• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대체투자

Search Result 316, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Study on the Effects of R&D Activities on the Exports of Korean Economy (R&D투자가 한국경제 수출에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.31-66
    • /
    • 2006
  • The country with a relative abundance of human capital conducts relatively more R&D in the steady state than its partner. This country acquires the know-how to produce a relatively wider range of innovative goods. High technology comprises a large share of the national economy in the human-capital rich country and real output growth is faster. This prediction would seem to accord weakly with empirical observation of Korean economy.

  • PDF

A Study on Commodity Asset Investment Model Based on Machine Learning Technique (기계학습을 활용한 상품자산 투자모델에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jin Ho;Choi, Heung Sik;Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.127-146
    • /
    • 2017
  • Services using artificial intelligence have begun to emerge in daily life. Artificial intelligence is applied to products in consumer electronics and communications such as artificial intelligence refrigerators and speakers. In the financial sector, using Kensho's artificial intelligence technology, the process of the stock trading system in Goldman Sachs was improved. For example, two stock traders could handle the work of 600 stock traders and the analytical work for 15 people for 4weeks could be processed in 5 minutes. Especially, big data analysis through machine learning among artificial intelligence fields is actively applied throughout the financial industry. The stock market analysis and investment modeling through machine learning theory are also actively studied. The limits of linearity problem existing in financial time series studies are overcome by using machine learning theory such as artificial intelligence prediction model. The study of quantitative financial data based on the past stock market-related numerical data is widely performed using artificial intelligence to forecast future movements of stock price or indices. Various other studies have been conducted to predict the future direction of the market or the stock price of companies by learning based on a large amount of text data such as various news and comments related to the stock market. Investing on commodity asset, one of alternative assets, is usually used for enhancing the stability and safety of traditional stock and bond asset portfolio. There are relatively few researches on the investment model about commodity asset than mainstream assets like equity and bond. Recently machine learning techniques are widely applied on financial world, especially on stock and bond investment model and it makes better trading model on this field and makes the change on the whole financial area. In this study we made investment model using Support Vector Machine among the machine learning models. There are some researches on commodity asset focusing on the price prediction of the specific commodity but it is hard to find the researches about investment model of commodity as asset allocation using machine learning model. We propose a method of forecasting four major commodity indices, portfolio made of commodity futures, and individual commodity futures, using SVM model. The four major commodity indices are Goldman Sachs Commodity Index(GSCI), Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index(DJUI), Thomson Reuters/Core Commodity CRB Index(TRCI), and Rogers International Commodity Index(RI). We selected each two individual futures among three sectors as energy, agriculture, and metals that are actively traded on CME market and have enough liquidity. They are Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Corn, Wheat, Gold and Silver Futures. We made the equally weighted portfolio with six commodity futures for comparing with other commodity indices. We set the 19 macroeconomic indicators including stock market indices, exports & imports trade data, labor market data, and composite leading indicators as the input data of the model because commodity asset is very closely related with the macroeconomic activities. They are 14 US economic indicators, two Chinese economic indicators and two Korean economic indicators. Data period is from January 1990 to May 2017. We set the former 195 monthly data as training data and the latter 125 monthly data as test data. In this study, we verified that the performance of the equally weighted commodity futures portfolio rebalanced by the SVM model is better than that of other commodity indices. The prediction accuracy of the model for the commodity indices does not exceed 50% regardless of the SVM kernel function. On the other hand, the prediction accuracy of equally weighted commodity futures portfolio is 53%. The prediction accuracy of the individual commodity futures model is better than that of commodity indices model especially in agriculture and metal sectors. The individual commodity futures portfolio excluding the energy sector has outperformed the three sectors covered by individual commodity futures portfolio. In order to verify the validity of the model, it is judged that the analysis results should be similar despite variations in data period. So we also examined the odd numbered year data as training data and the even numbered year data as test data and we confirmed that the analysis results are similar. As a result, when we allocate commodity assets to traditional portfolio composed of stock, bond, and cash, we can get more effective investment performance not by investing commodity indices but by investing commodity futures. Especially we can get better performance by rebalanced commodity futures portfolio designed by SVM model.

