• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로지스틱 회귀모형

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Assessing the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic regression models (로지스틱 회귀모형에서 최우추정량의 정확도 산정)

  • 이기원;손건태;정윤식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.393-399
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    • 1993
  • When we compute the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters for the logistic regression models, which are useful in studying the relationship between the binary response variable and the explanatory variable, the standard error calculations are usually based on the second derivative of log-likelihood function. On the other hand, an estimator of the Fisher information motivated from the fact that the expectation of the cross-product of the first derivative of the log-likelihood function gives the Fisher information is expected to have similar asymptotic properties. These estimators of Fisher information are closely related with the iterative algorithm to get the maximum likelihood estimator. The average numbers of iterations to achieve the maximum likelihood estimator are compared to find out which method is more efficient, and the estimators of the variance from each method are compared as estimators of the asymptotic variance.

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Logistic regression analysis of newspaper readers characteristics affecting regular subscription (종이신문 열독자의 특성이 정기구독 여부에 미치는 영향에 대한 로지스틱 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Seyoung;Kim, Jaehee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.653-669
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    • 2019
  • The development of new media has gradually decreased the use of newspapers, which had previously occupied the largest share of media. Subscriptions have declined gradually and fell to 14 percent in 2016. This study explores the effects of Newspaper reader's characteristics on regular newspaper subscriptions. The data used for analysis was provided by the Korean Press Foundation and Media Audience Awareness Survey Data in 2016 and 2017. We considered gender, age, education, income, number of days of reading, reading time and amount of reading as the characteristics of the reader. Multiple logistic regression was fitted and interpreted to see what characteristics affect regular subscription.

A Bayesian zero-inflated negative binomial regression model based on Pólya-Gamma latent variables with an application to pharmaceutical data (폴랴-감마 잠재변수에 기반한 베이지안 영과잉 음이항 회귀모형: 약학 자료에의 응용)

  • Seo, Gi Tae;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.311-325
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    • 2022
  • For count responses, the situation of excess zeros often occurs in various research fields. Zero-inflated model is a common choice for modeling such count data. Bayesian inference for the zero-inflated model has long been recognized as a hard problem because the form of conditional posterior distribution is not in closed form. Recently, however, Pillow and Scott (2012) and Polson et al. (2013) proposed a Pólya-Gamma data-augmentation strategy for logistic and negative binomial models, facilitating Bayesian inference for the zero-inflated model. We apply Bayesian zero-inflated negative binomial regression model to longitudinal pharmaceutical data which have been previously analyzed by Min and Agresti (2005). To facilitate posterior sampling for longitudinal zero-inflated model, we use the Pólya-Gamma data-augmentation strategy.

A Study on Job Satisfaction and Turnover Behavior with 2-Stage Logistic Regression: In Case of Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey (2단계 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 직무만족도와 이직행동에 관한 연구 - 대졸자 직업이동 경로조사 자료를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Sung-Suk;Lee, Ki-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.859-873
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    • 2008
  • Job satisfaction impacts on the turnover intention of employee, which affects the turnover behavior. This paper concerns with the impact of job satisfaction on the turn over behavior. Since turnover intention is highly correlated with job satisfaction, salary, employment status and etc, we should pay careful attention for modelling of those variables as independent variables and the turnover behavior as a dependent variable in the empirical study for the impact of factors on turnover behavior. We detect significant variables which effect the turnover behavior using 2-stage logistic regression inserting the turnover intention, an independent variable, with the chance estimates derived from the instrumental variables in Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey.

Life Estimation of Elevator Wire Ropes Using Accelerated Degradation Test Data (가속열화시험 데이터를 활용한 엘리베이터 와이어로프 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Seung Ho;Kim, Sang Boo;Kim, Sung Ho;Ham, Sung Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.997-1004
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    • 2017
  • The life of elevator wire ropes is one of the most important characteristics of an elevator, which is closely related to the safety of users and its maintenance policy. It is not cost effective to measure the lifetime of elevator wire ropes during their use. In this study, the life estimation of elevator wire ropes (8x19W-IWRC) is considered using accelerated degradation test data. A bending fatigue tester is used to perform the accelerated degradation tests, incorporating the acceleration factor of tensile force. Assuming that the life of wire ropes is log-normally distributed, two life estimation methods are suggested and their results are compared. The first method estimates the life of wire ropes utilizing the accelerated life model with pseudo lives obtained from a linear regression model. The second method estimates the life using a logistic model based on failure probability.

