• Title/Summary/Keyword: 물류 신뢰성

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Factor Analysis Affecting on Changes in Handysize Freight Index and Spot Trip Charterage (핸디사이즈 운임지수 및 스팟용선료 변화에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Kim, Tae-Woo;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2021
  • The handysize bulk carriers are capable of transporting a variety of cargo that cannot be transported by mid-large size ship, and the spot chartering market is active, and it is a market that is independent of mid-large size market, and is more risky due to market conditions and charterage variability. In this study, Granger causality test, the Impulse Response Function(IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition(FEVD) were performed using monthly time series data. As a result of Granger causality test, coal price for coke making, Japan steel plate commodity price, hot rolled steel sheet price, fleet volume and bunker price have causality to Baltic Handysize Index(BHSI) and charterage. After confirming the appropriate lag and stability of the Vector Autoregressive model(VAR), IRF and FEVD were analyzed. As a result of IRF, the three variables of coal price for coke making, hot rolled steel sheet price and bunker price were found to have significant at both upper and lower limit of the confidence interval. Among them, the impulse of hot rolled steel sheet price was found to have the most significant effect. As a result of FEVD, the explanatory power that affects BHSI and charterage is the same in the order of hot rolled steel sheet price, coal price for coke making, bunker price, Japan steel plate price, and fleet volume. It was found that it gradually increased, affecting BHSI by 30% and charterage by 26%. In order to differentiate from previous studies and to find out the effect of short term lag, analysis was performed using monthly price data of major cargoes for Handysize bulk carriers, and meaningful results were derived that can predict monthly market conditions. This study can be helpful in predicting the short term market conditions for shipping companies that operate Handysize bulk carriers and concerned parties in the handysize chartering market.

A Path-based Traffic Flow Simulation Model for Large Scale Network (기종점 기반 대규모 가로망 교통류 시뮬레이션 모형)

  • 조중래;홍영석;손영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2001
  • The Purpose of this study is to develop a simulation model for large-scale network with interrupted flow as well as uninterrupted flow. The Cell Transmission(CT) theory is used to simulate traffic flow. Flow transition rules have been newly developed to simulate traffic flows at merging and diverging sections, and signalized intersections. In the model, it is assumed that dynamic OD table is exogenously given. Simulation results for toy network shows that the model can explain queue dynamics not only in signalized intersections of urban arterials, but also in merging and diverging sections of freeway. In case study, the model successfully simulated traffic flows of 145,000 vehicles on CBD network of city of Seoul with 74 traffic zones, 133 signalized intersections among 395 nodes and 1110 links.

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Applications of Fuzzy Theory on The Location Decision of Logistics Facilities (퍼지이론을 이용한 물류단지 입지 및 규모결정에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;정창무;이헌주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2000
  • In existing models in optimization, the crisp data improve has been used in the objective or constraints to derive the optimal solution, Besides, the subjective environments are eliminated because the complex and uncertain circumstances were regarded as Probable ambiguity, In other words those optimal solutions in the existing models could be the complete satisfactory solutions to the objective functions in the Process of application for industrial engineering methods to minimize risks of decision-making. As a result of those, decision-makers in location Problems couldn't face appropriately with the variation of demand as well as other variables and couldn't Provide the chance of wide selection because of the insufficient information. So under the circumstance. it has been to develop the model for the location and size decision problems of logistics facility in the use of the fuzzy theory in the intention of making the most reasonable decision in the Point of subjective view under ambiguous circumstances, in the foundation of the existing decision-making problems which must satisfy the constraints to optimize the objective function in strictly given conditions in this study. Introducing the Process used in this study after the establishment of a general mixed integer Programming(MIP) model based upon the result of existing studies to decide the location and size simultaneously, a fuzzy mixed integer Programming(FMIP) model has been developed in the use of fuzzy theory. And the general linear Programming software, LINDO 6.01 has been used to simulate, to evaluate the developed model with the examples and to judge of the appropriateness and adaptability of the model(FMIP) in the real world.

