• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.368-368
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• 2020

최근 초대형화 되어 나타나고 있는 이상홍수와 지진 등에 의한 저수지 붕괴와 같은 대규모 비상상황 발생으로 하류지역 주민의 생명과 재산의 피해가 발생하고 있다. 국내의 경우 1996년 이후로 지속적으로 발생하고 있는 이상홍수로 인해 1998년에는 40개,1999년에는 5개의 소규모 저수지가 붕괴되었으며 최근 2013년과 2014년에도 저수지가 붕괴되는 상황이 발생했다. 댐붕괴의 원인은 구조물의 자연적 노화, 극심한 강우나 홍수, 지진, 제체전도, 파이핑, 침윤발생, 월류 및 파랑 등에 의한 자연적 상황 등이 요인이 될 수 있으며, 시공결함, 사고 또는 전쟁과 같은 인위적인 요인으로 발생할 수도 있다. 과거에 설계 및 시공기술이 부족하였거나 경제적인 이유로 부실하게 건설되어 있는 댐이 세계적으로 산재되어 있어 잠재적인 위험을 상당수 내재하고 있는 실정이다. 본연구는 댐의 점진적인 파괴에 의해 발생하는 유출수문곡선을 구하고 파괴의 성질을 예측 및 홍수파를 수리학적으로 추적하기위해 BREACH 모형과 DAMBRK 모형을 사용했으며 극한홍수(PMF)조건과와 최대지진발생(MCE)조건을 적용하여 원주시 관내 저수지 붕괴 모의 시나리오를 구축했다. 저수지 붕괴에 따른 유출수문곡선을 유도하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 기존의 EAP보고서 자료를 참고하여 붕괴지속시간, 붕괴부 평균폭, 붕괴부 측벽면 경사의 변화에 따라 다양한 모의를 수행함으로써 발생되는 붕괴부 유량 수문곡선을 도출하여 각각의 조건들이 붕괴파 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 저수지의 붕괴시 첨두유출량에 민감한 영향을 주는 인자는 붕괴지속시간과, 붕괴부 평균폭으로서 이들 값이 붕괴유출량 변화에 많은 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 최대지진발생(MCE)조건 해석결과 홍수류의 범람으로 인해 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하며, 하천 중·상류부 인근 제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었으며, 극한홍수(PMF)조건 해석결과 최대지진발생(MCE)조건과 같이 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하는 특성을 보이며, 하천 전체 구간에서 인근제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었다. 본 연구는 침수구역 피해규모 산정 및 비상대처계획도를 작성시 기초데이터가 되어 상황별 피해예상지역에 대해 응급행동요령, 주민대피계획비상대처계획을 수립하여 지역 주민생활에 안정을 기여하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.299-299
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• 2020

국내외 발생하는 재난 중 70% 이상이 물과 관련된 재해로 분류되며, 집중호우와 태풍으로 인한 하천범람 및 내수침수 등으로 많은 피해를 발생시키고 있다. 특히 최근 발생하는 피해 양상은 과거에 발생하지 않았던 극한 강우로 인해 돌발적으로 발생하는 경우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있어 이에 따라 사전에 예측하여 미리 대비하는 선제적인 홍수 대비 시스템이 요구되고 있다. 선제적인 홍수 대비 시스템의 구축 여부는 정확한 하천 흐름 예측을 필요로 한다. 하지만 하천의 흐름은 댐붕괴, 제방붕괴, 하천 하상의 변동 등 다양한 상황에서 급격한 흐름의 변동이 발생하며, 이는 하천 흐름 예측에 장애물로 작용하여 정확도를 떨어뜨리는 요인이 된다. 특히 국내에는 산악지형과 수공구조물에 의한 불연속 단면이 다수 존재하고 있어 그 예측 결과에 대한 정확성에 대한 요구가 더욱 부각되고 있다. 그렇기 때문에 해당 문제를 해결하기 위한 다양한 기법들이 개발되어 실무에 적용되고 있으나 어떤 기법이 국내 하천특성에 적합한지 파악할 수 없으며, 그 정확성과 안정성에 측면에서 여전히 많은 문제점을 가지고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 불연속 흐름이 빈번하게 발생하는 국내 하천 특성에 적합한 수치 기법을 확인하고자 유량보존특성을 만족하는 유한체적기법 중 국내외적으로 다수 사용되었던 기법들을 비교 및 평가하였다. 불연속 흐름의 대표적인 예제로서 'Dam-break problem'과 충격파 해석 및 홍수기와 갈수기에 따른 하천 하상의 마름/젖음에 대한 평가를 할 수 있는 Toro's Riemann problems에 적용하여 비교하였으며 그 결과 값을 정량적인 수치로 나타내었다. 이를 통해 국내 하천 특성에 적합한 수치 기법을 선정하였으며. 향후 국내하천 환경을 만족할 뿐만 아니라 하천 종사자들의 요구에도 부합한 하천흐름해석 모형의 개발 시 많은 기여가 될 것이라 판단된다.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.613-621
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• 2015

The most urgent measure to be taken for a rapid rescue when a building collapse happens is to designate or predict a possible location where human beings are alive. It is, however, very difficult to find and correctly designate such cavities by conventional geophysical survey due to a pile of debris of building members. In this study, the simulation of building collapse induced by an earthquake was conducted to predict forming pattern of a existing cavities. The simulation cases included the influence of structure wall existence and height of building. Three types of building structure: five-story, ten-story and fifteen-story were prepared as a simulation case. In the case of high building, a collapse range on the inside of the building increased consequently lowering the possibility of lifeguard cavern forming. In addition, when a wall exists in the basement floor, the possibility that existing cavities could be formed increased compared to the cases without wall.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.30 no.4
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• pp.485-496
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• 2020

