• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.1024-1029
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• 2002

우리나라 국민은 그간 건전한 레저활동의 비활성화로 인해 고스톱 등의 도박에 노출될 기회가 않았다. 또한 2000년에는 강원랜드 카지노가 출범하였으며, 월드컵복권 등의 각종 복권산업도 활성화되고 있다. 이는 현재 우리나라의 도박 산업이 새로운 전기를 맞고 있다고 볼 수 있으며, 향후 도박인구의 증가와 도박의 생활 근접성을 예측할 수 있다. 그러나 도박 산업은 그로부터 발생하는 수입과 동시에 각종 사회적 폐해가 공존하고 있다는 것은 주지의 사실이다. 따라서 도박산업의 건전한 발전을 위해서는 이로 인해 사회적인 편익과 비용을 분석할 필요가 있으며 또한 이를 근거로 피해를 감소할 수 있는 효과적인 방법을 연구해야 한다. 그러나 도박으로 인한 비용과 혜택의 추정은 발생요인의 다양성과 추상성 때문에 정확한 집계가 없었으며, 따라서 본 연구에서는 이렇게 다양하고 추상적인 도박 산업의 사회적 비용과 혜택을 계량화하기 위한 방법론을 제시하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.113-122
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• 2008

This study extended Park et al.(2007c), which analyzed the efficiency of a hierarchical transit network, showed the result of a real data, and analyzed its applicability. Operating cost was estimated using a model which was established in this study, and minimum transit demand was derived from the operating cost. The minimum transit demand value is just a sample calculation, thus it varies by many inside and outside factors of the model. Looking at the inside of the model, operating cost and travel speed are major factors, and the possibility of introducing urban subway becomes high when the operating cost of the transit system is low and its travel speed is high. As far as the outside factors are concerned, according to the analysis on the network structure, transit demand, and transit mode share, the minimum transit demand value which was derived in this study will be the maximum value among the possible values. In the feasibility study, the benefit is likely to be overestimated and the cost is likely to be underestimated than those of this study. It could be concluded that the methodology of a feasibility study is appropriate in the field standard. This study analyzed the efficiency of introduction of urban subway using analytical approach, thus has many shortcomings and limitations. However the practical approach, like feasibility study, has some limitations as well. This study could be a basis on establishing an analysis framework that is more accurate and reasonable by comparing analytical approach and practical approach.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.63-88
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• 2006

본 연구는 기업가치를 측정하기 위해서 활용될 수 있는 두 가지의 새로운 모형을 개발하였다. 두 가지 모형은 모두 자산가치와 수익가치의 가중평균으로 기업의 본질가치를 표현할 수 있다는데 공통적인 특징이 있다. 첫째 모형은 도산확률 하의 세후 기업가치 가중평균모형이다. 현금흐름할인법으로 알려진 전체기업가치 평가방법론(entity approach)에 기초한 기업가치 평가모형인 이원흠 최수미(2002)의 지식자산가치 평가모형 및 이원흠 최수미(2004)의 가중평균 가치평가모형으로부터 도산확률 하의 세후 가중평균 기업가치 평가모형을 도출하였다. 이 모형은 기업가치는 수익가치 및 실물자산의 가치와 지급이자의 절세효과, 예상도산비용 등 4부분으로 구성된다는 것을 보여 주고 있다. 둘째 모형은 이익조정에 의한 비정상발생액을 감안한 기업가치 가중평균모형이다. 회계학 분야에 주로 발전한 발생액을 고려한 이익의 질(quality of earnings)을 기업가치 측면에서 평가할 수 있는 새로운 모형이다. 이익의 질을 고려한 기업가치 평가모형도 첫째 모형의 도출논리에 의거하여 세후 혹은 도산확률 하의 세후 기업가치 평가모형으로 확장할 수 있다. 새로이 개발된 가중평균 가치평가모형을 통해 추정한 수익가치와 자산가치의 가중치, 가중평균자본비용 등의 정보는 상장주식의 목표가격 평가, 투자등급 판정 등에 활용될 수 있을 뿐만 아니라, 신규상장주식의 공모가, 비상장기업의 합병가액산정, 지주회사의 가치평가 등 비상장기업의 가치평가 분야에 광범위하게 응용될 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.59-103
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to estimate the effectiveness of vocational training for the unemployed. The results show that the unemployed who received vocational training commended better performances than those unemployed without any vocational training in respect to the duration of job-seeking period and the success rate of obtaining a job, however no significant change can be found in their wage level after holding a job between the two groups. It can be seen from the cost-benefit analysis, although the trained unemployed show better performance than the untrained unemployed, those that were trained by the Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry(KCCI) do not show better performance than those that were trained through a private vocational train school since the training cost is much higher in the KCCI.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.224-239
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• 2018

