• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.286-286
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• 2023

물의 전체 순환 구조에서 토양수분이 차지하는 정량적 비중은 상대적으로 작지만, 강우-유출 과정의 비선형에 영향을 미치는 지배적 요인 중 하나이고, 토양 침식과 산사태, 농업생산량, 기후 변화 대응 등 광범위한 주제와 연관되어 있어, 토양수분의 물리과정에 대한 이해 증진과 예측 기술의 지속적인 개선이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 금오공과대학교 유역 내에서 토양수분과 기상 요소를 실시간 관측하고, 기계학습 기법을 이용하여 토양수분을 단기 예측하는 기술을 개발하고 평가한다. 구체적으로는, 토양 관측 장비인 TEROS를 사용하여 표층 지점의 10cm, 심층 지점의 40cm에서의 토양수분, 토양장력과 토양온도를, 기상 관측 장비인 ATMOS를 사용하여 태양복사, 강수량, 기온, 풍속, 대기압 등 다양한 기상 요소를, 실시간 클라우드 방식으로 1여 년간 수집한 데이터를 활용한다. 또한, 과거 및 실시간 데이터를 기반으로 LSTM(Long-Short Term Memory) 기법을 사용하여 토양수분 예측 모형을 구축하고, 선행 예측 시간에 따른 모의 정확도를 평가한다. 기상 요소의 누적 등 자료 분석 방법이 표층 및 심층 토양수분 예측에 미치는 영향, 그리고 예측 모형 개선 방향에 대해 토의한다. 실시간 현장 관측 자료 및 인공지능 기반 단기 토양수분 예측 모의 기술은 소규모 유역의 수문순환 분석 및 물리기반 모형의 개선 등 다양한 분야에서 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.192-200
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• 1999

위성의 전지는 위성의 수명과 직접적인 영향을 갖고 있으며 이것의 정상동작여부에 따라 위성의 안정적인 임무수행여부가 결정된다. 상대적으로 일반화된 셀 모델링의 최근 개발은 NiH2셀의 동특성을 시뮬레이션 하기 위한 기본적인 원리에 기반을 둔 접근방식이다. 그러나 이러한 일반적인 방정식을 통해 비선형성과 전력상태를 포함하는 전지 특성을 예측하는 것은 사실상 불가능하다. 본 연구에서는 다층신경회로망을 이용하여 비선형 특성를 갖는 니켈-하이드로진 전지 특성을 모델링 하였으며, 모델링된 상수값은 위성의 식시간 동안의 전지 전력상태 분석을 위해 사용되었다. 모델링 결과의 정확성을 확인하기 위해 니켈-하이드로진 전지시험결과 분석자료와 비교 검토 되었다. 전지 동작모드는 정상동작모드와 실패모드로 나누어 분석되었다. 정상동작모드는 위성의 식시간 동안 아크젯 동작 여부에 의해 각각 분석되었으며, 또한 태양전지와 배터리 셀 일부의 고장으로 인한 실패모드에서의 전지전력상태가 분석되었다.

• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.20 no.12
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• pp.179-186
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• 2022

This study aims to develop a predictive model to suggest a used sales price to sellers and buyers when trading used tablet PCs. For model development, we analyzed the real used tablet PC transaction data and additionally collected detailed product information. We developed several predictive models and selected the best predictive model among them. Specifically, we considered a multiple linear regression model using the used sales price as a dependent variable and other variables in the integrated data as independent variables, a multiple linear regression model including interactions, and the models from stepwise variable selection in each model. The model with the best predictive performance was finally selected through cross-validation. Through this study, we can predict the sales price of used tablet PCs and suggest appropriate used sales prices to sellers and buyers.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.7
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• pp.461-470
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• 2024

This study aimed to predict total phosphorus (T-P) to address early eutrophication caused by nutrient influx from various human activities. Traditional T-P monitoring systems are labor-intensive and time-consuming, leading to a global trend of using direct reading sensors. Therefore, this study utilized water quality parameters obtained from direct reading sensors in a two-stage T-P prediction process. The importance of turbidity (Tur) in T-P prediction was examined, and an analysis was conducted to determine if T-P prediction is possible using only direct reading sensor parameters by adding automatic water quality analyzer parameters. The study found that T-P concentrations were higher in the mid-lower reaches of the Nakdong River basin compared to the upper reaches. Pearson correlation analysis identified water quality parameters highly correlated with T-P at each site, which were then used in multiple linear regression analysis to predict T-P. The analysis was conducted with and without the inclusion of Tur, and the performance of models incorporating automatic water quality analyzer parameters was compared with those using only direct reading sensor parameters. The results confirmed the significance of Tur in T-P prediction, suggesting that it can be used as a foundational element in the development of measures to prevent eutrophication.

• Knowledge Management Research
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.71-85
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• 2021

The purpose of this study is to find out which artificial intelligence methodology is most suitable for creating a foreign exchange rate prediction model using the indicators of bond market and interest rate market. KTBs and MSBs, which are representative products of the Korea bond market, are sold on a large scale when a risk aversion occurs, and in such cases, the USD/KRW exchange rate often rises. When USD liquidity problems occur in the onshore Korean market, the KRW Cross-Currency Swap price in the interest rate market falls, then it plays as a signal to buy USD/KRW in the foreign exchange market. Considering that the price and movement of products traded in the bond market and interest rate market directly or indirectly affect the foreign exchange market, it may be regarded that there is a close and complementary relationship among the three markets. There have been studies that reveal the relationship and correlation between the bond market, interest rate market, and foreign exchange market, but many exchange rate prediction studies in the past have mainly focused on studies based on macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, current account surplus/deficit, and inflation while active research to predict the exchange rate of the foreign exchange market using artificial intelligence based on the bond market and interest rate market indicators has not been conducted yet. This study uses the bond market and interest rate market indicator, runs artificial neural network suitable for nonlinear data analysis, logistic regression suitable for linear data analysis, and decision tree suitable for nonlinear & linear data analysis, and proves that the artificial neural network is the most suitable methodology for predicting the foreign exchange rates which are nonlinear and times series data. Beyond revealing the simple correlation between the bond market, interest rate market, and foreign exchange market, capturing the trading signals between the three markets to reveal the active correlation and prove the mutual organic movement is not only to provide foreign exchange market traders with a new trading model but also to be expected to contribute to increasing the efficiency and the knowledge management of the entire financial market.

• Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.59-85
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• 2015

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of child care teachers' emotional supports in individual classrooms on children's social skills, including self-control, assertion, cooperation, and responsibility that were related to their character development. Data were collected in a purposive sample involving 32 teachers working with 646 children at age five and 555 parents of the children. Hierarchical Linear Modeling (HLM) was used to analyze a two-level model. The results showed that there were significant differences among classes with data reported by teachers but characteristics such as teachers' education and work experiences, child-teacher ratio, and type of child care centers as well as teacher's emotional supports did not explain the differences. Children's age and gender, which were predictors at the individual level, significantly explained their level of social skills reported by parents as well as teachers. The findings implied that other predictors influencing differences among classes should be explored in future studies.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.91-99
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• 2009

Mobile WiMAX is an emerging technology that can provide ubiquitous Internet access. To provide seamless service in mobile WiMAX environment, delay or disruption in dealing with mobility must be minimized. However offering seamless services on IEEE 802.16e networks is very hard due to long handover latency both in layer 2 and 3. In this paper, we propose a fast cross-layer handover scheme based on prediction algorithm. With the help of the prediction, layer-3 handover activities are able to occur prior to layer-2 handover, and therefore, total handover latency can be reduced. The experiments conducted with system parameters and propagation model defined by WiMAX Forum demonstrate that the proposed method predicts the future signal level accurately and reduces the total handover latency.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.458-467
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• 1991

In this paper, the cause of linear prediction error is analysed and the theoretical basis for nomalizing the format bandwidth to 0is given and its validity is verified. The formant and bandwidth in relation to the position of the poles of AR filter are measured for an alaysis of the relation between the pole position and the formant bandwidth. By changing the glottis reflection coefficient to 1. the pole position and the formant bandwidth. By changing the glottis reflection coefficient to 1. the effect of the glottis is eliminated and as the result a new linear preiction coefficients are obtained by normalizing the formant bandwidth of the signal to 0. since these coefficients are symmetrical, the standard deviation is larger than the coefficients with fixed glottis reflection coefficient. The bit rate for speech coding can be reduced by a factor of 2 without any loss of information. Through computer simulation, recognition rate of 96.7% is botained by using the proposed algorithm in recognizing 5 Korean vowels in noisy environment.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.7
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• pp.485-493
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• 2021

Groundwater is an important water resource that can be used along with surface water. In particular, in the case of island regions, research on groundwater level variability is essential for stable groundwater use because the ratio of groundwater use is relatively high. Researches using artificial intelligence models (AIs) for the prediction and analysis of groundwater level variability are continuously increasing. However, there are insufficient studies presenting evaluation criteria to judge the appropriateness of groundwater level prediction. This study comprehensively analyzed the research results that predicted the groundwater level using AIs for various regions around the world over the past 20 years to present the range of allowable groundwater level prediction errors. As a result, the groundwater level prediction error increased as the observed groundwater level variability increased. Therefore, the criteria for evaluating the adequacy of the groundwater level prediction by an AI is presented as follows: less than or equal to the root mean square error or maximum error calculated using the linear regression equations presented in this study, or NSE ≥ 0.849 or R² ≥ 0.880. This allowable prediction error range can be used as a reference for determining the appropriateness of the groundwater level prediction using an AI.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.7
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• pp.197-204
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• 2002

교통사고예측 및 예방을 위해서는 실제적으로 도로설계과정에서 제어가 가능한 도로 기하구조요소에 대한 사고관계를 파악함이 타당하다. 즉, 도로의 설계자는 도로건설에 앞서 기하구조요소와 사고와의 관계를 현장자료를 통해 정확히 밝혀 도로설계에 반영해야 한다. 이를 위해, 교통사고의 빈도분포를 박히는 것은 가장 기본이 되는 일이며, 교통사고 예측모형개발에 선행되어야 한다. 일반적으로 교통사고건수의 경우 분산이 평균보다 큰 과분산(overdispersion)의 특징을 가지고 있어 음이항 분포를 따른다고 알려져 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 사고모형의 개발에 앞서, 사고발생지점에 대한 도로설계요소와 기타 잠재적인 사고발생 관련요인이 비교적 잘 파악되어있는 호남고속도로를 중심으로 평면 선형상 곡선부에 대하여 교통사고의 분포를 적합도 검정을 통해 알아보고자 하였다. 사고자료는 한국도로송사의 호남고속도로 5년(1996∼2000)간 자료를 분석에 맞게 정리하였으며, 강민욱과 송봉수(2002)에서 제시한 평면선형에 있어서의 구간분할법을 이용하여 배향곡선구간과 단일곡선구간에 대한 사고분석을 하였다. 적합도 분석결과, 예상대로 음이항분포가 사고건수를 설명하기에 가장 적합한 확률분포로 제시되었으며, 이를 통해 최우추정법을 이용한 음이항회귀모형을 개발하였다. 구간분할법을 적용한 음이항회귀모형의 경우, 기존의 확률회귀토형에 비하여 높은 결정계수를 갖았으며, 모형에서 적용된 기하구조요소로는 차량 노출계수, 곡선반경, 단위거리 당 편경사변화값 등이다.