• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대규모 폭풍

Search Result 10, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Reliagility Analysis of Tension Leg Platforms for Severe Storm Waves (대규모 폭풍에 대한 Tension Leg Platform의 신뢰도해석)

  • 박우선;윤정방
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.16-24
    • /
    • 1991
  • This paper presents a method of the reliability analysis for a tension leg platform(TLP)in severe storm waves by using the first passage concept of the random tensile stress in the tendons. In the present method, two failure conditions are considered ;i.e., the exceedance of the ultimate tensile capacity and the occurrence of the negative tension. In order to consider the correlation effects between the failure events for each corner resulted from the rupture of all tencons at one corner, a new system limit state for a rectangular shaped TLP is developed, which is defined in terms of the TLP motions in the vertical plane ;i.e., heave, roll, and pitch. To illustrate the validity of the present method, the numerical analysis is carried out for two TLP's with different structural dimensions. Then, the results are compared with those by other methods.

  • PDF

Development of rapid prediction technique of storm surge height for disaster response (해안재난대응을 위한 폭풍해일 범람파고 신속 예측기술개발 연구)

  • Kim, Dongseag;Hong, Sung-jin;Park, Hyung-seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
    • /
    • 2015.11a
    • /
    • pp.278-279
    • /
    • 2015
  • 최근 해수욕장, 저지대 침식, 해안시설물 노후화 등과 같이 해안지역 구성 및 지형적 요인에 따라 국지적으로 발생하는 피해와 태풍 및 이상너울 등의 대규모 기상현상에 의해 해안재난이 발생가능성이 높아지고 실제 발생하는 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 재난대응을 위한 과학적 재난정보 수집 및 분석을 통해 의사결정에 활용하고 효과적으로 예방 대응하고자 유관기관에서 다양하게 구축된 시스템의 재난관련 자료를 수집하였으며, 태풍 내습시 신속한 대응을 위해 폭풍해일 시뮬레이션을 통해 범람파고를 추정하였다. 기존 상황판단을 위한 정보수집단계에 추가적으로 관측자료 및 시뮬레이션을 통한 정량적 피해추정정보를 신속하게 제공함으로서 재난상황판단을 가능할 수 있도록 방안을 마련하였다.

  • PDF

A Study On Artificail Reef (인공리프에 관한 연구)

  • 안경수;신문섭;유대성;박종현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2002.08a
    • /
    • pp.266-269
    • /
    • 2002
  • 최근 항구 및 해안지역의 오염과 대규모 준설 매립으로 인하여 습지 및 환경 생태계 파괴 가 심각한 문제로 대두되고 있다. 또한 파도와 조수의 이동으로 인한 해안침식, 태풍이나 폭풍 둥의 자연재해로 인한 해안 및 항만구조물의 파괴가 빈번히 발생되고 있다. 이에 지오텍스타일 공법을 해안생태계를 복원 및 보전하고 해안 및 항만구조물로 활용하기 시작했다. (중략)

  • PDF

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PARTICLE INJECTION RATE OBSERVED AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT AND DST INDEX DURING GEOMAGNETIC STORMS (자기폭풍 기간 중 정지궤도 공간에서의 입자 유입률과 Dst 지수 사이의 상관관계)

