• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.2D
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• pp.113-118
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• 2010

This paper presents an analysis of the instability phenomenon on motorways, with the aim of arriving at the definition of a control strategy suitable for keeping the flow stable. By using some results of the motorway reliability theory, a relationship and some flow characteristics is obtained, which shows that the existence of a reliability threshold critical for flow stability. The macroscopic flow characteristics corresponding to this threshold are very different in different situations, so that this control of flow stability requires the analysis of speed and density microscopic process surveyed on a cross section of the motorway carriage ways to be controlled. A method is presented, based on integrated moving average(IMA) analysis in real time of these processes, by which it is possible to detect the approach of instability before its effects become manifest, and to single out the proper control strategy in different situations.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.315-322
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• 2007

신호교차로 교통사고는 90년대 이후 도시가 발달하고 산업이 고도화됨에 따라 교통 혼잡 문제와 함께 심각한 사회문제로 대두되고 있다. 특히 신호교차로의 교통사고는 인적요인, 차량요인, 환경적 요인 등이 복합적으로 작용하여 발생하는데, 교통량의 집중과 도로의 기하구조, 운전자 과실 등이 교통사고의 주요 인자로 작용하고 있다. 본 연구에서 교통사고 예측모형을 개발하기 위해서 2003년부터 2006년도까지 실제 경기도의 신호교차로에서 발생한 교통사고자료를 기초로 하였다. 구체적으로는 시내가 아닌 지방부 성격을 지닌 일반국도를 대상으로 하였다. 지방부 일반국도의 신호교차로 교통사고 분석에 단순통계분석과 다중회귀분석을 사용하였다. 사고와 관계가 높은 신호주기, 방향별 접근 교통량, 회전교통량 둥과 같은 도로, 교통, 운영조건들로 변수를 정하여 교통사고 예측모형을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 도로조건, 교통조건, 운영조건들과 사고와의 관계를 이용하여 경기도 일반국도의 신호교차로 교통사고예측모형을 개발하였고, 이는 지방부 성격을 지닌 교차로에 적용이 가능하다고 판단된다.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.461-467
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• 2014

Active queue management (AQM) algorithms run on routers and detect incipient congestion by typically monitoring the instantaneous or average queue size. When the average queue size exceeds a certain threshold, AQM algorithms infer congestion on the link and notify the end systems to back off by proactively dropping some of the packets arriving at a router or marking the packets to reduce transmission rate at the sender. Among the existing AQM algorithms, random early detection (RED) is well known as the representative queue-based management scheme by randomizing packet dropping. To reduce the number of timeouts in TCP and queuing delay, maintain high link utilization, and remove bursty traffic biases, the RED considers an average queue size as a degree of congestions. However, RED do not well in the specified networks conditions due to the fixed parameters($P_{max}$ and $TH_{min}$) of RED. This paper addresses a extended RED to be adapted in various networks conditions. By sensing network state, $P_{max}$ and $TH_{min}$ can be automatically changed to proper value and then RED do well in various networks conditions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.77-89
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• 2009

With an increasing number of cars in Korea, the government is constantly providing roads and their related facilities. However the fundamental problems of cities like the structure of cities and the environment of roads make the traffic congestion of downtowns. To solve this problem the construction of toll roads such as tunnels and bridges is increasing but use rates of drivers is low. With more tolls required, less persons will use the roads. Thus this study is to consider offering discounted charges when using the two or more toll roads together. This study analyzes the impact that discounted charges would bring to the demand. In the meantime we looks into what the proper range should be for the discount. The results of this study are expected to be used as basis for the introduction of a discount system in the future.

• Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.462-465
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• 2006

차가 증가함에 따라, 교통은 혼잡하게 되고, 교통 체증은 더욱 심화된다. 만약에, 교통 체증이나 도로의 속도를 이전의 통계를 이용하여 예측할 수 있다면 상당히 도움이 될 것이다. 본 논문은 다양한 종류의 도로 중 고속도로의 속도에 영향을 주는 요소를 분석하여 상호 영향을 주는 요소를 고찰한다. 이를 수행하기 위해 고속 도로 교통에 대한 데이터베이스를 구축하며, 도로 교통 데이터베이스에 교통 체증의 시간대의 가설을 적용하고, 다양한 데이터 마이닝의 연산을 사용하여 결과를 도출한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.156-163
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• 2017

