• Title/Summary/Keyword: 붕괴된 깁스 샘플러

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Efficient Bayesian Inference on Asymmetric Jump-Diffusion Models (비대칭적 점프확산 모형의 효율적인 베이지안 추론)

  • Park, Taeyoung;Lee, Youngeun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.959-973
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    • 2014
  • Asset pricing models that account for asymmetric volatility in asset prices have been recently proposed. This article presents an efficient Bayesian method to analyze asset-pricing models. The method is developed by devising a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler that capitalizes on the functional incompatibility of conditional distributions without complicating the updates of model components. The proposed method is illustrated using simulated data and applied to daily S&P 500 data observed from September 1980 to August 2014.

Bayesian inference on multivariate asymmetric jump-diffusion models (다변량 비대칭 라플라스 점프확산 모형의 베이지안 추론)

  • Lee, Youngeun;Park, Taeyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2016
  • Asymmetric jump-diffusion models are effectively used to model the dynamic behavior of asset prices with abrupt asymmetric upward and downward changes. However, the estimation of their extension to the multivariate asymmetric jump-diffusion model has been hampered by the analytically intractable likelihood function. This article confronts the problem using a data augmentation method and proposes a new Bayesian method for a multivariate asymmetric Laplace jump-diffusion model. Unlike the previous models, the proposed model is rich enough to incorporate all possible correlated jumps as well as mention individual and common jumps. The proposed model and methodology are illustrated with a simulation study and applied to daily returns for the KOSPI, S&P500, and Nikkei225 indices data from January 2005 to September 2015.