• Title/Summary/Keyword: 미시적 모의실험 모형

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미시(微視)-거시연계모형(巨視連繫模型)과 정책효과(政策效果) 분석(分析)

  • Lee, Hong-Gu;Lee, Jae-Yeong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.3-92
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    • 1994
  • 경제정책(經濟政策) 변화(變化)의 효과(效果)를 실증분석(實證分析)할 때, 거시경제(巨視經濟) 변동(變動)에 관심이 있는 경우 거시계량모형(巨視計量模型)을 활용하고, 상대가격구조(相對價格構造) 변동(變動)에 대한 소비자(消費者) 및 생산자(生産者)의 반응에 관심이 있는 경우 일반균형연산모형(一般均衡演算模型)을 사용한다. 그런데 대체로 정책변수(政策變數)는 경제구조(經濟構造)(미시적(微視的) 효과(效果))와 경기순환(景氣循環)(거시적(巨視的) 효과(效果))에 동시적 영향을 주기 때문에, 위의 두 모형(模型) 중 어느 하나만으로는 미시행태와 거시현상을 연계 분석하거 어렵다. 본고(本稿)에서는 정책변수(政策變數)의 변화(變化)가 경제주체(經濟主體)의 개별적 최적화(最適化) 행태(行態)와 집합적(集合的) 행태(行態)에 미치는 영향을 동시에 파악하기 위해 이 두 모형(模型)을 결합한 미시(微視)-거시통합모형(巨視統合模型)을 개발하였다. 통합모형(統合模型)의 결과에 의하면, 일반균형모형(一般均衡模型)에 편입(編入)된 거시계량모형(巨視計量模型)과 동태화(動態化)된 일반균형연산모형(一般均衡演算模型)을 결합하여 단기(短期) 경기순환(景氣循環) 및 중장기(中長期)에 걸친 구조조정(構造調整) 문제(問題)를 동시에 분석 가능한 실증분석(實證分析) 도구(道具)를 개발할 수 있었다. 설제로 본고(本稿)에서는 정책대안효과(政策代案效果)의 정량적(定量的) 평가(評價)를 위하여 통합모형(統合模型)을 가상적인 석탄가격(石炭價格) 자율화(自律化)와 보조금(補助金) 지원제도(支援制度) 변화(變化)의 효과분석에 활용하여 보았다. 이러한 모의실험(模擬實驗)은 다른 정책효과분석(政策效果分析)에도 활용(活用)될 수 있을 것이다.

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Development of Saturation Flow Rate Estimation Models Considering Workzone in the Vicinity of Signalized Intersections (도시부 신호교차로 인근 도로점용공사를 고려한 포화교통류율 산정모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Eo, Hyo-Gyeong;Sin, Chi-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to develop mathematical models for estimating saturation flow rates at the stop line of signalized intersection due to Workzones in the vicinity, since the saturation flow rate is the most critical parameter in capacity analysis for signalized intersections. It was found by reference review that saturation flow rates are sensitively influenced by the location of Workzone, the number of lanes, cycle length and effective green time. Extensive microscopic simulation runs were also performed and compared to the those of mathematical models for model verification. Mathematical models were developed based on traffic flow theory and dualizing them by the location of workzones. And then each result produced by changing important parameter values was carefully examined and analyzed. Small but consistent differences in saturation flow rate values between mathematical models and simulations exist. However, the pattern of changes in saturation flow rates depending on each variable was similar.

