• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.7
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• pp.428-434
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• 2020

The one-shot weapon system is destroyed after only one mission. So, the system requires high reliability. Guided missiles are one-shot weapon systems that have to be analyzed by storage reliability since they spend most of their life in storage. The analysis results depend on the model and the ratio of correct censored data. This study was conducted to propose a method to more accurately predict the future failure rate of Air force guided missiles. In the proposed method, the failure rate is predicted by both MTTF (Mean Time To Failure) and MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) models and the model with a smaller error from the real failure rate is selected. Next, with the selected model, the ratio of correct censored data is selected to minimize the error between the predicted failure rate and the real failure rate. Based on real field data, the comparative result is determined and the result shows that the proposed sampling rate can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2008.11b
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• pp.2845-2849
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• 2008

Long Term Asset Management(LTAM) means a plan developed by using LCM(Life Cycle Management) process for optimum life cycle management of significant plant assets at each plant across the fleet. As a part of development of LTAM Strategies on nuclear turbines, a method so as to determine the future failure rates for low pressure turbine facilities at a nuclear plant was studied and developed by using both plant specific and industry-wide performance data. INPO's EPIX data were analyzed and some failure rate evaluation values considering preventive maintenance practices were calculated by using EPRI's PM Basis software. As the result, failure rate functions applicable to a priori and a posteriori replacement of low pressure turbines at a nuclear plant were developed and utilized in an assessment of economics of LCM alternatives on the nuclear turbine facilities in the respects of 40-year and 60-year operation bases.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.366-372
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• 2020

The Army's rocket missile is a one-shot weapon system, which is produced and used for only one mission, and requires high reliability. While reliability analysis with failure data can result in underestimation of the life distribution, reliability analysis with all the non-failure data can result in overestimation of the life distribution. Under or overestimation of the life distribution can lead to cost increase by early disposal or complete observation of all rocket missiles. In order to overcome this problem, the Army suggests the guideline of the number of samples from non-failure data for reliability analysis with failure data. However, the currently used sampling method can generate errors for predicting the failure rate. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new sampling procedure for predicting a future failure rate using non-failure data. The comparison test between the currently used sampling method and the proposed sampling method is conducted and the result shows that the proposed sampling method can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.21-30
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• 1997

In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level, and based on the time the performances of items are investigated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior of a failure rate is known in the exponential lifetime distribution with censored accelerated failure time data, we utilize the empirical Bayesian method by using the moment estimators in order to estimate the parameters of the prior distribution and obtain the empirical Bayesian predictive density and predictive intervals for a future observation under the normal stress level.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.40 no.8
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• pp.721-724
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• 2016

Because of the inherent uncertainties caused by the manufacturing process variations, future loading conditions, and incomplete damage models, the lifetimes of mechanical structures under field conditions are significantly different from the results obtained in the laboratories. In this study, a dual sensor was developed to prognosticate the fatigue failure of structures under these uncertain conditions, and its effectiveness was demonstrated on a rectangular columnar structure under repeated uni-axial loading. The dual sensor is a slightly weaker structure embedded in the target structure, so that failure occurs in the sensor earlier than in the target structure. From the signal differences in the strain gauges in the embedded dual sensor, it is possible to differentiate between the normal status and warning status, even under variable loads.

• Nuclear industry
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• v.36 no.11
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• pp.29-44
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• 2016

