• Title/Summary/Keyword: 라틴 하이퍼큐브 샘플링 기법

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Coastal Structures using LHS-based Reliability Analysis Method (LHS기반 신뢰성해석 기법을 이용한 해안구조물의 확률론적 위험도평가)

  • Huh, Jung-Won;Jung, Hong-Woo;Ahn, Jin-Hee;An, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2015
  • An efficient and practical reliability evaluation method is proposed for the coastal structures in this paper. It is capable of evaluating reliability of real complicated coastal structures considering uncertainties in various sources of design parameters, such as wave and current loads, resistance-related design variables including Young's modulus and compressive strength of the reinforced concrete, soil parameters, and boundary conditions. It is developed by intelligently integrating the Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and the finite element method (FEM). The LHS-based MCS is used to significantly reduce the computational effort by limiting the number of simulation cycles required for the reliability evaluation. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method were verified using a caisson-type breakwater structure in the numerical example.

A Long-term Durability Prediction for RC Structures Exposed to Carbonation Using Probabilistic Approach (확률론적 기법을 이용한 탄산화 RC 구조물의 내구성 예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Gyu-Seon
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2010
  • This paper provides a new approach for durability prediction of reinforced concrete structures exposed to carbonation. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayes' theorem when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account in the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined based on the samples obtained from the Latin Hypercube Sampling(LHS) technique. The new method may be very useful in design of important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored. For using the new method, in which the prior distribution is developed to represent the uncertainties of the carbonation velocity using data of concrete structures(3700 specimens) in Korea and the likelihood function is used to monitor in-situ data. The posterior distribution is obtained by combining a prior distribution and a likelihood function. Efficiency of the LHS technique for simulation was confirmed through a comparison between the LHS and the Monte Calro Simulation(MCS) technique.

Design Optimization of a Staggered Dimpled Channel Using Neural Network Techniques (신경회로망기법을 사용한 엇갈린 딤플 유로의 최적설계)

  • Shin, Dong-Yoon;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.10 no.3 s.42
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2007
  • This study presents a numerical procedure to optimize the shape of staggered dimple surface to enhance turbulent heat transfer in a rectangular channel. The RBNN method is used as an optimization technique with Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes analysis of fluid flow and heat transfer with shear stress transport (SST) turbulence model. The dimple depth-to-dimple print diameter (d/D), channel height-to-dimple print diameter ratio (H/D), and dimple print diameter-to-pitch ratio (D/S) are chosen as design variables. The objective function is defined as a linear combination of heat transfer related term and friction loss related term with a weighting factor. Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) is used to determine the training points as a mean of the design of experiment. The optimum shape shows remarkable performance in comparison with a reference shape.

High-Efficiency Design of Axial Flow Fan through Shape Optimization of Airfoil (익형의 형상최적화를 통한 고효율 축류송풍기 설계)

  • Lee, Ki-Sang;Kim, Kwang-Yong;Choi, Jae-Ho
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2008
  • This study presents a numerical optimization to optimize an axial flow fan blade to increase the efficiency. The radial basis neural network is used as an optimization method with the numerical analysis by Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations using SST model as turbulence closure. Four design variables related to airfoil maximum camber, maximum camber location, leading edge radius and trailing edge radius, respectively, are selected, and efficiency is considered as objective function which is to be maximized. Thirty designs are evaluated to get the objective function values of each design used to train the neural network. Optimum shape shows the efficiency increased by 1.0%.

A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings (지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법)

  • Huh, Jungwon;Le, Thai Son;Kang, Choonghyun;Kwak, Kiseok;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • A probabilistic fragility assessment procedure is developed in this paper to predict risks of damage arising from seismic loading to the two-cell RC box tunnel. Especially, the paper focuses on establishing a simplified methodology to derive fragility curves which are an indispensable ingredient of seismic fragility assessment. In consideration of soil-structure interaction (SSI) effect, the ground response acceleration method for buried structure (GRAMBS) is used in the proposed approach to estimate the dynamic response behavior of the structures. In addition, the damage states of tunnels are identified by conducting the pushover analyses and Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS) technique is employed to consider the uncertainties associated with design variables. To illustrate the concepts described, a numerical analysis is conducted and fragility curves are developed for a large set of artificially generated ground motions satisfying a design spectrum. The seismic fragility curves are represented by two-parameter lognormal distribution function and its two parameters, namely the median and log-standard deviation, are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) method.