Autonomous vehicles can significantly reduce accidents due to 'driver's carelessness', which occupies the majority of causes for traffic accidents, but they may fail to avoid traffic accidents due to unexpected situations, such as "trolley dilemma", vehicle defects and road defects. Therefore in situations Autonomous vehicles need to be made ethical choices. This study assumes that Autonomous vehicles can not avoid traffic accidents due to unexpected sink holes. In this situation, the traffic accident costs was analyzed for the ethical choices of Autonomous vehicles. In the process, Autonomous vehicles were made to choose one of three ethical choices : (1) Egoism with priority on passenger safety, (2) Deontology for minimizing human damages, (3) Utilitarianism with minimizing traffic accident costs. As a result of the analysis, egoism had the highest traffic accident costs, and deontology for minimizing human damages had the lowest traffic accident costs.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.15-21
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• 2007

This paper proposes an improved methodology for estimating traffic accident cost savings in the transport appraisal. Four major problems from the existing framework are identified and their alternatives are suggested. First, casualties in the established approach are classified by just two types of 'killed' and 'injured'. This study supplies the indices of fatality further details. Namely, road victims are regrouped by 'killed', 'seriously injured', 'slightly injured', and 'accident reports'. Those of railways are similarly sorted by 'killed', 'seriously injured', and 'slightly injured'. Second, damage only accidents are not satisfactorily considered in the current arrangement. The accidents should be considered as one of the accident types and the social cost of them should also be evaluated. Third, the unit cost of accidents is given by the total value. The unit cost is consisted of several elements and each loss would be useful for a policy frame. This study breaks down the total figure into four pieces of costs, namely production loss, medical treatment, property loss, and administrative costs. Finally, there is inconsistency in the audit between roads and railways. Road accidents are analyzed by road types. On the other hand, patronage or others is the classification rule of rail accident costs. This paper suggests a way that the accident costs of two modes can be coherently estimated based on the level of services by each mode. The result of this study is expected to help frame more cautious social overhead capital investment policies.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.19 no.12
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• pp.717-724
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• 2018

To prepare for the explosive increase in maintenance costs of bridges according to the aging of infrastructure, future maintenance costs of bridges should be predicted. For this purpose, the management status of bridges was investigated and modeled as the upper limit of the performance level and the target management level according to the life cycle. This paper proposes methodologies and procedures for estimating the bridge maintenance costs using two models and existing cost and performance prediction models that consist of unit repair cost model according to the safety score, performance degradation model of bridges, unit reconstruction cost, and average reconstruction time. To verify the applicability, future maintenance costs can be forecasted for specific management agency considering the number of bridges, degree of aging, and current management status. As a result, it is possible to obtain the maintenance cost and safety level of an individual bridge level for each year. In addition, by summing them up to the agency level, the average safety score, ratio of the safety level, inspection costs, repair costs, and reconstruction costs can be obtained. In a further study, the changes in maintenance costs can be analyzed according to the changes in the target management levels using the developed method. The optimal management level can be suggested by reviewing the results.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.83-109
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• 2007

This study evaluates citizen's willingness-to-pay for the benefits from improved water quality of the Taehwa river in Ulsan, Korea, using a contingent valuation method with double-bounded dichotomous choice. The estimation results of the bivariate probit model shows the amounts of willingness-to-pay are monthly 3,458.5 Korean Won per household and yearly 14,760 million Korean Won for total households in Ulsan, Korea. These estimates are equivalent to the social values of improved water quality of the Taehwa river. This study also tests the inter-dependence between two answers, which may occur in the responses of the questions for the double-bounded dichotomous choice, and all the null hypotheses on the inter-dependence are rejected in this study.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.520-530
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• 2015

This paper formulates the methodologies to estimate optimal congestion tolls from long-run and short-run perspectives and applies them to the highways of Seoul. An optimal long-run congestion toll is estimated with an optimal volume-capacity-ratio to minimize the total costs which consist of two components: road construction and maintenance costs and traveler costs. By contrast, an optimal short-run congestion toll is estimated with a supply-demand equilibrium which is determined by using a speed-flow function and a disaggregate modal choice model. The results of a long-run analysis for the Seobu urban expressway suggest the optimal volume-capacity-ratio of 1.35 and the optimal congestion toll of 503 Won per automobile kilometer. By contrast, those of a short-run analysis for the Mia-ro urban arterial suggest 1.31 and 420 Won, respectively. Although our results are to some degree dependent on the interest rate and time value assumed, one basic conclusion holds up: the congestions toll tested could generate substantial gains in social welfare if applied to Seoul.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.133-146
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• 2023

Traffic states in urban areas are essential to implement effective traffic operation and traffic control. However, installing traffic sensors on numerous road sections is extremely expensive. Accordingly, estimating the traffic state using a vehicle-mounted camera, which shows a high penetration rate, is a more effective solution. However, the previously proposed methodology using object tracking or optical flow has a high computational cost and requires consecutive frames to obtain traffic states. Accordingly, we propose a method to detect vehicles and lanes by object detection networks and set the region between lanes as a region of interest to estimate the traffic density of the corresponding area. The proposed method only uses less computationally expensive object detection models and can estimate traffic states from sampled frames rather than consecutive frames. In addition, the traffic density estimation accuracy was over 90% on the black box videos collected from two buses having different characteristics.