1980~1990년대 OPR1000 기술 자립을 추진할 때도 그랬지만 한국은 원자력 기술 자립에 대한 도전이 선진국에 비해 늦었지만 과학기술자의 열정과 정부의 적극적인 지원으로 오늘날 원자력 선진국이 될 수 있었고, 원자력산업을 해외 수출 산업으로서 다양한 노력을 시도하고 있다. 특히 국내 가동 중인 원전은 외국과 차별되게 1기당 고장 정지율이 0.1건으로 외국 평균의 5.5건과 크게 대별된다. 또한 운전 신뢰성을 나타내는 발전소 가동률도 10% 이상 차로 월등히 높다. 한마디로 한국은 가장 원전의 기술 개발과 운영을 잘하고 있는 원전 선진국임을 자타가 인정하고 있다. 그러나 현재의 기술 수준에 머물면 미래 원전 기술에서는 다른 선진국 내지 중국, 인도 등 신흥국에 그 자리를 양보할 수밖에 없을 것이다. 미래 원자력이란 시대적 요건인 고유 안전성과 지속 가능성을 확보하고 경제성과 함께 핵확산 저항성이 전제되는 원자력 신기술로서 세계와의 경쟁 대상이다. 여기에 핵연료 자원의 유한성에 지속 가능성을 확보하기 위해서 우라늄 효율을 극대화하는 제4세대의 고속로 개발까지 우리나라는 선도적 위치로 가야 한다. 이 기술 개발 역시 출발은 늦었지만 적극적인 개발을 추진하고 있어 소듐고속로의 시현 원자로인 PGSFR을 2028년까지 완성하는 목표를 달성하면, 이를 근간으로 세계 선진국의 경쟁 대열에 나설 수 있다. 정부의 적극적인 지원이 선도적 위치에 갈 수 있는 지름길이다. 고속로 기술 개발과 관련하여 사용후핵연료(SF)의 국가 정책이 아직 확정되지 않아 재활용주기를 전제하고 있는 고속로 개발에 어려움을 주고 있다. 따라서 SF 부지를 2028년까지 확정하는 일정과 함께 국가 SF 정책이 조속히 확정되어야 한다.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.151-161
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• 2014

It is very important to evaluate proper acquisition of military aircraft against future threats in our military defense field. In previous studies, the evaluation has been determined in terms of tasking order or weapon power index. These methods compare the combat-effectiveness index and the number of aircraft. However, this study provides simulation analysis of proper quantity decision based on actual operational senarios of military aircraft using System Dynamics. The method reflects the properties of military aircraft operation concepts and considers the rate of failure of main systems on subsystems, as well as repair and crash rates caused by differentials in peacetime and wartime frame.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.535-541
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• 2009

The reliability of control system composed of electronic parts has been studied by DoD since 1960, and has been undertaken mainly by Europe for railways. Especially in Korea, a study on reliability of signalling equipment has been taken since 2000, requiring reliability test for effective maintenance of old type signalling equipment which no longer has information on its past reliability. This study evaluates the reliability test in units of parts for old type signalling equipment; for instance, failure rate in units of parts, or failure data during operation; which was utilized without its consistent reliability monitoring and analysis data for over 20 years. Also, reliability change at this point in time has been estimated by using residual life span function, and a model which can evaluate the possibility of extended operation through stress acceleration test has been developed. This model will be utilized to establish future maintenance policy for train operating company's operation on old type signalling equipment.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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• v.37 no.8
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• pp.86-96
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• 2000

The representative area among the ones whose cost increases as the integration ratio increases is the test area. As the relative cost of hardware decreases, the BIST method has been focued on as the future-oriented test method. The biggest drawback of it is the increasing test time to obtain the acceptable fault coverage. This paper proposed a BIST implementation method to reduce the test times. This method uses an input grouping and test point insertion method, in which the definition of test point is different from the previous one. That is, the test points are defined on the basis of the internal nodes which are the reference points of the input grouping and are merging points of the grouped signals. The main algorithms in the proposed method were implemented with C-language, and various circuits were used to apply the proposed method for experiment. The results showed that the test time could be reduced to at most $1/2^{40}$ of the pseudo-random pattern case and the fault coverage were also increased compared with the conventional BIST method. The relative hardware overhead of the proposed method to the circuit under test decreases as th e size of the circuit to be tested increases, and the delay overhead by the BIST utility is negligible compared to that of the original circuit. That means, the proposed method can be applied efficiently to large VLSI circuits.