Seismic Fragility of I-Shape Curved Steel Girder Bridge using Machine Learning Method (머신러닝 기반 I형 곡선 거더 단경간 교량 지진 취약도 분석)

  • Juntai Jeon;Bu-Seog Ju;Ho-Young Son
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.899-907
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Although many studies on seismic fragility analysis of general bridges have been conducted using machine learning methods, studies on curved bridge structures are insignificant. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the seismic fragility of bridges with I-shaped curved girders based on the machine learning method considering the material property and geometric uncertainties. Method: Material properties and pier height were considered as uncertainty parameters. Parameters were sampled using the Latin hypercube technique and time history analysis was performed considering the seismic uncertainty. Machine learning data was created by applying artificial neural network and response surface analysis method to the original data. Finally, earthquake fragility analysis was performed using original data and learning data. Result: Parameters were sampled using the Latin hypercube technique, and a total of 160 time history analyzes were performed considering the uncertainty of the earthquake. The analysis result and the predicted value obtained through machine learning were compared, and the coefficient of determination was compared to compare the similarity between the two values. The coefficient of determination of the response surface method was 0.737, which was relatively similar to the observed value. The seismic fragility curve also showed that the predicted value through the response surface method was similar to the observed value. Conclusion: In this study, when the observed value through the finite element analysis and the predicted value through the machine learning method were compared, it was found that the response surface method predicted a result similar to the observed value. However, both machine learning methods were found to underestimate the observed values.

Optimization of a Cooling Channel with Staggered Elliptical Dimples Using Neural Network Techniques (신경회로망기법을 사용한 타원형 딤플유로의 냉각성능 최적화)

  • Kim, Hyun-Min;Moon, Mi-Ae;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2010
  • The present analysis deals with a numerical procedure for optimizing the shape of elliptical dimples in a cooling channel. The three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) analysis is employed in conjunction with the SST model for predictions of the turbulent flow and the heat transfer. Three non-dimensional geometric design variables, such as the ellipse dimple diameter ratio, ratio of the dimple depth to the average diameter, and ratio of the distance between dimples to the pitch are considered in the optimization. Twenty-one experimental points within design space are selected by Latin Hypercube Sampling. Each objective function values at these points are evaluated by RANS analysis and producing optimal point using surrogate model. The linear combination of heat transfer coefficient and friction loss related terms with a weighting factor is defined as the objective function. The results show that the optimized elliptical dimple shape improves considerably the heat transfer performance than the circular dimple shape.

A Conservative Safety Study on Low-Level Radioactive Waste Repository Using Radionuclide Release Source Term Model (선원항 모델을 사용한 저준위 방사성폐기물 처분장의 보수적인 안전성고찰)

  • Kim, Chang-Lak;Lee, Myung-Chan;Cho, Chan-Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1993
  • A simplified safety assessment is carried out on rock-cavern type disposal of LLW using the analytical repository source term (REPS) model. For reliable prediction of the leach rates for various radionuclides, degradation of concrete structures, corrosion rate of waste container, degree of corrosion on the container surface, and the characteristics of radionuclides are considered in the REPS model. The results of preliminary assessment show that Cs-137, Ni-63, and Sr-90 are dominant. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Latin hypercube sampling technique and rank correlation technique are applied. The results of the potential public health impacts show that radiological dose to intruder in the worst case scenario will be negligible and that more attention should be given to near-field performance.

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Durability Prediction for Concrete Structures Exposed to Carbonation Using a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 중성화에 노출된 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Gyu-Seon;Ju, Min-Kwan;Lee, Sang-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.275-276
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    • 2009
  • This paper provides a new approach for predicting the corrosion resistivity of reinforced concrete structures exposed to carbonation. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayesian theory when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account into the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined from the samples obtained from the Latin hypercube sampling technique. The new method may be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored.

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Durability Prediction for Concrete Structures Exposed to Chloride Attack Using a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 염해 콘크리트구조물의 내구성 예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Zi, Goang-Seup;Kong, Jung-Sik;Kang, Jin-Gu
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2008
  • This paper provides a new approach for predicting the corrosion resistivity of reinforced concrete structures exposed to chloride attack. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayesian theory when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account into the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined from the samples obtained from the Latin hypercube sampling technique. The new method may be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored.