In this paper, a new random access scheme is proposed to improve the probability of successful access. In the conventional scheme, a packet is transmitted by a user using one slot and considered successfully transmitted if a collision does not occur. In comparison, a packet of the proposed scheme is transmitted by a user using one or more slots and considered successfully transmitted if there is at least one slot without collision. We evaluate the optimal number of slots selected by users to maximize the probability of successful access when the probability distribution functions for the number of users are given such as Binomial and Poission distribution. From the numerical analysis, it is shown that the proposed scheme performs better than conventional scheme.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1995.12a
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• pp.111-124
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• 1995

첨단 교통 체계(Intelligent Transport Systems)의 중요한 요소인 첨단 교통 관리 체계(Advanced Traffic Management Systems)의 성공 여부는 교통정보를 어떻게 제공하고 통제하는데 의존하다. 즉, 정보 제공 방식과 이데 대한 운전자의 반응을 정확하게 파악하고 예측하여야 ITS를 성공적으로 구축할 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 동적 차량 길잡이 장치의 효용성을 평가하기 위한 확률적 통행배정모형을 개발하는 것이다. 개발된 통행배정모형은 운전자의 동적행태조정(Dynamic Behavioural Adjustment)을 명백하게 확솔 과정(Stochastic Process)으로 표현하여 기존의 모형에 비해 통해자들의 행태를 더욱 실제적으로 반영한다. 특히, 각 통행자들에게 K개의 최소경로시간을 제공해줌으로 인하여 통행자의 노선선택에 대한 선택폭을 증가시켜준다. 통행경로의 선택폭의 증가는 쟁점으로 대두되는 문제(교통항제소에서는 차량 길잡이 보유 운전자에게 체계최적(System Optimum)와 이용자최적(User Equilibrium)중 어떠한 원칙하에 교통정보를 제공하여야 하는가에 대한 해결 방안이다. 왜냐하면 만약 교통급제소에서 운전자에게 통행정보를 체계 최상을 하기 위해 정보를 제공하고자 하면, 길잡이 장착 운전자는 더 이상 제공된 정보를 따르지 않고 자기 스스로의 경에 의해 이용자 최상을 달성하고자 할 것이다. 이 논문의 목적은 이러한 복잡한 통행자의 경로선택행위를 반영하는 확률적 평형 통행 배정 모형을 여러가지 통계기법을 도입하여 개발하는 것이다.

• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.195-199
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• 2022

본 연구는 스타트업 투자성과와 연계된 창업가 역량, 재무정보 등 정량데이터를 기반으로 스타트업 투자자들의 투자결정요인을 분석하였다. 주요 실증결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 창업 초기 종업원 수가 많고, 최고경영자의 지분비율이 높을수록 투자승인 확률이 높게 나타났다. 둘째, 재무적 특성에서는 기업의 매출액 규모가 작을수록 투자승인 확률이 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 스타트업의 경우, 기업의 단기성과보다는 투자 결정에 있어 미래가치 혹은 다른 정성적인 요인이 더 고려된다는 점을 보여준다. 셋째, 창업가 특성에서는 CEO 교육수준(학력)이 높을수록 투자승인 확률이 높게 나타났다. 즉, 창업자의 학력은 성공적인 투자 여부에 핵심적인 변수이고 이것은 선행연구의 결과와 다르지 않았다. 또한, 학력과 투자유치의 연관성은 창업 3년 미만 스타트업에서 상대적으로 강하게 나타났다. 선행연구에서 투자정보공개, 관련 데이터 확보의 어려움으로 스타트업 투자에 관한 정량적 실증연구가 거의 진행되지 못한 점을 고려한다면, 본 연구는 설문조사 방식을 뛰어넘어 국내 초기 창업기업만을 대상으로 성공적인 투자유치와 연계된 스타트업의 평가요인을 정량적으로 분석했다는 점에서 중요한 의의를 갖는다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.11 no.9
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• pp.341-348
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• 2013

The present study aims to analyze kickers' strategic actions for finishing in penalty shoot-outs among youth soccer players ultimately to increase success rates of shoot-outs and to score a victory. Subjects were experienced 271 soccer players attending high schools located around the capital area. To determine any difference in strategic actions for finishing in penalty shoot-outs among the subjects, frequency analysis or chi-square was used for the analysis. The analysis found the following points: First, the success or failure rates of kickers in penalty shoot-outs were found to depend on subjects' experiences as soccer players. Second, in terms of kickers' shooting qualities, they were found to shoot on goal regardless of shooting positions. Third, an important factor to enhance the shoot-outs probability was found to be a strategic action through the eyes. Fourth, in view of the strategic actions prior to kickers' shooting, goalies were found to check out kickers' positions first and estimate the directions and qualities of shooting via kickers' body actions and eye lines.

• Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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• v.14 no.6
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• pp.752-758
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• 2011

In this paper, we perform a research on a message delivery link based on visible light communication using illumination light-emitting diodes (LEDs) for car-to-car communications and the link transmission success probability is analyzed for the link. The message delivery system is modeled and the signal-to-noise ratio is calculated from the received optical power. Then, the link transmission probability is estimated from the calculated bit error rates (BERs). The message delivery system has optical links from an LED transmitter near the rear lamp of a car ahead to a receiver near the headlamp of a car behind, whose positions are assumed to follow the normal Gaussian distribution. The link transmission success probability is calculated considering the physical characteristics of the optical link. The car positions are generated according to the normal distribution and the bit error rates are calculated for all links. The link transmission success probability is defined. For the unoptimized optical car-to-car message delivery links, it is shown that the link transmission success probability is larger than 0.9 with the transmitted optical power of 400 mW and the semi-angle at half power of 30 degree.

• Digital Contents
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• no.6 s.49
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• pp.9-16
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• 1997

데이터 웨어하우스를 쉽게 생각하고 접근해서는 안된다. 유행처럼 '우리도 한번 해볼까'라고 시도한다면 성공할 확률이 희박하다. 왜 하는지, 데이터 웨어하우스를 구축했을 때 이점은 무엇인지부터 꼼꼼히 점검해볼 필요가 있다. 시기를 정해놓고 매듭짓는 프로젝트가 아닌만큼 장기적인 차원에서 접근해야 한다. 데이터 웨어하우스는 정보기술 차원이 아니라 그 이상이라는 점을 염두에 둘 필요가 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.48 no.7
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• pp.537-546
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• 2020

The reliability used as a performance indicator during the development of space launch vehicle should be validated by the launch success probability, and the launch data need to be fed back for reliability management. In this paper, the launch data of space launch vehicles around the world were investigated and statistically analyzed for the success probabilities according to the launch vehicle models and maturity. The Bayesian estimation of launch success probability was reviewed and analyzed by comparing the estimated success probabilities using several prior distributions and the statistical success probability. We presented the method of generating prior distribution function and considerations for Bayesian estimation.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.76-86
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• 2007

Construction development work invents profit as those finalize object, and a make or break success of project depends on correct analysis and forecast business feasibility at project early. Business feasibility study would be decision-making under precarious situation because is connoting uncertainty that is future. estimate at present visual point essentially. Under uncertainty, a decision-making method is based on probability theory of statistics, but business feasibility study had applied with not feasibility study by probabilistic decision method but it by determinism derision method so far. Therefore in this study doing decision-making by a probability theory method for successful project at early business feasibility study, it present a probabilistic study method that use simulation that can supply a little more correct and reliable data to decision-maker As result, a probabilistic study method is more suitable than deterministic study method as technique for a financial feasibility study of construction development work. Making good use of this probabilistic study method at important business or careful decision-making, because efficient Judgment that is based accuracy and authoritativeness may become available.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.141-167
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• 2012

Along with technological innovation, successful market entry of a new product is important for sustainable innovation of a firm. In this paper, we examined factors that affect successful introduction of new branded drugs in pharmaceutical industry. Under competing theories of the first mover's advantage and the late mover's advantage, this research focuses on how latecomers can overcome the disadvantages of late entry and catch up to the market leader. First, late movers can absorb the knowledge leaked from pioneering product during the time lag between early entrants and late entrants. Therefore, the time lag provides late entrants an opportunity to catch-up to market leader by differentiating and improving the quality of new product. Second, superior marketing capability of late entrants can enhance the possibility of catching-up, by overcoming the consumer base of early entrants.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.121-133
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• 2004

In [15,16], Okeya and Sakurai showed that the randomized addition-subtraction chains countermeasures [18] are vulnerable to SPA attack. In this paper, we show that Okeya and Sakurai's attack algorithm [15,16] has two latent problems which need to be considered. We further propose new powerful concrete attack algorithms which are different from [15,16,19]. From our implementation results for standard 163-bit keys, the success probability for the simple version with 20 AD sequences is about 94% and with 30 AD sequences is about 99%. Also, the success probability for the complex version with 40 AD sequences is about 94% and with 70 AD sequences is about 99%.