The characteristics of volumetric water content changes in soil slopes were studied here in an effort to identify the signs of heavy rain causing shallow slope failure. Volumetric water contents in cases with and without shallow failure were measured in flume and test-bed experiments. Measurement data from 282 experiments of both types revealed that the volumetric water content gradient in shallow failure events ranged from 0.072 to 0.309. In non-failure cases, the range was 0.01~0.32. Therefore, this one specific value cannot predict shallow slope failure. However, as the volumetric water content gradient increased, there was a clear tendency to shallow failure. By using this trend, criteria for four warning levels are suggested.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.1-11
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• 2012

Due to a heavy rain resulted from the global environmental change, collapse accidents happen annually and it is a tendency to increase the loss of life and economy. Thus, measures for the collapse of slope are required. If the slope can be simulated before cutting, the collapse can be predicted, and also the accident of the collapse can be minimized at the cost of recovery. This paper presents a simulation method of a slope which is important in cutting. The method is modeling and designing using Petri-Net and is implemented in the Windows XP using Arc GIS. Therefore, by means of cutting and reclamation based on GIS, this paper can contribute to saving a lot of time and money.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.351-359
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• 2015

In order to exactly evaluate the seismic collapse capacity of a structure, probabilistic approach is required by considering uncertainties related to its structural properties and ground motion. Regardless of the types of uncertainties, they influence on the seismic response of a structures and their effects are required to be estimated. An incremental dynamic analysis(IDA) is useful to investigate uncertainty-propagation due to ground motion. In this study, a 3-story steel moment-resisting frame is selected for a prototype frame and analyzed using the IDA. The uncertainty-propagation is assessed with categorized parameters representing epistemic uncertainties, such as the seismic weight, the inherent damping, the yield strength, and the elastic modulus. To do this, the influence of the uncertainty-propagation to the seismic collapse capacity of the prototype frame is probabilistically evaluated using the incremental dynamic analyses based on the Monte-Carlo simulation sampling with the Latin hypercube method. Of various parameters related to epistemic uncertainty-propagation, the inherent damping is investigated to be the most influential parameter on the seismic collapse capacity of the prototype frame.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.20 no.12
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• pp.737-746
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• 2019

Most landslides in the country are shallow failures triggered by intense rainfall. Many researchers have revealed the possibility of predicting shallow failure through the volumetric water content (VWC). This study examined how to determine shallow failure using the gradient characteristics of the volumetric water content. For this, flume experiments were conducted using weathered granite soil. To confirm the saturation state of the surface layer under a rainfall intensity of 30 and 50mm/hr, VWC sensors were installed at depths of 10 and 20 cm on the upper, middle and lower slope. The test results showed that a shallow failure determination using VWC could be applied limitedly according to the slope degree. In addition, the effective cumulative rainfall due to the rainfall infiltration velocity is considered the main factor for the failure time. The failure prediction using the gradient of the VWC depends on the installation location and depth of the sensor. According to the experimental data, the measured value at 20 cm below the slope was most effective. Therefore, an analysis method of VWC and the method of selecting the installation location confirmed through this study can provide important data for presenting the measurement criteria using VWC in the future.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.5B
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• pp.429-439
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• 2009

When Catastrophic extreme flood occurs due to dam break, the response time for flood warning is much shorter than for natural floods. Numerical models can be powerful tools to predict behaviors in flood wave propagation and to provide the information about the flooded area, wave front arrival time and water depth and so on. But flood wave propagation due to dam break can be a process of difficult mathematical characterization since the flood wave includes discontinuous flow and dry bed propagation. Nevertheless, a lot of numerical models using finite volume method have been recently developed to simulate flood inundation due to dam break. As Finite volume methods are based on the integral form of the conservation equations, finite volume model can easily capture discontinuous flows and shock wave. In this study the numerical model using Riemann approximate solvers and finite volume method applied to the conservative form for two-dimensional shallow water equation was developed. The MUSCL scheme with surface gradient method for reconstruction of conservation variables in continuity and momentum equations is used in the predictor-corrector procedure and the scheme is second order accurate both in space and time. The developed finite volume model is applied to 2D partial dam break flows and dam break flows with triangular bump and validated by comparing numerical solution with laboratory measurements data and other researcher's data.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.6B
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• pp.605-612
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• 2006

In this study(II), The developed rainfall forecast model was applied to the NakDong River Basin for the heavy rainfall on 6th to 16th of August in 2002. The results demonstrated that the rainfall forecasts of 3 hours lead time showed good agreement with observed data. The inundation aspect of simulation depends on actual levee failure in the same basin. Rainfall forecasts were used for flood amount computation in the target watershed. Also the flood amount in the target watershed was used on boundary condition for flood inundation simulation in a protected lowland and a river. The results of simulation are consistent with actuality inundation traces and flood level data of the target watershed. This study provides practical applicability of satellite data in rainfall forecast of extreme events such as heavy rainfall or typhoon. Also this study presented an advanced integrated model of rainfall, runoff, and inundation analysis which can be applicable for flood disaster prevention and mitigation.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.449-458
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• 2015

The compilation of a flood hazard map is an efficient technique in managing areas at risk of flooding in the case of a dam-break. A scenario-based numerical modeling approach is commonly used to compile a flood hazard map related to dam-break and to determine the model parameters that capture peak discharge, including breach formation and progress, which are important in the modeling method. This approach might be considered less reliable if an existing model is used without local validation. In this study, a dam-break model is linked to a routing model to identify flood-risk areas in the case of failure of the Sandae Reservoir Gyeongju, Gyeongbuk. Model parameters are extracted from a DEM, and maps of land use and soil texture. The simulation results are compared with on-site investigations in terms of inundation and depth. The model reproduces the inundation zone with reasonable accuracy.