• Title/Summary/Keyword: 데이터 추정

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A financial projection model on defined benefit pension plan (우리나라 퇴직연금의 재정추계모형과 장기전망 - 확정급여형 가정 중심으로 -)

  • Han, Jeonglim;Lee, Hangsuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.131-153
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    • 2014
  • The Korean market of pension plans has recently increased and pension plans will be expected to play an important role in the retirement system as complement of the national pension system in the future. However, there are a few of research papers on actuarial projections of pension plans. This paper will discuss a long-term financial projection on defined pension plans using data based on the national pension workplace participants. Previous researches focused on company-based financial projection of pension plan. But, this paper concerns on total Korean pension participants and suggests a method to calculate future financial projection of total pension plans. Finally, this research will suggest several numerical results of normal costs, benefits, numbers of workers, etc.

Kinetics of Base Hydrolysis of Some Chromen-2-one Indicator Dyes in Different Solvents at Different Temperatures (여러 온도 및 용매 하에서 수행된 chromen-2-one 지시약 염료들의 염기성 가수분해 반응에 대한 속도론적 연구)

  • Abu-Gharib, Ezz A.;EL-Khatib, Rafat M.;Nassr, Lobna A.E.;Abu-Dief, Ahmed M.
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.346-353
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    • 2011
  • Base hydrolysis of 7-hydroxy-2H-chromen-2-one (HC) and 7-hydroxy-2H-chromen-2-one-4-acetic acid (HCA) in aqueous-methanol and aqueous-acetone mixtures were studied kinetically at temperature range from 283 to 313 K. The activation parameters of the reactions were evaluated and discussed. Moreover, the change in the activation energy barrier of the investigated compounds from water to water-methanol and water-acetone mixtures was estimated from the kinetic data. It is observed that the change in activation barriers is more or less the same for the hydrolysis of HC and HCA. Base hydrolysis of HC and HCA follows a rate law with $k_{obs}=k_2[OH^-]$. The decrease in the rate constants of HC and HCA as the proportion of methanol or acetone increases is due to the destabilization of $OH^-$ ion. The high negative values of entropy of activation support the proposal mechanism, i.e. the investigated reaction takes place via the formation of an intermediate complex. Moreover, these values refer to the rigidity and stability of the intermediate complex. Thus, the ring opening of the intermediate complex would be the rate controlling step.

Measurement Delay Error Compensation for GPS/INS Integrated System (GPS/INS 통합시스템의 측정치 시간지연오차 보상)

  • Lyou Joon;Lim You-Chol
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • The INS(Inertial Navigation System) provides high rate position, velocity and attitude data with good short-term stability while the GPS(Global Position System) provides position and velocity data with long-term stability. By integrating the INS with GPS, a navigation system can be achieved to Provide highly accurate navigation Performance. For the best performance, time synchronization of GPS and INS data is very important in GPS/INS integrated system But, it is impossible to synchronize them exactly due to the communication and computation time-delay. In this paper, to reduce the error caused by the measurement time-delay in GPS/INS integrated systems, error compensation methods using separate bias Kalman filter are suggested for both the loosely-coupled and the tightly-coupled GPS/INS integration systems. Linearized error models for the position and velocity matching GPS/INS integrated systems are Int derived by linearizing with respect to its time-delay and augmenting the delay-state into the conventional state equations for each case. And then separate bias Kalman Inter is introduced to estimate the time-delay during only initial navigation stage. The simulation results show that the present method is effective enough resulting in considerably less position error.

A Study on Real-time Tracking Method of Horizontal Face Position for Optimal 3D T-DMB Content Service (지상파 DMB 단말에서의 3D 컨텐츠 최적 서비스를 위한 경계 정보 기반 실시간 얼굴 수평 위치 추적 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Seong-Goo;Lee, Sang-Seop;Yi, June-Ho;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2011
  • An embedded mobile device mostly has lower computation power than a general purpose computer because of its relatively lower system specifications. Consequently, conventional face tracking and face detection methods, requiring complex algorithms for higher recognition rates, are unsuitable in a mobile environment aiming for real time detection. On the other hand, by applying a real-time tracking and detecting algorithm, we would be able to provide a two-way interactive multimedia service between an user and a mobile device thus providing a far better quality of service in comparison to a one-way service. Therefore it is necessary to develop a real-time face and eye tracking technique optimized to a mobile environment. For this reason, in this paper, we proposes a method of tracking horizontal face position of a user on a T-DMB device for enhancing the quality of 3D DMB content. The proposed method uses the orientation of edges to estimate the left and right boundary of the face, and by the color edge information, the horizontal position and size of face is determined finally to decide the horizontal face. The sobel gradient vector is projected vertically and candidates of face boundaries are selected, and we proposed a smoothing method and a peak-detection method for the precise decision. Because general face detection algorithms use multi-scale feature vectors, the detection time is too long on a mobile environment. However the proposed algorithm which uses the single-scale detection method can detect the face more faster than conventional face detection methods.