In the major operation sections of the urban railway, there has been habitual delay, and delay propagation; another problem is the increase of crowds and of inconvenience to passengers. The urban railway has different characteristics from rural railways, such as uncertainty of demand and irregularity of train operation. In urban railways, recently, operators manage quality indicators of service using operation results, such as the delay of train operation and the congestion of trains. However, because the urban railway has characteristics in which demand, passenger behavior, and train operation mutually affect each other, it is difficult to express the quality of service that passengers actually feel. In this paper, we suggest a quality indicator of service from the viewpoint of passengers, and present a demand responsive multi-train simulation method to predict dynamic dwell time and train operation status; we also use simulation results to consider changes in the quality indicator of service.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.10
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• pp.76-87
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• 2008

Prediction of travel time on road network is one of crucial research issue in dynamic route guidance system. A new approach based on Rule-Based classification is proposed for predicting travel time. This approach departs from many existing prediction models in that it explicitly consider traffic patterns during day time as well as week day. We can predict travel time accurately by considering both traffic condition of time range in a day and traffic patterns of vehicles in a week. We compare the proposed method with the existing prediction models like Link-based, Micro-T* and Switching model. It is also revealed that proposed method can reduce MARE (mean absolute relative error) significantly, compared with the existing predictors.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.06a
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• pp.249-251
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• 2013

해상교통안전에 영향을 미치는 여러 가지 해상 개발사업으로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 항해안전의 위험요인을 전문적으로 측정하고 평가하는 것으로 '해상교통안전진단제도'가 있다. 이제도의 주요 평가항목에는 해상교통 현황조사, 해상교통 현황측정, 해상 교통시스템 적정성 평가 및 해상교통 안전대책이 있다. 특히 해상교통 현황측정의 세부 항목 중에는 진단 대상 항만 또는 항로가 추정된 미래의 해상교통량을 수용할 수 있는지를 평가하고 필요 시 관련 해역의 교통 흐름을 조정할 목적으로 수행하는 해상교통혼잡도 평가 있다. 이 연구는 현재 교통혼잡도 평가를 위한 미래 해상교통량 추정기법의 문제점의 현황과 이를 개선하여 신뢰도 있는 교통량 예측이 가능한 통계기법을 개발하고자 하는 것이다.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.178-185
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• 2023

Rapid urbanization and advancements in technology have led to a surge in the number of automobiles, resulting in frequent traffic accidents, and consequently, an increase in human casualties and economic losses. Therefore, there is a need for technology that can predict the risk of traffic accidents to prevent them and minimize the damage caused by them. Traffic accidents occur due to various factors including traffic congestion, the traffic environment, and road conditions. These factors give traffic accidents spatiotemporal characteristics. This paper analyzes traffic accident data to understand the main characteristics of traffic accidents and reconstructs the data in a time series format. Additionally, an LSTM-MLP based model that excellently captures spatiotemporal characteristics was developed and utilized for traffic accident prediction. Experiments have proven that the proposed model is more rational and accurate in predicting the risk of traffic accidents compared to existing models. The traffic accident risk prediction model suggested in this paper can be applied to systems capable of real-time monitoring of road conditions and environments, such as navigation systems. It is expected to enhance the safety of road users and minimize the social costs associated with traffic accidents.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.41-41
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• 1998

ITS틀 내의 한 분야인 도로교통정보체계 (ATIS: Advanced Traveler Information system)는 실시간 교통정보를 운전자에게 직접 제공하는 것으로서, 이를 위해 매 순간마다 가로망에 배정되는 교통량 및 통행시간을 예측할 수 있는 범용의 동적 통행배정모형(dynamic route choice model)의 개발이 필히 수반되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 ITS사업에서 필수적으로 수반되어야 할 최적 제어이론에 의한 동적 통행 배정모형을 ATIS의 핵심 소프트웨어로 응용하기 위해 기존 연구성과를 발판으로, 순간 동적 통행 배정모형(Ran, Boyce &LeBlanc, 1993)의 통행제약조건인 링크통행함수, 특히, 과부하 시 엘켈릭의 일반식의 파라메터를 조정, 적용하여, 서울시 강남지역의 실제 가로망의 사례연구를 통해 지체식의 각각의 파라메터에 따른 결과를 O/D에 따른 통행시간, 링크통행시간, 혼잡도를 중심으로 비교 평가하여, ATIS의 핵심 소프트웨어로서 순간 동적 통행배정을 통해 보다 현실여건을 잘 반영할 수 있는 링크 통행 성능 함수를 도출하였다.