A Study on the transformation of real-time visual information of bar charts into complementary sound information (봉차트의 실시간 시각정보를 보완적 음향정보로 변환하는 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Goo, Bon-Cheol
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2006.02a
    • /
    • pp.717-722
    • /
    • 2006
  • 경제지표, 주식시세, 전자상거래 등 시각적으로 제공되는 정보 중에 정확한 숫자가 중요한 정보인 경우도 있지만 2 차 정보로서 변화의 추세나 패턴이 중요한 경우도 있다. 주식을 포함한 유가증권이나 선물거래의 경우 주로 미국식 봉차트를 사용하는데 개인투자자가 늘고 있는 우리나라 실정으로 볼때 식음을 전폐하고 전광판에 매달리는 문제점이 지적되고 있고, 전문투자자들도 시각정보를 놓치지 않기 위해 일상 업무에 소홀해지는 경우가 많다. 이러한 경우 음향정보도 함께 제공한다면 인간은 다양한 감각기관을 가지고 있기 때문에 시각정보를 주로 이용하다가도 잠시 휴식을 취하거나 다른 용무가 있을 때 청각정보를 보완적으로 사용하여 스트레스를 줄일 수 있고 명철한 판단력을 유지할 수 있으며, 경우에 따라서는 음향정보가 상황판단을 위해 더욱 효과적일 수도 있을 것으로 본다. 음향정보가 시각정보를 대체하기 보다는 2 차 정보로서 상호보완성이 목적이라면 정확한 숫자의 표현보다는 거래패턴 등을 음악적으로 표현하여 음악 감상의 기능까지 갖춘다면 시각정보와는 차별화된 음향정보의 독자성을 찾을 수 있다. 간혹 종목별 등락을 읽어주거나 중요한 매매시점에 신호음을 내는 청각적인 방법이 사용되기도 하지만 상당히 제한적이고 단순한 상태이다. 그러므로 본 연구의 진정한 개발목적은 정보성 이외에 예술적 표현을 융합하는 것이며, 시각장애인이나 네트워크 환경이 열악한 사람들도 주식투자에 있어서 평등성을 보장하여 건전한 투자문화를 형성하기 위함이다. 실시간 거래정보를 음악적으로 표현하여 업무를 보면서도 들려오는 음악을 통해 거래상황을 파악할 수 있는 연구방법으로 거래빈도는 음의 빠르기로, 거래가는 음의 높낮이, 거래량은 음의 세기, 종목은 악기의 음색으로 표현하였으며, 컴퓨터에 내장된 사운드카드를 통해 소리를 들을 수 있도록 MIDI 데이터로 변환하였다. 통계정보는 주로 한국증권선물거래소(KRX: The Korea Exchange)에서 발췌하였으며, 시뮬레이션을 위한 프로그래밍 언어로는 Cycling74 의 Max/MSP 를 사용하였다.

  • PDF

Business Model Change in Asset Management (금융자산 관리모델의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, HyunWook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.9
    • /
    • pp.251-257
    • /
    • 2017
  • Private banking, which is a part of the financial services industry, is an investment advisory business targeting high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs). The demand for asset management services, which isexpanding in the world market as well as in the Asia-Pacific region, is rapidly increasing in Korea as the low-growth, low-interest environment has stabilized. In Korea, the private banking business is ahead of growth, and the evaluation and compensation system of playing institutions remains a challenge. While the aging of the population increases the demand for services, the increasing competition and regulations have decreased the profit margins in the industry. In this paper, a business model is derived from a professional service quality model. Modular advisory services, value-proposition through sophisticated services, and investment expertise with increased clarity would help wealth management firms pursue their opportunities. By interviewing the experts of wealth management banks, this study constructsa business model with elements derived from a relevant literature review. The contribution of this research is to enable these institutions to understand the key factors affecting their financial performances, in order to improve them. This study is limited by one of the research models, and it will be necessary to conduct an empirical test in the future.

