• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중선형회귀

Search Result 417, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Derivation of Nacelle Transfer Function Using LiDAR Measurement (라이다(LiDAR) 측정을 이용한 나셀전달함수의 유도)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.39 no.9
    • /
    • pp.929-936
    • /
    • 2015
  • Nacelle anemometers are mounted on wind-turbine nacelles behind blade roots to measure the free-stream wind speed projected onto the wind turbine for control purposes. However, nacelle anemometers measure the transformed wind speed that is due to the wake effect caused by the blades' rotation and the nacelle geometry, etc. In this paper, we derive the Nacelle Transfer Function (NTF) to calibrate the nacelle wind speed to the free-stream wind speed, as required to carry out the performance test of wind turbines according to the IEC 61400-12-2 Wind-Turbine Standard. For the reference free-stream wind data, we use the Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR) measurement at the Shinan wind power plant located on the Bigeumdo Island shoreline. To improve the simple linear regression NTF, we derive the multiple nonlinear regression NTF. The standard error of the wind speed was found to have decreased by a factor of 9.4, whereas the mean of the power-output residual distribution decreased by 6.5 when the 2-parameter NTF was used instead of the 1-parameter NTF.

Analyzing Spatial and Temporal Variation of Ground Surface Temperature in Korea (국내 지면온도의 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Koo Min-Ho;Song Yoon-Ho;Lee Jun-Hak
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.39 no.3 s.178
    • /
    • pp.255-268
    • /
    • 2006
  • Recent 22-year (1981-2002) meteorological data of 58 Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA) station were analyzed to investigate spatial and temporal variation of surface air temperature (SAT) and ground surface temperature (GST) in Korea. Based on the KMA data, multiple linear regression (MLR) models, having two regression variables of latitude and altitude, were presented to predict mean surface air temperature (MSAT) and mean ground surface temperature (MGST). Both models showed a high accuracy of prediction with $R^2$ values of 0.92 and 0.94, respectively. The prediction of MGST is particularly important in the areas of geothermal energy utilization, since it is a critical parameter of input for designing the ground source heat pump system. Thus, due to a good performance of the MGST regression model, it is expected that the model can be a useful tool for preliminary evaluation of MGST in the area of interest with no reliable data. By a simple linear regression, temporal variation of SAT was analyzed to examine long-term increase of SAT due to the global warming and the urbanization effect. All of the KMA stations except one showed an increasing trend of SAT with a range between 0.005 and $0.088^{\circ}C/yr$ and a mean of $0.043^{\circ}C/yr$. In terms of meteorological factors controlling variation of GST, the effects of solar radiation, terrestrial radiation, precipitation, and snow cover were also discussed based on quantitative and qualitative analysis of the meteorological data.

Non-linear regression model considering all association thresholds for decision of association rule numbers (기본적인 연관평가기준 전부를 고려한 비선형 회귀모형에 의한 연관성 규칙 수의 결정)

  • Park, Hee Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.267-275
    • /
    • 2013
  • Among data mining techniques, the association rule is the most recently developed technique, and it finds the relevance between two items in a large database. And it is directly applied in the field because it clearly quantifies the relationship between two or more items. When we determine whether an association rule is meaningful, we utilize interestingness measures such as support, confidence, and lift. Interestingness measures are meaningful in that it shows the causes for pruning uninteresting rules statistically or logically. But the criteria of these measures are chosen by experiences, and the number of useful rules is hard to estimate. If too many rules are generated, we cannot effectively extract the useful rules.In this paper, we designed a variety of non-linear regression equations considering all association thresholds between the number of rules and three interestingness measures. And then we diagnosed multi-collinearity and autocorrelation problems, and used analysis of variance results and adjusted coefficients of determination for the best model through numerical experiments.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Travel Time Change Using the Time Use Survey Data in Seoul (서울시 통행시간 변화의 요인분석: 생활시간조사자료를 중심으로)

  • Koo, Ja hun;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-16
    • /
    • 2018
  • Changes in the life style might vary trip purposes, ultimately leading to the change in the travel behavior. Therefore, this study analyzed the factors affecting travel time change by using the time use survey data in Seoul, surveyed by the Statistics Korea in 1999~2014. We developed multiple linear regression models for travel time, considering individual, household and time-related variables as independent variables. The models were separately estimated weekday and weekend. the model results show that the household, individual, and time related variables have an significant effect on the travel time. In addition, travel time is more influenced by individual characteristics thn household ones. Each activity time positively affects the travel time, indicating that travel is derived demand. The variable that have the greatest influence on the travel time is the activity time for leisure.

