• Title/Summary/Keyword: 무역 불확실성

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Analysis of dependence structure between international freight rate index and U.S. and China trade uncertainty (국제 해운 운임지수와 미국과 중국의 무역 불확실성 사이의 의존성 구조 분석)

  • Kim, Bu-Kwon;Kim, Dong-Yoon;Choi, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2020
  • Trade is an important economic activity. In particular, since the establishment of the World Trade Organization (WTO), the scope of trade has been expanding due to events such as the entry of China into the WTO in 2001, the establishment of a multilateral trading system, mitigation and integration of trade barriers, and the establishment of the free trade agreement (FTA). Despite the expansion of the trade market, however, extreme events such as the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2016 Brexit, and the 2018 US-China trade war have had a direct negative impact on the trade market. Therefore, the present this study analyzed the dependence structure between the international shipping freight rate index, a variable representing trade activities, and the trade uncertainty between the US and China. The following is a summary of the analysis results. First, the US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty and international shipping freight rate index presented a Frank copula and rotated Clayton copula 270° distribution, respectively, showing the same distribution structure for each country. Second, the Kendall's tau correlation revealed a negative dependence between the international shipping freight rate index and US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty. The degree of dependence was greater in the combination of uncertainty in China's trade policy and international shipping freight rates. In other words, the dependence of global demand and trade policy uncertainty confirmed that China was stronger than the US. Finally, the tail dependence results revealed that the US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty and international shipping freight rates were independent of each other. This means that extreme events related to the trade policy uncertainty or international shipping rate index were not affected by each other.

해운이슈

  • 한국선주협회
    • 해운
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    • s.75
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2010
  • 2010년 세계 경제는 중국 등 신흥국들을 중심으로 한 완만한 회복세를 시현하였다. 그러나 미국 주택금융 침체 계속, 유럽 국가부채증가 등 다양한 불안성과 불확실성이 상존하면서 2011년 무역환경은 변동성이 확대될 것으로 전망되고 있다. 다음은 무역협회에서 발표한 '2011년 무역환경전망' 발표자료를 정리 요약한 것이다.

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The Impacts of the Service Quality of the Trade Promotion Agency on the Performance of Seoul Metropolitan and Local Exporting Firms (무역지원기관 서비스품질이 수도권 및 지역 수출기업의 수출성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Hee-Cheol;Bae, Myong-Ryeol;Hwang, Kyung-Yun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2015
  • We investigate the structural relationships between quality of service from Trade Promotion Agency(TPA), environmental uncertainty, and firms' uses of the service, export market orientation and export performance, using data from Korean export firms, Seoul Metropolitan export firms and local export firms. In particular, this article attempts to analyze how firms' uses of service from TPA may be influenced by their export market orientation, environmental uncertainty, and the service quality. The results from the study show that in Seoul Metropolitan export firms, TPA's service quality, environmental uncertainty, and their export market orientation have positive effects on their uses of service from TPA, which leads to increase in their export performance. The study also finds a solid evidence that, in Seoul Metropolitan export firms, environmental uncertainty has a positive effect on their export market orientation, which enhances their export performance. The study, however, finds that in local export firms, environmental uncertainty and export market orientation do not significantly affect their uses of service from TPA and export performance, respectively.

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2013년 인쇄무역 결산 - PART3 환변동보험

  • 대한인쇄문화협회
    • 프린팅코리아
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.66-67
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    • 2014
  • 원화강세가 인쇄물 수출에도 영향을 미치고 있다. 환율하락으로 수출물가가 하락하고 있는데, 이는 6년 사이 최저 수준을 기록했다. 특히 환율이 급등과 급락을 오가는 사이 환율에 대한 대비가 거의 없는 중소 인쇄사의 경우 그 피해를 고스란히 입고 있다. 환율 변동에 따른 피해를 줄이기 위해 한국무역보험공사에서는 환변동보험을 통해 중소기업의 환율변동의 불확실성에 대한 위험을 대비할 수 있는 상품을 제공하고 있다.

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The Dynamic Trade Effect of Korea's Free Trade Agreements: Extensive Margins of Trade (한국 자유무역협정의 동태적 교역효과 분석: 무역외연효과를 중심으로)

  • Jae-Wook Jung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.307-329
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    • 2023
  • This paper studies how the free trade agreements (FTAs) have changed the dynamics of Korea's imports since 1996. Specifically, the dynamic regression analysis on the transition of trade liberalization discovers three main findings: (1) import values of Korea increase gradually as FTAs enter into force; (2) the extensive margins of import work as a major source of the trade effect in the transition episode of FTAs; (3) the extensive margins of import tend to increase even before FTAs enter into force. This noble forward-looking effect suggests some potential foreign exporters or exporting goods enter the Korean market, especially when FTAs negotiation starts. It supports the early entry behavior of potential exporters found in recent international trade literature.

