• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.31 no.2
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• pp.261-290
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• 2022

Although market stabilization measures have been triggered in the K-ETS, carbon price is still under uncertainty. Considering Korea's 2030 enhanced reduction target announced in October 2021, it is crucial to have practical stabilization measures to appropriately deal with price uncertainty. This study examines the quantitative effects of a price collar, which is considered as a means of alleviating price uncertainty, on expected cumulative emissions and abatement costs. There are three main scenarios: carbon tax, emissions trading system, and emissions trading system with a price collar. Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to reflect uncertainty in emission. There are several results as follows: 1) In a price collar, domestic emission target is likely to be achieved with a lower expected abatement cost than other scenarios. In addition, there is a small amount of excess emissions in this research and it would be not critical(0.1% excess than target); 2) Prohibiting banking increases the expected abatement cost. This is because firms can not intertemporally reallocate allowances to match the firm's optimal emissions path; 3) With the adoption of a price collar, government's net revenue can be positive even if the government's purchase volume of emissions allowances is more than sales volume. This is because the government sells them at price ceiling and purchases them at price floor.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2007.07a
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• pp.119-120
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• 2007

지구온실가스에 대한 배출권거래제가 도입될 경우에는 현 변동비반영 전력시장에는 새로운 발전비용 요소가 추가되고 이에 따른 발전비용 및 거래비용이 증가됨을 밝혔다. 배출권 거래비용은 석탄, 중유, LNG발전의 순으로 증가하며, 향후 도입될 배출권 거래제에 대한 3가지 시나리오를 설정하여 분석한 결과, 발전비용의 증가는 시나리오별로 연간 112억원$\sim$1336억원이 소요되고, 시장에서의 거래비용은 이보다 작은 39억원$\sim$450억원 수준으로 나타났다. 또한 현 변동비반영 가격결정체제에서 배출권거래제를 도입하기 위해서는 기준배출비용을 산출하고 이를 조정하는 절차의 운영이 필요함을 밝혔다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2009.07a
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• pp.559_560
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• 2009

정부의 녹색성장기본법(안)에 따라 총량제한 배출권 거래제가 도입될 예정이므로, 배출규제에 대응한 전력시장의 제도적 대응이 요구된다. 본 논문은 배출비용을 감안한 발전원가를 평가하고, 전력시장이 현 비용입찰시장(CBP)의 형태를 유지한다는 전제하에 배출규제에 따른 전력시장가격의 영향을 분석하였다. 배출비용을 감안하더라도 전원별 급전우선순위는 변화하지 않으므로 비용최소화를 위한 전략은 기존 발전패턴을 유지하고 배출권을 구입하는 전략이 된다. 그러나 전기요금 안정화를 위한 발전회사의 수익 규제는 연료전환을 유도하여 배출감축에는 기여하지만, 발전비용 및 전력시장가격을 다소 상승시키게 된다. 한편 발전회사에 대한 수익규제는 배출권시장의 수급여건을 변화시키게 되므로, 전력시장과 배출권시장의 운영, 분석 및 규제에 대한 일원화된 체제의 필요성을 강하게 시사한다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.149-166
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• 2023

The emissions trading system, introduced to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, experienced a sharp increase in emission allowance prices during the second plan period (2018-2020), which led to an increase in the demand for smooth supply and demand of emission allowances, while suppliers anticipating a shortage of emission allowances in the future did not participate in trading. Therefore, the authority temporarily revised the guidelines to ensure that the amount of allowances carried forward is proportional to the trading volume as a market stabilization measure. Through an optimization process using a dynamic nonlinear mathematical model, this paper analyzes the impact of the government's intervention on the carryover policy on GHG emission reductions and emission allowance market prices. According to the simulation analysis results, banking regulations could cause a decline in prices during the regulation period, even though the initial policy was predicted to be adopted.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.77-102
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• 2010

