• Title/Summary/Keyword: 누적실업기간

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The Long-Term Wage Effects of Job Displacement: Frequency or Cumulative Duration of Unemployment (실직이 임금에 미치는 장기적 효과 : 실직 횟수인가 누적실업기간인가?)

  • Shin, Donggyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.75-111
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    • 2004
  • On the basis of data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY), this paper investigates wage consequences of cumulative experience of job displacement. Unlike previous studies, we consider two measures of cumulative unemployment experience simultaneously: the total frequency and the cumulative duration of unemployment induced by job displacement. When frequency and cumulative duration compete in a wage equation, only cumulative duration remains significant for men, while only frequency matters for women. For men, a one-month increase in the cumulative duration of displacement-initiated unemployment leads to a fall in wages by 0.4 percent. This finding is quite robust with respect to various sample restrictions and/or estimation methods. For women, approximately a 2.5 percent wage reduction is associated with an additional event of displacement.

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A Study of Unemployment Duration: A Survival Analysis Using Log Normal Model (실업급여 수급권자의 실업기간과 재취업에 관한 실증연구: 모수적 생존모델(Log-Normal Model)을 이용한 분석)

  • Kang, Chul-Hee;Kim, Kyo-Seong;Kim, Jin-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.37
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 1999
  • In Korea, little is known about unemployment duration and exit rate from unemployment. This paper empirically examines the duration of unemployment using data for the years 1996 and 1997 on unemployed individuals who are eligible for unemployment insurance benefits in Korea. A parametric survival model (log-normal model) is adopted to identify factors predicting transitions to reemployment. Factors that affect unemployment duration are sex, age, employment duration (year), prior salary, region, prior employment industry, cause of unemployment, officially determined unemployment benefit duration, degree of benefit exhaustion, and amount of benefits for early reemployment. However, education is not statistically significant In degree of benefit exhaustion, the exit rate from unemployment decreases as benefit exhaustion is approached. In amount of benefits for early reemployment, the exit rate from unemployment increases as amount of benefits increases. Hazards for reemployment gradually increase until 80 days after unemployment and gradually decrease in the following period. Thus, we find that distribution of hazards for reemployment has log-normal shapes between inverted U and inverted L This paper takes advantage of a unique analysis about unemployment duration and exit rate from unemployment in the Korean Unemployment Insurance system which functions as the most valuable social safely-net mechanism in the recent national economic crisis. Indeed, this paper provides a basic knowledge about realities of unemployed individuals in the Unemployment Insurance system and identifies research areas that require further study.

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An Empirical Study on Employment during Crises in Korea (금융위기의 고용파급효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Shin, Sukha;Cho, Dongchul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.91-116
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes how the adverse impacts of the global financial crisis on Korea's employment could be mitigated in comparison with the Asian crisis period. The results from error-correction models suggest that the less severe impacts during the global financial crisis could be attributed to (i) smaller GDP reduction, (ii) better maintenance of domestic demand despite a sharp fall of export, (iii) less serious over-employment during the run-up to the crisis, and (iv) less severe credit crunch. Analyses of OECD cross-country data provide corroborating evidence. In order to mitigate adverse impacts on employment, therefore, priority should be given to expansionary macroeconomic policies to keep aggregate domestic demand from collapsing once a crisis is triggered. Also crucial, however, is to maintain sound economic structures such as flexible labor market and adequately supervised financial market.

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