NAVER Data Lab data-based Assessment of National Awareness Vulnerability of Past Floods over the Korean Peninsula (2011-2018) (NAVER DATA LAB 데이터 기반 과거 한반도 홍수에 대한 대중 인지도 취약성 평가 (2011-2018))

  • Eun Mi Lee;Young Uk Yu;Young hun Jeong;Jong Hun Kam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.59-59
    • /
    • 2023
  • 기후변화로 인한 집중호우와 홍수는 하천의 범람, 내수침수 등을 일으킨다. 최근 발생한 2022년9월 태풍 '힌남노'는 포항시 10명의 인명 피해와 1조 7000억원의 재산 피해로 막대한 피해를 야기시켰다. 본 연구는 2011년부터 2018년까지 시군구 단위의 행정구역별 홍수 기간 강우량, 피해액, 홍수 지역의 인구 자료를 NAVER DATA LAB(2016년부터 자료 제공) '홍수' 검색량 데이터와 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 다량의 강우량 또는 높은 피해액이 발생한 시기에 홍수 검색량이 낮았던 지역을 홍수에 대한 대중 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 정의하였다. '홍수' 검색량과 강우량, 피해액, 홍수 지역 인구와의 상관관계를 분석한 결과, 강우량과 인구는 각각 0.86, 0.81의 높은 상관계수를 보인 반면, 피해액은 0.52로 상대적으로 낮은 상관관계를 보였다. 2016-2018년 특/광역시단위 분석 결과, 총 17번의 홍수 발생 중 '인천광역시'와 '세종특별시'에서 피해액 규모가 각각 2, 3순위로 높았던 반면 홍수 인지도는 각각 6, 11순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 도 단위 평가 시, 총 34번의 홍수 발생 중 '강원도'와 '경상북도'에서 피해액 규모 3순위, 강우량 10순위 일 때, 홍수 인지도는 27순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 다중 선형회귀 기법을 통해 2016년부터의 데이터를 기반으로 모델을 훈련하여 2016년 이전의 '홍수' 검색량 예측 자료를 재생산하였다. 2011-2015년 특/광역시 중심의 평가에서, 총 25번의 홍수 발생 중 부산광역시에서 피해액 규모가 1순위, 강우량이 2순위로 높았던 반면 홍수 인지도는 6순위로 홍수인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 도 단위 평가 시, 총 50번의 홍수 발생 중 '충청남도'와 '경기도'에서 피해액 규모가 3순위일 때 홍수 인지도가 7순위로 홍수 인지도가 취약한 지역으로 평가되었다. 본 연구는 물리·사회시스템의 빅데이터를 분석하여, 사회수문학적 접근 방식으로 홍수에 대한 사회적 취약성을 새롭게 제시하며 사회과학과 수자원 분야의 융합연구 필요성을 강조하였다.

  • PDF

Hydrologic Variable Prediction Using Nonlinear Ensemble Model (비선형 앙상블 모형을 이용한 수문량 예측)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Min-Ji;Kim, Jang-Kyung;Na, Bong-Gil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.359-359
    • /
    • 2011
  • 기존 수자원계획에 있어서 수문량 예측은 매우 제한적으로 활용되고 있는 실정으로서 최근 기후변화 및 이상기후로 기인하는 기상학적 불확실성 증가에 대해서 효과적으로 대응 하기가 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 기상인자를 활용한 수문변량 예측기법을 개발하고자 하며 국내에 수문자료가 충분한 지역에 대해서 모형의 적합성과 타당성을 평가하고자 한다. 대부분의 수문변량은 해수면온도, 해수면기압, 바람장 등 Large Scale의 기상학적 특성과 연관성을 가지고 있으며 선행시간을 가지고 수문순환에 영향을 주고 있다. 수문변량과 기상학적 변량사이에는 일반적으로 비선형 관계를 가지고 있는 것으로 알려지고 있으며 이러한 비선형 관계를 효과적으로 예측하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 비선형 예측모형을 개발 하고자 한다. 최근 비선형 예측모형에서 불확실성을 고려한 모형에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며 특히, 다중 모형을 사용한 Ensemble 개념의 예측모형 도입이 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 다목적댐 유입량 및 강수량에 대해서 최적 기상변량을 도출하고 이를 활용한 비선형 Ensemble 예측모형을 개발하였다. 일반적인 선형 회귀분석 모형에 비해 기상현상과 수문현상에 비선형성을 효과적으로 재현할 수 있는 장점을 확인할 수 있었으며 이와 더불어 예측결과에 대한 불확실성을 제공함으로서 신뢰성 있는 수자원 계획을 위한 기초자료로서 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Prediction Model for Specific Cutting Energy of Pick Cutters Based on Gene Expression Programming and Particle Swarm Optimization (유전자 프로그래밍과 개체군집최적화를 이용한 픽 커터의 절삭비에너지 예측모델)

