• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선형예측이론

Search Result 313, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Acoustic Nonlinearity of Surface Wave and Experimental Verification of Characteristics (표면파의 음향 비선형성과 실험적 특성 검증)

  • Lee, Jae-Ik;Kwon, Goo-Do;Lee, Tae-Hun;Jhang, Kyung-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.344-350
    • /
    • 2009
  • The goal of this study is to introduce the theoretical background of acoustic nonlinearity in surface wave and to verify its characteristics by experiments. It has been known by theory that the nonlinear parameter of surface wave is proportional to the ratio of $2^{nd}$ harmonic amplitude and the power of primary component in the propagated surface wave, as like as in bulk waves. In this paper, in order to verify this characteristics we constructed a measurement system using contact angle beam transducers and measured the nonlinear parameter of surface wave in an Aluminum 6061 alloy block specimen while changing the distance of wave propagation and the input amplitude. We also considered the effect of frequency-dependent attenuation to the measurement of nonlinear parameter. Results showed good agreement with the theoretical expectation that the nonlinear parameter should be independent on the input amplitude and linearly dependent on the input amplitude and the $2^{nd}$ harmonic amplitude is linearly dependant on the propagation distance.

Layer Interface and Approximated Nonlinear Analysis Method for Consolidation Prediction (압밀현상 예측을 위한 경계면 및 근사 비선형 해석기법)

  • Lee, Kyuhwan;Jeon, Jesung;Kim, Kiyoung;Jung, Daeesuk
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.6
    • /
    • pp.37-43
    • /
    • 2007
  • The interface layer having different consolidation properties and nonlinear material function with permeability needs to be considered to predict consolidation behavior. In this study, interface equation between different layers has been derived and then applied to existing finite difference scheme for conducting consolidation analysis. These results have been compared with those by conventional method in which different layers are converted to single layer having conversion value of properties. Also, although the conventional consoilidation analysis is used to consider non-linearity of the permeability with effective stress, an approximated nonlinear method as a function of consoilidation coefficient with effective stress have been developed and applied to the consoilidation analysis for various cases.

  • PDF

Introduction to Thermoacoustic Models for Combustion Instability Prediction Using Flame Transfer Function (화염 전달 함수를 이용한 열음향 연소 불안정 해석 모델 소개)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
    • /
    • v.15 no.6
    • /
    • pp.98-106
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper reviews the state-of-the-art thermoacoustic(TA) modeling techniques and research trend to predict major parameters determining combustion instabilities in lean premixed gas turbine combustors. Linear TA modeling results give us an information on eigenfrequencies and initial growth rate of the instabilities. For the prediction, linear relation equation between acoustic waves and heat release oscillations should be derived in the determined system. Key information for this analysis is to determine the heat release fluctuations in the combustor, which is typically obtained by using n-${\tau}$ function from flame transfer function measurements and/or predictions. Great advancement in the linear TA modeling has been made over a couple of decades, and some successful prediction results have been reported in actual gas turbine combustors. However nonlinear TA model developments which are required to analyze nonlinear system behaviors such as limit cycle saturation and transition phenomena are still limited in a very simple system. In order to fully understand combustion instabilities in a complicated real system, nonlinear flame dynamics and acoustic wave interaction with nonlinear system boundary conditions should be explained from the nonlinear TA model developments.

p-Version Finite Element Analysis of Elasto-Plastic Cracked Plates Including Strain Hardening Effects (변형률 경화효과를 고려한 탄소성 균열판의 p-Version 유한요소해석)

  • 우광성;홍종현;윤영필
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.537-549
    • /
    • 1999
  • 선형탄성 파괴해석은 균열을 갖는 변형률 경화재료의 파괴거동을 예측하는데 불충분하기 때문에 최근에는 균열 선단 부에서 대규모 소성 역을 갖는 균열 체에 적용할 수 있는 많은 파괴역학개념이 제안되고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 대규모항복 조건하의 연성파괴를 보이는 평판을 정확하게 해석할 수 있는 새로운 유한요소모델을 제시하고자 한다. 균열 선단 부의 응력 장을 정의하는데 가장 지배적인 파괴매개변수인 J-적분 값과 소성 역의 크기 및 형상을 J-적분법과 등가영역적분법을 통해 파괴거동을 설명할 수 있도록 증분소성이론에 기초를 둔 p-version 유한요소해석이 채택되었다. 제안된 유한요소모델에 의한 수치해석결과는 이론 해와 h-version 유한요소해석과 비교되었다.