  • 문가희;안병호
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.109-122
    • /
    • 2003
  • To examine the causal relationship between geomagnetic storm and substorm, we investigate the correlation between dispersionless particle injection rate of proton flux observed from geosynchronous satellites, which is known to be a typical indicator of the substorm expansion activity, and Dst index during magnetic storms. We utilize geomagnetic storms occurred during the period of 1996 ~ 2000 and categorize them into three classes in terms of the minimum value of the Dst index ($Dst_{min}$); intense ($-200nT{$\leq$}Dst_{min}{$\leq$}-100nT$), moderate($-100nT{\leq}Dst_{min}{\leq}-50nT$), and small ($-50nT{\leq}Dst_{min}{\leq}-30nT$) -30nT)storms. We use the proton flux of the energy range from 50 keV to 670 keV, the major constituents of the ring current particles, observed from the LANL geosynchronous satellites located within the local time sector from 18:00 MLT to 04:00 MLT. We also examine the flux ratio ($f_{max}/f_{ave}$) to estimate particle energy injection rate into the inner magnetosphere, with $f_{ave}$ and $f_{max}$ being the flux levels during quiet and onset levels, respectively. The total energy injection rate into the inner magnetosphere can not be estimated from particle measurements by one or two satellites. However, the total energy injection rate should be at least proportional to the flux ratio and the injection frequency. Thus we propose a quantity, “total energy injection parameter (TEIP)”, defined by the product of the flux ratio and the injection frequency as an indicator of the injected energy into the inner magnetosphere. To investigate the phase dependence of the substorm contribution to the development of magnetic storm, we examine the correlations during the two intervals, main and recovery phase of storm separately. Several interesting tendencies are noted particularly during the main phase of storm. First, the average particle injection frequency tends to increase with the storm size with the correlation coefficient being 0.83. Second, the flux ratio ($f_{max}/f_{ave}$) tends to be higher during large storms. The correlation coefficient between $Dst_{min}$ and the flux ratio is generally high, for example, 0.74 for the 75~113 keV energy channel. Third, it is also worth mentioning that there is a high correlation between the TEIP and $Dst_{min}$ with the highest coefficient (0.80) being recorded for the energy channel of 75~113 keV, the typical particle energies of the ring current belt. Fourth, the particle injection during the recovery phase tends to make the storms longer. It is particularly the case for intense storms. These characteristics observed during the main phase of the magnetic storm indicate that substorm expansion activity is closely associated with the development of mangetic storm.

Estimation of Inundation Damages of Urban area Around Haeundae Beach Induced by Super Storm Surge Using Airborne LiDAR Data (항공 LiDAR 자료를 이용한 슈퍼태풍 내습시 해운대 해수욕장 인근 도심지역 침수 피해 규모 추정)

  • Han, Jong-Gyu;Kim, Seong-Pil;Chang, Dong-Ho;Chang, Tae-Soo
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.341-350
    • /
    • 2009
  • As the power and scale of typhoons are growing due to global warming and socioeconomic damages induced by super-typhoons are increasing, it is important to estimate inundation damages and to prepare proper adaptation plans against an attack of the super-typhoon. In this paper, we estimated the inundation damages of urban area around Haeundae beach induced by super-typhoons which follow the route of Typhoon Maemi with the conditions of Typhoon Vera (Ise Bay in Japan, 1959), Typhoon Durian (Philippine, 2006) and Hurricane Katrina (New Oleans in U.S.A, 2005). The coastal area around the Haeundae beach (Busan and Gyeongnam province) is expectedly damaged by severe storm surges. In this study we calculated the rise of sea level height after harmonizing the different datum levels of land and ocean and estimated the inundation depth, inundation area and the amount of building damages by using airborne LiDAR data and GIS spatial analysis techniques more accurately and quantitatively. As many researchers are predicting that super-typhoon of overwhelming power will occur around the Korean peninsula in the near future, the results of this study are expected to contribute to producing coastal inundation map and evacuation planning.