Development of Two-lane Highway Vehicle Model Based on Discrete Time and Space (이산적 시공간 기반 2차로 도로 차량모형 개발)

  • Yoon, Byoung Jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6D
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    • pp.785-791
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    • 2011
  • Two-lane and two-way traffic flow shows various dynamic relationships according to the behaviors of low-speed vehicle and overtaking. And it is essential to develop a vehicle model which simultaneously explains the behaviors of low-speed vehicle and overtaking using opposite lane in order to microscopically analyze various two-lane and two-way traffic flows by traffic flow simulation. In Korea, some studies for car-following and lane-changing models for freeway or signalized road have been reported, but few researches for the development of vehicle model for two-lane and two-way highway have been done. Hence, a microscopic two-lane and two-way vehicle model was, in this study, developed with the consideration of overtaking process and is based on CA (Cellular Automata) which is one of discrete time-space models. The developed model is parallel combined with an adjusted CA car-following model and an overtaking model. The results of experimental simulation showed that the car-following model explained the various macroscopic relationships of traffic flow and overtaking model reasonably generated the various behaviors of macroscopic traffic flows under the conditions of both opposite traffic flow and stochastic parameter to consider overtaking. The vehicle model presented in this study is expected to be used for the simulation of more various two-lane, two-way traffic flows.

A Study on Effectiveness and Warrant Analysis for Two-Way Left-Turn Lanes (양방향 좌회전차로(TWLTLs) 적용효과 분석 및 설치준거 연구)

  • Bae, Gwang-Su;Sim, Gwan-Bo;Song, Chang-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2007
  • A two-way left-turn lane is a continuous center left-turn lane that could be used as a deceleration and refuge area for both directions of left-turning vehicles. TWLTL's have been used effectively for access management treatment when applied to a highway that has wide-spread left turning traffic demand and a high-density of side streets. In this study, an effective analysis was carried out using a computer-based simulation tool, VISSIM, in order to evaluate performance and safety effects of TWLTLs and develop a warrant. In conclusion, the results indicated that there was a remarkable decrease of through and left-turning vehicle travel time delay on the main road and improvement of traffic safety.

A Path-based Traffic Flow Simulation Model for Large Scale Network (기종점 기반 대규모 가로망 교통류 시뮬레이션 모형)

  • 조중래;홍영석;손영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2001
  • The Purpose of this study is to develop a simulation model for large-scale network with interrupted flow as well as uninterrupted flow. The Cell Transmission(CT) theory is used to simulate traffic flow. Flow transition rules have been newly developed to simulate traffic flows at merging and diverging sections, and signalized intersections. In the model, it is assumed that dynamic OD table is exogenously given. Simulation results for toy network shows that the model can explain queue dynamics not only in signalized intersections of urban arterials, but also in merging and diverging sections of freeway. In case study, the model successfully simulated traffic flows of 145,000 vehicles on CBD network of city of Seoul with 74 traffic zones, 133 signalized intersections among 395 nodes and 1110 links.

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A Study on Signal Control Algorithms using Internal Metering for an Oversaturated Network (내부 미터링을 이용한 과포화 네트워크 신호제어 알고리즘 연구)

  • Song, Myeong-Gyun;Lee, Yeong-In
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2007
  • The aim of this research is to develop a signal control algorithm using internal metering to minimize total delay that vehicles go through, in case a network is oversaturated. To calculate total delay on the network, the authors first detect vehicles' arrivals and departures in the network through the detecting system, and chase the vehicles' flow in the links with a platoon dispersion model. Following these, the authors calculate the queue length in all the inks of the network through the chase of vehicles, deduce the stopped time delay, and finally convert the stopped time delay to the approach delay with a time-space diagram. Based on this calculated delay, an algorithm that calculates the level of the internal metering necessary to minimize the deduced approach delay is suggested. To verify effectiveness of this suggested algorithm, the authors also conduct simulation with the micro-simulator VISSIM. The result of the simulation shows that the average delay per vehicle is 82.3 sec/veh and this delay is lower than COSMOS (89.9sec/veh) and TOD (99.1sec/veh). It is concluded that this new signal control algorithm suggested in this paper is more effective in controlling an oversaturated network.

