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A Study on the Development of Construction Budget Estimating Model for Public Office Buildings based on Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 기반의 공공청사 공사비 예산 예측모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeon Jin;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.22-34
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    • 2023
  • Predicting accurately the construction cost budget in the early stages of construction projects is crucial to support the client's decision-making and achieve the objectives of the construction project. This holds true for public construction projects as well. However, the current methods for predicting construction cost budgets in the early stages of public construction projects are not sophisticated enough in terms of accuracy and reliability, indicating a need for improvement. The objective of this study is to develop a construction cost budget prediction model that can be utilized in the early stages of public building projects using an artificial neural network (ANN). In this study, an artificial neural network model was developed using the SPSS Statistics program and the data provided by the Public Procurement Service. The level of construction cost budget prediction was analyzed, and the accuracy of the model was validated through additional testing. The validation results demonstrated that the developed artificial neural network model exhibited an error range for estimates that can be utilized in the early stages of projects, indicating the potential to predict construction cost budgets more accurately by incorporating various project conditions.

A Study on Risk Analysis and Management Plan for Development Projects (개발사업(산업단지, 골프장)의 리스크 분석 및 관리방안)

  • Jeong, Min Young;Lee, Min Jae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2022
  • With rapid industrialization since the 1960s, development projects have contributed to the development of the national economy. In addition to the development projects promoted by the government, private project operators are also promoting development projects for reasons such as increased public convenience, insufficient financing of SOC assets, and expansion of their own development projects other than public orders. However, as the economy has been stagnating due to several factors such as continued supply of facilities for decades and recent COVID-19, the success of the development projects are unsure these days. Therefore, this study attempted to analyze project costs through the case of such development projects, and to present a plan to judge and manage the risks of each project cost item in advance. The AHP technique, which is widely used as a risk factor selection method for existing development projects, was used, and items were determined through interviews with experts related to development projects in order to stratify the upper and lower subjects of the risk. We analyzed how the derived risk factors affect the business performance through sensitivity analysis, and finally substituted the risk factors management plan into the risk response strategy and suggested.

Structural Safety Assessment of Tie-down for Securing Helicopter (헬리콥터 고정용 안전장치 구조 안전성 평가)

  • Myung Su Yi;Kwang-Chul Seo;Joo Shin Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.372-379
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    • 2023
  • International oil prices are expected to increase from $85 a barrel this year to up to $100 a barrel in the second half of the year; this is likely to increase orders for offshore plants in the global market. One main characteristic of offshore plants is that a large helideck is located on the top side, and aluminum alloys are used as the basic material of the structure for weight reduction and corrosion resistance. Shipowners are increasing the size of helicopters to quickly evacuate lives in the event of an emergency, and the safety use load of devices that can stably secure helicopters to the deck is also required to increase. Owing to the nature of the aluminum material, the structural strength caused by welding is greatly reduced; therefore, the fixing device must be designed by embedding it in the deck and fixing it with bolts. In this study, a model applying aluminum alloy 6082-T6 was developed to develop a helicopter fastening device that can be used for large helidecks (diameter = 28 m). The developed item was verified through nonlinear structural strength calculation to satisfy the load used for the actual fastening condition. The load condition with a 45° showed a lower ultimate strength than the 90° case owing to local plastic collapse. The nonlinear structural collapse behavior showed a result similar to that of the experimental test. The main contents derived from this study are considered to be reference materials when evaluating the structural strength of similar aluminum equipment.

A Research on RC3(RMF-CMMC Common Compliance) meta-model development in preparation for Defense Cybersecurity (국방 사이버보안을 위한 RMF-CMMC 공통규정준수 메타모델 개발방안 연구)

  • Jae-yoon Hwang;Hyuk-jin Kwon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.123-136
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    • 2024
  • The U.S. Department of Defense, leading global cybersecurity policies, has two main cybersecurity frameworks: the Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC) for external defense industry certification, and the Risk Management Framework (RMF) for internal organizational security assessments. For Republic of Korea military, starting from 2026, the Korean version of RMF (K-RMF) will be fully implemented. Domestic defense industry companies participating in projects commissioned by the U.S. Department of Defense must obtain CMMC certification by October 2025. In this paper, a new standard compliance meta-model (R3C) development methodology that can simultaneously support CMMC and RMF security audit readiness tasks is introduced, along with the implementation results of a compliance solution based on the R3C meta-model. This research is based on practical experience with the U.S. Department of Defense's cybersecurity regulations gained during the joint project by the South Korean and U.S. defense ministries' joint chiefs of staff since 2022. The developed compliance solution functions are being utilized in joint South Korean-U.S. military exercises. The compliance solution developed through this research is expected to be available for sale in the private sector and is anticipated to be highly valuable for domestic defense industry companies that need immediate CMMC certification.

Unbilled Revenue and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts (진행기준 수익인식 방법과 재무분석가 이익예측 - 미청구공사 계정을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Bo-Mi;Park, Bo-Young
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2017
  • This study investigates the effect of revenue recognition by percentage of completion method on financial analysts' earnings forecasting information in order industry. Specifically, we examines how the analysts' earnings forecast errors and biases differ according to whether or not to report the unbilled revenue account balance and the level of unbilled revenue account balance. The sample consists of 453 firm-years listed in Korea Stock Exchange during the period from 2010 to 2014 since the information on unbilled revenue accounts can be obtained after the adoption of K-IFRS. The results are as follows. First, we find that the firms with unbilled revenue account balances have lower analysts' earnings forecast accuracy than the firms who do not report unbilled revue account balances. In addition, we find that the accuracy of analysts' earnings forecasts decreases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. Unbilled revenue account balances occur when the revenue recognition of the contractor is faster than the client. There is a possibility that managerial discretionary judgment and estimation may intervene when the contractor calculates the progress rate. The difference between the actual progress of the construction and the progress recognized by the company lowers the predictive value of financial statements. Our results suggest that the analysts' earnings forecasts may be more difficult for the firms that report unbilled revenue balances as applying the revenue recognition method based on the progress criteria. Second, we find that the firms reporting unbilled revenue account balances tend to have higher the optimistic biases in analysts' earnings forecast than the firms who do not report unbilled revenue account balances. And we find that the analysts' earnings forecast biases are increases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. This study suggests an effort to reduce the arbitrary adjustment and estimation in the measurement of the progress as well as the introduction of the progress measurement method which can reflect the actual progress. Investors are encouraged to invest and analyze the characteristics of the order-based industry accounting standards. In addition, the results of this study empower the accounting transparency enhancement plan for order industry proposed by the policy authorities.

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