  • PDF

Development and application of dam inflow prediction method using Bayesian theory (베이지안 이론을 활용한 댐 유입량 예측기법 개발 및 적용)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.87-87
    • /
    • 2017
  • 최근 이상기후로 인해 국내 가뭄피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 미래 가뭄의 심도 및 지속시간은 증가할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 특히 우리나라는 용수공급의 56.5%를 댐에 의존하여 댐 유역의 가뭄은 생 공 농업용수 공급제한 등의 광범위한 피해를 발생시킬 수 있다. 다만 가뭄은 홍수와 달리 진행속도가 비교적 느리기 때문에 사전에 정확한 댐 유입량 예측이 가능하다면, 용수공급량 조정을 통해 피해를 최소화할 수 있다. 국내에서는 댐 유입량 예측에 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법을 활용하고 있으며, ESP 기법은 과거 기상자료를 기반으로 미래를 예측하기 때문에 기상자료, 초기수문조건, 매개변수 등에 불확실성을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 베이지안 이론을 이용하여 댐 예측유입량의 정확도 향상기법을 개발하고 예측성을 평가하고자 하며, 강우유출모델은 ABCD를 활용하였다. 대상유역은 국내의 대표 다목적댐인 충주댐 유역을 선정하였으며, 기상자료는 기상청, 국토교통부 및 한국수자원공사의 지점자료를 수집하였다. 예측성 평가기법으로는 도시적 분석방법인 시계열 분석, 통계적 분석방법인 Skill Score (SS)를 활용하였다. 시계열 분석 결과 ESP 댐 예측유입량(ESP)은 매년 월별 전망값의 큰 차이가 없었으며, 다우년 및 과우년의 예측성이 떨어지는 것으로 나타났다. 베이지안 기반의 댐 예측유입량(BAYES-ESP)는 ESP의 과소모의하는 경향을 보정하였으며, 다우년에 예측성이 향상되었다. 월별 평균 댐 관측유입량과 ESP, BAYES-ESP의 SS 비교분석 결과 ESP는 유입량 값이 적은 1, 2, 3월에 SS가 양의 값을 가졌으며, 이외의 월에는 음의 값으로 나타났다. BAYES-ESP는 ESP와 관측값이 비교적 선형관계를 나타내는 1, 2, 3월에 ESP의 예측성을 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. ESP 기법은 강수량의 월별, 계절별 변동성이 큰 우리나라에 적용하기에는 예측성의 한계가 있었으며, 이를 개선한 BAYES-ESP 기법은 댐 유입량 예측 연구에 가치가 있는 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

New Constitutive Models for Tensile/Compressive Nonlinear Elastic Behaviors of Composite Materials with Fiber Waviness (굴곡진 보강섬유를 가진 복합재료의 인장/압축 비선형 거동을 예측하기 위한 새로운 해석모델의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 전홍재;신재윤;최흥섭
    • Composites Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-67
    • /
    • 1999
  • The effects of fiber waviness on tensile/compressive nonlinear elastic behaviors of graphite/epoxy unidirectional composite materials are studied theoretically and experimentally. New constitutive models are proposed to predict elastic properties and tensile/compressive nonlinear behaviors of composite materials. Three types of wavy pattern are considered: uniform, graded and localized fiber waviness. Complementary energy density and incremental method are used to incorporate the material and geometrical nonlinearities due to fiber waviness. Tensile/compressive tests are conducted on the specimens with fiber waviness. It is found that the predictions are in good agreement with the experimental results.

  • PDF

The Prediction of Temperature in Composite Box Girder Bridges (합성 박스형 교량의 온도 예측)

  • Chang, Sung Pil;Im, Chang Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
    • /
    • v.9 no.3 s.32
    • /
    • pp.431-440
    • /
    • 1997
  • The paper describes a theoretical model for the prediction of bridge temperatures from meteorological data measured at bridge site and local meteorological center together with existing finite element heat transfer theory and solar radiation transfer theory to determine the time dependent temperature distribution of bridge. In this analytical model, the most adequate equation for the calculation of solar radiation on the bridge surface, which is dominant in day time is described based on the results of several experimental studies for the solar energy. The validity of this model is tested against field data obtained from long term experimental program on Sadang Viaduct in Seoul. Also, this paper describes the linear correlation between design variables and meteorological data to establish analytical criteria for the prediction of the average temperature, which are responsible for the longitudinal deformation of the bridges and of the vertical differential temperature profiles. which are responsible for the bending deformations from the long term experimental results.

  • PDF

Development of Traffic Accidents Prediction Model With Fuzzy and Neural Network Theory (퍼지 및 신경망 이론을 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-Uk;Nam, Gung-Mun;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.24 no.7 s.93
    • /
    • pp.81-90
    • /
    • 2006
  • It is important to clarify the relationship between traffic accidents and various influencing factors in order to reduce the number of traffic accidents. This study developed a traffic accident frequency prediction model using by multi-linear regression and qualification theories which are commonly applied in the field of traffic safety to verify the influences of various factors into the traffic accident frequency The data were collected on the Korean National Highway 17 which shows the highest accident frequencies and fatality rates in Chonbuk province. In order to minimize the uncertainty of the data, the fuzzy theory and neural network theory were applied. The neural network theory can provide fair learning performance by modeling the human neural system mathematically. Tn conclusion, this study focused on the practicability of the fuzzy reasoning theory and the neural network theory for traffic safety analysis.

A Study on Long-term Maximum power Demand Forescasting Using Exponential Smoothing (지수평활에 의한 장기 최대전력 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 고희석;이태기
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.43-49
    • /
    • 1992
  • Forecasting of electric power demand has been a basic element for electric power system operation and system development, and it's accuracy has very strong influence on reliability and economical efficience of power supply. So, in this paper, long―term maximum electric power demand has been forecasted by using the triple exponential smoothing method initiated R.G.Brown. It has been regarded this method as high accuracy and operational convenience. The smoothing function is a liner combination of all past observations and the weight given to previous observations decreases geometrically with age.

  • PDF

Effects of Entrance Loss on Harbor Resonances (항만 부진동에 미치는 입구손실의 영향)

  • 박우선;정원무;채장원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 1996.10a
    • /
    • pp.184-187
    • /
    • 1996
  • 기존의 항만 부진동현상 해석은 대부분 완전유체라는 가정하에 선형이론에 기초하여 개발된 수치 모델에 의해 수행되고 있다. 실제의 경우에는 해저면의 마찰, 고체경계면을 따른 에너지 손실, 단면의 급 축소 및 확대에 따른 에너지 손실 등이 존재하므로, 이와 같은 에너지의 손실을 고려하지 않고 선형해석을 수행하게 되면 실제와는 다른 과장된 결과를 얻게 된다. 특히, 항 입구의 폭이 좁은 경우에는 실제와는 다르게 증폭비가 대단히 크게 예측된다. (중략)

  • PDF