• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불확실성 회피성

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Study on the Evaluation of Ship Collision Risk based on the Dempster-Shafer Theory (Dempster-Shafer 이론 기반의 선박충돌위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jinwan Park;Jung Sik Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.462-469
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we propose a method for evaluating the risk of collision between ships to support determination on the risk of collision in a situation in which ships encounter each other and to prevent collision accidents. Because several uncertainties are involved in the navigation of a ship, must be considered when evaluating the risk of collision. We apply the Dempster-Shafer theory to manage this uncertainty and evaluate the collision risk of each target vessel in real time. The distance at the closest point approach (DCPA), time to the closest point approach (TCPA), distance from another vessel, relative bearing, and velocity ratio are used as evaluation factors for ship collision risk. The basic probability assignments (BPAs) calculated by membership functions for each evaluation factor are fused through the combination rule of the Dempster-Shafer theory. As a result of the experiment using automatic identification system (AIS) data collected in situations where ships actually encounter each other, the suitability of evaluation was verified. By evaluating the risk of collision in real time in encounter situations between ships, collision accidents caused by human errora can be prevented. This is expected to be used for vessel traffic service systems and collision avoidance systems for autonomous ships.

확률적(確率的) 환경부하(環境負荷) 조건(條件)에서의 공해배출기준(公害排出基準) 최적성(最適性)에 관한 실증연구(實證硏究)

  • Cha, Geun-Ho;Gang, Man-Ok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.17-40
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    • 1994
  • 스웨덴의 펄프 제지산업을 대상으로 관찰해 보면 대부분의 기업은 허가된 수준보다는 덜 오염시키고 있다. 이를 설명하기 위하여 우리는 환경 부하(waste load)가 확률적이라는 가정에 의존하는 접근법을 제안하였다. 동 모델에 따르면 기업은 너무 높은 기대벌금을 회피하기 위하여 평균적으로 허용된 수준보다는 덜 오염시키는 것이 이윤을 가짐을 알 수 있다. 그 이유는 허가된 수준과 기대된 환경 부하의 차이가 제한규정을 위반하지 않는 확률을 증가시키기 때문이다. 우리의 이론으로부터 나타나는 또 다른 결과는 규제의 변화가 기업의 이윤과 환경에 주는 영향은 대부분의 경우에 적발되는 확률, 지불하는 벌금 수준 그리고 불확실성을 가능한한 줄이기 위해 드는 비용에 대한 기업의 인식에 달려 있다는 것이다. 오염배출의 확률분포에서 분산을 감소시키는데 드는 비용이 계획된 배출량을 감소시키는 데 드는 비용에 비해서 적다면, 기업은 오염 배출을 증가시키는 것이 이득이 됨을 발견할 것이며, 분산을 감소시킴으로서 규제준수 확률을 증가시킬 것이다. 우리는 동 산업에서 허가시스템이 기업들에게 영향을 미쳐왔다는 것을 실증분석을 통해 발견하였다. 더구나, 비표백 펄프와 쇄목 펄프를 생산하는 기업은 표백 펄프를 생산하는 기업보다 허가된 배출수준의 변화에 더 민감한 것처럼 보임을 발견하였다.

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A Study on the Accountants′ Cultural Characteristics and the Ethics Development Level (회계인의 문화적 특성과 윤리개발 수준에 관한 연구)

  • 김남면
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.192-200
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    • 2000
  • This paper is the work connected with accounting and culture. The purpose of this study is to examine how Korean accountant groups have cultural characteristics and ethics level compared with non-accountant groups. The results of this paper show that power distance, uncertainty avoidance, masculinity and feminity, long-term and short-term oriented differences compared with accountant groups between non-accountant groups. This paper is about accounting and korean culture would utilize useful data accounting practice and accounting standard establishment and accounting education.

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Prospect Theory and Risk Preferences of Real Estate Development Companies (부동산 개발 및 공급 기업의 손익과 경영진의 위험 선호도)

  • Kim, Byungil;Kim, Won Tae;Chung, Do-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2022
  • Companies make decisions with risks such as choosing an investment plan in order to pursue profits. This study explained the decision making of the management of construction companies in South Korea using the tendency to avoid losses in the Prospect Theory. To this end, 20-year financial data of 2,881 companies engaged in real estate development, which have to bear the greatest risk among the construction industry, were collected. The collected companies were roughly classified based on the reference point, and the causal relationship between average return on equity and risk preference by group was empirically analyzed through regression analysis. As a result, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group above the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with low uncertainty in order not to lose additional money. In addition, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group below the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with high uncertainty to move to the profit area. This result is exactly consistent with the loss aversion tendency of the Prospect Theory.

Understanding Personal and Cultural Factors on the Level of UCC Participation: Centered on Korea and U.S.A (UCC 사용자 참여수준과 개인적 및 문화적 특성 요인과의 관계 - 한국과 미국을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Yoo-Jung;Kang, So-Ra
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.216-232
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the ethical implications in UCC participation. This paper aimed at examining the advent of UCC as a critical media tool in interactive two-way communication and the effect of ethical questions on the level of UCC participation. The findings show that uncertainty avoidance gives an positive and significant effect on privacy concern and regulatory preference, but it is not related to copyright invasion in Korea and U.S.A. It is shown that privacy concern does not influence on UCC retrieval in Korea whereas it is positively related to UCC retrieval in the United States. Also, privacy concern has not relationship with UCC production(modification, recreation, generation) in both nations. In the case of regulatory preference, it posits an significant and positive effect on UCC retrieval in Korea while it is not related to UCC retrieval in the United States. Also, regulatory preference does not affect on UCC production in Korea whereas it influences on UCC generation without impacting UCC modification and recreation in U.S.A. Finally, the results show that copyright invasion has stronger relationship with UCC recreation and generation than UCC modification, and it is positively related to UCC retrieval in both nations.

