• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사례기반

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Assessment of ECMWF's seasonal weather forecasting skill and Its applicability across South Korean catchments (ECMWF 계절 기상 전망 기술의 정확성 및 국내 유역단위 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Yong Shin;Kang, Shin Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.529-541
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    • 2023
  • Due to the growing concern over forecasting extreme weather events such as droughts caused by climate change, there has been a rising interest in seasonal meteorological forecasts that offer ensemble predictions for the upcoming seven months. Nonetheless, limited research has been conducted in South Korea, particularly in assessing their effectiveness at the catchment-scale. In this study, we assessed the accuracy of ECMWF's seasonal forecasts (including precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration) for the period of 2011 to 2020. We focused on 12 multi-purpose reservoir catchments and compared the forecasts to climatology data. Continuous Ranked Probability Skill Score method is adopted to assess the forecast skill, and the linear scaling method was applied to evaluate its impact. The results showed that while the seasonal meteorological forecasts have similar skill to climatology for one month ahead, the skill decreased significantly as the forecast lead time increased. Compared to the climatology, better results were obtained in the Wet season than the Dry season. In particular, during the Wet seasons of the dry years (2015, 2017), the seasonal meteorological forecasts showed the highest skill for all lead times.

Development of Verification Method for ADCP (ADCP 유량 측정기기의 검정 방안 개발)

  • Noel Kang;Chi Young Kim;Kyung Min Kang;Yo Han Cho;Chang-Hwan Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.305-305
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    • 2023
  • 수문조사기기 검정은 강수량, 수위, 유량 등과 같은 수문자료를 관측하는 수문조사기기가 대상지역의 수문상황을 정확하게 관측하는지를 검사하는 일련의 과정으로 「수자원의 조사 계획 및 관리에 관한 법률」 제12조에 법적 기반을 두고 있다. 검정 대상은 강수량, 수위, 유속, 유사량, 토양수분량, 증발산량, 증발량 측정기기 총 7종이며, 환경부장관으로부터 한강홍수통제소가 검정업무를 위임받고, 한국건설기술연구원과 한국수자원조사기술원이 위탁받아 운영중에 있다. 최근에는 증발산량, 토양수분량 및 유량 측정기기기 등이 첨단화되어 기존 검정 방식에 대한보완 및 신설에 대한 요구가 증가하고 있다. 특히, 유량 측정시 기존에 사용하였던 회전식 유속계는 ADCP(Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler) 유량측정기기로 대체되어 활용률이 2013년 24%에서2021년 67%로 약 2.8배 급격히 증가하였다. 하지만 수문조사기기 검정 관련 고시 내 ADCP에 대한검사방법 및 허용오차 등의 규정이 부재하여 수문조사기기의 검정 공백이 발생하는 등의 문제가 존재하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 ADCP 운영 및 기술 현황, 현행 법령, 국외 사례 등을 검토하여 ADCP 유량측정기기의 검사방법 및 허용오차에 대한 방안을 제시하고자 한다. ADCP 검사방법은 총 5단계로 외관검사, 자가진단 검사, 온도센서 검사, 수심측정 검사, 유량비교측정 검사에 따라 검정을 실시한다. 첫 번째 외관검사시에는 기기 외관과 센서 등 물리적 손상을 점검하고, 두 번째 자가진단 검사에서는 센서 변환 매트릭스 값, 수신부 센서 테스트, RAM/ROM 테스트, 통신 테스트 등에 관한 정상값 산출 여부를 확인한다. 세 번째 온도센서 검사에서는 검증용 온도센서를 이용한 값과 ADCP에 부착된 온도센서 값과 차이를 확인하고 ±2℃초과시 재검사 또는 적절한 조치를 취한 후 다음 단계의 검사를 진행한다. 네 번째 수심측정 검사에서는 수조 내 수심 측정을 확인하여 실제 수심과의 오차를 확인하고 ±1% 초과시 재검사 또는 적절한 조치 후 다음 검사를 실시한다. 유량비교 측정검사에서는 각 기기 간의 평균유량의 상대오차를 평가하는 것으로 ±5%미만에는 합격, ±5이상 ±10%미만에서는 재검사, ±10%이상에서는 공장수리를 권고하도록 하고, 1~5 단계의 검사를 통과한 기기를 대상으로 인증서를 발급하도록 한다. 유량비교 측정검사시에는 매년 ADCP를 사용하는 일반기업 및 공공기관 등이 모여 ADCP의 성능을 상호간 비교하는 'ADCP 기술협력 워크숍'을 확장하여 실시할 수 있다. 각 검사 단계의 허용오차는 USGS 또는 제조사 기준과 2022년 ADCP 기술협력 워크숍 성능검사 분석 결과를 토대로 하였다. 본 ADCP 검정 방안은 향후 ADCP 모델별로 단계별 시범 검토를 통해 세부사항에 대한 제시가 필요하며, 온도센서 검사, 수심측정 검사, 유량 비교측정검사에 대한 허용오차에 대한 타당성에대한 검증 및 검토가 이루어져야 할 것으로 사료된다.

