• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.54-54
• /
• 2019

최근 이변량 가뭄 빈도해석시 Copula 함수 기반의 빈도해석모델을 활용한 분석이 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 기존 연구에서는 이변량 가뭄 빈도해석시 지점빈도해석에 국한되어 분석이 이루어지며, 지역을 대표하는 수문자료의 특성이 반영된 빈도분석에 대한 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 Bayesian 기법과 이변량 Copula 가뭄 빈도해석 기법을 연계한 Bayesian 이변량 Copula 지역빈도해석 모델을 개발하였다. 개발된 모델에 모의자료를 적용하여 가정한 가뭄특성 및 매개변수를 추정하였으며, 유사하게 도출된 결과를 통해 모델의 적합성을 평가하였다. 최종적으로 최근 발생한 가뭄사례를 중심으로 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석을 수행한 결과, 기존 지점빈도해석보다 가뭄의 특성을 효과적으로 반영된 빈도해석이 이루어지는 것을 확인하였으며, 기존 Copula 모델에 Bayesian 기법을 도입하여 매개변수에서 발생하는 불확실성을 정량화 하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 모델의 검증과정과 도출된 결과를 통해 가뭄자료의 지역적 분포특성 및 자료간의 상관성을 효과적으로 재현하는데 유리할 뿐만 아니라, 매개변수의 불확실성을 평가할 수 있는 장점을 제공할 것으로 판단된다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
• /
• v.19 no.4
• /
• pp.355-362
• /
• 2009

Sound source localization method based on the time delay of arrival(TDOA) is applied to many research fields such as a robot auditory system, teleconferencing and so on. When multi-microphones are utilized to localize the source in 3 dimensional space, the conventional localization methods based on TDOA decide the actual source position using the TDOAs from all microphone arrays and the detection measure, which represents the errors between the actual source position and the estimated ones. Performance of these methods usually depends on the number of microphones because it determines the resolution of an estimated position. In this paper, we proposed the localization method using spatially mapped GCC functions. The proposed method does not use just TDOA for localization such as previous ones but it uses spatially mapped GCC functions which is the cross correlation function mapped by an appropriate mapping function over the spatial coordinate. A number of the spatially mapped GCC functions are summed to a single function over the global coordinate and then the actual source position is determined based on the summed GCC function. Performance of the proposed method for the noise effect and estimation resolution is verified with the real environmental experiment. The mean value of estimation error of the proposed method is much smaller than the one based on the conventional ones and the percentage of correct estimation is improved by 30% when the error bound is ${\pm}20^{\circ}$.

• Journal of Labour Economics
• /
• v.25 no.2
• /
• pp.1-32
• /
• 2002

This paper investigates how real wages adjust to regional and cyclical shocks in the Korean labor market. Major findings are as follows. First, like most longitudinal studies in this literature, we find that real wages are strongly procyclical and more procyclical for men than for women. Second, consistent with the theory prediction of efficiency wages, both permanent and transitory components of real wages are negatively correlated with the local unemployment rate. Third, when overall and local unemployment rates compete in a wage equation (our preferred specification), current wages are dominantly affected by the overall rate, and the effect of the local rate is rather small. This rejects the Blanchflower and Oswald's hypothesis that wages are primarily determined by local labor market conditions. Finally, no lagged effects on wages are detected in the overall or local unemployment rate.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
• /
• v.9 no.1
• /
• pp.27-35
• /
• 1999

The characteristics of heat conduction for the heat source boundary like an arch shape cavern are different from those for the semi-infinite or circular boundary which can be driven theoretically. A new form of transient heat conduction equation in rock mass around the arch shape cavern is evaluated with analyzing the pattern of the rock temperature distribution measured at the cold storage pilot plant. The new equation, which is driven by adopting a shape function, $SF=\sqrt{logx_0/log(x_0+x)}$ to the solution for a semi-infinite boundary, has the semi-radial form of temperature variation with distance. And, thermal properties of rock mass are estimated by comparing the rock temperature distributions by this equation with those by measurement. Thermal conductivity and specific heat of rock mass are estimated as giving the difference of 20~25% compared to those of laboratory scale. This difference seems to be caused by discontinuity like joint and water content in rock mass.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
• /
• v.46 no.6
• /
• pp.112-122
• /
• 2009

In this paper, we present a novel space-frequency adaptive image restoration approach using vaguelette-wavelet decomposition (VWD). The proposed algorithm classifies a degraded image into flat and edge regions by using spatial information of the wavelet coefficient. For reducing the noise we perform an adaptive wavelet shrinkage process. At edge region candidates, we adopt entropy approach for estimating the noise and remove it by using relative between sub-bands. After shrinking wavelet coefficients process, we restore the degraded image using the VWD. The proposed algorithm can reduce the noise without affecting the sharpness details. Based on the experimental results, the proposed algorithm efficiently proved to be able to restore the degraded image while preserving details.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
• /
• v.40 no.1
• /
• pp.187-192
• /
• 2015

