• 제목/요약/키워드: 다중인자분석

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Analysis of the Optimal Separation Distance between Multiple Thermal Energy Storage (TES) Caverns Based on Probabilistic Analysis (확률론적 해석에 기반한 다중 열저장공동의 적정 이격거리 분석)

  • Park, Dohyun;Kim, Hyunwoo;Park, Jung-Wook;Park, Eui-Seob;Sunwoo, Choon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2014
  • Multiple thermal energy storage (TES) caverns can be used for storing thermal energy on a large scale and for a high-aspect-ratio heat storage design to provide good thermal performance. It may also be necessary to consider the use of multiple caverns with a reduced length when a single, long tunnel-shaped cavern is not suitable for connection to aboveground heat production and injection equipments. When using multiple TES caverns, the separation distance between the caverns is one of the significant factors that should be considered in the design of storage space, and the optimal separation distance should be determined based on a quantitative stability criterion. In this paper, we described a numerical approach for determining the optimal separation distance between multiple caverns for large-scale TES utilization. For reliable stability evaluation of multiple caverns, we employed a probabilistic method which can quantitatively take into account the uncertainty of input parameters by probability distributions, unlike conventional deterministic approaches. The present approach was applied to the design of a conceptual TES model to store hot water for district heating. The probabilistic stability results of this application demonstrated that the approach in our work can be effectively used as a decision-making tool to determine the optimal separation distance between multiple caverns. In addition, the probabilistic results were compared to those obtained through a deterministic analysis, and the comparison results suggested that care should taken in selecting the acceptable level of stability when using deterministic approaches.

Preliminary Study for Soil Moisture Measurement System in the Mountainous Hillslope (산림 사면에서의 토양 수분 측정 시스템구축을 위한 사전연구)

  • Jin, Sung-Won;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kwon, Kyu-Sang;Lee, Yeon-Kil;Jung, Sung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2008
  • 토양수분은 지표수의 유출과정을 설명하는 과정에서 중요인자이며, 생태수문학의 핵심변수이자 기상모형의 결정적인 입력변수이다. 또한 토양수분의 공간적 시간적 특징들은 강우 및 지하수와 토양수분간의 순환 구조를 규명하는데 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 산지사면의 토양수분을 체계적으로 측정하는데 필요한 시스템의 구축을 위한 기초조사 및 사전분석에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 우수한 토양 수분 측정 장비인 TDR 장비 매설에 앞서 대상유역 선정에 대한 여러 가지 고려사항을 검토하고 수치지형 분석 등을 통한 사전분석을 실시하였다. 대상유역을 선정하기 위해서는 대상유역의 자료획득의 용이함, 지정학적, 시스템 운영적 측면에서의 가용성, 그리고 정밀측량 및 부수적요인 등 여러 요소의 고려가 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 경기도 파주시 적성면 설마리의 설마천 유역내 감악산 범륜사 우측 산지 사면을 측정대상 사면으로, 지정학적 위치, 식생분포, 지질구조 및 심도 등의 토양특성의 고려를 통해서 선정하였다. 또한 대상 사면에 흐름 발생 및 분포를 계산하기 위해서 대상사면의 지표 및 기반암 표고를 정밀 측량하였으며, 기반암 또는 풍화대까지의 깊이를 실측하여 지표면 및 지하면의 수치지형 모형을 구축하였다. 이를 대상사면 및 지하면에 대하여 표고수치지형모형(Digital Elevation Model:DEM)으로 도식한 후 흐름 발생 공간 분포를 계산하였다. 흐름발생공간분포예측은 단방향 알고리즘, 다방향 알고리즘, 흐름 분배 알고리즘 그리고 다중무한방향 알고리즘을 사용하여 지형인자인 기여사면적과 지형습윤지수를 계산하였다. 각 분배알고리즘의 의해 도출된 지형인자들로 인한 흐름발생 공간적 분포특성을 비교하였다. 이는 합리적인 토양수분 측정시스템을 구축하는데 중요한 의사결정 수단으로 판단된다.

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A Study on the Comparison between E-MDR and D-MDR in Continuous Data (연속형 데이터에서 E-MDR과 D-MDR방법 비교)

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Lee, Ho-Guen
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.579-586
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    • 2009
  • We have used multifactor dimensionality reduction(MDR) method to study interaction effect of statistical model in general. But MDR method cannot be applied in all cases. It can be applied to the only case-control data. So, two methods are suggested E-MDR and D-MDR method using regression tree algorithm and dummy variables. We applied the methods on the identify interaction effects of single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs) responsible for longissimus mulcle dorsi area(LMA), carcass cold weight(CWT) and average daily gain(ADG) in a Hanwoo beef cattle population. Finally, we compare the results using permutation test.

