• Title/Summary/Keyword: 라틴하이퍼큐브샘플링

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Suggestions for Enhancing Sampling-Based Approach of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (샘플링기반 지진 확률론적 리스크평가 접근법 개선을 위한 제언)

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun;Choi, Eujeong;Ha, Jeong Gon;Hahm, Daegi
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2021
  • A sampling-based approach was devised as a nuclear seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) method to account for the partially correlated relationships between components. However, since this method is based on sampling, there is a limitation that a large number of samples must be extracted to estimate the results accurately. Thus, in this study, we suggest an effective approach to improve the existing sampling method. The main features of this approach are as follows. In place of the existing Monte Carlo sampling (MCS) approach, the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method that enables effective sampling in multiple dimensions is introduced to the SPRA method. In addition, the degree of segmentation of the seismic intensity is determined with respect to the final seismic risk result. By applying the suggested approach to an actual nuclear power plant as an example, the accuracy of the results were observed to be almost similar to those of the existing method, but the efficiency was increased by a factor of two in terms of the total number of samples extracted. In addition, it was confirmed that the LHS-based method improves the accuracy of the solution in a small sampling region.

A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings (지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법)

  • Huh, Jungwon;Le, Thai Son;Kang, Choonghyun;Kwak, Kiseok;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • A probabilistic fragility assessment procedure is developed in this paper to predict risks of damage arising from seismic loading to the two-cell RC box tunnel. Especially, the paper focuses on establishing a simplified methodology to derive fragility curves which are an indispensable ingredient of seismic fragility assessment. In consideration of soil-structure interaction (SSI) effect, the ground response acceleration method for buried structure (GRAMBS) is used in the proposed approach to estimate the dynamic response behavior of the structures. In addition, the damage states of tunnels are identified by conducting the pushover analyses and Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS) technique is employed to consider the uncertainties associated with design variables. To illustrate the concepts described, a numerical analysis is conducted and fragility curves are developed for a large set of artificially generated ground motions satisfying a design spectrum. The seismic fragility curves are represented by two-parameter lognormal distribution function and its two parameters, namely the median and log-standard deviation, are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) method.

Seismic Fragility of I-Shape Curved Steel Girder Bridge using Machine Learning Method (머신러닝 기반 I형 곡선 거더 단경간 교량 지진 취약도 분석)

  • Juntai Jeon;Bu-Seog Ju;Ho-Young Son
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.899-907
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Although many studies on seismic fragility analysis of general bridges have been conducted using machine learning methods, studies on curved bridge structures are insignificant. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the seismic fragility of bridges with I-shaped curved girders based on the machine learning method considering the material property and geometric uncertainties. Method: Material properties and pier height were considered as uncertainty parameters. Parameters were sampled using the Latin hypercube technique and time history analysis was performed considering the seismic uncertainty. Machine learning data was created by applying artificial neural network and response surface analysis method to the original data. Finally, earthquake fragility analysis was performed using original data and learning data. Result: Parameters were sampled using the Latin hypercube technique, and a total of 160 time history analyzes were performed considering the uncertainty of the earthquake. The analysis result and the predicted value obtained through machine learning were compared, and the coefficient of determination was compared to compare the similarity between the two values. The coefficient of determination of the response surface method was 0.737, which was relatively similar to the observed value. The seismic fragility curve also showed that the predicted value through the response surface method was similar to the observed value. Conclusion: In this study, when the observed value through the finite element analysis and the predicted value through the machine learning method were compared, it was found that the response surface method predicted a result similar to the observed value. However, both machine learning methods were found to underestimate the observed values.

A Simulation-based Optimization for Scheduling in a Fab: Comparative Study on Different Sampling Methods (시뮬레이션 기반 반도체 포토공정 스케줄링을 위한 샘플링 대안 비교)

  • Hyunjung Yoon;Gwanguk Han;Bonggwon Kang;Soondo Hong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2023
  • A semiconductor fabrication facility(FAB) is one of the most capital-intensive and large-scale manufacturing systems which operate under complex and uncertain constraints through hundreds of fabrication steps. To improve fab performance with intuitive scheduling, practitioners have used weighted-sum scheduling. Since the determination of weights in the scheduling significantly affects fab performance, they often rely on simulation-based decision making for obtaining optimal weights. However, a large-scale and high-fidelity simulation generally is time-intensive to evaluate with an exhaustive search. In this study, we investigated three sampling methods (i.e., Optimal latin hypercube sampling(OLHS), Genetic algorithm(GA), and Decision tree based sequential search(DSS)) for the optimization. Our simulation experiments demonstrate that: (1) three methods outperform greedy heuristics in performance metrics; (2) GA and DSS can be promising tools to accelerate the decision-making process.

