• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사업대안분석

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Water policy for drought management under climate change through application of real options (실물옵션 적용을 통한 기후변화에 따른 가뭄 대비 수자원 정책)

  • Ihm, Sun Hoo;Choi, Seo Hyung;Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.258-258
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화에 따른 미래 물 공급의 불확실성으로 인해 기존의 수자원 전략들로 증가하는 물 수요를 안정적으로 충족시키는데 한계가 있다. 국내에서 기후변화 연구에 사용되는 미래 기후시나리오의 불확실성에 대한 전망과 이에 따른 수자원 취약성 평가에만 연구가 집중되고 있다. 하지만 해외의 연구들을 확인해보면 기후변화로 인한 피해를 줄이고자 수자원 정책과 관련한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있고, 다양한 전략과 방향성을 제시하고 있다. 그렇기 때문에 대한민국에서도 기후변화에 적절한 적응 정책의 개발이 필수적이다. 2015, 2016년에 연속하여 충청남도는 극심한 가뭄을 기록하였다. 2015년의 강우량의 경우 평년의 50%를 기록하였고, 보령댐의 경우 18년 중 최저수위를 기록하였다. 그리하여 충청남도는 용수공급지역인 8개의 지자체에 제한급수를 감행하였다. 이에 대응하기 위해 긴급대책인 도수로 공사와 누수 컨설팅 사업이 대두되었고 그 중 하나인 도수로 공사는 실제로 진행되었다. 본 연구에서는 전통적인 경제성 분석방법인 현금흐름할인법과 의사결정기술 중 하나인 실물 옵션 방법을 통하여 두 사업의 적절성을 평가하였다. 실물옵션 방법을 통해 기후변화의 불확실성과 시간에 따른 역동적인 대안을 제시할 수 있었고 기존 현금흐름할인법의 단점을 보안할 수 있는 실물 옵션의 가치를 파악할 수 있었다. 또한 수자원분야의 의사결정 방법으로 실물 옵션 방법이 이용될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

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An Analysis on the Investment Determinants for Insolvent Housing Development Projects (건설회사의 공동주택 PF 부실사업장에 대한 투자결정요인 분석)

  • An, Kukjin;Cho, Yongkyung;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 2014
  • After IMF bailout crisis in Korea, project financing has been employed as a major funding vehicle for the housing development. In 2008, the recession of housing market due to the global financial crisis had an significant impact on the increasing insolvent site of PF based housing development project, resulting in serious impact to whole economy as a chain effect. In order to resolve this vicious circle of bankruptcy, the major construction companies were urged to take over the insolvent sites and invest to them for normal project exit, and finally play a critical role in normalization of market. Therefore, this study aims to define the core factors for decision making to invest to insolvent site and find out differences among constructors, developers, financial lenders. The results from AHP analysis, the profitability was the most important factor to constructors. Moreover, even though the location merit is little less, through competitive price, we can assure that stable profitability is most important factor to decide to invest in insolvent site. In conclusion, the price is cheap, is highly feasible, if the land secured, major construction company will participate in a PF business investment. These findings were verified by the investment case of major construction company.

Simulation and Feasibility Analysis of Aging Urban Park Refurbishment Project through the Application of Japan's Park-PFI System (일본 공모설치관리제도(Park-PFI)의 적용을 통한 노후 도시공원 정비사업 시뮬레이션 및 타당성 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Gook;Kim, Young-Hyeon;Kim, Min-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2023
  • Urban parks are social infrastructure supporting citizens' health, quality of life, and community formation. As the proportion of urban parks that have been established for more than 20 years is increasing, the need for refurbishment to improve the physical space environment and enhance the functions of aging urban parks is increasing. Since the government's refurbishment of aging urban parks has limitations in securing financial resources and promoting attractiveness, they must be promoted through public-private partnerships. Japan, which suffered from the problem of aging urban parks, has successfully promoted several park refurbishment projects by introducing the Park-PFI through the revision of the 「Urban Park Act」 in 2017. This study examines and analyzes the characteristics of the Japan Park-PFI as an alternative to improving the quality of aging domestic urban park services through public-private partnerships and the validity of the aging urban park refurbishment projects through Park-PFI. The main findings are as follows. First, it is necessary to start discussions on introducing Japan's Park-PFI according to the domestic conditions as a means of public-private partnership to improve the service quality and diversify the functions of aging urban parks. In order to introduce Park-PFI social discussions and follow-up studies on the deterioration of urban parks. Must be conducted. The installation of private capital and profit facilities and improvements of related regulations, such as the 「Parks and Green Spaces Act」 and the 「Public Property Act」, is required. Second, it is judged that the Park-PFI project is a policy alternative that can enhance the benefits to citizens, local governments, and private operators under the premise that the need to refurbish aging urban parks is high and the location is suitable for promoting the project. As a result of a pilot application of the Park-PFI project to Seyeong Park, an aging urban park located in Bupyeong-gu, Incheon, it was analyzed to be profitable in terms of the profitability index (PI), net present value (FNPV), and internal rate of return (FIRR). It is considered possible to participate in the business sector. At the local government level, private capital is used to improve the physical space environment of aging urban parks, as well as the refurbishment of the urban parks by utilizing financial resources generated by returning a portion of the facility usage fees and profits (0.5% of annual sales) of private operators. It was found that management budgets could be secured.