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Projection of Temporal and Spatial Precipitation Characteristic Change in Urban Area according to Extreme Indices (극한기후 지수에 따른 도시지역의 시공간적 강우 특성 변화 전망)

  • Soo Jin Moon;In Hee Yeo;Ji Hoon Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.316-316
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    • 2023
  • 2022년 8월 수도권 이상폭우로 인해 서울 도심지역의 지하시설, 도로, 주택 등에 침수가 발생하면서 인명 및 재산피해가 발생하였으며, 특히 동서로 가로지르는 정체전선으로 좁고 긴 비구름이 집중되면서 국지적으로 피해가 집중되었다. 서울시의 경우 도시화에 따른 불투수지역 증가 및 내수배제 불량에 따른 빗물 역류로 인한 피해가 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며, 최근에는 기후변화에 따른 방재성능목표 강우량을 초과하는 빈도의 이상폭우로 인해 하천범람과 내수배제 불량에 따른 복합적인 원인으로 침수피해 가중되고 있는 실정이다. 또한 서울시의 경우 전체 자연적, 사회적, 경제적, 환경적 요인 등의 지역적 편차가 매우 큰 도시로 지형적인 특성뿐만 아니라 취약시설(병원, 학교 등), 수방시설물(하천, 배수시설, 빗물펌프장 등) 및 방재시설(대피소, 구호소 등) 밀도 등에 따른 침수 취약성 및 위험성 등의 편차가 매우 크기 때문에 지역특성에 대한 피해사례가 다원화 되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상의 종관기상관측(ASOS)과 서울시 자치구별 20년 이상의 방재기상관측(AWS)자료를 기반으로 CMIP6 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회 경제경로)시나리오에 따른 극한기후 지수(강수강도, 호우일수, 지속기간, 1일 최대강수량, 95퍼센타일 강수일수 등)에 대한 재현성을 평가하고 공간자기상관분석 등 시공간적인 강우특성에 대한 변화를 전망하였다. 특히 여름철 강우의 경우 자치구별 편차가 크게 나타났고 이를 통해 대도시의 도심지역의 경우 세분화하여 지역의 정확한 강우특성을 파악하는 것이 필요하다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과는 도심지의 방재성능 초과강우 정의와 기준을 수립하고, 장기적인 수자원 및 도시계획 차원의 대책을 마련하는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 기후위기에 따른 기록적인 호우(지역별 방재성능을 초과하는 강우)에 따른 재해는 구조적인 대책을 통해 모두 저감할 수 없는 한계가 있다. 하지만 인명피해를 최소화하는 것을 목표로 기후위기에 대한 적응단계로 인식하고 수리·수문학적, 사회경제학적 등 지역특성에 따른 방재성능목표 강우량에 대한 재검토와 더불어 법제도(풍수해보험, 저류조설치 의무화 등), 개인별 재해예방, 취약계층 안전망 확보, 반지하주택 침수안전대책, 재해지도 개선 등 구조적/비구조적인 대책을 통합 수립 및 보완하는 것이 필요한 시점이다.

