• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대류가용잠재에너지와 대류억제도

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A Study on the Predictability of Moist Convection during Summer based on CAPE and CIN (대류가용잠재에너지와 대류억제도에 입각한 여름철 습윤 대류 예측성에 대한 연구)

  • Doyeol Maeng;Songlak Kang
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.540-556
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed rawinsonde soundings observed during the summer and early fall seasons (June, July, August and September) on the Korean peninsula to examine the utility of the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and Convective Inhibition (CIN) in predicting the occurrence of deep moist convection and precipitation. Rawinsonde soundings are categorized into two groups based on thermodynamic criteria: high CAPE and low CIN represent a high potential for deep moist convection; low CAPE and high CIN indicate conditions unfavorable for deep convection. A statistical hypothesis test is conducted to determine whether the two groups are significantly different in terms of 12-hour cumulative precipitation, 12-hour mean cloud base, and 12-hour mean mid-level cloud cover. The results, in the case of no-precipitation, reveal statistically significant differences between the two groups, except for the 12-hour mean cloud base during the 21:01-09:00 KST time period. This suggests that the group characterized by high CAPE and low CIN is more conducive to the occurrence of deep moist convection and precipitation than the group with low CAPE and high CIN.