• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.8-8
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• 2018

전통적인 빈도해석은 정상성 가정을 기초로 단일 확률분포를 강우 및 홍수량 자료에 적용하는 과정을 통해 확률수문량을 추정하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 그러나 전지구적인 기상학적 변동성 및 기후변화로 기인하는 극치수문량의 발생 빈도 및 양적 크기의 변화는 확률통계학적 관점에서 서로 다른 분포특성을 가지게 된다. 대표적인 기상변동성인 엘니뇨가 발생하는 경우 지역에 따라 홍수 및 가뭄이 발생 발생하게 되며, 이러한 극치수문량은 일반적으로 나타나는 홍수 및 가뭄의 분포특성과는 상이한 경우가 많다. 즉, 2개 이상의 확률분포 특성이 혼재된 혼합분포의 특성을 가지는 경우가 나타내게 되며 이를 고려한 빈도해석 기법의 개발 및 적용이 필요하다. 혼합분포를 활용한 빈도해석에서 가장 중요한 사항 중에 하나는 개별 분포에 적용되는 가중치를 추정하는 것으로서 통계학적 관점에서 자료의 특성에 근거하여 내재되어 있는 은닉상태(latent process)를 추정하는 과정과 유사하다. 이와 더불어 앞서 언급된 기상학적 변동성을 빈도해석에 반영하기 위한 비정상성 해석기법의 개발 및 적용도 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 혼합분포를 활용한 비정상성빈도해석모형을 개발하는데 목적이 있으며 개별매개변수의 동적거동 뿐만 아니라 가중치에 대한 시간적인 종속성도 고려할 수 있는 모형으로 동적모형으로 다양한 실험적 해석이 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 모형을 기반으로 엘니뇨와 같은 기상변동성에 따른 강우 및 홍수빈도해석 측면에서 은닉상태에 변화, 이로 인한 확률분포의 특성 및 설계수문량의 동적변동성을 평가하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.31-34
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• 2012

Numerical simulations of the steady and unsteady state were conducted for a coaxial swirl injector with Kerosene fuel. Non-premixed equilibrium model based on chemical equilibrium assumption was used as turbulence-chemistry interaction model. As an equations of state, SRK(Soave-Redlich-Kwong) EOS was applied to deal with the behavior of real fluid in a high pressure condition. Through the steady and unsteady computations, mean values of steady and time-averaged unsteady state were compared on the temperature and OH mass fraction and it was shown that the flame structure of steady state was different to that of time-averaged unsteady state.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.121-130
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• 2009

An unsteady numerical simulation method for an autorotating rotor in forward flight was developed. The flapping and rotational equations of motion of autorotation are continuously integrated for given time steps, meanwhile the induced velocity field at disc plane is obtained by the dynamic inflow theory embodying the unteadiness. The transitions from arbitrary initial states to equilibrium states were simulated. Steady autorotations as numerical solutions of equations were predicted by using two sources of blade airfoil data. The simulations using airfoil data which were obtained by a two dimensional Navier-Stokes solver in terms of angles of attack and Reynolds numbers have shown good agreements with wind tunnel experimental results.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.9-18
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• 1996

This paper describes a potential-based panel method for the prediction of unsteady performance of a marine propeller operating in a non-uniform flow field. Boundary-value problem, formulated by distributing the normal dipoles and sources on the blade, the hub and the shed wake, is descretized and numerically analyzed in a discretized time domain. Through an extensive test and comparison with the analytic solution, the convergence in time step is verified for a two-dimensional foil. Unsteaty analysis is then carried out for the DTRC 4118 propeller operating in a harmonic wake, and compared favorably with the experimental result. The present method is shown applicable to the analysis of unsteady performance of the propellers.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.10
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• pp.657-669
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• 2019

