• Title/Summary/Keyword: 무역(수출입)

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Is There a J-Curve Effect in the Trade with China via Korean Ports? (한국의 대중국 항만 무역에서 J-curve 효과는 존재하는가?)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2011
  • The effect of real exchange rate changes on trade balance is called the J-curve effect. That is, after real depreciation, the trade balance will deteriorate in the short run and improve in the long run. Specially, import and export prices respond with little or no decline in volume. Assuming a zero initial trade balance and dominance of the exporter currency in invoicing trade contracts, the trade balance continues to deteriorate in the medium term. Over time, the relative price-induced volume effect comes to dominate the price effect and the trade balance improves. This pattern of the trade balance adjustment is commonly referred to as the J-curve effect. This study examines the effects of changes in the exchange rate on the Korean port trade balance to China. The empirical results indicate that whilst there is J-curve effect in the short-run, but in the long-run, the real depreciation of the Korean won has positive impact on port trade balance to China.

The Impacts of Chinese Seaborne Trade Volume on The World Economy (중국 품목별 수출입이 세계 경제에 미치는 영향 실증분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 2017
  • According to the World Bank statistics, China's contribution to global economic growth during the year of 2013-2016 was estimated at 31.6 percent. This figure is even larger than 29.0 percent, the contribution by summing each contribution of the United States, EU and Japan. The Chinese commodity trade accounts for up to 11.5 percent of world trade volume. Thus, we can consider that the Chinese economy has a strong influence on the global economy. The primary purpose of this study is to analyze the contribution level of Chinese seaborne trade volume on world economy. First, this study conducted a time-lag analysis using Moran test, so we can find that China's level of contribution to global economic growth varies from time to time. The contribution of the first phase (1999-2007) was nearly three times higher than the contributions from the second phase (2008-2016), suggesting that the overall contraction of the global trade volume starting from the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 has continued until recently and recovery has not even occurred. Second, using the econometrics model, this study conducted an regression analysis of the impact of Chinese imports and exports in chemicals, grain, steel, crude oil, and container on global economic growth. Fixed effects model with time series data has been applied to examine the effect of Chinese seaborne trade volume on global economic growth. According to the empirical analysis of this study, China's exports of steel products, exports of container, imports of containers, imports of crude oil and imports of grain have significant contributions to global economic growth. Estimates of China's exports of steel products, exports of container, imports of containers, imports of crude oil and imports of grain are 1.023, 1.020, 1.019, 1.007 and 1.006, respectively. For example, the estimated value 1.023 of China's exports of steel products means that the growth rate can be 1.023 times higher than the current world GDP growth rate if Chinese seaborne trade volume of exports of steel products increased by one unit (one million tons). This study concludes that the expansion of China's imports and exports should be realized first to increase the global GDP growth rate. The expansion of Chinese trade can lead to a simultaneous stimulus of production and consumption in China, which can even lead to global economic growth ultimately. Thus, depending on how much China's trade will be broaden in the future, the width of global economic growth can be determined.

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A Study on the Resolution of Trade Disputes by Mediation (조정에 의한 무역분쟁의 해결방안 고찰)

  • Jang, Eun-Hee;Hwang, Ji-Hyeon
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.139-158
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    • 2018
  • As trade volume increases and the business environment becomes more complex and competitive, international trade disputes are also increasing and becoming more complex. Parties need to become more aware of alternatives to costly and time consuming arbitration and litigation. The ADR (Alternative Dispute Resolution) can encompass all dispute resolution processed and can act as a substitute for traditional litigation. Mediation, a type of ADR, offers an amicable dispute settlement mechanism between concerned parties through a natural mediator. There are several strong points of mediation compared with litigation or arbitration. First of all, mediation can take place without having to complete time-consuming and expensive discovery processes associated with litigation. In addition, since mediation is considered a private process, the dispute can remain out of the public eye. It can be embarrassing and disrupt business when customer or suppliers learn that a company is involved in litigation. Lastly, mediation is less adversarial than litigation or arbitration, so the parties often can salvage their relationships. Often the parties to mediation find themselves continuing to conduct business. In spite of such benefits of mediation, it is less used in Korea and therefore, this article aims to promote the mediation system in international trade disputes. However, this paper has limitation, for example, why ADR is not used well in Korea and need to suggest how ADR can work best in international trade disputes.