  • Hojjati, Shahabedin;Jeong, Hoyoung;Jeon, Seokwon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.651-669
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study suggests the prediction model to estimate the specific energy of a pick cutter using a gene expression programming (GEP) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). Estimating the performance of mechanical excavators is of crucial importance in early design stage of tunnelling projects, and the specific energy (SE) based approach serves as a standard performance prediction procedure that is applicable to all excavation machines. The purpose of this research, is to investigate the relationship between UCS and BTS, penetration depth, cut spacing, and SE. A total of 46 full-scale linear cutting test results using pick cutters and different values of depth of cut and cut spacing on various rock types was collected from the previous study for the analysis. The Mean Squared Error (MSE) associated with the conventional Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) method is more than two times larger than the MSE generated by GEP-PSO algorithm. The $R^2$ value associated with the GEP-PSO algorithm, is about 0.13 higher than the $R^2$ associated with MLR.

A Study on the Walkability Scores in Jeonju City Using Multiple Regression Models (다중 회귀 모델을 이용한 전주시 보행 환경 점수 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, KiChun;Nam, KwangWoo;Lee, ChangWoo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2022
  • Attempts to interpret human perspectives using computer vision have been developed in various fields. In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating the walking environment through semantic segmentation results of images from road images. First, the Kakao Map API was used to collect road images, and four-way images were collected from about 50,000 points in JeonJu. 20% of the collected images build datasets through crowdsourcing-based paired comparisons, and train various regression models using paired comparison data. In order to derive the walkability score of the image data, the ranking score is calculated using the Trueskill algorithm, which is a ranking algorithm, and the walkability and analysis using various regression models are performed using the constructed data. Through this study, it is shown that the walkability of Jeonju can be evaluated and scores can be derived through the correlation between pixel distribution classification information rather than human vision.

A Study of Applications of Sequential Biplots in Multiresponse Data (다중반응치 자료에 대한 순차적 BIPLOT활용에 대한 연구)

  • 장대흥
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.451-459
    • /
    • 1998
  • The analysis of data from a multiresponse experiment requires careful consideration of the multivariate nature of the data. In a multiresponse sitation, the optimization problem is more complex than in the single response case. The biplot is a graphical tool which make the analyst to understand the correlation of the response variables, the relation of the response variables arid the explanatory variables and the relative importance of the explanatory variables. In case of good fitting of the first order model, we can draw the biplot with the first order experimental design. Otherwise, we can make the biplot with the second order experimental design by adding other experimental points.

  • PDF

Estimation of Eutrophication during Summer and Fall in Danghang Bay (당항만의 여름과 가을의 부영양화 평가)

  • Kim, Sung Jae;Yoo, Young Jin
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.383-392
    • /
    • 2017
  • In 2013, August and September(early) as summer and October and November as Fall the probe of eutrophication has been done at 22 sampling points from the entrance of Danghang Bay (Jinhae Bay) to Geosan reservoir. In Danghang Bay, total chlorophyll(TChl) concentration of summer was 3.7 times higher than that of fall, and sampling points closer to the center showed 1.8 times higher concentrations than sampling points near the fringe where fresh water encountered. Eutrophication Index(EI) exceeded 1 at all sampling points in Danghang Bay during summer and fall, and if other conditions for algae growth met there was a possibility red tide to bloom at any place. There was a tendency of EI to gradually increase moving up from the entrance of bay to the inner side during summer and fall. Especially there was a sudden increase by 2.3 times higher at sampling points of 13~22 (planned region as Madong reservoir) than at other points during fall. Nitrogen was a limiting nutrient for growth of algae during summer and fall in Danghang Bay, but phosphorus was a limiting nutrient during summer rainy season. During summer and fall, multiple linear regression analysis between EI and COD, DIN, and DIP showed a significant positive relationship and that DIP was the most effective variable. Whereas multiple linear regression analysis between TChl and COD, DIN, DIP, and DSi showed a significant positive relationship and that DIP was also the most effective variable during summer. There was no significant correlation between TChl and the other parameters during fall.