  • PDF

Risk Analysis on Inundation of SOC Facilities under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 SOC구조물의 외부/내부침수 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Beom Jin;Keum, Ho Jun;Lee, Jae Yeong;Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.52-52
    • /
    • 2019
  • 최근 국가시설물에서는 2000년대 이후 집중호우 등으로 인한 대상 부지 내의 홍수 발생 시 주요시설물에 기능 마비가 발생할 수 있고, 궁극적으로는 대규모 사고로 이어질 수 있기 때문에 외부침수에 대비할 수 있는 위험도 분석이 필요하다. 대상 부지에서의 외부침수의 원인으로서는 LIP(Local Intensive Precipitation)에 의한 홍수 발생조건, 인근에 댐, 제방 등이 위치한 경우 이들 시설물의 붕괴에 따른 홍수류의 원전 유입, 지진해일/폭풍해일에 의한 바다로부터의 홍수 유입 등이 대표적인 예이다. 따라서 대상 부지 및 그 SOC시설물의 안전도를 높은 수준에서 관리하기 위해서는 극한홍수가 유입될 때 침수심, 침수유속, 침수시간, 침수강도 등의 재해도를 분석하여야하고, 이들 SOC시설물의 취약도 평가를 실시하고 재해도와 취약도를 결합한 연계분석을 통하여 위험도를 재평가하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 기존 기후변화를 고려한 외부침수 위험도 분석 결과를 바탕으로 대상 부지 내의 내부침수 위험도 분석을 실시하였다. 위험도 분석을 실시하기 위해 현장답사를 통해 물이 외부에서 내부로 유입 가능한 침수패스 경로를 파악하고, 출입문 위치와 창문의 높이, 출입문의 틈간격 및 높이를 파악하였다. 현장답사를 토대로 침수구역을 선정하였다. 침수구역 선정시 대침수구역과 소침수구역 중요기기들이 위치한 구역을 바탕으로 선정하였고, 이를 바탕으로 2차원 침수 해석을 실시하여 각 구역별로 시간대별 침수가능 높이를 산정하였다. 또한 각 구역별 중요기기의 임계높이를 산정하고, 이를 분석된 최대 침수심과 비교하여 각 구역별 침수에 취약한 구역을 산정하였다. 본 연구결과의 바탕으로 사회기반 시설에 대한 보호 및 홍수피해 예방으로 인한 사회비용 절감이 가능하고, 주요시설물의 SSC별 방재대책을 수립하고, 단계별 저감대책을 제시하여 위험도 경감을 위한 대비책을 마련이 가능할 것 이라고 판단된다.

  • PDF

Derivation of External Flood Hazard Curves for SOC Facilities under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 SOC시설물의 외부침수 재해도 곡선 산정)

  • Kim, Beom Jin;Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun;Heo, Jun Haeng;Shin, Ju Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.16-16
    • /
    • 2018
  • 최근 국가시설물에서는 집중호우 등으로 인한 대상 부지 내의 홍수 발생 시 주요시설물에 기능 마비가 발생할 수 있고, 궁극적으로는 대규모 사고로 이어질 수 있기 때문에 외부침수에 대비할 수 있는 위험도 분석이 필요하다. 대상 부지에서의 외부침수의 원인으로서는 LIP(Local Intensive Precipitation)에 의한 홍수 발생조건, 인근에 댐, 제방 등이 위치한 경우 이들 시설물의 붕괴에 따른 홍수류의 원전 유입, 지진해일/폭풍해일에 의한 바다로부터의 홍수 유입 등이 대표적인 예이다. 따라서 대상 부지 및 그 SOC시설물의 안전도를 높은 수준에서 관리하기 위해서는 극한홍수가 유입될 때 침수심, 침수유속, 침수시간, 침수강도 등의 재해도를 분석하여야하고, 이들 SOC시설물의 취약도 평가를 실시하고 재해도와 취약도를 결합한 연계분석을 통하여 위험도를 재평가하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오에 대해서 LIP(극한강우) 조건을 빈도별 분석하였고, 기후변화에 의한 가능최대강우량(PMP)의 재포락을 실시하고, 이를 확률강우조건과 비교 검토하였다. 대상부지에서의 RCP4.5와 RCP8.5 조건하에서 발생빈도-지속시간-극한강우량과의 상관도를 제시하였다. 지형분석의 고도화 및 수문분석을 통한 LIP를 이용한 극한 홍수량의 산정을 실시하였고, 수리분석에 의한 극한홍수조건의 침수해석을 실시하였다. 침수해석을 통한 수리변량(침수심, 침수강도, 침수지속시간 등)을 산정하였고, 침수해석결과에 주요지점별 발생빈도-지속시간-침수위의 관계를 재해도로 제시하였다. 본 연구 결과 집중호우 조건하에서 국가 주요시설물에서의 침수심, 침수강도 등에 대한 새로운 재해도 곡선을 산정함으로써 중요한 SOC시설물의 내수 설계, 홍수 방지기능 설계, 홍수 방지 대책 및 절차의 고도화 및 홍수 저감 기능 평가에 기준이 될 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Coastal Complex Disaster Risk Assessment in Busan Marine City (부산 마린시티 해안의 복합재난 위험성 평가)