A Study on the Benefit and Expected Effect of Introducing an AEO Programmes (우리나라 수출입기업의 AEO 인증제도 도입에 따른 혜택 및 기대효과에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Kyu;Kim, Hyun-Jee
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.49
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    • pp.167-188
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    • 2011
  • The World Customs Organization (WCO) has designed standards to secure and to facilitate the ever-growing flow of goods in international commerce since 9.11 terrorism in U.S.A. These standards are set forth in the SAFE Framework of Standards, which was adopted by the WCO Council at its 2005 Sessions and the SAFE Framework incorporates the concept of the Authorized Economic Operator (AEO), and the Council directed the WCO to develop more detailed implementing provisions for the AEO concept. It is considered to be reliable in customs-related operations and ensures an equivalent level of protection in customs controls for goods brought into or out of the customs territory, whereas it is difficult for many Korean companies to make a decision of introducing the AEO certification programs because of a lack of cost and benefit information. In this article, We have reviewed the definition and the developing status of an AEO programmes and have studied the benefit and expected effect through documentary research methods. Therefore, it is essential for Korean companies to be certified the AEO programmes from Korea customs service for increasing security in international supply chains through risk management and customs compliance, in addition, the key-driver in the future will be expectations from the business community to work with AEO partners.

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Transmissions of Toxic Substances and Trade between Korea and America : Using International Input-Output Analysis (한·미 국제무역에 따른 독성물질의 이전 : 국제산업연관분석의 응용)

  • Rhee, Hae-Chun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.31-59
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    • 2008
  • This paper is intended to analyze the toxic substances transmission between South Korea and U.S. through international trade, based on 2000 international input-output data and both country's toxic substances. According to result, The high TEI sectors are metal, chemical and general machinery in Korea, and the high TEI sectors of America are electric & electronics, Chemicals, Rubber and Plastics. Korea's export structure to America is more pollutant than America's export structure to Korea.

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Hierarchy of the Influence Areas by Freight Flows in Pyeongtaek and Dangjin Port, Korea (평택.당진항의 화물유동에 의한 항세권의 계층성)

  • Han, Ju-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.751-766
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to grasp the hierarchy in the influence areas of port by the intensity of freight shipments and to seek the activating methods for the increase of export and import volumes of Pyeongtaek and Dangjin port. Pyeongtaek and Dangjin port whose major import and export freights are natural gas and automobile, were constructed for the increasing trade with People's Republic of China. This port is expanding the influence in the hinterland and foreland of the port, but core influence area of Pyeongtaek and Dangjin port is rich in trade volume within the radius of 70km. To become international as well as national ports, Pyeongtaek and Dangjin is required to execute the active policy to receive many-sideness of sea route and the recognition of freight holders, forwarders and ship companies in many regions.

A Case Study on the RFID-based Ubiquitous Port for IMO Member states to provide an efficient maritime logistics and strengthen security in port (IMO 회원국을 대상으로 한 효율적인 해운 물류 및 보안 강화를 위한 RFID 기반 Ubiquitous Port 적용 사례 연구)

  • Park, Soo-Min;Kim, Min-Sik;Ahn, Kyeong-Rim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.1607-1610
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    • 2012
  • 국제 무역의 활성화와, 운송수단의 기술적 발전은 국가 간 교역을 증대시키게 되었다. 특히 해상 무역 물동량의 증가는 국제항을 다양한 재화 및 여객 소통의 중심으로 만들었고, 경제적 관문으로써의 중요성이 높아지고 있으며 점차 국가 주요 기반 시설로 자리 잡고 있다. 즉, 원활한 교역을 위한 물류 효율화 달성과 안전한 항만 운영을 위한 보안 제도 강화의 필요성이 증대됨에 따라, 이를 효과적으로 관리 유지할 필요가 있게 되었다. 이에 본 논문은 자동화 고부가가치 서비스가 가능한 정보 중심의 u-Port(Ubiquitous Port)를 국가 전략적 차원에서 육성한 대한민국 사례를 기반으로 효율적인 항만물류를 위한 기반 시스템으로 활용될 수 있도록 해운물류표준화 기구인 IMO(International Maritime Organization)에 선진 사례로 소개하고 활용할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 한다. u-Port는 수출입 화물 관리가 용이하며 항만 보안을 강화하는 등 항만 업무 효율화를 제공할 수 있다는 장점으로 향후 개발도상국 또는 후진국의 항만 업무 생산성 및 투명성을 높일 수 있는 기반을 지원할 수 있을 것이다.

Comparison of the Characteristics of Air Trade Import and Export between Countries with FTA and Non-FTA Countries (FTA 체결국과 비체결국의 항공무역 수출입 특성 비교)

  • Park, Beom-Sun;Lim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Young-Rok;Kim, In-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2021
  • In this study, based on actual data for the past 20 years, the factors affecting aviation trade were identified by classifying the countries that concluded FTAs with Korea and those that did not, through panel analysis. The amount was analyzed by dividing it into exports and imports, and differences between countries with FTAs and non-FTAs were also derived. As a result of the analysis, both exports and imports showed a positive(+) direction for the counterpart country's GDP per capita and Korea's GDP, and a negative(-) direction for the counterpart country's GDP and Korea's per capita GDP in the case of a country that signed an FTA. On the other hand, in the case of non-FTA countries, the GDP of both countries showed a positive(+) direction and per capita GDP showed a negative(-) direction. International oil prices did not show any significant results. As such, the results of the analysis of exports and imports are similar, but the difference is that the GDP variable acts in different directions between countries with and without FTAs.

A Study on the Trade Effects of FTAs in Busan's Manufacturing Industry (FTA가 부산지역 제조업의 무역에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Young-Soon;Kim, Hong-Youl
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.517-541
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    • 2012
  • Since the Korea-Chile FTA in 2003, eight FTAs are now in force including Korea-EU and Korea-US FTA. The government anticipate that FTAs increase the GDP of Korea. Government-related research institutes officially reports the positive economic impact in Korea. However, the report does not show that how much Busan economy is affected by the FTAs. For this reason, we study the economic effects of FTAs in Busan. We compare the trade statistics before and after the time each FTA is in force. The resulting figures show that the exports and trades of Busan with the FTA nations increased significantly after the enforcement. For example, the exports to Chile increased by 273% when we compare the three-year average trade. We also construct an econometrics model to estimate the price elasticity. The estimated elasticity of exports for manufactured goods is 1.38 while that of imports is 0.83. Among the manufacturing industry, machinery has the highest price elasticity, 1.8. The average tariff for manufactured goods is 3.9% for FTA nations, while that is 5.8% for Busan. This higher price fall in Busan is offset by the lower price elasticity to make Busan's export increase be greater than Busan's import increase. Busan's export increases by 4.8% while import increases by 3.7%. So, it is expected to be added to the annual trade surplus of approximately $107million.

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The Role of Bank Payment Obligation under SWIFTNet's Trade Service Utility (SWIFTNet TSU BPO의 역할)

  • Lee, Bong-Soo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2015
  • This thesis examines the performance and improvement strategy of SWIFTNet TSU's BPO for computerization and suggests the following results: First, the URBPO should be legally complemented, and the SWIFT and banks need to keep improving the systems to meet trade parties' diverse needs. Second, the SWIFTNet TSU's BPO should have an institutionally unified sharing platform with security, stability and convenience. In other words, it is needed to develop services which meet e-payment paradigm and international and regional environments through continued analysis on market changes and flow. Third, in order for the SWIFTNet TSU BPO to evolve into a perfect global system, there should be an innovative payment solution which can meet all trade parties all over the world. For this, technology standardization for a worldwide e-trade payment system is essential. Lastly, based on the results derived from this study, an analysis framework with which more diverse and practical environmental variables can be analyzed should be developed.

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