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The Context and Reality of Memes as Information Resources: Focused on Analysis of Research Trends in South Korea (정보자원으로서 '밈'의 맥락과 실재 - 국내 연구동향 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Soram Hong
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.227-253
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    • 2023
  • The study is a preliminary study to conceptualize memes as information resources for literacy education in information environment changed with digital revolution. The study is to explain the context and reality of memes in order to promote the utilization of memes as information resources. The research questions are as follows: First, what topics are 'memes' studied with? Second, what things are captured and studied as 'memes'? The study conducted frequency and co-occurrence network analysis on 145 domestic studies and contents analysis on 73 domestic studies. The results are as follows: First, memes were mainly studied in the fields of 'humanities', 'social sciences', 'interdiciplinary studies', and 'arts and kinesiology'. Studies based on Dawkins' concept of memes (around 2012), studies on introducing the concept of memes to explain the spread of Korean Wave content (around 2015), and independent studies of memes as a major research topic in cultural sociology (around 2019) were performed. Second, memes are linguistic. Language memes (L-memes) are 102 (37%), language-visual memes (LV-memes) are 23 (8%), language-visual-musical memes (LVM-memes) are 21 (8%). Keyword 'language meme' ranked high in frequency, degree centrality and betweenness centrality of co-occurrence network. In other words, memes are expanding as a unique information phenomenon of cultural sociology based on linguistic characteristics. It is necessary to conceptualize meme literacy in terms of information literacy.

Strategy and Technology for Digital Transformation of Design and Construction of RC Structures (철근콘크리트골조 설계와 현장관리 디지털전환 전략과 기술개발)

  • Chee Kyeong Kim
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 2023
  • This paper presents a conceptual strategy and technologies for the digital transformation of design and construction of reinforced concrete (RC) structures. The development of an automated detail design strategy for RC structures is described. Integrated digital platform based on 5D BIM concept is proposed for the replacement of the current technology environment-based 2D CAD. Generally, the detail design development is labor-intensive and iterative. Effective automation of relevant aspects can dramatically improve productivity and accuracy. The proposed solutions for the automated BIM modeling based on the rebar and formwork detail design automation achieves the productivity and accuracy sufficient for site application. The platform integrates and manages the information flow between each solution or application and provides it to all participants of the project. Finally, it is expected that the proposed strategy and technologies can be further enhanced to achieve the productivity and accuracy needed for widespread site application and digital transformation.

Design and Implementation of Economical Smart Wall Switch with IEEE 802.11b/g/n

  • Myeong-Chul Park;Hyoun-Chul Choi;Cha-Hun Park
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a smart wall switch based on IEEE 802.11b/g/n standard 2.4GHz band communication. As the 4th industrial era evolves, smart home solution development is actively underway, and application cases for smart wall switches are increasing. Most of the Chinese products that preoccupy the market through price competitiveness use Bluetooth and Zigbee communication switches. However, while ZigBee communication is low power, communication speed is slower than Bluetooth and network configuration through a separate hub is additionally required. The Bluetooth method has problems in that the communication range and speed are lower than Wi-Fi communication, the communication standby time is relatively long, and security is weak. In this study, an IEEE 802.11b/g/n smart wall switch applied with Wi-Fi communication technology was developed. In addition, through the two-wire structure, it is designed so that no additional cost is incurred through the construction of a separate neutral line in the building. The result of the study is more than 30% cheaper than the existing wall switch, so it is judged that it will be able to preoccupy the market not only in terms of technological competitiveness but also price competitiveness.

Characteristics of Process-Focused Assessment in Science Classes from the Research Middle School Reports (연구학교 보고서에 나타난 중학교 과학과 과정중심평가의 특징)

  • Jong-Hee Kim;Jee-young Park;Nan Sook Yu;Min-Seon Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Earth Science Education
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.182-195
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze reports from research middle schools based on the criteria for process-focused assessment to find out how the characteristics of process-focused assessment were being implemented in middle school science classes. The analysis criteria for the characteristics of process-focused assessment (integration of lessons and assessments, evaluation elements and methods, content and timing of feedback, and learner growth management) were extracted. Using the analysis framework, the result reports of seven research middle schools for process-focused assessment were analyzed. In terms of integration of lessons and assessments, when the process-focused assessment was operated, the class and evaluation plan were well implemented based on the curriculum achievement standards, but the process-focused assessment was recognized as a performance evaluation. In terms of evaluation elements and methods, the evaluation element for knowledge was the main component, and competency was presented in the planning stage, but competency was not dealt with in class execution. The evaluation method was biased toward teacher-centered observation evaluation and written test, and the setting of scoring criteria for each evaluation element was insufficient. In terms of the content and timing of feedback, feedback was mainly provided based on achievement confirmation, but no case was found in which scaffolding was provided at an appropriate time for insufficient parts in the learning process. In terms of the learner's growth management, the competencies cultivated through science classes were included in the detailed subject specialties of the school record. However, little was shown in the report on how to systematically manage the process of developing learners' competencies and reflect the evaluation results to teachers' class improvement.

