• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.519-527
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• 2016

The demand of construction risk analysis is rapidly increased to improve the competitiveness of construction companies and the sound management of the construction project. However, estimating the amount and uncertainty of the risk is difficult due to the wide range of risks in the construction industry. Moreover, most of the research on risk management of construction risk is only focused on the causes of risk without separate the internal and external risk. This study statistically analysis the internal risk and external risk based on the accidents cases which are caused at construction sites to define the difference and importances of the risk. An accident cause analysis and T-test analysis are carried out to reach the goal of study. The results of the study are expected to be used as a guideline of construction project risk analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.269-274
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• 2005

This study gathered the factor of supply chain risk through literature review, and measured the importance of risk factors which have been recognized by domestic companies. This study has purposes and necessities as follows. First, supply risk factors were classified and explored through positive studies about supply chain risk. Most of previous studies helps grasping the meaning of supply chain risk but limited in conceptual side. Second, this study used AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method which makes decision-making problem classified, simplicated and systematized to evaluate the importance of supply-chain risk recognized by the companies. Finally, this study suggests registration-point in companies's efficient supply activity would be great by measuring the importance of supply-chain through AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process).

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.2 no.12
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• pp.541-552
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• 2013

Recently software security of the smart phone is an important issue in the field of information science and technology due to fast propagation of smart technology in our life. The smart phone as the security critical systems which are utilizing in terminal systems of the banking, ubiquitous home management, airline passengers screening, and so on are related to the risk of costs, risk of loss, risk of availability, and risk by usage. For the security issues, software hazard analysis of smart phone is the key approaching method by use of observed failures. In this paper, we propose an efficient integrative framework for software security analysis of the smart phone using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Failure Mode Effect Analysis (FMEA) to gain a convergence security and reliability analysis technique on hand handle devices. And we discuss about that if a failure mode effect analysis performs simpler, not only for improving security but also reducing failure effects on this smart device, the proposed integrative framework is a key solution.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2013.04a
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• pp.42-43
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• 2013

원전 방화지역의 화재리스크는 존모델 또는 필드모델을 사용하지만 화재 시나리오 또는 현상의 고찰 없이 사용되어온 측면이 있다. 한편 PIRT 기법은 전산코드의 적합성을 평가하고 최신기술과 입력자료의 타당성을 분석하여 우선순위 등급을 선정한다. 따라서 PIRT 기법을 화재모델링 분석에 적용할 경우 화재모델링 분석방법의 개선과 결과 값의 신뢰성을 높일 수 있는 기술로 활용할 수 있다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.1
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• pp.85-97
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• 2022

In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.90-98
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• 2016

High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.36-51
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• 2016

This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2013.05a
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• pp.192-193
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• 2013

In recent years, risks associated with mixed used development in urban regeneration projects which have actively been implemented have been on the rise due to uncertainties and complexities of those projects. Thus, risk management is needed to effectively manage those risks that may occur during the process of a project. Many studies have contributed to deal with risk management of those projects. These studies, however, have focused main on identification stage and deriving the main risk factors and have limitations on presenting the relationship among those risk factors. Since many risks are interdependent and have multiple effects, the purpose of this study is to present a way(ISM method) to provide a hierarchical structural framework of risks in Urban Regeneration. The structural of risks can helps decision makers to trace the actual source of these risks.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.697-708
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• 2008

Operational risk is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events. The advanced measurement approach proposed by Basel committee uses loss distribution approach(LDA) which quantifies operational loss based on bank's own historical data and measurement system. LDA involves two distribution fittings(frequency and severity) and then generates aggregate loss distribution by employing mathematical convolution. An objective validation for the operational risk measurement is essential because the operational risk measurement allows flexibility and subjective judgement to calculate regulatory capital. However, the methodology to verify the soundness of the operational risk measurement was not fully developed because the internal operational loss data had been extremely sparse and the modeling of extreme tail was very difficult. In this paper, we propose a methodology for the validation of operational risk measurement based on bootstrap confidence intervals of operational VaR(value at risk). We derived two methods to generate confidence intervals of operational VaR.

• Plant Journal
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.53-63
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• 2015

구매자는 일반 제조업에서 자재를 피터 크랄직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 경쟁품목, 일반품목, 전략품목, 위험품목으로 분류한 후 각 품목 특성에 맞추어 구매 전략을 수립한다. 피터 클라직 매트릭스란 구매 리스크와 비즈니스 영향도 즉 특정 품목의 구매 금액 비중에 따라 자재를 분류하는 기법이다. 본 논문은 플랜트 엔지니어링산업에서 플랜트 기자재를 대상으로 피터 클라직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 기자재를 분류한 후 각 품목 특성에 맞는 구매 전략을 제안하고 사례 기업인 A사가 사우디아라비아에서 수행하는 발전 플랜트 기자재에 제안한 구매 전략을 적용하여 그 효과를 검증한 것이다. 플랜트 엔지니어링산업은 수주산업인데 총 수주금액 중 구매가 차지하는 비중은 약 50~60%이다. 따라서 프로젝트를 수행할 때 원가를 절감하여 이익을 극대화하기 위해 구매는 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 플랜트 기자재는 크게 회전기계류, 고정장치류, 전기자재류, 제어자재류, 배관자재류로 구분된다. 각 공종별 플랜트 기자재에 대해 구매 지출 분석을 한 후 피터 클라직 매트릭스 기법에 의해 플랜트 기자재를 분류한 결과 경쟁품목에는 열교환기, 저장탱크 등이 포함되었고 일반품목에는 전선관, 조명기자재, 밸브 등이 포함되었다. 또한 전략품목에는 가스터빈, 가스터빈 흡입공기 냉각장치 등이 포함되었고, 위험품목에는 가스터빈 고정 볼트 등이 포함되었다. 경쟁품목 중 다관형 열교환기는 공급자와 공동으로 원가 모델을 구축하는 전략을 수립했고 저장탱크의 경우에는 공급자에게 원자재를 사급하는 전략을 수립하였다. 그 전략을 A사가 수행하는 프로젝트에 적용한 결과 각각 20%와 6%의 원가 절감 효과를 얻었다. 일반품목 중 전선관은 구매 대행사를 활용하는 전략을 수립했고 조명기자재는 기술 사양 검토 과정을 생략한 구매 프로세스 간소화 전략을 수립하였다. 그 결과 약 10%의 원가 절감과 평균 5일의 발주기간을 단축할 수 있었다. 전략품목 중 가스터빈 흡입공기 냉각장치는 공급자와 포괄적 양해각서를 체결하여 공동으로 사업주에 대응하는 전략을 수립했고 그 결과 프로젝트 수행 안정성 확보와 공급자 조기 참여를 통한 발주 스케줄 단축을 이룰 수 있었다. 위험품목 중 가스터빈 고정볼트는 재고 확보 전략을 수립하여 자재의 부족이나 파손으로 인해 프로젝트 공기에 영향을 주지 않도록 리스크를 감소시키는 효과를 얻었다.