The Cause and Economic Effects of Overeducation (과잉교육의 원인과 경제적 효과)

  • Oh, Ho young
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-37
    • /
    • 2005
  • This article examines the reasons for the observed discrepancy between worker's actual and required levels of schooling and the resulting economic effects in wage and labor mobility using KRIVET's Graduates Economic Activities Survey in 2005. Overeducated workers in Korea are estimated to be 10.1%-20.7% among junior college graduates and 18.8% among university graduates for their first job according to job analysis method and worker's self-assessment method each. The effects of school quality-measured by the student/teacher ratio, school building area/student ratio-on the overeducation of their graduates are found to be mostly insignificant not only junior colleges but also universities. This founding implies that the increase of education investment from schools does not acquire any recognition from the labor market. Also, the effects of overeducation and school quality on wages are found to be insignificant and job mobility has little effects on improving overeducated workers' job match.

  • PDF

Myanmar's Macroeconomic changes and its Implications for the Invest of Korean Enterprises (미얀마 통상환경의 변화와 한국기업의 투자 및 진출에 관한 시사점)

  • Jung, Sung-Hoon;Kwon, O-Yoon
    • International Commerce and Information Review
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.177-201
    • /
    • 2011
  • Myanmar had fallen behind other southeast asian nations since Burmese way to Socialism settled down. However, historically second election in Myanmar hold in 2011 and dramatic changes in areas such as Special Economic Zone announcement, the very huge inflows of foreign direct investment in a year of 2009, the infrastructure building projects, a permit of the right to strike for Labour Organization in Myanmar etc. Particularly, Foreign investments and trade with neighbouring countries are actively growing and also with Korea. But investments of Korea in Myanmar relatively are not diversity, with limited sectors such as mining and sewing manufacturing. In this point of view, this paper is trying to make implications for strategies of entry and investments of Korea in Myanmar by using previous papers related to Myanmar economies, trade and foreign investments with updated statistical data. The implications for Korea is that recently Myanmar economy is in its early stages of development. Although it can occur huge demand of railway, road, communications and constructions related to social infrastructures essentially needed for development of a country, these sectors relatively need huge investments. On the other hands, textile and sewing industry relatively need smaller investments in which investors can utilize low labour cost and a position for export to third countries. But those firms which set up for those purpose in Myanmar might have trouble creating domestic markets in future. Moreover, due to demand which occur in the early stage of growth in Myanmar, trade volume tend to increase and trading is also possible to invest but Myanmar still have lots of problems with infrastructure such as road and logistics and we need to make pre-survey for the costs and benefits of our products Finally, Myanmar government is trying to promote and encourage some of industries such as export-oriented industry, import substitution industry and labour-intensive industry. It can also means they will accumulate capital which can be sources for Myanmar economic growth.

  • PDF

Diffusion equation model for geomorphic dating (지형연대 측정을 위한 디퓨젼 공식 모델)

  • Lee, Min Boo
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.285-297
    • /
    • 1993
  • For the application of the diffusion equation, slope height and maximum slope angle are calculated from the plotted slope profile. Using denudation rate as a solution for the diffusion equation, an apparent age index can be calculated, which is the total amount of denudation through total time. Plots of slope angle versus slope height and apparent age index versus slope height are useful for determining relative or absolute ages and denudation rates. Mathematical simulation plots of slope angle versus slope height can generate equal denudation-rate lines for a given age. Mathematical simulations of slope angle versus age for a given slope height, for equal denudation-rate at a particular profile site, and for comparing to other sites having controlled ages.