Regional Asymmetries and Development Cooperation in MERCOSUR (남미공동시장의 역내 비대칭성과 지역개발협력)

  • Hyun, Min
    • Iberoamérica
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.57-105
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    • 2019
  • This paper deals with the regional asymmetries of MERCOSUR and regional development cooperation for its solution. Through the formation of a common market, the countries of Southern Cone expected to grow evenly. However MERCOSUR had structural asymmetry from the beginning and exposed policy asymmetry over time. It is basically due to the overwhelming influences of Brazil on MERCOSUR. With regard to asymmetries, Paraguay calls for special and differential treatment. Uruguay wants equitable application of market liberalization. Argentine emphasizes production integration based on the development of value chains. In the issue of asymmetries, while Paraguay, Uruguay and Argentine act as petitioners, Brazil is capable of selecting the initiatives. Under these circumstances MERCOSUR has established FOCEM as regional redistribution mechanism. FOCEM has achieved some results as seen in Paraguay, but there are still problems such as financial limitations and lack of enforcement. In oder to activate the redistributive mechanism for regional integration and to coordinate the policies to resolve regional disparities, transnational governance is essential but all member countries are reluctant to it. To date, regional asymmetries or development gaps have persisted and disparities in individual countries remains a problem.

On Building the Solar Dataset Form using the Kaggle Platform: The applicability of Machine Learning (캐글 플랫폼 활용한 태양광 데이터셋 형태 구축: 머신 러닝의 적용 가능성)

  • Ko, Ju-won;Park, Jung-jin;Park, Jin-woo;Oh, Do-hee;Kim, Mincheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.255-258
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    • 2022
  • As environmental pollution continues, attention on renewable energy is on the constant rise in recent days. Although various kinds of renewable energy such as solar, wind power and biomass energy have been generated in Jeju, opening and analyzing cases on related data seem insufficient. Therefore, this study is being conducted to deduce the variables which have high relation with solar panel&s output and to understand machine learning methods that can be applied to solar power generation data by utilizing Kaggle platform, which is actively used by a number of scientists. Then, it is planned to propose a form of solar power generation dataset by researching machine learning methods that could be applied to the data. To be specific, analyzing solar power generation data with the Kaggle platform, this study will provide complements on gathering solar power data in Jeju. This study is anticipated to be utilized on data analysis for developing the solar power industry in Jeju. That is, this study is expected to reveal the room for improvement inherent in existing open datasets in Jeju, so that they could be constructed in a suitable form for machine learning for AI analytics. Through this process, a method to increase efficiency of solar power generation is anticipated to be prepared.

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A Study on the Erosion and Retreat of Sea-Cliff through the Multi-temporal Aerial Photograph Data and Field Survey: The Case Study of Taean Peninsula, Korea (다중시기 항공사진과 현장조사를 통한 해안침식 변화 연구: 태안반도를 사례로)

  • WOO, Han-byol;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the volume of shoreline retreat at sea-cliffs in the Taean peninsula(West Coast of Korea) was estimated and their erosion and seasonal landforms characteristics changes were investigated through multi-temporal aerial photographs and field survey. Based on the analysis of aerial photographs through ortho-correction, the results show that the length of shoreline and erosion area increase as erosion at sea-cliffs occurs in Pado-li and Dundu-li. To obtain the seasonal quantitative landforms changes and retreat of sea-cliffs, we marked top, middle, and bottom datum-points, from which the distance to the nearest bedrock was repeatedly measured. In these regions, the retreat of sea-cliffs gradually increases in spring to summer, but gradually decreases in autumn. In particular, the typhoon that has a great influence on the Korean peninsula in July to September in summer would drastically increase the retreat of sea-cliffs in comparison with other seasons. As the outcrop of sea-cliffs repeats freezing and thawing in winter, the retreat of sea-cliffs increases a little due to active mechanical weathering. To know the erosion and seasonal landforms changes of sea-cliffs, we took pictures of them in every month and then analyze their condition. The retreat of sea-cliffs was repeatedly occurred by the circulation of the erosion of sea-cliff base, landslides, the formation of slope sediment debris and their erosion, in that order.