A Preprocessing Method for Ground-Penetrating-Radar based Land-mine Detection System (지면 투과 레이더(GPR) 기반의 지뢰 탐지 시스템을 위한 표적 후보 검출 기법)

  • Kong, Hae Jung;Kim, Seong Dae;Kim, Minju;Han, Seung Hoon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2013
  • Recently, ground penetrating radar(GPR) has been widely used in detecting metallic and nonmetallic buried landmines and a number of related researches have been reported. A novel preprocessing method is proposed in this paper to flag potential locations of buried mine-like objects from GPR array measurements. GPR operates by measuring the reflection of an electromagnetic pulse from discontinuities in subsurface dielectric properties. As the GPR pulse propagates in the geologic medium, it suffers nonlinear attenuation as the result of absorption and dispersion, besides spherical divergence. In the proposed algorithm, a logarithmic transformed regression model which successfully represents the time-varying signal amplitude of the GPR data is estimated at first. Then, background signals may be densely distributed near the regression model and candidate signals of targets may be far away from the regression model in the time-amplitude space. Based on the observation, GPR signals are decomposed into candidate signals of targets and background signals using residuals computed from the estimated value by regression and the measurement of GPR. Candidate signals which may contain target signals and noise signals need to be refined. Finally, targets are detected through the refinement of candidate signals based on geometric signatures of mine-like objects. Our algorithm is evaluated using real GPR data obtained from indoor controlled environment and the experimental results demonstrate remarkable performance of our mine-like object detection method.

A Study on Real-Time Sports Activity Classification & Monitoring Using a Tri-axial Accelerometer (가속도 센서를 이용한 실시간 스포츠 동작 분류.모니터링에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Dong-Won;Choi, Jin-Seung;Tack, Gye-Rae
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2008
  • D. W. KANG, J. S. CHOI, and G. R. TACK, A Study on Real-Time Sports Activity Classification & Monitoring Using a Tri-axial Accelerometer. Korean Jouranl of Sport Biomechanics, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 59-64, 2008. This study was conducted to study the real-time sports activity classification and monitoring using single waist mounted tri-axial accelerometer. This monitoring system detects events of sports activities such as walking, running, cycling, transitions between movements, resting and emergency event of falls. Accelerometer module was developed small and easily attachable on waist using wireless communication system which does not constrain sports activities. The sensor signal was transferred to PC and each movement pattern was classified using the developed algorithm in real-time environment. To evaluate proposed algorithm, experiment was performed with several sports activities such as walking, running, cycling movement for 100sec each and falls, transition movements(sit to stand, lie to stand, stand to sit, lie to sit, stand to lie and sit to lie) for 20 times each with 5 healthy subjects. The results showed that successful detection rate of the system for all activities was 95.4%. In this study, through sports activity monitoring. it was possible to classify accurate sports activities and to notify emergency event such as falls. For further study, the accurate energy consumption algorithm for each sports activity is under development.

How Do Landscape and Road Barriers Affect Road Crossing of Multihabitat Mammals (경관과 도로침입 방어막이 범서식지 포유류종의 도로 횡단에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • BYUN, Ye-Seul;KWON, Ji-No;KIM, Jeong-Hwan;SHIN, Moon-Hyun;LEE, Sang-Don
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.89-101
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    • 2016
  • This study examined spatial disposition of wildlife highway mortality using road-kill GIS database and Naver panoramic 360 degree views to find out which habitat and road variables most influenced road-kill numbers for each mammal species and how the landscape and road elements are connected on highway. Road-kills on Yeongdong(YD) and Jungbu highway(JB) generally tended to be higher in natural barren, grassland and cropland due to its value of preferred habitats of nocturnal and multihabitat species like water deer(Hydropotes inermis argyropus), raccoon(Nyctereutes procyonoides) and hare(Lepus coreanus). Land cover in YD showed no difference between species (p=0.165) while JB did by species (p=0.001). This may be explained by disparate landscape between mountain and urban or the fact that YD in long term operation might have enabled consistent crossing pattern compared to JB experiencing continuous extension works which may in turn have deviated the road crossing. Although road-kill prevention effect of local topography alone was appreciable, compared to less significant or ineffective fence and guardrail, gentle slope declining in a direction to the road turned out to offset the preventive effect of juxtaposed fence. Furthermore, green patches on road near intersection were deemed a visual stepping stone facilitating wildlife attempted crossing and local roads juxtaposed with a highway were especially left defenceless to road-kill without road barriers.

