• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수제

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Parameter estimation for exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring (지수 분포를 따르는 점진 제1종 구간 중도절단표본에서 모수 추정)

  • Shin, Hye-Jung;Lee, Kwang-Ho;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduce a method of parameter estimation of progressive Type I interval censored sample and progressive type II censored sample. We propose a new parameter estimation method, that is converting the data which obtained by progressive type I interval censored, those data be used to estimate of the parameter in progressive type II censored sample. We used exponential distribution with unknown scale parameter, the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter calculates from the two methods. A simulation is conducted to compare two kinds of methods, it is found that the proposed method obtains a better estimate than progressive Type I interval censoring method in terms of mean square error.

시간의 흐름에 따른 무조건부 주가분산과 주가형성

  • Lee, Il-Gyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2008
  • 주식 수익률이 정상적 과정이 아니라 비정상적 과정에 의해서 생성되고 있다는 사실이 여러 실증 분석에서 제시되고 있다. 시계열의 평균이 시간의 흐름에 따라 변하면 이 시계열은 비정상적 과정에 의하여 생성된다. 시간의 흐름에 따라 평균이 변하는 비정상 시계열은 단위근과 공적분에 의하여 시계열의 운동을 모형화하고 있다. 한편 시계열의 비정상성은 분산이 시간의 흐름에 따라 변할 때에도 발생한다. 시간의 흐름에 따라 무조건부 분산은 변하지 않고 있지만 이용 가능한 정보 집합을 조건으로 하는 조건부 분산이 변하는 경우도 있다. 이 같은 성질을 가진 주가 시계열은 자기회귀 조건부 이분산(ARCH) 계통의 과정으로 모형화하고 있다. 그러나 무조건부 분산이 시간의 흐름에 따라 변하면 ARCH 계통은 중대한 모형정립과오(misspecification)에 직면하게 된다. 따라서 본 논문은 무조건부 분산이 시간의 흐름에 따라 변할 때 자기 회귀 과정의 모수를 추정하는 방법을 검토하고, 이 방법을 한국 종합주가 지수에 적용하여 자기회귀 과정의 모수를 추정하였다. 이 방법에 의하여 추정된 2계 자기회귀 과정의 모수값 중 상수항과 제1계 항의 계수는 통상 최소자승법에 의한 값과 유사하다. 그러나 제2계 항 모수의 값은 양자가 상당히 다르다. 최소자승에 의한 제2계 값이 과대 추정되고 있다.

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Comparison of Some Nonparametric Statistical Inference for Logit Model (로짓모형의 비모수적 추론의 비교)

  • 정형철;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2002
  • Nonparametric statistical inference for the parameter of logit model were examined. Usually nonparametric approach is milder than parametric approach based on normal theory assumption. We compared the two nonparametric methods for legit model, the bootstrap and random permutation in the sense of coverage probability. Monte Carlo simulation is conducted for small sample cases. Empirical power of hypothesis test and coverage probability for confidence interval estimation were presented for simple and multiple legit model respectively. An example were also introduced.

The effect of parameter estimation on $\bar{X}$ charts based on the median run length ($\bar{X}$ 관리도에서 런길이의 중위수에 기초한 모수 추정의 영향)

  • Lee, Yoojin;Lee, Jaeheon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1487-1498
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    • 2016
  • In monitoring a process, in-control process parameters must be estimated from the Phase I data. When we design the control chart based on the estimated process parameters, the control limits are usually chosen to satisfy a specific in-control average run length (ARL). However, as the run length distribution is skewed when the process is either in-control or out-of-control, the median run length (MRL) can be used as alternative measure instead of the ARL. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of Shewhart $\bar{X}$ chart with estimated parameters in terms of the average of median run length (AMRL) and the standard deviation of MRL (SDMRL) metrics. In simualtion study, the grand sample mean is used as a process mean estimator, and several competing process standard deviation estimators are used to evaluate the in-control performance for various amounts of Phase I data.

Optimal design of a nonparametric Shewhart-Lepage control chart (비모수적 Shewhart-Lepage 관리도의 최적 설계)

  • Lee, Sungmin;Lee, Jaeheon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 2017
  • One of the major issues of statistical process control for variables data is monitoring both the mean and the standard deviation. The traditional approach to monitor these parameters is to simultaneously use two seperate control charts. However there have been some works on developing a single chart using a single plotting statistic for joint monitoring, and it is claimed that they are simpler and may be more appealing than the traditonal one from a practical point of view. When using these control charts for variables data, estimating in-control parameters and checking the normality assumption are the very important step. Nonparametric Shewhart-Lepage chart, proposed by Mukherjee and Chakraborti (2012), is an attractive option, because this chart uses only a single control statistic, and does not require the in-control parameters and the underlying continuous distribution. In this paper, we introduce the Shewhart-Lepage chart, and propose the design procedure to find the optimal diagnosis limits when the location and the scale parameters change simultaneously. We also compare the efficiency of the proposed method with that of Mukherjee and Chakraborti (2012).