Evaluating Explanatory Power of Solar Intensity as Determining Factor of Housing Density in Intermontane Basin (산간분지에서 주택밀도의 결정인자로서 태양광도의 영향력 평가)

  • Um, Jung-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.689-706
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    • 2009
  • It is usual to prioritize the spatial variables that influence housing location by a few specialist's experienced knowledge or intuition. Multiple regression techniques were used to evaluate the spatially prioritized relationships between housing density and seasonal solar intensity parameters for a total of 134 house locations. Solar radiation and duration of sunshine on winter solstice was the most important predictor of house density located in intermontane basin. In contrast to the typical theory, elevation, slope and accessibility to road were not a dominant determining factor upon the dependent variable of house density. A clear verification has been made for the hidden assumptions for the arrangement of typical Korean housing in intermontane basin that its approach is found to be more appropriate in avoiding shadow conditions, rather than exploring the ideal landform location.

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A Study on Regionalization of Parameters of Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model (연속 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Ga-In;Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.182-182
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    • 2015
  • 우리나라에서는 강우관측시스템의 지역적 불균형으로 상대적으로 소규모 저수지의 경우 미계측유역의 특성을 가지며, 신뢰성 있는 강우량, 유출량, 증발량 자료가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 다목적댐 유역과 같은 계측유역의 경우 상류유역의 유입량 자료의 확보가 용이하지만 대부분의 유역의 경우 계측장비가 부족하여 신뢰성이 확보된 유입량 자료를 얻는데 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 미계측유역의 유입량 산정을 위하여 계측유역을 대상으로 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수를 산정하였으며, 산정된 매개변수를 유역특성인자와의 상관성을 토대로 다중선형회귀분석기법(multiple linear regression, MLR)을 적용하여 지역화(regionalization)를 위한 회귀식을 도출하였다. 이를 위해 양질의 유량자료가 확보된 K-water 17개 댐 유역을 대상으로 매개변수를 산정하였으며 이 중 2개의 댐 유역을 미계측유역으로 간주하여 개발된 모형을 검증하였다. 대부분의 통계 지표에서 우수한 모의능력을 확인하였으며, 본 연구를 통하여 개발된 지역화 기법을 미계측유역에 활용한다면 보다 정량적이고 효율적인 수자원 계획이 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 향후 연구로는 불확실성을 고려한 Bayesian GLM 모형을 이용한 지역화기법을 개발하여 매개변수의 불확실성까지 고려할 수 있는 방안을 모색하고자 한다.

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A Study on Pedestrian's Psychological Estimation by Control of Main Design Factors in the Public Open Space (Focused on the Public Open Space of Centum and Seomyeon in Pusan) (공개공지 주요 설계요소 제어에 의한 보행자의 심리적 평가 (부산광역시 센텀지역 및 서면지역 공개공지를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Jong-Gu;Wang, Sang-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this research is to provide an a basic data for setting design standards and proposing improvement for public open space by analysis one which is the factor that quite influences public open space by factor analysis. First, Extract main design factors by survey and field investigation of the Public Open Space of Centum and Seomyeon in Pusan. After the extraction, Control and simulation of main design factors which selected by survey for making better improved public open space and resolving problems of it. Based on simulation data, the five-factors drawed by psychological estimation and factor analysis are Accessibility, Intimacy, Openness, Amenity, Convenience. By use of a result, Multiple Regression Analysis is implemented for correlation analysis between five-factors and user's satisfaction in the public open space. Therefore the it which influenced user's satisfaction in the public open space most was Accessibility. So, the public open space must be designed to improve Accessibility and Intimacy, Openness, Amenity, Convenience which influenced user's satisfaction were reviewed primary.

A METHOD OF CAPABILITY EVALUATION FOR KOREAN PADDY SOILS -Part 2. The rice yield prediction by soil fertility constituents and other characters (한국(韓國) 답토양(畓土壤)의 생산력(生産力) 평가방법에 관한 연구 -2 보(報)·비옥도(肥沃度) 구성인자(構成因子) 및 기타(其他) 특성(特性)에 의(依)한 쌀수확량(收穫量)의 추정(推定))

