• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다지역 관점

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Subnational Population Projections of Korea Based on Interregional Migration Forecasting: A Multiregional Cohort-Component Method (지역간 인구이동의 예측을 통한 우리나라 시도별 장래 인구 추계: 다지역 코호트-요인법의 적용)

  • Lee, Sang-Il;Cho, Dae-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.98-120
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    • 2012
  • The main objective of this study is to conduct subnational population projections of Korea based on a multiregional cohort-component method. This objective is accomplished by: (i) establishing a viable framework to implement the multiregional cohort-component method with reference to the Markov chain model and Rogers' multiregional population projection model; (ii) applying the established framework to subnational population projections of Korea, 2005~2030. The main results are twofold. First, the proposed method turns out to be highly valid in a methodological sense, which is seen from a high level of coincidence between the estimated and the observed. Second, the projection results turn out to be highly useful in the sense that interregional migration flow matrices are resulted for projection periods. The projected migration flows are expected to provide invaluable information for an understanding of future population change and for a formulation of policy alternatives. This study is strongly inspired by the multiregional perspective emphasizing the evolution of multiple regional populations interconnected by interregional migration flows rather than the overall national change.

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Emission regulation and the carbon leakage: the impact of the consumption based carbon accounting and the border adjustment measure (배출규제가 탄소누출에 미치는 영향 분석 및 전망: 소비 관점의 탄소회계와 국경조치의 영향을 중심으로)

  • Oh, Inha
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.851-891
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study can be presented as follows: First, given the consumption-based carbon accounting method which has now been claimed, this study reviews the emissions within Korea and the resulting position change in international society. Second, when each nation makes efforts to reduce carbon emissions under the Copenhagen Accord, this study, using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, reviews the resulting carbon leakage and analyzes the effect from the various border adjustment measures. However, reflecting uncertainties in the negotiation processes, this study attempts to apply scenarios with regards to the reduction-mandatory nation group. In addition, this study tries to observe the impact on Korea through testing the various border adjustment measures, including the free allocation and embodied carbon tariffs.

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Effects of Reduced Sediment Dynamics on Fluvial Channel Geomorphology in the Jiseok River (유사계의 역동성 감소가 지석천 충적하도의 지형변화에 미치는 영향)

  • Ock, Gi-Young;Lee, Sam-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2012
  • The present study aims to investigate the long-term channel morphological changes derived from channelization, embankment and levee construction works in unregulated fluvial channel of the Jiseock River. Analyses of aerial photographs taken past (Year 1966) and recent (Year 2002) showed the temporally remarkable changes in channel planform such as channel shape, bar migration, vegetation encroachment in bar. During the period, the natural single threading changed into braided types together with decreasing sinuosity by 9.2%, increasing vegetation occupied bar ranged 97% of total bars area. Because such channel morphological changes are closely similar to those in dam downstream channels, we assume that both/either flow regime alteration and/or sediment transport discontinuity may be critical for the fixed channel and spread of vegetated bars even in unregulated river without dam reservoir upstream. We found more reduced frequency and magnitude of flooding water level comparing with past, but no significant alteration of inter annual water level variation. Bed material has been coarsened by 4~5 times and the riverbed has been degraded in overall channel but aggraded locally in conjunction reach of tributaries. The results indicates that reduced sediment dynamics in fluvial channel which derived by bed material coarsening, river bed degradation and unbalanced sediment transport capacity between tributary and mainstem can be a causal factor to trigger channel morphological changes even in unregulated rivers.