Fairing Design Optimization of Missile Hanger for Drag Reduction (유도탄 행거 항력 저감을 위한 페어링 형상 최적화)

  • Jeong, Sora
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.527-535
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    • 2019
  • Hanger in a rail-launched missile protrudes in general and causes to increase significant drag force. One method to avoid the significant increase of drag force is to apply fairings on the hanger. In this paper, sloping shaped fairing parameters of height, width, and length are optimized to minimize the drag force under subsonic speed region by examining three configurations of fairings : front-fairing only, rear-faring only, and the both front and rear fairing. We use Latin Hypercube Sampling method to determine the experimental points, and computational fluid dynamics with incompressible RANS solver was applied to acquire the data at sampling points. Then, we construct a meta model by kriging method. We find the best choice among three configurations examined : both front and rear fairing reduce the drag force by 63 % without the constraint of fairing mass, and front fairing reduced the drag force by 52 % with the constraint of hanger mass.

The Effects of Design Parameter Uncertainty of the Shock Absorber on the Performance of Suspension System (충격 흡수기의 설계 파라미터 불확실성이 현가 장치 성능에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Choon-Tae
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.949-958
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    • 2020
  • The functions of shock absorbers are to dampen body, suspend motions, dissipate impact energy, and control tire force variation. During the operation, hydraulic oil is passed between the chambers via a flow restrictions. Therefore the damping force characteristics of shock absorber is determined by the characteristics of orifices and flow restrictions. The uncertainty in design variable affects the performance of suspension system strongly. But, the researches about the influence of uncertainty in design variable such as a fluid restriction's property of shock absorber, on the suspension system performance was hardly ever proposed. In this paper, we used statistical method of Latin Hypercube sampling, and the effects of design variables uncertainty on the performance of suspension system was presented.

Durability Prediction for Concrete Structures Exposed to Carbonation Using a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 중성화에 노출된 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Gyu-Seon;Ju, Min-Kwan;Lee, Sang-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.275-276
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    • 2009
  • This paper provides a new approach for predicting the corrosion resistivity of reinforced concrete structures exposed to carbonation. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayesian theory when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account into the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined from the samples obtained from the Latin hypercube sampling technique. The new method may be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored.

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Optimization of a Cooling Channel with Staggered Elliptical Dimples Using Neural Network Techniques (신경회로망기법을 사용한 타원형 딤플유로의 냉각성능 최적화)

  • Kim, Hyun-Min;Moon, Mi-Ae;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2010
  • The present analysis deals with a numerical procedure for optimizing the shape of elliptical dimples in a cooling channel. The three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) analysis is employed in conjunction with the SST model for predictions of the turbulent flow and the heat transfer. Three non-dimensional geometric design variables, such as the ellipse dimple diameter ratio, ratio of the dimple depth to the average diameter, and ratio of the distance between dimples to the pitch are considered in the optimization. Twenty-one experimental points within design space are selected by Latin Hypercube Sampling. Each objective function values at these points are evaluated by RANS analysis and producing optimal point using surrogate model. The linear combination of heat transfer coefficient and friction loss related terms with a weighting factor is defined as the objective function. The results show that the optimized elliptical dimple shape improves considerably the heat transfer performance than the circular dimple shape.

A Conservative Safety Study on Low-Level Radioactive Waste Repository Using Radionuclide Release Source Term Model (선원항 모델을 사용한 저준위 방사성폐기물 처분장의 보수적인 안전성고찰)

  • Kim, Chang-Lak;Lee, Myung-Chan;Cho, Chan-Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1993
  • A simplified safety assessment is carried out on rock-cavern type disposal of LLW using the analytical repository source term (REPS) model. For reliable prediction of the leach rates for various radionuclides, degradation of concrete structures, corrosion rate of waste container, degree of corrosion on the container surface, and the characteristics of radionuclides are considered in the REPS model. The results of preliminary assessment show that Cs-137, Ni-63, and Sr-90 are dominant. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Latin hypercube sampling technique and rank correlation technique are applied. The results of the potential public health impacts show that radiological dose to intruder in the worst case scenario will be negligible and that more attention should be given to near-field performance.

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Optimal Design of Sheath Flow Nozzle Acceleration Section for Improving the Focusing Efficiency (집속효율 향상을 위한 외장유동노즐 가속 구간의 최적설계 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Woo;Jin, Joung-Min;Kim, Youn-Jea
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.763-772
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    • 2019
  • There is a need to use sheath flow nozzle to detect bioaerosol such as virus and bacteria due to their characteristics. In order to enhance the detection performance depending on nozzle parameters, numerical analysis was carried out using a commercial code, ANSYS CFX. Eulerian-lagrangian approach method is used in this simulation. Multiphase flow characteristics between primary fluid and solid were considered. The detection performance was evaluated based on the results of flow field in nozzle chamber such as focusing efficiency and swirl strength. In addition, Latin hypercube sampling(LHS) of design of experiment(DOE) was used for generating a near-random sampling. Then, the acceleration section is optimized using response surface method(RSM). Results show that the optimized model achieved a 6.13 % in a focusing efficiency and 11.47 % increase in swirl strength over the reference model.