• Title/Summary/Keyword: 목표 시나리오 기반 분석

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Efficiency Evaluation of Mobile Emission Reduction Countermeasures Using Data Envelopment Analysis Approach (자료포락분석(DEA) 기법을 활용한 도로이동오염원 저감대책의 효율성 분석)

  • Park, Kwan Hwee;Lee, Kyu Jin;Choi, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated the relative efficiency of mobile emission reduction countermeasures through a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach and determined the priority of countermeasures based on the efficiency. Ten countermeasures currently applied for reducing greenhouse gases and air pollution materials were selected to make a scenario for evaluation. The reduction volumes of four air pollution materials(CO, HC, NOX, PM) and three greenhouse gases($CO_2$, $CH_4$, $N_2O$) for the year 2027, which is the last target year, were calculated by utilizing both a travel demand forecasting model and variable composite emission factors with respect to future travel patterns. To estimate the relative effectiveness of reduction countermeasures, this study performed a super-efficiency analysis among the Data Envelopment Analysis models. It was found that expanding the participation in self car-free day program was the most superior reduction measurement with 1.879 efficiency points, followed by expansion of exclusive bus lanes and promotion of CNG hybrid bus diffusion. The results of this study do not represent the absolute data for prioritizing reduction countermeasures for mobile greenhouse gases and air pollution materials. However, in terms of presenting the direction for establishing reduction countermeasures, this study may contribute to policy selection for mobile emission reduction measures and the establishment of systematic mid- and long-term reduction measures.

Lane Change Methodology for Autonomous Vehicles Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (심층강화학습 기반 자율주행차량의 차로변경 방법론)

  • DaYoon Park;SangHoon Bae;Trinh Tuan Hung;Boogi Park;Bokyung Jung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.276-290
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    • 2023
  • Several efforts in Korea are currently underway with the goal of commercializing autonomous vehicles. Hence, various studies are emerging on autonomous vehicles that drive safely and quickly according to operating guidelines. The current study examines the path search of an autonomous vehicle from a microscopic viewpoint and tries to prove the efficiency required by learning the lane change of an autonomous vehicle through Deep Q-Learning. A SUMO was used to achieve this purpose. The scenario was set to start with a random lane at the starting point and make a right turn through a lane change to the third lane at the destination. As a result of the study, the analysis was divided into simulation-based lane change and simulation-based lane change applied with Deep Q-Learning. The average traffic speed was improved by about 40% in the case of simulation with Deep Q-Learning applied, compared to the case without application, and the average waiting time was reduced by about 2 seconds and the average queue length by about 2.3 vehicles.

Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Gas Plant Using Fault Tree-based Bayesian Network (고장수목 기반 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 가스 플랜트 시스템의 확률론적 안전성 평가)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Changuk Mun;Sangki Park;Jeong-Rae Cho;Junho Song
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2023
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used to evaluate the seismic risk of nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, studies on seismic PSA for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants, have been scarce. This is because the major disasters to which these process plants are vulnerable include explosions, fires, and release (or dispersion) of toxic chemicals. However, seismic PSA is essential for the plants located in regions with significant earthquake risks. Seismic PSA entails probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), event tree analysis (ETA), fault tree analysis (FTA), and fragility analysis for the structures and essential equipment items. Among those analyses, ETA can depict the accident sequence for core damage, which is the worst disaster and top event concerning NPPs. However, there is no general top event with regard to process plants. Therefore, PSA cannot be directly applied to process plants. Moreover, there is a paucity of studies on developing fragility curves for various equipment. This paper introduces PSA for gas plants based on FTA, which is then transformed into Bayesian network, that is, a probabilistic graph model that can aid risk-informed decision-making. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a gas plant, and several decision-making cases are demonstrated.

Game Contents of Ubiquitous UCC with Participation (참여형 UCC를 통한 유비쿼터스 UCC놀이콘텐츠 시스템개발 - 모바일 기반 콘텐츠를 중심으로(J.E.N))

  • Kim, Jin-Sik;Park, In-Seok;Yang, Seung-Mu
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02b
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2008
  • J.E.N(Joint Enjoyment Network) is the ubiquitous UCC play contents system that provides amusements off-line by utilizing the UCC that people are able to participate in. It is also the entertainment service system that is devised to use contents that could be enjoyed through the cell phone and to make people participate in production, in cases of meeting people off-line during their pastime. The development of this system begins from pointing out the problem of the limitation of the UCC that does participate in production but the produced contents could only be watched, and the UCC only works on-line. The goal of researching this ubiquitous UCC play contents is to suggest the UCC entertainment service system that are available off-line by applying the interactive system to UCC and, by this, to obtain the positive responses about the off-line participating UCC contents. In this research, it chooses scenario and 테스크 performance as the method of deriving the participating UCC from the off-line, and it suggests the ubiquitous UCC play contents system through analyzing the behaviors in each off-line place. Moreover, by developing the prototype that could practically perform the system, it verifies the potentialities of the UCC entertainment service. The anticipation of this study is to make people participate and enjoy not only in production, but also in the contents made. This research will provide the modern people who concern about where to go and what to do with the amusements and will also present a way of new form of contents mixed with UCC and the entertainment service.

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Estimating time-varying parameters for monthly water balance model using particle filter: assimilation of stream flow data (입자 필터를 이용한 월 물 수지 모형의 시간변화 매개변수 추정: 하천유량 자료의 동화)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.365-379
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    • 2021
  • Hydrological model parameters are essential for model simulation and can vary over time due to topography, climatic conditions, climate change and human activity. Consequently, the use of fixed parameters can lead to inaccurate stream flow simulations. The aim of this study is to investigate an appropriate method of estimating time-varying parameters using stream flow observations, and how the simulation efficiency changes when stream flow data are assimilated into the model. The data assimilation method can be used to automatically estimate the parameters of a hydrological model by adapting to a variety of changing environments. Stream flow observations were assimilated into a two parameter monthly water balance model using a particle filter. The simulation results using the time-varying parameters by the data assimilation method were compared with the simulation results using the fixed parameters by the SCEM method. First, we conducted synthesis experiments based on various scenarios to investigate if the particle filter method can adequately track parameters that change over time. After that, it was applied to actual watersheds and compared with the predictive performance of stream flow when using parameters that change with time and fixed parameters. The conclusions obtained through this study are as follows: (1) The predictive performance of the overall monthly stream flow time series was similar between the particle filter method and the SCEM method. (2) The monthly runoff prediction performance in the period except the rainy season was better in the simulation by the periodically changing parameters using the data assimilation method. (3) Uncertainty in the observational data of stream flow used for assimilation played an important role in the predictive performance of the particle filter.

A Study of The Vitalizing Effects of Smartphone Film Production on International Exchange : Focusing on Smartphone Film Workshop of Korean-Vietnamese (스마트폰 영화제작을 통한 국제 교류 활성화 연구 : 한국-베트남 영화제 스마트폰 영화 워크숍을 중심으로)

  • Sung, Si-Hup
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • Based on the capabilities of smartphone cameras which have developed rapidly in recent decades, coupled with and the global market penetration rate, it will study the possibility of various international exchanges through smartphone filmmaking. This aims to achieve a civilian-oriented cultural exchange, instead of simply providing capital-oriented exchanges and film production education. The Smartphone Film Workshop was held as an auxiliary event of the Korea-Vietnam Film Festival, which ran from November 17 to 22, 2017. The three-day workshop, which took place within the festival period, drew attention for its international collaboration project between Korean film directors and Vietnamese film students. The researcher conducted practical-based research while participating as a mentor at this workshop. A step-by-step approach to the entire process of production and post-production was administered, including workshop team composition, scenario, and pre-production in Korea such as shooting equipment, schedule, completion of local works, and screening. Through an analysis of exchange cases at international workshops, we will use trial and error as ways to improve and consider the results of cultural exchanges and the effects of future expectations. Taking this empirical case study into account, we anticipate more active international exchanges through the smartphone workshops.

Future Prospects of Forest Type Change Determined from National Forest Inventory Time-series Data (시계열 국가산림자원조사 자료를 이용한 전국 산림의 임상 변화 특성 분석과 미래 전망)

  • Eun-Sook, Kim;Byung-Heon, Jung;Jae-Soo, Bae;Jong-Hwan, Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.4
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    • pp.461-472
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    • 2022
  • Natural and anthropogenic factors cause forest types to continuously change. Since the ratio of forest area by forest type is important information for identifying the characteristics of national forest resources, an accurate understanding of the prospect of forest type change is required. The study aim was to use National Forest Inventory (NFI) time-series data to understand the characteristics of forest type change and to estimate future prospects of nationwide forest type change. We used forest type change information from the fifth and seventh NFI datasets, climate, topography, forest stand, and disturbance variables related to forest type change to analyze trends and characteristics of forest type change. The results showed that the forests in Korea are changing in the direction of decreasing coniferous forests and increasing mixed and broadleaf forests. The forest sites that were changing from coniferous to mixed forests or from mixed to broadleaf forests were mainly located in wet topographic environments and climatic conditions. The forest type changes occurred more frequently in sites with high disturbance potential (high temperature, young or sparse forest stands, and non-forest areas). We used a climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) to establish a forest type change model (SVM) to predict future changes. During the 40-year period from 2015 to 2055, the SVM predicted that coniferous forests will decrease from 38.1% to 28.5%, broadleaf forests will increase from 34.2% to 38.8%, and mixed forests will increase from 27.7% to 32.7%. These results can be used as basic data for establishing future forest management strategies.