A Neuro-Fuzzy System Modeling using Gaussian Mixture Model and Clustering Method (GMM과 클러스터링 기법에 의한 뉴로-퍼지 시스템 모델링)

  • Kim, Sung-Suk;Kwak, Keun-Chang;Ryu, Jeong-Woong;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.571-576
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    • 2002
  • There have been a lot of considerations dealing with improving the performance of neuro-fuzzy system. The studies on the neuro-fuzzy modeling have largely been devoted to two approaches. First is to improve performance index of system. The other is to reduce the structure size. In spite of its satisfactory result, it should be noted that these are difficult to extend to high dimensional input or to increase the membership functions. We propose a novel neuro-fuzzy system based on the efficient clustering method for initializing the parameters of the premise part. It is a very useful method that maintains a few number of rules and improves the performance. It combine the various algorithms to improve the performance. The Expectation-Maximization algorithm of Gaussian mixture model is an efficient estimation method for unknown parameter estimation of mirture model. The obtained parameters are used for fuzzy clustering method. The proposed method satisfies these two requirements using the Gaussian mixture model and neuro-fuzzy modeling. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method is capable of giving reliable performance.

Choosing clusters for two-stage household surveys (가구조사를 위한 이단추출 표본설계에서의 집락선택)

  • Park, Inho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2016
  • Two-stage sample designs are commonly used for household surveys in Korea using as clusters the enumeration districts (EDs). Since clustering decomposes the population variation into within- and between-cluster variations, the sample sizes allocated in stages can affect the overall precision. Alternative clusters are often considered due to diverse reasons such as the EDs' limitation in size, being out-of-date, and in-assessibility to their household lists. In addition, the EDs are currently under development by the Statistics Korea as an joint effort toward their transition from the traditional practice to the register census from 2015. We present an approach for evaluating the difference in the precision of the mean estimators of the sets of the cluster units in between a hierachical and nested form, where the design effect is used to reflect the effect of the clustering and the sample allocation. We also demonstrate our approach using the U.S. Census counts from the year 2000 for Anne Arundel County in Maryland. Our research shows that the within-cluster variance can be significantly different for survey variables and thus the choice of cluster units and the associated sample allocation scheme should reflect the corresponding variance decomposition due to clustering.

A Study on the Effect on Net Income of the Shipbuilding Industry through Exchange Hedge - Focused on the Global Top 5 Shipbuilders - (환헤지가 조선업체의 당기순이익에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, In karp;Kim, Jong keun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2015
  • This study is to investigate the causal relationship between exchange hedge and the net income of the shipbuilder through the unit root test and co-integration and vector autoregressive model(Vector Autoregressive Model: VAR). First, quarter net income of shipbuilders to order a unit root tests from 2000 to 2013 was used as a value after the Johnson transformation. In the same period, the return on bond futures(KTBF), three years bond yield(KTB3Y), America-Korea exchange differences are weekly data for each quarterly difference in value was converted by utilization, shipbuilding shares after log transformation which it was used. Also, structural change point investigation analysis to verify that looked to take advantage of the structural changes occur in the exchange hedge strategies affecting net income in the shipbuilding industry. Between the exchange hedge and net income of shipbuilders in structural change points detection and analysis showed that structural changes occur starting in 2004. In other words, strategy of shipbuilders about exchange hedge has occurred from "passive exchange hedge" to "active exchange hedge". The exchange hedge of the Korea shipbuilders through the estimation of the VAR was able to grasp that affect the profitability of mutual shipbuilders. Macroeconomic variables and stock prices could also check to see that affected the net income of the shipbuilding industry.

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