To estimate accurate design quantiles considering statistical characteristics of hydrological data is one of the most important procedures in the design of hydraulic structures. While at-site frequency analysis estimates design quantile using observed data at a site of interest, regional frequency analysis (RFA) utilizes a number of sites included in a hydrologically homogeneous region. Therefore, RFA could provide a more accurate design quantile at ungauged site or sites with short observation period. In this review article, RFA is classified into stationary RFA and nonstationary RFA depending on the characteristic of hydrological data, and the basic concept, procedure, and application of each technique are explained in detail focused on the index flood method. Additionally, a review of the state of the art for RFA procedure is presented. This paper is finalized by describing the stationary regional rainfall frequency analysis over South Korea contained in the amendment of "Standard guidelines for design flood estimation" and various future study topics related to nonstationary RFA.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.14-25
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• 1998

This paper describes the numerical modelling for the steady and unsteady forces of 3-D wings flying near the free surface based on a potential based panel method. For the steady problem where a wing flies over the fixed float surface, steady lift and drag forces are calculated for wings with and without end-plates having different sections, angle of attacks, aspect patios and flying heights. These numerical results are compared with the wind tunnel test results. The unsteady problem is treated as a boundary value one where a wing flies over the described wavy surface. The unsteady lift force variations of a wing due to different wave lengths and heights are calculated at different flying heights.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.45 no.1
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• pp.1-9
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• 2017

In this paper, we present and verify an aerodynamic reduced-order model (ROM) based on a quasi-steady flow method to reduce the computational cost of supersonic aeroelastic analysis. For supersonic flows, especially when the characteristic time scale of the flow is small compared to that of the structural motion, the unsteadiness of flow can be negligible, and quasi-steady solutions can be used instead of the unsteady solutions for the aeroelastic analysis. Kriging method is used to build the ROM of the aerodynamics. The surface solutions from the ROM are used as the boundary conditions for the structural analysis at each time-step. The ROM is validated against the unsteady solutions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.298-298
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• 2016

최근 기후변화의 영향으로 시간에 따라 자료 및 통계적 특성이 변하는 비정상성이 다양한 수문자료에서 관측됨에 따라 비정상성 빈도해석에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 비정상성 빈도해석에 사용되는 비정상성 확률 모형은 기존의 매개변수를 시간에 따라 변하는 공변량이 포함된 함수의 형태로 나타내기 때문에, 정상성 확률 모형에 비해 매개변수의 개수가 많으며 복잡한 형태를 가지게 된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 비정상성 고려 시 모형이 복잡해짐에 따라 매개변수 및 확률 수문량의 불확실성이 어떻게 변하는지 알아보고자 하였다. 베이지안 방법은 매개변수 추정 및 확률 수문량의 산정 뿐 아니라 이에 대한 불확실성을 정량화할 수 있는 방법 중 하나이다. 따라서 베이지안 방법에서 매개변수 추정에 주로 쓰이는 Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) 방법 중 하나인 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 이용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 GEV모형에 대한 매개변수 및 확률수문량의 사후분포를 산정하였다. 산정된 사후분포의 사후구간을 통해 각 모형의 불확실성을 정량화하였으며, 계산된 불확실성의 비교를 통해 모형의 복잡성이 불확실성에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.1-5
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• 2006

Birds and insect in nature morph their mean camberline shapes to obtain both lift and thrust simultaneously. Previous unsteady thin airfoil theories were derived mainly for a rigid flapping airfoil. An extended unsteady thin airfoil theory for a deformable airfoil is required to analyze the unsteady two-dimensional aerodynamic characteristics of a biomorphing wing. Theodorsen's approach is extended to calculate the unsteady aerodynamic characteristics of a biomorphing airfoil. The mean camberline of the airfoil is represented as a polynomial. The unsteady aerodynamic characteristics of the morphing airfoil are represented as noncirculatory and circulatory terms. Present theory can be applied to the unsteady aerodynamic analysis of a flapping biomorphing airfoil and the aeroelastic analysis of a morphing wing.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.221-226
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• 2008

A typical unsteady internal ballistic analysis model was proposed to take account the erosive burning with the variance of local velocity and pressure along grain surface to the axis of a solid rocket combustor. The model introduced in this study showed good agreements with the results of previous research. It was investigated that the combustion pressure, grain length, initial temperature, and vaporization temperature of propellant affect on the erosive burning.