Community-based Helicobacter pylori Screening and its Effects on Eradication in Patients with Dyspepsia (지역사회에서 소화불량 환자의 Helicobacter pylori 감염에 대한 집단검진 및 치료효과)

  • Kim, Seong-Ho;Hong, Dae-Yong;Lee, Kyeong-Soo;Kim, Seok-Beom;Kim, Sang-Kyu;Suh, Jeong-Ill;Kim, Mee-Kyung;Kang, Pock-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.285-298
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    • 2000
  • Objectives : To investigate the positive rate of Helicobacter pylori in patients with dyspepsia; medical compliance and related factors; the eradication rate a year after screening and related factors; the relationship between the eradication of Helicobacter pylori and the improvement of symptoms; and the estimated cost of three alternative approaches to treat Helicobacter pylori in the community. Methods : A total of 510 subjects with dyspeptic symptoms were selected and given the serological test in March 1998. The subjects were all adults over 30 years of age residing in Kyongju city. Results : Of the 510 selected subjects, 375 (73.5%) subjects proved positive for Helicobacter pylori on serological testing. Of these 304 (81.1%) who consented to an endoscopic examination, underwent a Campylobacter-like organism (CLO) test. Of these 304 subjects, 204 (67.1%), who had positive CLO test results, were given the triple therapy - tripotassium dicitrato bismuthate, amoxicillin, and metronidazole. To determine the eradication rate of Helicobacter pylori, 181 (88.1%) out of the 204 subjects who were given the triple therapy completed a follow-up urea breath test one year later. Of these, the Helicobacter pylori of 87(48.1%) subjects was eradicated. Among the 122 subjects who were medication compliant, the Helicobacter pylori eradication rate was 57.4% (70 subjects), while the eradication rates was only 28.8% (17subjects) in the non-compliant group. The Helicobacter pylori eradication was significantly related to compliance (p<0.01), but not to other characteristics and habits. The symptom improvement rate tended to be higher 62.1%), in the Helicobacter pylori eradicated group than in the non-eradicated group (59.6%). Conclusions : When the advantages and disadvantages of each alternative treatment were considered in the light of cost, antibiotic tolerance and the number of patients to be treated, alternative II was favorable in terms of cost. Alternative III was favorable in terms of the number of patients to be treated, antibiotic tolerance and early detection of gastric cancer. Further long-term research analyzing the cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness of each treatment will be needed as supporting material in creating new policies.

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Accuracy Analysis of Network RTK Surveying for Cadastral Re-survey Project (지적재조사사업에서 Network RTK 측량의 적용 정확도 분석)

  • Park, Chun Soo;Park, Ki Heon;Hong, Sung Eon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this research is to suggest the reasonable method of Network RTK surveying in future cadastral re-survey project through the accuracy analysis about Network RTK surveying achievement and the conventional TS-based confirmation surveying. To achieve it, we selected the experiment places and succeeded in achieving the result by Network RTK surveying about total of 307 parcel boundary point. We compared it with the result of confirmation surveying for cadastral, and it was shown that total connection errors of RMSE was ${\pm}0.1028m$ and total 48 places exceeded in the cadastral re-survey allowable error tolerance. The research suggested the practical alternatives in cadastral re-survey project after the comprehensive evaluation of those analysis results. Therefore, the author suggested development and adoptation of integrated electronic plane table surveying method. Moreover, we suggested unifying the first parcel boundary point method into the total station surveying and adopt the Network RTK surveying on the cadastral surveying inspection.

Developments of Evaluation Expertise of Technology Innovation Program for Knowledge Economy by the Ministry of Knowledge Economy: The Case of the National IT Promotion Agency (지식경제 기술혁신사업의 평가 전문성 발전 방향: 정보통신산업진흥원 사례)

  • Yi, Chan-Goo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.331-364
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    • 2013
  • This work aims firstly to analyse the evaluation expertise in the National IT Industry Promotion Agency(NIPA) which is charge of funding and promoting R&D programs in the field of IT industry, a main part of 'Technology Innovation Program for Knowledge Economy' supported by the Ministry of Knowledge Economy. It will also discuss the policy means for improvement of the evaluation expertise of the NIPA. The results show that the evaluation system of the NIPA has been fair in stage of the selection of evaluators and the career management system of evaluators. But it will be necessary for improvement in stage of the surroundings supporting the expertise during evaluation practise. Therefore, in order to improve the evaluation expertise of the NIPA, I suggested and discussed 12 policy means in accordance with the short term perspective and long term one.

