• 제목/요약/키워드: 대기과학

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RegCM4.0을 활용한 CORDEX II 동아시아 지역의 21C 중·후반 기후 변화 전망 (Prospect of Climate Changes for the Mid and Late 21st Century Using RegCM4.0 over CORDEX II East Asian Region)

  • 김태준;서명석;장은철
    • 대기
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.165-181
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the regional climate model, RegCM4.0 (25 km), with the HadGEM2-AO data as boundary conditions, was used to simulate the mean climate changes in the mid and late 21st century for CORDEX Phase 2 East Asian region. 122 years (1979~2100) of simulation were performed, and RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 were used for the simulation of future climate. In the mid-21st century, the temperature is expected to increase by about 0.5 to $3.0^{\circ}C$ in all regions of East Asia, regardless of season and scenario. The increase in temperature is greater in summer and winter, especially in the northern part of simulation domain. Interannual variability (IAV) is expected to decrease by 25% in summer for RCP 8.5, while it is expected to increase by more than 30% in autumn for both scenarios. Regardless of the scenario, the precipitation in South Korea is expected to increase in late June but decrease in mid-July, with an increase in precipitation greater than $100mm\;day^{-1}$. In RCP 4.5 of the late 21st century, relatively uniform temperature increase ($1.0{\sim}2.5^{\circ}C$) is expected throughout the continent, while RCP 8.5 shows a very diverse increase ($3.0{\sim}6.0^{\circ}C$) depending on season and geographical location. In addition, the IAV of temperature is expected to decrease by more than 35% in both scenarios in the summer. In most of the Northwest Pacific region, precipitation is expected to decrease in all seasons except for the summer, but in South Korea, it is projected to increase by about 10% in all seasons except autumn.

이순신장군의 난중일기에 기록된 기상자료의 분석 (Analysis of Weather Records in Admiral Yi Sun-sin's Nanjung Ilgi)

  • 서명석;차소영
    • 대기
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.539-551
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, the weather records in 'Nanjung Ilgi' were investigated and the weather characteristics of the southern coast of Korea (SC_Korea) was discussed. The Nanjung Ilgi is a personal diary written by admiral Yi Sun-sin from January 1592 to November 1598 during the 7-year war caused by the Japanese invasion. He is a respected great leader in the history of world naval warfare, winning all 23 battles against the Japanese. Of the 1593 days of diaries currently preserved, only 42 days have no weather records. Weather was recorded in detail, including sky conditions, precipitation, wind characteristics and others. Weather records were extracted from the diary, converted to the solar calendar, and compared with the meteorological data of Yeosu. The average annual precipitation day is about 90 days, which is similar to the current 95~100 days. As in the current climate, precipitation frequently occurs for about 30 days in summer, but less than 15 days in other seasons, and the rainy season starts from June 14 to 21 and ends from July 6 to 17. It seems that the abnormal cold and heat phenomena, which deviate significantly from the seasonal average climate, occurred on 6 and 21 days, respectively, over 7 years. This means that the weather records of Nanjung Ilgi can be used as valuable data on the climate of SC_Korea in the late 16th century. The fact that he recorded the weather even in such extreme battle conditions shows that he clearly recognized the importance of weather in warfare.

GloSea6 모형에서의 성층권 돌연승온 하층 영향 분석: 2018년 성층권 돌연승온 사례 (Downward Influences of Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) in GloSea6: 2018 SSW Case Study)

  • 홍동찬;박현선;손석우;김주완;이조한;현유경
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.493-503
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the downward influences of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in February 2018 using a subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast model, Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6). To quantify the influences of SSW on the tropospheric prediction skills, free-evolving (FREE) forecasts are compared to stratospheric nudging (NUDGED) forecasts where zonal-mean flows in the stratosphere are relaxed to the observation. When the models are initialized on 8 February 2018, both FREE and NUDGED forecasts successfully predicted the SSW and its downward influences. However, FREE forecasts initialized on 25 January 2018 failed to predict the SSW and downward propagation of negative Northern Annular Mode (NAM). NUDGED forecasts with SSW nudging qualitatively well predicted the downward propagation of negative NAM. In quantity, NUDGED forecasts exhibit a higher mean squared skill score of 500 hPa geopotential height than FREE forecasts in late February and early March. The surface air temperature and precipitation are also better predicted. Cold and dry anomalies over the Eurasia are particularly well predicted in NUDGED compared to FREE forecasts. These results suggest that a successful prediction of SSW could improve the surface prediction skills on subseasonal-to-seasonal time scale.

강우 강도에 따른 대기 중 미세먼지 저감효과와 강우수질 특성 연구 (The Washing Effect of Precipitation on PM10 in the Atmosphere and Rainwater Quality Based on Rainfall Intensity)

  • 박혜민;변명화;김태용;김재진;류종식;양민준;최원식
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권6_3호
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    • pp.1669-1679
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 강우 강도에 따른 대기 중 미세먼지(particulate matter, PM) 저감효과와 미세먼지를 구성하는 주요 수용성 이온에 의한 빗물 수질(pH, 전기전도도(electrical conductivity, EC), 수용성 이온 농도) 변화를 평가하였다. 2020년 3월부터 7월까지 총 6번의 강우를 대상으로 부산 부경대학교 캠퍼스에 집수장치를 설치하여 pH와 EC를 실시간 측정하였으며, 강우의 양이온(Na+, Mg2+, K+, Ca2+, NH4+) 및 음이온(Cl-, NO3-, SO42-)의 농도는 이온크로마토그래피(ion chromatography, IC)를 이용하여 분석하였다. PM10 농도는 강우 전후로 자체제작한 미세먼지 센서를 이용하여 실시간으로 측정하였다. 총 282개의 빗물 샘플의 수질을 분석한 결과, 초기 강우의 pH는 평균 4.3으로 산성도가 높았으며, EC는 평균 81.9 μS/cm으로 평균 NO3- (5.4 mg/L), Ca2+ (4.2 mg/L), Cl-(4.1 mg/L)의 농도가 높게 검출되었다. 그리고 강우가 지속됨에 따라 pH는 증가하는 경향을 보였으며 EC는 상대적으로 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 강우 강도가 7.5 mm/h 이상(heavy rain)일 때 대기 중 평균 60% 이상의 PM10 농도 저감효율을 보였으며, 강우 강도 5 mm/h 이하(light rain)일 때 평균 40% 이하의 저감효율이 나타났다. 빗물 수질 분석 결과, 강우 강도가 증가할수록 초기 강우의 산성도와 EC가 증가하는 경향을 보였으며 초기 강우 내 이온 농도 또한 높은 농도로 검출되었다. 이는 대기 중 PM10이 초기의 강도 높은 강우에 따른 저감효과에 상당한 영향을 받는 것으로 판단된다.

보현산천문대 대기 시상 측정

  • 육인수;천무영
    • 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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    • 한국우주과학회 1999년도 한국우주과학회보 제8권2호
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    • pp.89-89
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    • 1999
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