• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산업연관모형

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The Effect of a Change in Natural Gas Price on Korean Economy (천연가스가격 변화의 경제적 효과)

  • Shin, Dong-Cheon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.313-326
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    • 2008
  • This paper is concerned with the effect of an increase in the import price of LNG on the Korean economy and industries. A computable general equilibrium analysis is applied to compute the comparative-statical effect of 10% rise of LNG price. The price increase places relatively heavy burden on the city gas, oil products and thermal power, decreasing their outputs and domestic sales by relatively larger percentages than other industries. The 10% increase in the LNG price reduces GDP by 0.4% and raises the general price level by 0.08%. The increase in oil price resulting in the same decreasing rate of GDP caused by the 10% LNG price rise turns out to raise the general price level and reduce the consumer's welfare in terms of equivalent variation by less percentage than the increase in LNG price.

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An Analysis of Sectoral GHG Emission Intensity from Energy Use in Korea (기후변화 협약 대응을 위한 산업별 온실가스 배출 특성 분석)

  • Chung, Whan-Sam;Tohno, Susumu;Shim, Sang-Yul
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.264-286
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    • 2008
  • In 2006, the share of energy in Korea amounted to 28% from the total import, 97% from overseas dependency, and 83% for the national Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission in 2004. Thus, from the aspects of economical and environmental policies, an energy analysis is very important, for the industry to cope with the imminent pressure for climate change. However, the estimation of GHG gas emissions due to an energy use is still done in a primitive way, whereby each industry's usage is multiplied by coefficients recommended from international organizations in Korea. At this level, it is impossible to formulate the prevailing logic and policies in face of a new paradigm that seeks to force participation of developing countries through so called post-Kyoto Protocol. In this study, a hybrid energy input-output (E-IO) analysis is conducted on the basis of the input-output(IO) table of 2000 issued by the Bank of Korea in 2003. Furthermore, according to economic sectors, emission of the GHG relative to an energy use is characterized. The analysis is accomplished from four points of view as follows: 1) estimating the GHG emission intensity by 96 sectors, 2) measuring the contribution ratio to GHG emissions by 14 energy sources, 3) calculating the emission factor of 3 GHG compounds, and 4) estimating the total amount of national GHG emission. The total amount estimated in this study is compared with a national official statistical number. The approach could be an appropriate model for the recently spreading concept of a Life Cycle Analysis as it analyzes not only a direct GHG emission from a direct energy use but also an associated emission from an indirect use. We expect this model can provide a form for the basis of a future GHG reduction policy making.

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The Contribution for Industry of Renewable Energy Human Resource Development Programs using Supply-Side Input-Output Model (인력공급지장의 측면으로 본 신재생에너지 인력양성의 산업기여도 분석)

  • Lee, You-Ah;Kim, Jin-Soo;Heo, Eun-Nyeong
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2009
  • 신재생에너지기술 개발인력 확보는 국가의 지속적인 성장을 가능하게 하는 주요 요인이다. 본 연구에서는 신재생에너지인력양성이 원활하게 공급되지 않았을 경우 발생할 수 있는 인력공급지장효과를 분석하기 위하여 산업연관분석의 공급유도모형을 유도하고 2006년 신재생에너지 인력양성사업 배출인원을 기준으로 실증분석을 실시하였다. 또한 공급유도형의 감응도 계수와 영향력계수 분석을 통해 신재생에너지 관련 사업과 타 산업간의 전후방연쇄효과를 비교분석하였다. 연구 수행 결과 신재생에너지 관련 산업의 평균 영향력 계수는 1.37, 평균 감응도 계수는 0.96으로 최종 수요적 제조업의 성격을 띠고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 2006년 신재생에너지 인력양성사업에 의해 배출된 336명의 인력이 공급되지 않았을 경우 공급지장비용은 총 230억이며, 8개 신재생에너지원 중 태양열과 연료전지에 인력 공급지장비용이 타 에너지원에 비해 상대적으로 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 산업분류 기준으로는 일반목적용 기계산업과 전기기계 장치 산업이 신재생 에너지 인력공급 장애에 따른 지장비용이 높은 것으로 분석되었다.

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Analyzing the Industrial Contribution of Human Resource Development Programs in Renewable Energy Sector using Supply-side Input-Output Model (인력공급지장의 측면으로 본 신재생에너지 인력양성의 산업기여도 분석)

  • Lee, You-Ah;Kim, Jin-Soo;Heo, Eun-Nyeong
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.68-73
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    • 2009
  • 국가 에너지 안보 확보와 친환경적이고 지속적인 '저탄소 녹색성장'의 기반을 마련한다는 측면에서 신재생에너지 분야의 인력양성은 시급하고도 중요한 당면 과제이다. 본 연구에서는 신재생에너지인력양성이 원활하게 공급되지 않았을 경우 발생할 수 있는 인력공급지장효과를 분석하기 위하여 산업연관분석의 공급유도모형을 유도하고 2006년 신재생에너지 인력양성사업 배출인원을 기준으로 실증분석을 실시하였다. 또한 공급유도형의 감응도 계수와 영향력계수 분석을 통해 신재생에너지 관련 사업과 타 산업 간의 전후방연쇄효과를 비교분석하였다. 연구 수행 결과 신재생에너지 관련 산업의 평균 영향력계수는 1.37, 평균 감응도 계수는 0.96으로 최종 수요적 제조업의 성격을 띠고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 2006년 신재생에너지 인력양성사업에 의해 배출된 336명의 인력이 공급되지 않았을 경우 공급지장비용은 총 230억이며, 8개 신재생에너지원 중 태양열과 연료전지에 인력 공급지장비용이 타 에너지원에 비해 상대적으로 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 산업분류 기준으로는 일반목적용 기계 산업과 전기기계 장치 산업이 신재생 에너지 인력공급 장애에 따른 지장비용이 높은 것으로 분석되었다.

