• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산사태 예경보

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Rainfall Analysis for Warning of Sedimentation Disaster in Mountaious Area (산지토사재해예보를 위한 강우분석)

  • Jun, Byong-Hee;Jun, Kye-Won;Jang, Chang-Deok;Oh, Chae-Yeon;Yoon, Ji-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.248-248
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    • 2012
  • 산사태나 토석류와 같은 산지재해가 빈발하고 인명과 재산의 피해가 증가함에 따라 적절한 대책이 시급하게 요구되고 있다. 이런 대책 중에서 신뢰도 높은 산지재해 예, 경보시스템을 구축하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 산림청에서는 산사태 예, 경보 발령을 위한 기준을 마련하고 있으나, 좀더 신뢰도 높은 기준을 필요로 한다고 생각된다. 본 연구에서는 강우분석을 통해서 우리나라의 자연사면에서 토석류, 산사태를 일으키는 강우의 특성을 파악하고, 나아가 산지토사재해 예, 경보시스템에 적절하게 활용될 수 있는 기준을 마련하고자 하였다. 이를 위해서 회귀분석, 판별분석을 적용하여 평가하였고, 보다 개선된 기준으로서 토양우량지수를 제시하였다. 토양우량지수는 강우에 의해 지반이 어느 정도 포화되어 있는가를 계산하여, 토사재해발생의 위험성을 나타낸 것이다. 본 연구에서는 2001년에서 2009년 사이에 충북 제천시 일대의 강우자료를 조사하여 탱크모델에 적용하여 각 탱크에서의 저류량을 계산하여 토양우량지수를 결정하였다. 세 개의 탱크 중에서 두 번째 탱크에서의 저류량 (S2)과 전체 탱크에서의 저류량 (TS)을 이용하여 상위에 랭크된 이력순위를 분석한 결과, S2에서는 산사태가 발생한 2009년 이력이 3번째 높은 수준으로 기록되며, 산사태 미발생의 2007년 강우는 5번째로 기록되었다. 그리고 TS의 경우 2009년 강우가 2002년에 이어 3번째 높은 수준으로 기록되었으며, 2007년 강우는 9번째로 기록되었다. 이러한 결과를 볼 때 토양우량지수의 이력순위는 산지토사재해의 발생을 잘 반영하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 2011년 발생한 우면산 산사태를 대상으로 토양우량지수를 적용하여 예, 경보시스템의 적용가능성을 판단하였다.

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Calculation of Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Predict the Occurrence of Debris Flow (토석류 발생 예측을 위한 강우경보지수 산정)

  • Nam, Dong-Ho;Lee, Suk-Ho;Kim, Man-Il;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2018
  • At present, there has been a wide range of studies on debris flow in Korea, more specifically, on rainfall characteristics that trigger debris flow including rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and preceding rainfall. the prediction of landslide / debris flow relies on the criteria for landslide watch and warning by the Korea Forest Service (KFS, 2012). Despite this, it has been found that most incidents of debris flow were caused by rainfall above the level of landslide watch, maximum hourly rainfall, extensive damage was caused even under the watch level. Under these circumstances, we calculated a rainfall triggering index (RTI) using the main factors that trigger debris flow-rainfall, rainfall intensity, and cumulative rainfall-to design a more sophisticated watch / warning criteria than those by the KFS. The RTI was classified into attention, caution, alert, and evacuation, and was assessed through the application of two debris flow incidents that occurred in Umyeon Mountain, Seoul, and Cheongju, Inje, causing serious damage and casualties. Moreover, we reviewed the feasibility of the RTI by comparing it with the KFS's landslide watch / warning criteria (KFS, 2012).

Primary study on evaluation of wetting front distribution for weathered soil (토층 사면에서의 침윤선 분포 특성 파악을 위한 실험 연구)

  • Kim, Man-Il;Chae, Byung-Gon;Seo, Yong-Seok;Kim, Hyeun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.1395-1399
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    • 2008
  • 국내 토층 사면을 대상으로 강우에 의해 발생되는 침투수 거동 특성을 분석함으로써 지속적인 토층의 물성 변화 계측을 통해 산사태 예 경보시스템을 구축이 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 산사태 예 경보시스템 구축의 사전 단계로써, 국내 대표적인 지질 매질인 화강암 풍화토, 편마암 풍화토와 주문진 표준사에 대해 공극률과 체적함수비 등의 토질 물성 변화를 고려한 실내 보정실험을 수행하였다. 실험조건은 공극률, 체적함수비 변화에 대한 측정센서의 측정 정밀도 향상과 이를 통해 국내 현장토에 대한 고유 보정기법을 제시하기 위함이다. 측정센서는 각 실험 조건별 물성 변화에 따라 전압을 측정함으로써 현장토에 대한 물성치와 상호 분석이 가능하도록 하였다. 주문진 표준사 뿐만 아니라 국내 현장토인 화강암 풍화토와 편마암 풍화토에 대한 체적함수비에 대한 보정식도 함께 제시하였다.