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A Theoretical Analysis on the Sharing of Circuit Breaker Replacement Costs by Power Providers: An Application of Sequential Equal Contributions Rule (발전사업자의 차단기 교체비용 분담에 대한 이론적 분석: 순차적 균등기여규칙의 활용)

  • Kwang-ho Kim
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.571-595
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    • 2022
  • This study theoretically analyzes the cost allocation of replacement costs that occur when existing operators have to replace circuit breakers due to the entry of new generators. We adopt the sequential equal contributions rule as the cost allocation rule, which is widely used in cost allocation problems in cooperative game theory. We derive various cost allocation plans based on several criteria and examine to what extent each alternative meets various desirable axioms. According to the analysis, (i) the alternative that excludes the cost of the new operator, residual value, and network operator and (ii) the alternative that excludes the cost of the new operator, residual value, and includes network operator are relatively superior to other schemes. We also identify a realistic plan by taking into account practical factors and analyze its axiomatic characteristics.

An Analysis of the Economic Effects on the Project to Construct Smart Network (스마트 네트워크 구축사업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Kim, Sa-Hyuk
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2011
  • The Smart Network Project is planned for achieving the Internet advanced country by adjusting the Government Future Internet Development as a national agenda. The future Internet is defined as diverse alternative technology and services that can provide optimal services for individual characteristic and situation in anywhere, anytime throughout convergence of communication, broadcasting, and computing to solve the current limitation of the Internet. This paper is to analyze the economic effects of the smart network build-up. For the economic effect analysis, we reclassified the smart network industry classification system and re-drew up 2011 Inter-industry Relations Table by using the Inter-industry Relations Table issued by the Bank of Korea and the RAS techniques. And we analyzed the economic effects that can be drawn from the investment of the smart network industry. As a result, the gross production inductive effect which appears with the economic effect of the smart network establishment project from 2011 to 2015 came out to be about 72 trillion 808.2 billion KW, added value inductive effect of 44 trillion 192.9 billion KW and the employment inductive effect of the job creation of about 412 thousands people. Afterward, it is anticipated that the smart network build-up project to contribute to the improvement of Koreans' daily life. Moreover, this research will be used as a valued basic material in the pursuit of the future network projects.

기술현황분석 - 기계산업 R&D 스톡 국제 비교와 시사점

  • Gwak, Gi-Ho;Kim, Jae-Yun
    • 기계와재료
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2011
  • R&D 투자 스톡은 요소 투입 주도의 산업 경제 성장에서 총요소생산성 증가에 의한 기술혁신 주도의 성장으로 전환하는데 결정적인 역할을 하는 요소로, 그간 학계에서 폭넓은 논의가 이루어지고 있다. 본 고에서는 국내 최초로 기계산업의 R&D 투자 스톡을 주요국과 비교 분석하고, R&D 투자 스톡을 높이기 위한 정책적 대안을 제시하고자 하였다. 분석결과 기계산업의 R&D 투자 스톡은 2008년 현재 약 44.6억 달러로 추계되어 기계산업 수출 상위 10대 국가 중 가장 낮은 수준으로 나타났으며, 특히 미국, 독일, 일본 등 기계산업 세계 수출 시장 상위 3개국과의 R&D 투자 스톡은 점차 확대되고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 기계산업의 R&D 투자 스톡을 증대하기 위한 방안으로 기계분야의 국가 R&D 사업 확대와 함께, 보유 기술 및 특허의 활용 촉진 지원 R&D 시차를 단축하기 위한 시제품 테스트 베드 구축 및 관련 제도 개선을 제시하였다.

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Analysis of the Medication Adherence of Hypertensives and Influential Factors (고혈압 환자의 투약순응도와 이에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Mi-Ae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.207-209
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 행정자료인 건강보험 및 의료급여비용 청구자료를 이용하였으며, 일개지역(2개도, 남북)에 개설되어있는 전체 의료기관을 대상으로 진료일 기준 '08.7월~'08.12월(184일)동안 외래 방문이 1회 이상인 30세 이상의 수진자 432,915명을 대상으로 하였다. 투약순응도와 영향 요인을 분석하였다. 투약순응도에 영향을 미치는 요인으로는 남성, 55~64세, 건강보험 가입자가, 종합전문, 종합병원, 보건기관을 주 이용기관으로 방문하는 환자와 심장질환, 당뇨병을 동반상병으로 가지고 있는 환자에서 투약순응도가 높았다. 본 연구 결과 투약 순응도가 낮은 환자에 대한 다양한 요인분석이 필요하며, 투약 순응도를 높이기 위한 고혈압관리사업의 정책적 검토 및 대안이 필요할 것이다.

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