Study for the Homogeneity of Freeway Free-Flow Speed under the State of LOS-A Low Density (LOS A 저밀도 상태에서 고속도로 자유교통류 속도의 동질성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung Jo;Oh, Seung Hwoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6D
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    • pp.779-784
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    • 2011
  • Freeway FFS (Free-Flow Speed) under the state of LOS (Level of Service) A has been regarded as a homogeneous state to all levels of traffic volume. The features of low-density FFS is served as the basic data for a decision on limited maximal speed, accident analysis, simulation modeling etc. A few researches for the macroscopic characteristics of design and operation speed have been reported, and any study for the microscopic features of freeway free-flow speed under the state of low density has not been done. Therefore, the characteristics of low-density FFS according to the level of traffic volume (1-3 veh/30 sec) and daily hour periods (0-5, 6-8, 9-11, 12-19, 20-23) is microscopically analyzed in this study with huge volume and speed data. It was found that speed distributions are changed and show different behaviors under the conditions of traffic volume levels and daily time periods. V85s (85th percentile speed) at early morning and night periods decrease when levels of traffic volume increase, whereas V85s at day time do not show considerable differences. Especially, FFSs of levels of traffic volume at early morning and night periods, despite low density, is analyzed as heterogeneity, but homogeneity at day time.

Microscopic Study on the Warrants for TWLTL Based on the DHV - Focusing on the Section with Overlapping Left-turn Movements - (설계시간 교통량 기반 양방향 좌회전차로의 설치기준에 관한 미시적 연구 - 좌회전 상충이 발생하는 구간을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Ji-Sun;Shin, Chi-Hyun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2014
  • This research focuses on the warrants for the Two-Way Left-Turn Lanes (TWLTL). Using a microscopic traffic simulation tool, two key parameters were investigated herewith. One is a wide range of the Design Hourly Volume (DHV), reflective of recent Korean roadway volume characteristics, that is conventionally reduced from the Average Daily Traffic (ADT). The other is driveway spacing, the length of the middle-lane section where two conflicting left-turn demands often compete for space. In addition, unlike previous researches, the way and the procedure the TWLTL operation is realized in the VISSIM S/W with its add-on application such as VISVAP is clearly stated and described in detail. According to the result of simulations for 10 volume scenarios, as expected, the higher the volume level is, the more delay the left-tuner experience. The Level Of Service (LOS) for most cases was in the range of C and D based on the non-signalized intersection LOS criteria. Furthermore, the TWLTL was found operable up to the volume level of 1,116 and 1,860 vph in heavy direction (equivalent of volume level 7) for 3-lane and 5-lane facility respectively, which covers significant portion of existing two to four-lane highway volumes in Korea.

Measuring a Range of Information Dissemination in a Traffic Information System Based on a Vehicular ad hoc Network (Vehicular ad hoc network 기반 교통 정보 시스템에서 차량간 통신에 의한 정보 전달 범위 측정)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Soo;Shin, Min-Ho;Nam, Beom-Seok;Lovell, David J.
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2008
  • Recent wireless communication technologies are envisioned as an innovative alternative to solve transportation problems. On ad hoc networks, as a wireless communication technology, nodes can communicate data without any infrastructure. In particular, vehicular ad hoc networks (VANETs), a specific ad hoc network applied to vehicles, enable vehicles equipped with a communication device to form decentralized traffic information systems in which vehicles share traffic information they experienced. This study investigated traffic information dissemination in a VANET-based traffic information system. For this study, an integrated transportation and communications simulation framework was developed, and experiments were conducted with real highway networks and traffic demands. The results showed that it took 3 minutes in the low traffic density situations (10 vehicle/lane.km) and 43 seconds in the high traffic density condition (40 vehicle/lane.km) to deliver traffic information of 5km away with 10% market penetration rate. In uncongested traffic conditions, information seems to be disseminated via equipped vehicles in the opposite direction. In congested traffic conditions, the sufficient availability of equipped vehicles traveling in the same direction reduces the chance to use vehicles in the opposing direction even though it is still possible.

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