• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.113-153
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• 2009

Financial conglomerates combine banking, securities, insurance and other financial services within a single economic entity. In this paper we analyze the effect of financial conglomeration on the default risk of financial companies in the Korean financial industry. We use two risk measures based on individual company level as proxies of the default risk, one is Z-index proposed by Altman(1968) and the other is the weighted capital adequacy ratio. We find that financial conglomeration has a negative effect on the default risk of financial companies. The asset size and diversity level of financial conglomerates, however, are negatively correlated with the default risk of financial companies. These results mean that in the Korean financial industry, even though the economy of scale and scope does exist, financial conglomeration does not translate into lower risk of financial companies composing financial conglomerates.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.83-106
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 1997년 말 외환위기 이후 $1998\sim1999$년에 걸쳐 행하여진 한국 은행산업 구조 조정의 성과를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 실증분석의 결과 위험수준이 높아 구조조정 기간에 금융감독당국으로부터 강한 경영개선 압력을 받을 가능성이 높은 은행들은 무수익여신, 부실여신비율 등 대출행위의 건전성 측면과 대출, 유가증권간의 투자비율, 그리고 유가증권 내 자산종목 간의 투자 비율 등 여러 가지 위험관련 변수들과 관련하여 측정된 건전화에 대한 동기면에서 외환위기 이전에 비하여 유의적이고 일관된 보다 높은 건전화에 대한 동기를 가지고 있었음을 볼 수 있었으며, 이러한 결과는 외환위기 이후의 은행권 구조조정 정책에 대한 어느 정도의 유효성을 보여 주는 결과로 사료된다. 또한 은행 집단별 분석에서는 구조조정 과정에서 퇴출 또는 우량은행에게 인수/합병된 부실은행들은 구조조정 이전의 기간에 그 외의 은행들 보다 위험추구에 대한 동기가 매우 강하였음을 볼 수 있었으나 이러한 위험추구의 동기가 우량은행에로의 인수/합병을 통하면서 상당히 감소하였음을 발견할 수 있었으며, 이러한 결과는 총표본에 대한 분석에서의 결과와 일관되게 외환위기 이후의 구조조정 정책에 대한 어느 정도의 유효성을 보여 주는 결과로 사료된다.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.173-198
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• 2016

Financial distress can damage stakeholders and even lead to significant social costs. Thus, financial distress prediction is an important issue in macroeconomics. However, most existing studies on building a financial distress prediction model have only considered idiosyncratic risk factors without considering systematic risk factors. In this study, we propose a prediction model that considers both the idiosyncratic risk based on a financial ratio and the systematic risk based on a business cycle. Ultimately, we build several IT artifacts associated with financial ratio and add them to the idiosyncratic risk factors as well as address the imbalanced data problem by using an oversampling technique and synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) to ensure good performance. When considering systematic risk, our study ensures that each data set consists of both financially distressed companies and financially sound companies in each business cycle phase. We conducted several experiments that change the initial imbalanced sample ratio between the two company groups into a 1:1 sample ratio using SMOTE and compared the prediction results from the individual data set. We also predicted data sets from the subsequent business cycle phase as a test set through a built prediction model that used business contraction phase data sets, and then we compared previous prediction performance and subsequent prediction performance. Thus, our findings can provide insights into making rational decisions for stakeholders that are experiencing an economic crisis.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.132-139
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• 2017

This study was conducted to find out the effects of over seeding using new grass varieties orchardgrass 'Kordione' and 'Onnuri', and tall fescue 'Greenmaster' on botanical composition and dry matter productivity from 2013 to 2016 in low productivity hilly pasture, middle area of Korea. There were used 3 grass seed mixture types made of different compositions and amounts {T1: control - no over seeding, T2: tall fescue (TF) 'Greenmaster' $18kg\;ha^{-1}$, orchardgrass (OG) 'Kordione' $9kg\;ha^{-1}$, Perennial ryegrass (PRG) 'Linn' $5kg\;ha^{-1}$, and Kentucky bluegrass (KBG) 'Kenblue' $2kg\;ha^{-1}$, T3: TF 'Greenmaster' $9kg\;ha^{-1}$, OG 'Kordione' $18kg\;ha^{-1}$, PRG 'Linn' $5kg\;ha^{-1}$, and KBG ' Kenblue' $2kg\;ha^{-1}$, T4: TF 'Greenmaster' $9kg\;ha^{-1}$, OG 'Onnuri' $18kg\;ha^{-1}$, PRG 'Linn' $5kg\;ha^{-1}$, and KBG 'Kenblue' $2kg\;ha^{-1}$}. In the botanical composition of grassland, T1 nearly remained constant in other seasons while ratio of weeds were increased in summer season. T2 was better than control (T1) in portion of grass ratio, which has increased by 80%. In the early time of establishment, the portions of OG were increased in T2, but TF rate was increased after 3 years later when grass was established. T3 and T4 showed a very similar patterns, grass ratio had increased by 80% and the portion of KBG had increased as time passed. T2 ($129,763kg\;ha^{-1}$) was showed the highest dry matter yield than other treatments (T1: $6,756kg\;ha^{-1}$, T3: 9641, and T4: 10,738) in 2016.

• Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.63-78
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• 2018

This study examined the insolvency of debtors using multiple-indicator approaches and compared the outcomes across income levels with the 2016 'Household Financial and Welfare Survey'. This study used (1) the total debt to total assets ratio (DTA), (2) the total debt service ratio (DSR), and (3) the Household Default Risk Index (HDRI) recently developed by the Bank of Korea. Households in the lowest income quintile were more likely to be insolvent than any other income group. Demographics, such as age and gender of the household head, and most of the financial variables significantly increased the likelihood of insolvency based on the DTA. The number of household members and job status increased the likelihood of insolvency based on the DSR. Also, age, gender of the household head, and most of the financial variables increased the likelihood of household insolvency based on the HDRI after controlling for other demographics and financial variables.

• Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.99-115
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• 2019

This study examined the insolvency likelihood of young debtors from the 2018 Household Financial and Welfare Survey. This study used the Household Default Risk Index (HDRI), which considers the ratio of total debt to total assets (DTA), and a total debt service ratio (DSR) to examine the insolvency level of debtors. The descriptive analyses showed no difference in frequency of households with a high probability of insolvency between those less than 35 years of age and those over 35 years of age. However, the median HDRI value for those less than 35 years of age was higher than those over 35 years of age. The multivariate analyses indicated that educational expenses for young Korean debtors was a factor that increased their probability of insolvency, while income was the only variable that decreased their insolvency likelihood.

• 주택과사람들
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• s.204
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• pp.46-49
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• 2007

1997년 아시아 외환위기를 겪은 인도네시아는 아직 환란을 완전히 극복하지 못했다. 환율은 여전히 안정적이지 않고, 부실 대출 비율이 증가하는 등 불안 요인도 많다. 정부 차원에서 외국인 투자 유치를 위한 정책을 내놓는 등 시장 활성화에 힘쓰고 있는 인도네시아 자카르타 부동산 시장을 짚어보았다.

• 주택과사람들
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• no.56 s.73
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• pp.10-27
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• 1996

[ $\circ$ ]최근 일본에서는 계속되는 부동산경기 침체로 금융기관의 부실채권이 크게 늘어남으로써 금융시스템의 안정성을 위협하고 있음 $\circ$ 우리나라에서도 1992년 이후 부동산경기가 부진한데다 건설업체의 난립에 따른 과당경쟁으로 건설업체의 부도가 늘어나고 금융기관 부실채권이 증가하였으나 그 정도는 일본보다 훨씬 약함 -일본은 지가(6대 도시)가 1995년 현재 정점 대비 $49\%$ 수준으로 하락한 반면 우리나라는 $89\%$ 수준으로 하락하는데 그침 -또한 우리나라에서는 부동산업에 대한 대출이 금지되어 있어 전체 부동산관련 대출배율도($17\%$)도 일본($29\%$)보다 작을 뿐만 아니라 금융기관의 총대출에 대한 부실채권의 비율도 $1\%$ 로서 일본($26\%$)보다 낮음 $\circ$ 따라서 우리나라에서의 부동산경기 부진이 일본에서처럼 금융시스템의 안정성을 위협하는 사태로 발전할 가능성은 크지 않은 것으로 보임

• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.21 no.11
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• pp.13-27
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• 2023

This study aims to contribute to the reduction of the failure rate and social costs resulting from business failures by analyzing factors that affect the insolvency of social enterprises, as the role of social enterprises is increasing in our economy. The data used in this study were classified as normal and insolvent companies among social enterprises (including prospective social enterprises) that were established between 2009 and 2018 and received credit guarantees from credit guarantee institutions as of the end of June 2022. Among the collected data, 439 social enterprises with available financial information were targeted; 406 (92.5%) were normal enterprises, and 33 (7.5%) were insolvent enterprises. Through a literature review, eight non-financial factors commonly used for insolvency prediction were selected. The cross-analysis results showed that four of these factors were significant. Logistic regression analysis revealed that two variables, including corporate credit rating and the personal credit rating of the representative, were significant. Financial factors such as debt ratio, sales operating profit rate, and total asset turnover were used as control variables. The empirical analysis confirmed that the two independent variables maintained their influence even after controlling for financial factors. Given that government-led support and development policies have limitations, there is a need to shift policy direction so that various companies aspiring to create social value can enter the social enterprise sector through private and regional initiatives. This would enable the social economy to create an environment where local residents can collaborate to realize social value, and the government should actively support this.

• 방재와보험
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• s.23
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• pp.22-26
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• 1984

내무부 통계에 의하면 83년도 전국 화재발생 건수는 7,725건이며 이중 전기로 인한 화재는 전체의 28.3%인 2,186건으로 화재발생 원인 중 가장 많은 비율을 차지하고 있다. 그 요인은 전기소비량의 증가에도 있겠지만 전기시설의 노후화와 전기설비 기계기구의 유지관리 부실 및 부주의에 많은 원인이 있다고 본다. 따라서 전기사고가 화재의 원인이 될 수 있는 사항을 중심으로 전기원리와 사고대책을 언급함으로써 전기화재에 대한 이해의 도모와 아울러 전기화재 예방에 보탬이 되고자 하였다.