A Study on the Entrepreneurship and the Cultural Environment (기업가정신과 문화적 환경에 대한 연구)

  • Ji-Won Kim;Na-Young Kim;Ki-Ho Heo;Jae-Won Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2023.01a
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    • pp.433-435
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 기업가정신 글로벌비즈니스 세미나 과목의 과제로써 기업가정신이 무엇인지 확립하고 기업가정신과 연관 지을 수 있는 주제를 선정하여 스스로 연구함으로써 그 의미를 구체화 하고 새로운 패러다임을 제시하고자 하는데 의미가 있다고 볼 수 있다. 저자들은 '문화'가 갖는 상대성에 주목하여 기업가 정신을 해석하였으며 재학 중 배웠던 '홉스테드의 문화 특성' 이론과 접목시켜 문화가 기업가 정신에 어떤 영향을 끼치는지 연구하였다. 글로벌 기업가정신 모니터(GEM)의 글로벌 기업가 지수 순위 조사 결과와, 홉스테드 인사이트(Hofstede-insight)의 6가지 차원에 따른 국가별 문화지수 파일을 접목시켜 수치화하고, 시각적 그래프 및 엑셀 데이터 다중 회귀분석을 통하여 결과를 도출하였다. 홉스테드의 문화 특성이 기업가 정신 순위에 영향을 미칠 것이라고 가정하고 분석한 결과, 홉스테드의 6가지 차원 중 하나인 불확실성 회피성향이 기업가 정신에 가장 높은 영향을 미친다는 사실을 발견하였다. 이번 연구를 통해기업가 정신을 계승하는 기업문화를 제고하고 경제학과 인류학 통합 연구의 필요성을 제시한다.

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A Study on the Analysis of Container Ports' Efficiency using Uncertainty DEA model (불확실성 DEA모델을 이용한 컨테이너 항만의 효율성 분석 연구)

  • Pham, Thi-Quynh-Mai;Kim, Hwa-Young;Lee, Cheong-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2016
  • Container port nowadays becomes one of the most vital link of the transportation chain, plays an important role in trading with other countries. Therefore, evaluating the operational efficiency of container ports to reflect their status and to reveal their position in this competitive environment is very important for port development. Although there have been lots of methods used to measure efficiency in the past, the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) model is still the most commonly applied approach. However, the data used in the model sometimes is complex and uncertain to handle using the basic DEA model. In this paper, we applied an uncertainty theory to create an uncertainty DEA model (UDEA), which can solve the limitation of the traditional one. This study mainly focuses on measuring efficiency of 41 container ports by applying proposed an UDEA model. The results show that among 41 container ports, only six container ports are regarded to have efficient operation through the clustering, meanwhile others have technical and scale inefficiencies. We found out that an UDEA model is better to analysis efficiency than existing DEA model.

A Study on the Trade Insurance System through Risk Management of Trade Payment of Korea's Export and Import Manufacturing Companies (한국수출기업의 무역대금결제의 위험관리에 따른 무역보험제도에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Chang Bong;Park, Se Hwan;Kwon, Seung Ha
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.213-236
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    • 2017
  • World trade has entered a stagnant state, protection trade measures are spread due to delayed economic recovery in developed countries, sluggish investment in emerging economies such as China, economic recession in resource exporting countries, and geopolitical and political uncertainties along with the election period in the US and other major industrialized countries. Thus, in the economic structure of our country with a focus on export, for small and medium enterprises to grow, efforts for having various markets are necessary. The importance of the trade insurance system, which can support the risk management of enterprises, is emphasized by the fact that the majority of SME exporters have a risk management level and a lack of corporate capacity to enter the global market. This study was surveyed with 87 small and medium export companies in South Korea. The purpose of this study is to verify the effect relationship how service quality of trade insurance and utilization of trade insurance impact on the risk management of trade payment and export performance. The research hypothesis and model was derived from the basis of existing theory and empirical research, and obtained the following results. Firstly, Service Quality of Trade Insurance showed positive (+) effect on Export Performance. Secondly, Utilization of Trade Insurance showed positive (+) effect on Risk Management of Trade Payment. Thirdly, Risk Management of Trade Payment showed positive (+) effect on Export Performance. This study is differentiated from previous research information by empirically evaluating the relationship between the risk management of trade payment and export performance through utilization of trade insurance. This study contributed to academic by examining the research on the risk management of trade insurance and also practically suggested the direction how small and medium export company is to take the advantage of the trade insurance.

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Characteristics and Operational Mechanism of Sino-South Korean Cross-Border Small-Scale Trade (한.중 소무역의 성격과 운영 메커니즘)

  • Jang, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.568-582
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to discover the characteristics of Sino-South Korean cross-border small-scale trade, which involves various players. Through this characteristics, this study ultimately intends to identify an operational mechanism of Sino-South Korean cross-border small-scale trade by investigating social capital as mobilized by small-scale traders. The results of this study can be expected to help understand how small-scale merchants address the uncertainty or risks surrounding their trade. Although it is an informal economic activity, the cross-border small-scale trade between South Korea and China is related to issues of the formal economy, such as job creation, benefits for local economies, and profit-seeking. Owing to this characteristics, small-scale trade is being conducted with the connivance of, or even with the tacit support from formal organizations, including municipal governments, customs, corporations, and shipping companies. Like trade in other countries, Sino-South Korean cross-border small-scale trade also requires different types of social capital, such as family networks, ethnic networks, social networks, and trust.

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A Study on Cultural Characteristic Differences and Brand Attitude of Chinese Consumers (중국소비자의 문화적 특성 차이와 브랜드 태도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ju-Won;Mun, Cheol-Ju;Kim, Yong-June
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.181-207
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    • 2012
  • This study explores and examines the impacts of the cultural characters on the brand attitude of Chinese regional consumers. This study used the 1,500 sample sized data collected from three major cities: Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. We investigate that power distance, individualism/collectivism, uncertainty avoidance and long-orientation are statistically different across cities. The empirical studies show that individualism/collectivism and uncertainty avoidance have significant impacts on the brand attitude of Chinese regional consumers. We tested that the relationship between the brand power and the brand attitude is moderated by individualism/collectivism, the results indicate that the effect of the brand power on the brand attitude is moderated by uncertainty avoidance. These results imply that Chinese consumers' culture character of individualism/collectivism and uncertainty avoidance moderate their brand attitude. Based on this results, We suggested some implications for further market segmentation strategy, brand marketing strategy, and Chinese regional consumer culture research.