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Statistical Prediction of Used Tablet PC Transaction Price among Consumers (소비자 사이의 중고 태블릿PC 거래 가격의 통계적 예측)

  • Younghee Go;Sohyung Kim;Yujin Chung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to develop a predictive model to suggest a used sales price to sellers and buyers when trading used tablet PCs. For model development, we analyzed the real used tablet PC transaction data and additionally collected detailed product information. We developed several predictive models and selected the best predictive model among them. Specifically, we considered a multiple linear regression model using the used sales price as a dependent variable and other variables in the integrated data as independent variables, a multiple linear regression model including interactions, and the models from stepwise variable selection in each model. The model with the best predictive performance was finally selected through cross-validation. Through this study, we can predict the sales price of used tablet PCs and suggest appropriate used sales prices to sellers and buyers.

A Study of the Regional Economic Multiplier Impacts of Local Cultural Festival : In Case of Jeonju International Film Festival (지역문화축제의 지역경제파급효과에 관한 연구 : 전주 국제 영화제를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis the economic impacts of regional cultural festival via using the regional input-output model. In order to achieve this purpose, calculate output, value added and employment multiplier impacts of the Jeonju International Film Festival. The impacts of the JIFF on regional economic follow as ; Output is 112 hundred million won, value added is 53 hundred million won and employes is 254 labors. We need a new following strategies to obtain highly positive impacts from regional cultural festival. It needs to made networks among sight-seeing places, cultural remains, restaurants, hotels and entertainment institutions, in order to made visitors and customers expend much.

I-O Analysis for the Economic Impact of Water Industry (산업연관분석에 의한 수도산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Choi, Han-Joo;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2010
  • Until now, we recognize that water supply is a public sector rather than business sector in Korea. In spite of the general recognition, water supply sector has an important role within the national economy as an industry. This study try to analyze the current status of water supply sector as a industry with input-output analysis. As we expected, water supply sector is still minor as an industry sector. However, this is not because water supply sector is not important as a industry, but because the price of water too low or free. With regard to the water price impacts, our results show that the 10% increasing water price has only increased 0.01% of the general price level, which is neglectable. To have a competitiveness as a industry, water sector should be reevaluated based on its socioeconomic value. Government policy for water supply sector should achieve two purposes; the one is for as a public service, the other is for the setting new paradigm as an industry.

Model of Korean Value-added Logistics Cluster (한국형 부가가치물류클러스터 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.275-285
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    • 2008
  • The "logistics industry" is recommended as an economic growth power in the future in Korea. In the past, Korea has handled China's freight volume overflow as a transfer hub. However, recently China has been constructing its own port facilities and many mega fleets have been moving to China's ports. As a result, the position of Korea's hub-ports facing a crisis. Now, new strategies are necessary for renovating Korea's logistics industry and international competitiveness. This study proposes a "value-added logistics cluster" as a new strategy. In particular, this study proposes a Korean value-added logistics cluster that maximizes Korea's locational and industrial advantages. Additionally, a model for a value-added logistics cluster is proposed for the rehabilitation of Korea's ports as logistics hubs in Northeast Asia. Many analyses are executed step-by-step to develop a Korean value-added logistics cluster model, such as an analysis of the relationship between the logistics industry and other industries for the definition of cluster components. Lastly, the Korean value-added logistics cluster model is applied to Kwangyang port, which is currently confronted with a crisis because of the decrease of freight volume.

제주지역의 지식기반 문화산업의 효과 분석 및 육성방안에 관한 고찰

  • Kim, Min-Cheol;Kim, Tae-Jong
    • 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.249-275
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 고부가가치를 창출할 수 있는 문화산업이 제주 지역 경제에 미치는 영향에 대한 파급효과를 보기 위하여 산업연관분석 기법 및 AHP 기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 그리고 제주문화산업에 대한 현황 및 문제점을 분석하여 Porter의 가치사슬 (value chain) 모형을 토대로 지역발전전략으로서 지식기반 제주문화산업의 육성방안을 제시하였다. 분석결과, 문화산업에 대한 투자가 지역경제에 소득유발효과, 고용창출효과 및 타 산업으로의 전?후방 연계효과 등이 강한 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며 소득유발효과와 고용창출효과 등의 파급효과로 인한 제주지역 경제를 활성화시키기 위하여 기식기반 문화산업을 육성하여야 할 것이다.

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Structural Decomposition Analysis for Energy Consumption of Industrial Sector with Linked Energy Input-Output Table 00-05-08 (접속불변에너지산업연관표 00-05-08을 이용한 산업별 에너지소비 변화량의 구조분해분석)

  • Kim, Yoon Kyung;Jang, Woon Jeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.255-289
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    • 2011
  • This study made linked Energy IO Table 00-05-08 of 76 sectors in intermediate sectors and analyzed structural decomposition analysis in energy consumption change in industrial sector with both by aggregate data and micro data. Structural decomposition analysis focused value added level change, value added share change of each industry, output structural change of each industry and energy intensity change of each industry as factors. Supply side model based on Ghosh inverse matrix was applied as empirical model because Korea has export driven industrial structure. Empirical results with aggregate data showed that value added change increased energy consumption and output structural change of each industry decreased energy consumption in both 2000~2005 and 2005~2008. However value added share change and energy intensity change caused opposite direction in energy consumption change with time. Policy based on aggregate data can not evaluate effort of each industry in energy efficiency and make effective results because aggregate data delete character of each industry.

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