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A Study on Landslide Warning Guidelines Based on Regional Rainfall (지역별 강우량 기반 급경사지 붕괴 예경보기준 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji Hyeob;Park, Jung Yong;Lim, Ik Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2013
  • The existing landslide warning guideline was mostly issued in 1990's and did not consider recent weather changes such as focused area heavy rainfall or regional geographic features. And every regional government applies the guideline equally which results in continued disasters. Thus it is necessary to conduct a research on landslide with regards to the correlation between the increased focused rainfall and regional geographic features. We propose a renewed emergency escape guideline against steep slope landslides that can assess most likely avalanche time according to amounts of rain and a continued raining time, for a swift escape of the residents of the affected area.

Rainfall Intensity-Duration Thresholds for the Initiation of a Shallow Landslide in South Korea (우리나라에 있어서 산사태 유발강우의 강도-지속시간 한계)

  • Kim, Suk-Woo;Chun, Kun-Woo;Kim, Min-Seok;Kim, Min-Sik;Kim, Jin-Hak;Lee, Dong-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.3
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    • pp.463-466
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    • 2013
  • We examined relationship between rainfall and triggering of shallow landslides in South Korea, based on hourly rainfall data for 478 shallow landslides during 1963-2012. Rainfall intensity(I) and duration(D) relationship was analyzed to obtain the I-D threshold for the initiation of a shallow landslide using the quantile regression analysis. The I-D threshold equation from in this study is: $I=9.64D^{-0.27}$($4{\leq}D{\leq}76$), where I and D are expressed in millimeters per hour and hours, respectively. In addition, rainfall criteria were proposed to predict the potential to cause landslides, based on values of I-D and cumulative rainfall derived from quantile regression analysis. Our findings may provide essential data and important evidences for the improvement of landslide warning and evacuation system.

Evaluating the Influence of Post-Earthquake Rainfall on Landslide Susceptibility through Soil Physical Properties Changes (지진이후 강우의 산사태 발생 영향성 평가를 위한 토양물성값 변화 분석)

  • Junpyo Seo;Song Eu;KiHwan Lee;Giha Lee;Sewook Oh
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.270-283
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Considering the rising frequency of earthquakes in Korea, it is crucial to revise the rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering following earthquake events. This study was conducted to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for adjusting rainfall thresholds for landslide early warnings after earthquakes through soil physical experiments. Method: The study analyzed the change in soil shear strength by direct shear tests on disturbed and undisturbed samples collected from cut slopes. Also, The study analyzed the soil strength parameters of remolded soil samples subjected to drying and wetting conditions, focusing on the relationship between the degree of saturation after submergence and the strength parameters. Result: Compaction water content variation in direct shear tests showed that higher water content and saturation in disturbed samples led to a significant decrease in cohesion (over 50%) and a reduction in shear resistance angle (1~2°). Additionally, during the ring shear tests, the shear strength was observed to gradually decrease once water was supplied to the shear plane. The maximum shear strength decreased by approximately 65-75%, while the residual shear strength decreased by approximately 53-60%. Conclusion: Seismic activity amplifies landslide risk during subsequent rainfall, necessitating proactive mitigation strategies in earthquake-prone areas. This research is anticipated to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for reducing the rainfall threshold for landslide initiation in earthquake-susceptible regions.

Thresholds of Rainfall Duration and Intensity for Predicting Abrupt Landslide Occurrence (돌발 산사태 예·경보를 위한 강우기준 설정 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Pil;Park, Jae-Sung;Bae, Seung-Jong;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to suggest rainfall threshold for landslide forecasting and warning. For this study, we chose the research area where landslide have occurred. And we performed infiltration-stability analysis with rainfall intensity-duration. As the results of this study, slope stability variation chart with rainfall intensity-duration are established. This kind of chart is believed to be able to be used for forecasting and warning the landslide caused by rainfall.

Development Method of Early Warning Systems for Rainfall Induced Landslides (강우에 의한 돌발 산사태 예·경보 시스템 구축 방안)

  • Kim, Seong-Pil;Bong, Tae-Ho;Bae, Seung-Jong;Park, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop an early warning system for rainfall induced landslides. For this study, we suggested an analysis process using rainfall forecast data. 1) For a selected slope, safety factor with saturated depth was analyzed and safety factor threshold was established (warning FS threshold=1.3, alarm FS threshold=1.1). 2) If rainfall started, saturated depth and safety factor was calculated with rainfall forecast data, 3) And every hour after safety factor is compared with threshold, then warning or alarm can issued. In the future, we plan to make a early warning system combined with the in-situ inclinometer sensors.

Slope Behavior Analysis Using the Measurement of GFRP Underground Displacement (GFRP 록볼트 계측을 통한 사면 거동 분석)

  • Jin, Ji-Huan;Lim, Hyun-Taek;Bibek, Tamang;Chang, Suk-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2018
  • Although many researches related to monitoring and automatic measuring devices for early warning system during slope failure have been carried out in Korea and aboard, most of the researches have installed measuring devices on the slope surface, and there are only few researches about warning systems that can detect and warn before slope failure and disaster occurs. In this study, slope failure simulation experiment was performed by attaching sensors to rock bolts, and initial slope behavior characteristics during slope failure were analyzed. Also, the experiment results were compared and reviewed with varied slope conditions, i.e. shotcrete slope and natural slope, and varied material conditions, i.e. GFRP and steel rock bolt. This study can be used as a basic data in development of warning and alarm system for early evacuation through early detection and warning before slope failure occurs in steep slopes and slope failure vulnerable areas.