Regression Models for Determining the Patent Royalty Rates using Infringement Damage Awards and Inter-Partes Review Cases (손해배상액과 무효심판 판례를 이용한 특허 로열티율 산정 회귀모형)

  • Yang, Dong Hong;Kang, Gunseog;Kim, Sung-Chul
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2018
  • This study suggested quantitative models to calculate a royalty rate as an important input factor of the relief from royalty method which has the characteristics of income approach method and market approach method that are generally used in the valuation of intangible assets. This study built a royalty rate regression model by referring to the patent infringement damages cases based on royalties, i.e., by using the royalty rates as a dependent variable and the patent indexes of the corresponding patent right as independent variables. Then, a logistic regression model was constructed by referring to inter-partes review cases of patent rights, i.e. by using not-unpatentable results as a dependent variable and the patent indexes of the corresponding patent right as independent variables. A final royalty rate was calculated by matching the royalty rate from the royalty rate regression model with a not-unpatentable probability from the logistic regression model. The suggested royalty rate was compared with the royalty rate obtained by the traditional methods to check its reliability.

IRT 모수 추정에서 초기값에 관한 연구

  • Park, Yeong-Seon;Cha, Gyeong-Jun;Jang, Chang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2003
  • 문항반응이론(IRT)에서 문항특성곡선(ICC)의 모수를 추정하는 경우에 발생되는 초기값(initial value) 문제를 비선형 로지스틱모형을 선형 회귀모형으로 근사화하여 해결하고자 하였다. 특히, 신규 또는 잡음이 섞인(local fluctuation) 문항의 직접적인 평가와 소규모집단별 검사가 이루어질 수 있는 현실적 문제에서 모수추정의 대안으로서 그 의의가 있을 수 있다.

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Development of Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model Using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 산불발생확률모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Ryu, Gyesun;Kim, Seonyoung;Kim, Kyongha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • To achieve the forest fire management goals such as early detection and quick suppression, fire resources should be allocated at high probability area where forest fires occur. The objective of this study was to develop and validate models to estimate spatially distributed probabilities of occurrence of forest fire. The models were builded by exploring relationships between fire ignition location and forest, terrain and anthropogenic factors using logistic regression. Distance to forest, cemetery, fire history, forest type, elevation, slope were chosen as the significant factors to the model. The model constructed had a good fit and classification accuracy of the model was 63%. This model and map can support the allocation optimization of forest fire resources and increase effectiveness in fire prevention and planning.

Comparison of the Prediction Model of Adolescents' Suicide Attempt Using Logistic Regression and Decision Tree: Secondary Data Analysis of the 2019 Youth Health Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey (로지스틱 회귀모형과 의사결정 나무모형을 활용한 청소년 자살 시도 예측모형 비교: 2019 청소년 건강행태 온라인조사를 이용한 2차 자료분석)

  • Lee, Yoonju;Kim, Heejin;Lee, Yesul;Jeong, Hyesun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and compare the prediction model for suicide attempts by Korean adolescents using logistic regression and decision tree analysis. Methods: This study utilized secondary data drawn from the 2019 Youth Health Risk Behavior web-based survey. A total of 20 items were selected as the explanatory variables (5 of sociodemographic characteristics, 10 of health-related behaviors, and 5 of psychosocial characteristics). For data analysis, descriptive statistics and logistic regression with complex samples and decision tree analysis were performed using IBM SPSS ver. 25.0 and Stata ver. 16.0. Results: A total of 1,731 participants (3.0%) out of 57,303 responded that they had attempted suicide. The most significant predictors of suicide attempts as determined using the logistic regression model were experience of sadness and hopelessness, substance abuse, and violent victimization. Girls who have experience of sadness and hopelessness, and experience of substance abuse have been identified as the most vulnerable group in suicide attempts in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Experiences of sadness and hopelessness, experiences of substance abuse, and experiences of violent victimization are the common major predictors of suicide attempts in both logistic regression and decision tree models, and the predict rates of both models were similar. We suggest to provide programs considering combination of high-risk predictors for adolescents to prevent suicide attempt.