  • Hwang, Soon-Mi;Oh, Hyoung-Min;Nam, Soo-yong;Kang, Tae-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.26 no.5
    • /
    • pp.506-513
    • /
    • 2020
  • Due to climate change, there is an increasing risk of complex (hybrid) disasters, comprising rising sea-levels, typhoons, and torrential rains. This study focuses on Marine City, Busan, a new residential city built on a former landfill site in Suyeong Bay, which recently suffered massive flood damage following a combination of typhoons, storm surges, and wave overtopping and run-up. Preparations for similar complex disasters in future will depend on risk impact assessment and prioritization to establish appropriate countermeasures. A framework was first developed for this study, followed by the collection of data on flood prediction and socioeconomic risk factors. Five socioeconomic risk factors were identified: (1) population density, (2) basement accommodation, (3) building density and design, (4) design of sidewalks, and (5) design of roads. For each factor, absolute criteria were determined with which to assess their level of risk, while expert surveys were consulted to weight each factor. The results were classified into four levels and the risk level was calculated according to the sea-level rise predictions for the year 2100 and a 100-year return period for storm surge and rainfall: Attention 43 %, Caution 24 %, Alert 21 %, and Danger 11 %. Finally, each level, indicated by a different color, was depicted on a complex disaster risk map.

Dispersion Characteristics of Wave Forces on Interlocking Caisson Breakwaters by Cross Cables (크로스 케이블로 결속된 인터로킹 케이슨 방파제의 파력분산특성)

  • Seo, Ji Hye;Yi, Jin Hak;Park, Woo Sun;Won, Deck Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.27 no.5
    • /
    • pp.315-323
    • /
    • 2015
  • Damage level of coastal structures has been scaled up according to increase of wave height and duration of the storm due to the abnormal global climate change. So, the design criteria for new breakwaters is being intensified and structural strengthening is also conducted for the existing breakwaters. Recently, interlocking concept has been much attention to enhance the structural stability of the conventional caisson structure designed individually to resist waves. The interlocking caisson breakwater may be survival even if unusual high wave occurs because the maximum wave force may be reduced by phase lags among the wave forces acting on each caisson. In this study, the dispersion characteristics of wave forces using interlocking system that connect the upper part of caisson with cable in the normal direction of breakwater was investigated. A simplified linear model was developed for computational efficiency, in which the foundation and connection cables were modelled as linear springs, and caisson structures were assumed to be rigid. From numerical experiments, it can be found that the higher wave forces are transmitted through the cable as the angle of incident wave is larger, and the larger the stiffness of the interlocking cable makes larger wave dispersion effect.

Numerical Analysis of the Hydraulic Characteristics of a Boundary Layer Streaming over Surf-Zone Using LES and Dynamic Smagorinsky Turbulence Model (LES와 Dynamic Smagorinsky 난류모형을 이용한 쇄파역에서의 경계층 Streaming 수치해석)

  • Cho, Yong Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.69-84
    • /
    • 2020
  • Natural shoreline repeats its re-treatment and advance in response to the endlessly varying sea-conditions, and once severely eroded under stormy weather conditions, natural beaches are gradually recovered via a boundary layer streaming when swells are prevailing after storms cease. Our understanding of the boundary layer streaming over surf-zone often falls short despite its great engineering value, and here it should be noted that the most sediments available along the shore are supplied over the surf-zone. In this rationale, numerical simulation was implemented to investigate the hydraulic characteristics of boundary layer streaming over the surf zone in this study. In doing so, comprehensive numerical models made of Spatially filtered Navier-Stokes Eq., LES (Large Eddy Simulation), Dynamic Smagorinsky turbulence closure were used, and the effects of turbulence closure such as Dynamic Smagorinsky in LES and k-ε on the numerically simulated flow field were also investigated. Numerical results show that due to the intrinsic limits of k-ε turbulence model, numerically simulated flow velocity near the bottom based on k-ε model and wall function are over-predicted than the one using Dynamic Smagorinsky in LES. It is also shown that flow velocities near the bottom are faster than the one above the bottom which are relatively free from the presence of the bottom, complying the typical boundary layer streaming by Longuet-Higgins (1957), the spatial scope where boundary layer streaming are occurring is extended well into the surf zone as incoming waves are getting longer. These tendencies are plausible considering that it is the bottom friction that triggers a boundary layer streaming, and longer waves start to feel the bottom much faster than shorter waves.