Rank Transformation Technique in a Two-stage Two-level Balanced Nested Design (이단계 이수준 균형지분모형의 순위변환 기법연구)

  • Choi Young-Hun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2006
  • In a two-stage two-level balanced nested design, type I error rates for the parametric tests and the rank transformed tests for the main effects and the nested effects are in overall similar to each other. Furthermore, powers for the rank transformed statistic for the main effects and the nested effects in a two-stage two-level balanced nested design are generally superior to powers for the parametric statistic When the effect size and the sample size are increased, we can find that powers increase for the parametric statistic and the rank transformed statistic are dramatically improved. Especially for the case of the fixed effects in the asymmetric distributions such as an exponential distribution, powers for the rank transformed tests are quite high rather than powers for the parametric tests.

Effects of Clones, Ortet Age, Crown Position, and Rooting Substance upon the Rooting of Cuttings of Japanese Larch (Larix leptolepis S. et Z. Gordon) (삽수(揷穗)의 클론, 모수령(母樹齡), 채취부위(採取部位) 및 발근촉진제(發根促進劑)가 낙엽송(落葉松)(Larix leptolepis S. et Z. Gordon)의 삽목발근(揷木發根)에 미치는 영향(影響))

  • Chung, Durk Young;Lee, Kyung Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.2
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 1994
  • This study was conducted to develop a method of mass production by cutting of superior genotypes of Larix leptolepis and to examine the effects of ortet age, clone, crown position, and an applied plant growth substance upon the rooting of cuttings. Four different ortet ages, 2, 8, 16 and 30 years and three levels of root-promoting substances, indole butyric acid(IBA), at 1000, 2000, and 5000ppm were employed. Greenwood cuttings were taken from mother trees in late July and rooted for three months in rooting medium containing peatmoss : vermiculite : perlite(1 : 1 : 1 by volume). with temperature controlled at $20-25^{\circ}C$, humidity by intermittent misting and light by partial shading in the greenhouse. Cuttings treated with 1000ppm IBA showed highest rooting, with 80%, 71%, 52%, 25% for 2-, 8-, 16-. 30-year-old ortet, respectively. Untreated cuttings showed rooting of 52%, 48%, 36%, 20% for the ortet age of 2, 8, 16, 30 years, respectively. The average number of adventitious roots decreased with increasing ortet age from 2 to 30 years, whereas IBA treatment increased the number of roots in all ages. A variation in rooting among 20 clones tested was observed. The 4 clones, Chungnam 6, and 7 and Chonbuk 1, and 9 showed good rooting of about 67%, while Kangwon 49 showed boor rooting of 40% at 1000ppm IBA treatment. When crown position was compared, cuttings taken from middle crown showed highest rooting of 60%, while cuttings from upper crown showed lowest rooting of 53%.

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The in-control performance of the CCC-r chart with estimated parameters (추정된 모수를 사용한 CCC-r 관리도에서 관리상태의 성능)

  • Kim, Jaeyeon;Kim, Minji;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.485-495
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    • 2018
  • The CCC-r chart is more effective than traditional attribute control charts for monitoring high-quality processes. In-control process parameters are typically unknown and should be estimated when implementing a CCC-r chart. Phase II control chart performance can deteriorate due to the effect of the estimation error. In this paper, we used the standard deviation of average run length (ARL) as well as the average of ARL to quantify the between-practitioner variability in the CCC-r chart performance. The results indicate that the CCC-r chart requires larger Phase I data than previously recommended in the literature in order to have consistent chart in-control performance among practitioners.

Estimation for the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring (일반화 지수분포를 따르는 제 1종 구간 중도절단표본에서 모수 추정)

  • Cho, Youngseukm;Lee, Changsoo;Shin, Hyejung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1309-1317
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    • 2013
  • There are various parameter estimation methods for the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring. Chen and Lio (2010) studied the parameter estimation method by the maximum likelihood estimation method, mid-point approximation method, expectation maximization algorithm and methods of moments. Among those, mid-point approximation method has the smallest mean square error in the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring. However, this method is difficult to derive closed form of solution for the parameter estimation using by maximum likelihood estimation method. In this paper, we propose two type of approximate maximum likelihood estimate to solve that problem. The simulation results show the obtained estimators have good performance in the sense of the mean square error. And proposed method derive closed form of solution for the parameter estimation from the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring.

The Shapiro-Wilk Type Test for Exponentiality Based on Progressively Type II Censored Data (전진 제 2종 중도절단자료에 대한 Shapiro-Wilk 형태의 지수검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 2010
  • This paper develops a goodness of fit test statistic to test if the progressively Type II censored sample comes from an exponential distribution with origin known. The test is based on normalizing spacings and Stephens (1978)' modified Shapiro and Wilk (1972) test for exponentiality. The modification is for the case where the origin is known. We applied the same modification to Kim (2001a)'s statistic, which is based on the ratio of two asymptotically efficient estimates of scale. The simulation results show that Kim (2001a)'s statistic has higher power than Stephens' modified Shapiro and Wilk statistic for almost all cases.