  • Hong, Ki-Chang;Maeng, Do-Won;Kazutake, Kyuma;Hisao, Furukawa;Suh, Yoon-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 1979
  • In the first paper of the series the five soil fertility factors were evaluated by means of principal component analysis and varimax method. They are interpreted as representing, 1) skeletal available phosporus status, 2) organnic matter status, 3) salt status 4) base status, and 5) free oxide status. In order to resynthesize such fragmented information for the overall soil fertility evaluation, the method of multiple regression analysis was adopted, using the five factor scores and yield data for Korean paddy soils as independent and dependent variables respectively. As test of linear models with different combinations of independent variables the results of t-test of regression coefficient were revealed that the organic matter status (FII) has no relevance to the yield of paddy and that the free oxides and salt supply has by it self only an insignificant contribution to the yield. The multiple correlation coefficient (R) revealed its multiple regression analysis was as low as 0.43. Introduction of quadratic terms to the linear model bettered the result. Thus multiple correlation coefficient (R) was increased as 0.59. Therefore, a coefficient of determination 0.35 was obtained by a quadratic model with interaction terms among the five fertility constituents. Generally we think that the fertility factor has more contribution to raise the rice yield in paddy and that the failure of yield prediction by fertility factor scores was caused by one of follows; 1) the roughness of the yield inspection, and 2) missextraction of fertility constituents. The second step in this study, assuming that the residuals by multiple regression analysis were due to factors other than soil fertility, we can now proceed to predicting the yield from the field characters with the classified fertility groups by means of Hayashi's theory of quantification No. 1. Such variables as fertility groups (FTYG), water availability (WATER), soil drainage (DRNG), climatic zone (CLIZ), surface soil's stickiness (STCKT), surface soil's dry consistence (DCNST), and surface soil's texture (FTEXT) are taken up as the explanatory variables. The quantification appears reasonable; the well to extremely well in soil drainage, very sticky of surface soil, inefficiency in water availability, coarse texture, and very hard to extremely hard dry consistence in soil are detrimental to the rice yield. The R was as high as 0.90 for the set of variables. But the given explanatory variables in this study were not quite effective in explaining rice yield. The method developed seems to be promising only if properly collected data are available. Conditions that should be satisfied in the yield inspection obtained from common cultivator for the purpose of deriving a prediction equation were put forward.

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Estimation of Frost Occurrence using Multi-Input Deep Learning (다중 입력 딥러닝을 이용한 서리 발생 추정)

  • Yongseok Kim;Jina Hur;Eung-Sup Kim;Kyo-Moon Shim;Sera Jo;Min-Gu Kang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we built a model to estimate frost occurrence in South Korea using single-input deep learning and multi-input deep learning. Meteorological factors used as learning data included minimum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. As a result of statistical analysis for each factor on days when frost occurred and days when frost did not occur, significant differences were found. When evaluating the frost occurrence models based on single-input deep learning and multi-input deep learning model, the model using both GRU and MLP was highest accuracy at 0.8774 on average. As a result, it was found that frost occurrence model adopting multi-input deep learning improved performance more than using MLP, LSTM, GRU respectively.

A Multiple Regression Model for the Estimation of Monthly Runoff from Ungaged Watersheds (미계측 중소유역의 월유출량 산정을 위한 다중회귀모형 연구)

  • 윤용남;원석연
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 1991
  • Methods of predicting water resources availiability of a river basin can be classified as empirical formula, water budget analysis and regression analysis. The purpose of this study is to develop a method to estimate the monthly runoff required for long-term water resources development project. Using the monthly runoff data series at gaging stations alternative multiple regression models were constructed and evaluated. Monthly runoff volume along with the meteorological and physiographic parameters of 48 gaging stations are used, those of 43 stations to construct the model and the remaining 5 stations to verify the model. Regression models are named to be Model-1, Model-2, Model-3 and Model-4 developing on the way of data processing for the multiple regressions. From the verification, Model-2 is found to be the best-fit model. A comparison of the selected regression model with the Kajiyama's formula is made based on the predicted monthly and annual runoff of the 5 watersheds. The result showed that the present model is fairly resonable and convinient to apply in practice.

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Monthly temperature forecasting using large-scale climate teleconnections and multiple regression models (대규모 기후 원격상관성 및 다중회귀모형을 이용한 월 평균기온 예측)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Nam Won;Kim, Hyeonjun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.731-745
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the monthly temperature of the Han River basin was predicted by statistical multiple regression models that use global climate indices and weather data of the target region as predictors. The optimal predictors were selected through teleconnection analysis between the monthly temperature and the preceding patterns of each climate index, and forecast models capable of predicting up to 12 months in advance were constructed by combining the selected predictors and cross-validating the past period. Fore each target month, 1000 optimized models were derived and forecast ranges were presented. As a result of analyzing the predictability of monthly temperature from January 1992 to December 2020, PBIAS was -1.4 to -0.7%, RSR was 0.15 to 0.16, NSE was 0.98, and r was 0.99, indicating a high goodness-of-fit. The probability of each monthly observation being included in the forecast range was about 64.4% on average, and by month, the predictability was relatively high in September, December, February, and January, and low in April, August, and March. The predicted range and median were in good agreement with the observations, except for some periods when temperature was dramatically lower or higher than in normal years. The quantitative temperature forecast information derived from this study will be useful not only for forecasting changes in temperature in the future period (1 to 12 months in advance), but also in predicting changes in the hydro-ecological environment, including evapotranspiration highly correlated with temperature.