A Study on Corroboration of Cultural Factors and Organizational Dissension Management (문화적 요인의 실증적 분석과 갈등 관리에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Bo-Hun;Kim, Chil-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2007
  • Culture is that the system of shared beliefs, values, customs, behaviors, and artifacts that the members of society use to cope with their world and with one another, and that are transmitted from generation to generation through learning. Members of an organization are affected by culture. And dissensions in an organization give negative effects to behavior of the members, especially to satisfaction from organization. This study is on the dissension management by considering of cultural characteristics of pilots. Cultural characteristics of pilots were surveyed and analyzed with the V5M94(values survey module94) which was developed by Hofstede. As results, the cultural indexes of the pilots were different from the national means. The indexes presented that korean pilots' cultural characteristics are low POI, high IDV, low MAS and low UAI as North European cultural characteristics. For managing the pilots group, make expansion of opportunity to take part in decision making, release or share of informations are required. And motivations, delegation, free from unnecessary interventions, understanding and forgiveness rather than disciplinary punishment, thoughtful considerations could be effectiveness. And for developing more effective management methods, management strategies of north european airlines should be studied.

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Adaptive Sliding-Mode Formation Control and Collision Avoidance for Multi-agent Nonholonomic Mobile Robots with Model Uncertainty and Disturbance (모델 불확실성 및 외란을 갖는 이동 로봇들을 위한 적응 슬라이딩 모드 군집 제어 및 충돌 회피 기법)

  • Park, Bong-Seok;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1038-1043
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, an adaptive sliding-mode formation control and collision avoidance are proposed for electrically driven nonholonomic mobile robots with model uncertainties and external disturbances. A sliding surface based on the leader-follower approach is developed to achieve the desired formation in the presence of model uncertainties and disturbances. Moreover, by using the collision avoidance function, the mobile robots can avoid the obstacles successfully. Finally, simulations illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed control system.

A Study on the Message Expression Type and Brand Familiarity of Raffle Advertising (래플광고의 메시지 표현 유형과 브랜드 친숙도에 따른 광고 효과)

  • Lee, Sung Mi
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2022
  • Smart advertising in digital media has become an active research field in the past few decades. The purpose of the study is to investigates the interaction effects between the message expression type and brand familiarity on the effectiveness of raffle advertising. An online 2×2 between subjects experiment was constructed. The results showed the interaction effects between the message expression type and brand familiarity on advertising attitude, brand attitude, and purchase intention.

A Study on the Entrepreneurship and the Cultural Environment (기업가정신과 문화적 환경에 대한 연구)

  • Ji-Won Kim;Na-Young Kim;Ki-Ho Heo;Jae-Won Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2023.01a
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    • pp.433-435
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 기업가정신 글로벌비즈니스 세미나 과목의 과제로써 기업가정신이 무엇인지 확립하고 기업가정신과 연관 지을 수 있는 주제를 선정하여 스스로 연구함으로써 그 의미를 구체화 하고 새로운 패러다임을 제시하고자 하는데 의미가 있다고 볼 수 있다. 저자들은 '문화'가 갖는 상대성에 주목하여 기업가 정신을 해석하였으며 재학 중 배웠던 '홉스테드의 문화 특성' 이론과 접목시켜 문화가 기업가 정신에 어떤 영향을 끼치는지 연구하였다. 글로벌 기업가정신 모니터(GEM)의 글로벌 기업가 지수 순위 조사 결과와, 홉스테드 인사이트(Hofstede-insight)의 6가지 차원에 따른 국가별 문화지수 파일을 접목시켜 수치화하고, 시각적 그래프 및 엑셀 데이터 다중 회귀분석을 통하여 결과를 도출하였다. 홉스테드의 문화 특성이 기업가 정신 순위에 영향을 미칠 것이라고 가정하고 분석한 결과, 홉스테드의 6가지 차원 중 하나인 불확실성 회피성향이 기업가 정신에 가장 높은 영향을 미친다는 사실을 발견하였다. 이번 연구를 통해기업가 정신을 계승하는 기업문화를 제고하고 경제학과 인류학 통합 연구의 필요성을 제시한다.

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Influence of Foreigners' Cultural Characteristics on National Image, the Image of Korean Medical Services, and Behavioral Intention to use Korean Medical Services - Focused on Chinese & Russians - (외국인의 문화적 특성이 국가 이미지, 한국의료서비스 이미지와 한국의료서비스 행동의도에 미치는 영향 - 중국인, 러시아인을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyoung;Cho, Duk-Young;Kim, Yun-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.595-610
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    • 2016
  • This study investigates the parameters that affect the choice of Korean medical services, as well as the relationship between the cultural characteristics and the behavioral intention to use Korean medical services. The cultural characteristics of Chinese and Russian individuals have an impact on the national image and image of Korea's medical services, and that this affects their behavioral intention to use Korean medical services. Nevertheless, there were differences among the cultural characteristics, in terms of specific elements. Among Chinese individuals, the national image is affected by 'power distance', 'individualism-collectivism', and 'long-term orientation'; for Russians, it is affected by 'individualism-collectivism', 'power distance', 'uncertainty avoidance', and 'long-term orientation'. On the other hand, for Chinese, the image of Korean medical services is affected by 'power distance' and 'long-term orientation', while for Russians it is affected by 'power distance' and 'uncertainty avoidance'. These in turn influence their behavioral intention to use Korean medical services. As such, by recognizing these cultural properties, and by designing and offering suitable services with these in mind, Korean medical institutions can nurture among foreign visitors greater satisfaction and a desire to revisit.