• Title/Summary/Keyword: 삼중 계절지수 평활법

Search Result 1, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

Evaluation of weather information for electricity demand forecasting (전력수요예측을 위한 기상정보 활용성평가)

  • Shin, YiRe;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1601-1607
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, weather information has been increasingly used in various area. This study presents the necessity of hourly weather information for electricity demand forecasting through correlation analysis and multivariate regression model. Hourly weather data were collected by Meteorological Administration. Using electricity demand data, we considered TBATS exponential smoothing model with a sliding window method in order to forecast electricity demand. In this paper, we have shown that the incorporation of weather infromation into electrocity demand models can significantly enhance a forecasting capability.