  • PDF

한국주식시장(韓國株式市場)에서의 주가과잉반응가설(株價過剩反應假說)에 관한 종합적(綜合的) 실증분석(實證分析)

  • Hwang, Seon-Ung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-159
    • /
    • 1994
  • 주가과잉반응(overreaction)이라 함은 투자자들이 특정 투자정보를 과대평가하여 주가에 반응하는 현상인데, 본 연구는 우리나라 주식시장에서의 주가과잉반응가설(株價過剩反應假說)(overreaction hypothesis)을 여러 가지의 대체적 방법을 사용하였으며, 따라서 우리나라 주식시장의 주가반전현상에 대하여 보다 체계적인 결론을 얻는데 목적을 두었다. 특히 위험요소를 고려하기 위하여 시장조정수익률모형, 위험조정수익률모형을 이용하였으며, 규모차이를 고려하기 위하여 자기자본총액에 따라 각각의 포트폴리오를 재구성하여 분석하였다. 그리고 초과수익률 산출시 대용되는 시장포트폴리오수익률을 종합주가수익률(KCI)과 동일가중주가지수수익률(EWI)을 이용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구의 분석기간은 1980년에서 1992년까지의 월별개별주가수익률을 이 용하였으며, 연구방법론에 있어서 국내의 기존연구에서 사용된 연구방법을 이용하였는데 이는 방법론차이로 인해 분석 결과가 상이해질 우려를 배제하고 일관성 있는 결론을 내림과 동시에 비교측면을 제고시키기 위한 배려였다. 이와 같은 여러 대체적 분석방법을 사용하여 얻은 결과에 따르면 국내외 여러 연구와는 달리 우리나라 주식시장에서의 주가과잉반응현상(株價過剩反應現象)은 투자자들이 입수한 정보에 대해 과민반응함으로써 주가가 본질적(本質的) 가치(價値)로부터 이탈되는 것이 아니고, 주로 기업규모효과(企業規模效果)(firm-size effect)와 신년효과(新年效果)(turn-of-the-year effect)등이 중첩(重疊)되어 나타나는 이례적(異例的) 현상(現象)(anomalies)으로 인한 주가반전현상(株價反轉現象) 이라고 말할 수 있겠다.

  • PDF

Sibling Size and Children's Educational Attainment (자녀 수와 자녀 교육수준의 대체관계에 대한 실증분석)

  • Chun, Hyunbae;Chung, Yu-Sun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-25
    • /
    • 2009
  • Using the 2006 Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing, this paper investigates the effect of sibling size on children's educational attainment. OLS estimation results show a negative relationship between the number of children and their educational attainment, which confirms the trade-off between child quantity and quality. However, estimation results using the first child's sex as an instrument for sibling size, show no evidence of a quantity-quality trade-off. Our findings suggest that the adverse effect of a larger sibling size on per-child investment in education can be mitigated by other factors such as peer effect.

  • PDF

Economic Feasibility Analysis Study to Build a Plant-based Alternative Meat Industrialization Center (식물성 기반 대체육 산업화센터 구축을 위한 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Yong Kwang Shin;So Young Lee;Jae Chang Joo
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.118-126
    • /
    • 2024
  • Recently, the alternative meat (food) market is growing rapidly due to the increase in meat consumption due to global population growth and income improvement, as well as issues such as equal welfare, carbon neutrality, and sustainability. The government is also developing a green bio convergence new industry development plan to foster alternative foods, but there are difficulties in commercialization due to the lack of technology and insufficient production facilities among domestic small and medium-sized enterprises, so it is necessary to build joint utilization facilities and equipment to resolve the difficulties faced by companies. am. In addition, small and medium-sized enterprises are having difficulty developing and commercializing plant-based meat substitutes due to a lack of technical skills, and related equipment is expensive, making it difficult to build equipment on their own. Accordingly, Jeollabuk-do is pursuing a strategy to secure the source technology for development, processing, and industrialization of plant-based substitute meat at the level of developed countries by establishing a plant-based alternative meat industrialization center. In this study, an economic feasibility analysis study was conducted when a plant-based alternative meat industrialization center is built in Jeollabuk-do. As a result of the analysis, B/C=1.32, NPV=374 million won, and IRR=4.8%, showing that there is economic feasibility in establishing an alternative meat industrialization center. In addition, as a result of analyzing the regional economic ripple effect resulting from the establishment of an industrialization center, if 38 billion won is invested in Jeollabuk-do, the nationwide production inducement effect is 74 billion won, the added value inducement effect is 29.8 billion won, and the employment inducement effect is 672 people