Underwater acoustic communication channels have very complex channel characteristics caused by time-varying sea surface, submarine topography, sound speed, and geometry between transmitter and receiver. Especially, the channel has time-variance and doppler effect due to wind and sea current. We have to recognize the channel state and apply it to communication technique for increasing transmission efficiency in the underwater acoustic channel. In this paper, we present the frame recursive modulation and demodulation method using ambiguity function and autocorrelation function to estimate the doppler frequency. Furthermore, we conducted the simulation and sea experiment to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. When the channel coding technique was not used, the bit error rate performance of the proposed method was improved about 32 % compared with conventional method.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2012.05a
• /
• pp.365-365
• /
• 2012

이수 및 치수를 위한 수공구조물 설계 및 하천기본계획 수립의 요점은 설계홍수량의 산정에 있으며, 통계적으로 유의성을 가지는 설계홍수량을 산정하기 위해서는 일반적으로 30년 이상 관측된 홍수자료가 요구된다. 우리나라의 경우 대부분의 유역이 미계측 유역이거나 관측년수가 비교적 작은 경우가 많으므로, 상대적으로 자료 연한이 긴 강우자료를 빈도분석한 후 이를 강우-유출 모형에 입력하여 확률홍수량을 추정하는 간접적인 방법이 주로 이용되며 사용된 강우의 빈도가 홍수의 빈도와 동일하다는 가정을 기본으로 한다. 그러나 동일한 강우량이 발생하더라도 강우의 강도, 지속시간, 유역의 선행함수조건 등과 같은 유역 특성에 따라 유출의 특성은 현저히 다르게 나타나며 결국 이러한 특성은 입력자료, 강우-유출 모형, 기후변동성 등과 같은 불확실성 요소로 인식될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 강우-유출 모의기법을 개발하여 이를 통해 홍수빈도곡선을 유도할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하고자 한다. 불확실성 분석을 위해 기존 HEC-1 강우-유출 모형에서 Bayesian MCMC 기법을 적용하여 매개변수들의 사후분포를 추정하여 매개변수들의 최적화 및 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 마지막으로 기후변화 영향을 통합한 홍수빈도곡선을 유도하기 위해서 극치강수를 모의하는 것이 필요하며, 본 연구에서는 극치값 재현에 있어서 우수한 성능을 발휘하는 Kernel-Pareto Piecewise분포 기반의 강우모의발생 기법을 적용하여 HEC-1모형과 연동되도록 모형을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 방법론은 기존 홍수빈도곡선 유도 방법에서 불확실성을 분석하기 위해 모든 변수들을 독립사상으로 간주하고 Monte Carlo Simulation을 수행함으로서 매개변수들간의 상호연관성, 상관성, 조건부 확률들을 고려할 수 없었던 점을 Bayesian 모형을 통해 매개변수들간의 조건부 확률을 고려한 매개변수의 사후분포 도출을 가능하게 하여 보다 현실적인 강우-유출 관계 도출이 가능하고 불확실성 구간이 자연적으로 도출됨으로서 향후, 신뢰성 있는 수자원 계획수립에 유용한 자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.20 no.2
• /
• pp.137-147
• /
• 2008

A reliability analysis has been performed to investigate the systematic stability of multi-failure modes of rubble-mound breakwaters. The reliability functions of four different failure modes are established straightforwardly. AFDA(Approximate Full Distribution Approcah) reliability models for each failure modes are directly developed and satisfactorily calibrated through the comparison with CIAD's results. In the reliability analysis of single failure mode, the probabilities of failure are calculated and the influence coefficients of random variables in the failure modes are properly evaluated. Meanwhile, three different models such as uni-modal bounds, bimodal bounds, and PNET are applied to evaluate the probabilities of failure of multi-failure modes for rubble-mound breakwaters. It may be found that uni-modal bounds tend to overestimate the probability of failure of multi-failure modes. Therefore, for the systematic reliability analysis of multi-failure modes, it is recommended to use bi-modal bounds or PNET which consider the correlation between the failure modes for rubble-mound breakwaters. By introducing the reliability analysis of multi-failure modes, it could be possible to find out the additional probabilities of failure occurred by the multi-failure modes of a multi-component system such as rubble-mound breakwaters.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
• /
• v.28 no.5
• /
• pp.55-65
• /
• 2012

The purpose of this study is to estimate seismic damage for harbor site considering dynamic amplification characteristics. First of all, a series of ground response analysis is performed and then correlation equations between rock outcrop accelerations and peak ground accelerations (PGAs) are determined. These equations are saved into DB and when an earthquake occurs, PGAs are determined by them as soon as possible. For earthquake events, seismic damage grades of harbor structures are determined by using the correlated PGAs and fragility curves of harbor structures in real time. In this study, seismic damage was estimated and classified into several grades by applying two hypothetical earthquakes.

• Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
• /
• v.17 no.6
• /
• pp.460-468
• /
• 1985

Changes in intrumental and sensory Theological parameters of chewing gum during storage were stuided. Texture changes are influenced to the great extent by moisture content of stored chewing gum and D.E. of cornsyrup, meanwhile content of cornsyrup, process condition and storage temperature had a little effect on texture change. Highly significant correlation was observed between logarithmic instrumental texture parameters of deformation, bending and puncture test and logarithmic moisture content. And also good correlations were observed between each sensory and instrumental texture parameters. The optimum texture values were estimated by regression analysis.