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the Japanese emission trading system and climate change policy thereby contributing to the instituting of similar systems that will be viable for the Korean context. In applying such analyses, it is important to include a careful consideration of cost sharing between stakeholders and firms, an enhancement of the trust worthiness of data concerning greenhouse gases, and an examination of related infrastructure such as emissions authentication agencies and their development. Moreover, it is important to minimize the outflow of domestic resources such as offset credit, green electricity certification system, and ecopoint, making compatible economic growth and carbon reduction thereby encouraging the production and dissemination of 'Environmental Value' as well as connecting 'Environmental Value' to a emission trading system.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.531-565
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• 2011

All previous studies analyzing multivariate time series data of EUA (European Union Allowance) price commonly used endogenous variables within the four variables and included the period from April to June of 2006 in the analysis, when the price distortion occurred. This study uses graph theory and structural vector error correction model (SVECM) to analyze the daily time series data of the EUA (European Union Allowance) price. As endogenous variables, five variables are considered for the analysis, including prices of crude oil, natural gas, electricity and coal in addition to carbon price. Data period is Phase 2 period (April 21, 2008 to March 31, 2010) to avoid the EUA price distortion of Phase 1 period (2005~2007). Further, the monthly data including the economic variables as endogenous variables are analyzed.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.93-117
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• 2013

We analyze the optimal hedge ratio and hedge effectiveness with different periodic times between spot and futures on EUA and CER based on EU-ETS. The Main finding are as follows. The first, hedging model which considers the time-varying variance is not more accurate than non-time-varying hedging models. The second, optimal hedge ratios are different even though hedge effectiveness is similar for the hedging purpose. The third, hedge effectiveness has uncertainty if hedge period is short. In case of EUA it needs to over 6 weeks and CER needs to over 7 weeks. The fourth, cross hedge with CER futures is not suitable for profit ratios.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.167-198
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• 2011

The Korean government recently announced greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions reduction target as 30% of 2020 business as usual (BAU) emission projection. As carbon emissions trading is widely used to achieve reductions in the emissions of pollutants, this study deals with the sectoral allocation of initial carbon emission permits in Korea. This research tests the effectiveness of a variety of allocation rules based on the bankruptcy problem in cooperative game theory and hybrid input-output tables which combines environmental statistics with input-output tables. The impact of initial emission permits allocation on economic growth is also analyzed through green growth accounting. According to the analysis result, annual GDP growth rate of Korea is expected to be 4.03%, 4.23%, and 3.67% under Proportional, Constrained Equal Awards, and Constrained Equal Losses rules, respectively. These rates are approximately from 0.69% points to 0.13% points lower than the growth rate of 4.36% without compulsory $CO_2$ reduction. Thus, CEA rule is the most favorable in terms of GDP growth. This study confirms the importance of industry level study on the carbon reduction plan and initial carbon emission permits should reflect the characteristic of each industry.

• Bulletin of Korea Environmental Preservation Association
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• s.403
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• pp.15-18
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• 2013

"온실가스 배출권의 할당 및 거래에 관한 법률" 시행령이 확정 공포되어 우리나라는 온실가스 의무를 지지 않는 국가 중 가장 먼저 배출권거래제를 시행하는 국가가 되었다. 우리의 자세와 노력 여하에 따라 배출권거래제는 위기가 될 수도 좋은 기회가 될 수도 있다. 온실가스 감축에는 새로운 아이디어와 기술이 필요하고, 상당한 비용과 뼈를 깎는 노력이 수반되어야 하며, 정부의 명확하고 일관된 시그널과 함께 합당한 수준의 지원책이 병행되어야 한다.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.115-131
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• 2011

Out of all the possible actions that can be taken to respond to greenhouse gas reduction, including development of greenhouse gas reduction technology, infrastructure, actions to improve energy saving and efficiency, and offset with carbon emission reductions (CERs), this study shall focus on the investment on CERs. This study will take a look at risks involved with investing in CERs such as UN registration refusal risk and CERs price fluctuation, and will design risk management model which shall be verified. The goal of this paper is to provide optimized CERs investment strategies for different types of investors, such as general trading companies seeking for investment opportunities and financial companies with plans for green products development and investment by preparation for carbon market. It is expected that the global competitiveness of domestic financial companies shall be improved by taking actions on carbon market instead of previous passive response to climate change and that Korea, the number two Carbon Emissions supplier and number one derivatives market in terms of volume, shall be able to lead the worldwide carbon market.