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청주화강암의 U-Pb 스핀 연대

  • 정창식;정연중;길영우;정기영
    • Proceedings of the Mineralogical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.53-53
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    • 2003
  • 남한에 분포하는 현생 화강암류는 트라이아스기-쥬라기의 소위 대보화강암과 백악기-제3기의 불국사화강암으로 분류되어 왔다. 대보조산운동은 대동누층군의 퇴적이후에 일어난 조구조운동을 지칭하므로 트라이아스기의 화강암을 포함하는 대보화강암이라는 명칭은 그와 사실상 직접적인 관계는 없다. 트라이아스기-쥬라기의 화강암은 영덕, 청송 암체 외에는 경상분지 밖에 위치하고 백악기-제3기의 화강암은 속리산, 월악산 암체 외에는 경상분지 안쪽에 주로 분포한다. 트라이아스기-쥬라기의 화강암 중 영광-대전-청주-충주-원주-강릉 방면에 걸쳐 북동-남서 방향으로 분포하는 화강암질 저반은 남한에서 가장 넓은 면적을 차지하는 화강암체지만 신뢰할만한 연대측정 자료가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 이 화강암질 저반에 대해서는 Rb-Sr, K-Ar법이 해답을 주기 어렵다. 예를 들어 청주-음성-증평 지역의 화강암류에 대한 Rb-Sr 전암 자료는 분산이 심하며 약 380 Ma에 해당되는 초시선을 보여 기원물질의 불균질성 내지 불완전한 혼합 효과를 반영하고 있다. 옥천대와 영남육괴에 분포하는 일부 화강암체에 대해 잘못 보고된 Rb-Sr 전암연대 역시 모두 중광물의 U-Pb 연대보다 오래된 값을 보이는 것으로 보아 이들은 생성 당시부터 일정한 $^{87}$ Sr/$^{86}$Sr 초기치를 가지지 않고 Rb/Sr 비에 따른 양(+)의 기울기를 가졌음이 확실하다. 과잉의 방사기원 Ar을 가지거나 폐쇄온도가 낮은 광물들을 대상으로 한 K-Ar 자료 역시 화강암체의 관입편대를 정확하게 지시할 수는 없다. 우리는 이에 대한 연구의 일환으로 충청남도 청원군의 물류센터에서 채취한 중립질의 흑운모화강암 한 시료에 대한 U-Pb 스핀연대측정 결과를 다음과 같이 보고한다. $^{206}$ Pb$^{*}$ /$^{238}$ U age = 174.6$\pm$2.7 Ma $^{207}$ Pb$^{*}$ /$^{235}$ U age = 170.3$\pm$14.6 Ma $^{207}$ Pb$^{*}$ /$^{206}$ Pb sup */ age = 111$\pm$187 Ma 위에서 볼 수 있듯이 청주화강암의 스핀에 대해 콘코던트(concordant)한 연대가 얻어졌으며 자료의 오차, 스핀의 U-Pb계에 대한 폐쇄온도 및 화강암의 솔리더스(solidus)를 고려할 때 $^{206}$ Pb$^{*}$ /$^{238}$ U 연대인 174.6$\pm$2.7 Ma를 관입정치시기로 해석한다. 동일 시료의 흑운모에 대해서는 145 Ma의 Rb-Sr 연대가 얻어졌으며 따라서 관입이후 약 35$0^{\circ}C$까지 대략 1$0^{\circ}C$/Ma의 냉각속도를 구할 수 있었다. 청주화강암의 쥬라기 중기 연대는 영광-대전-청주-충주-원주-강릉 지역의 화강암질 저반이 대동누층군 퇴적 이후에 일어난 지구조 사건과 연관되었을 가능성을 지시하지만 이를 확인하기 위해서는 더 많은 자료가 요구된다. 우리는 현재 충주, 괴산 지역의 화강암체에 대해서도 스핀 연대측정을 수행중에 있으며 이들 자료를 암상을 구분하여 해석한다면 우리나라 중생대 지구조운동에 대한 새로운 사실이 밝혀질 수 있을 것으로 믿는다.

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A Study on the Factors Affect on Opticians' Customer Orientation (안경사의 고객지향성에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Youngro;Park, Inn-Jee
    • The Korean Journal of Vision Science
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2018
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study is to analyze how the certain efforts of the optical shops affect on opticians' job satisfaction and organizational commitment, and to analyze how opticians' job satisfaction and organizational commitment affect on the customer orientation and to suggest the method of maintaining competitiveness. Methods : Two hundred opticians took participations on the surveys via the Internet survey method and social network system (SNS), and SPSS 18.0 statistics program was used for data analysis; frequency analysis, T-test, factor analysis, reliability analysis, and multiple linear regression analysis were conducted. Results : It is analyzed the differences on the job satisfaction and organizational commitment in accordance with type of optical shops, conducting 5 working days/week and flexible time. As a result, higher job satisfaction is presented with 5 working days/week. Relationships with co-workers statistically affect on job satisfaction positively and emotional labor and work overload statistically affect on job satisfaction negatively. In addition, relationships with co-workers and reward statistically affect on organizational commitment positively and emotional labor and work overload statistically affect on organizational commitment negatively. And opticians' job satisfaction and organizational commitment statistically affect on customer satisfaction positively. Conclusion : It is necessary for the optical shops to make an effort for their opticians to improve the job satisfaction and organizational commitment. And to do so, it is needed to form trusting and respecting relationships with co-workers or superiors. In addition, it is necessary to have continuous communication and education for opticians' self-management. Also, it is needed to establish an effective reward system.

A Study on the Effects of the Characteristics of Franchise Business Members on Affiliate Outcomes (업종별 프랜차이즈 선택결정요인이 가맹점 성과의 만족도와 성공·실패에 미치는 영향연구)

  • Jang, Jae-Nam;Kang, Chang-Dong;Ahn, Sung-Sik
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2011
  • A franchise can be said to be the main method of distribution and marketing. It appears to be the future of the retail industry and is one of the world's fastest growing businesses sectors, as many policy reports and research results have acknowledged. Korea's franchise industry began in the 1970s, spread out into many areas (including food services, retail, and the service industry), and has grown by over 10% each year ever since. The industry's influence on the national economy becomes ever greater. Although the size of the franchise industry is expected to grow as it spreads and as the government expands its support, it has not yet attracted much academic interest. Research has so far been very fragmented. The main interest has been the relationship and conflicts between the head offices and the affiliates. No study has yet occurred on whether the concepts of satisfaction and intent to conclude a contract directly affect the success or failure of the affiliates. Few studies have empirically inquired into the demographic characteristics and abilities of the affiliates that significantly affect their results. Domestic franchise industries must prepare to leap from quantitative to qualitative growth. Most important is the need for affiliate headquarters and affiliates to build confidence between them. A friendly and reliable relationship between affiliate headquarters and affiliates will eliminate distrust from the franchise and maintain a healthy franchise system. This study suggests that current and prospective heads of affiliation should concentrate not on attracting affiliates but on investment and techniques of affiliate support. They should work on the reinforcement of brand power, the appropriate affiliate business environment, systematic education/training, taking burdens off the affiliate business persons, consolidating the relationship with the affiliate business persons, marketing mix factors (e.g. products, price conditions, logistics and shipping services, promotion, supervising and supervisor, operation procedures/processes, and material evidence); these all greatly affect the success or failure of the affiliate business. Supporting the affiliates is an important factor that enhances their results and satisfaction and consequently increases the positive recommendations to others and the ratio of recurrent conclusions of contracts, which ultimately generate the growth of the franchises. In addition, it is suggested that prospective franchise founders should make every effort to choose a good head office since the characteristics of the head office greatly influence the success of the affiliates. This study is significant in that it grasps the characteristics of the head office of affiliation and of the affiliates that influence affiliate results in ways not yet academically attempted.

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Framework of Stock Market Platform for Fine Wine Investment Using Consortium Blockchain (공유경제 체제로서 컨소시엄 블록체인을 활용한 와인투자 주식플랫폼 프레임워크)

  • Chung, Yunkyeong;Ha, Yeyoung;Lee, Hyein;Yang, Hee-Dong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.45-65
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    • 2020
  • It is desirable to invest in wine that increases its value, but wine investment itself is unfamiliar in Korea. Also, the process itself is unreasonable, and information is often forged, because pricing in the wine market is done by a small number of people. With the right solution, however, the wine market can be a desirable investment destination in that the longer one invests, the higher one can expect. Also, it is expected that the domestic wine consumption market will expand through the steady increase in domestic wine imports. This study presents the consortium block chain framework for revitalizing the wine market and enhancing transparency as the "right solution" of the nation's wine investment market. Blockchain governance can compensate for the shortcomings of the wine market because it guarantees desirable decision-making rights and accountability. Because the data stored in the block chain can be checked by consumers, it reduces the likelihood of counterfeit wine appearing and complements the process of unreasonably priced. In addition, digitization of assets resolves low cash liquidity and saves money and time throughout the supply chain through smart contracts, lowering entry barriers to wine investment. In particular, if the governance of the block chain is composed of 'chateau-distributor-investor' through consortium blockchains, it can create a desirable wine market. The production process is stored in the block chain to secure production costs, set a reasonable launch price, and efficiently operate the distribution system by storing the distribution process in the block chain, and forecast the amount of orders for futures trading. Finally, investors make rational decisions by viewing all of these data. The study presented a new perspective on alternative investment in that ownership can be treated like a share. We also look forward to the simplification of food import procedures and the formation of trust within the wine industry by presenting a framework for wine-owned sales. In future studies, we would like to expand the framework to study the areas to be applied.