• Title/Summary/Keyword: 누적모델

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Introduction of Hydrometeorological Drought Monitoring System (수문기상 가뭄정보 시스템 소개)

  • Kim, Min Ji;Oh, Tae Suk;Kang, Hye Young;Baek, Moonhee;Park, Cheol Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2019
  • 기상청에서는 시스템 이용자의 편의와 자료의 활용 증진을 위해 분리되어 있던 수문기상과 가뭄정보를 하나로 통합하여 '수문기상 가뭄정보 시스템(https://hydro.kma.go.kr)을 2017년 8월 1일부터 운영하고 있다. 본 시스템은 일반국민과 물관리 유관기관(회원)을 대상으로 관측, 수문기상 감시 예측, 기상 가뭄분석 전망으로 나눠 정보를 생산하여 서비스가 제공하고 있다. 수문기상 서비스는 관측 강수량(기상청, 유관기관), 기상청 위성 토양수분량 및 증발산량 자료와 레이더 관측 자료(Radar AWS Rainrate, RAR)를 GIS 기반 유역단위별(4대강권, 대권역, 중권역, 표준유역단위)로 관측 정보를 제공하며, UM(3km), 멀티모델앙상블, 레이더(MAPLE), 유역강수지수자료들로 예측 서비스를 제공하고 있다. 또한, 메타정보를 통해 유역별, 관측소별 상세조회가 가능하여 원하는 유역 또는 관측소를 선택 시 GIS지도에 위치가 표시되며 선택 지점의 정보를 손쉽게 확인할 수 있다. 가뭄 정보는 기상 가뭄 예보 정보와 가뭄 감시 정보를 제공하고 있다. 기상 가뭄 예보 정보는 매주 금요일에 발표되고 있는 기상 가뭄 예보 1개월 전망과 매월 10일경 관계부처(행정안전부, 기상청, 환경부, 농림축산식품부) 합동으로 발표하고 있는 가뭄 예 경보 3개월 전망자료를 제공하고 있으며, GIS 기반 행정구역 및 유역별로 나눠 여러 가지 가뭄지수(표준강수지수, 표준강수증발산지수, 강수평년비, 유효가뭄지수)를 활용하여 기상 가뭄 감시 정보를 제공하고 있다. 또한, 가뭄 감시 현황 정보는 다양한 형태(시계열, 가뭄지수 조회 및 다운로드, 분포도 비교)로도 확인할 수 있으며, 강수량분석 통계(누적 강수량, 강수량 순위, 무강수일수) 정보를 제공한다. 그 밖에 관측 자료(강수량 분포도, 토양수분량, 증발산량 등), 월별 언론모니터링 자료 등을 제공하고 있다. 향후 수문기상과 가뭄 재해에 선제적으로 대응하여 안정적인 물관리를 지원하고 자료의 신뢰도를 지속적으로 제고하여 우리나라에 맞는 수문기상 가뭄정보 시스템으로 거듭나도록 노력해 나갈 것이다.

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Harmonic Estimation of Power Signal Based on Time-varying Optimal Finite Impulse Response Filter (시변 최적 유한 임펄스 응답 필터 기반 전력 신호 고조파 검출)

  • Kwon, Bo-Kyu
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Information Technology
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, the estimation method for the power signal harmonics is proposed by using the time-varying optimal finite impulse response (FIR) filter. To estimate the magnitude and phase-angle of the harmonic components, the time-varying optimal FIR filter is designed for the state space representation of the noisy power signal which the magnitude and phase is considered as a stochastic process. Since the time-varying optimal FIR filter used in the proposed method does not use any priori information of the initial condition and has FIR structure, the proposed method could overcome the demerits of Kalman filter based method such as poor estimation and divergence problem. Due to the FIR structure, the proposed method is more robust against to the model uncertainty than the Kalman filter. Moreover, the proposed method gives more general solution than the time-invariant optimal FIR filter based harmonic estimation method. To verify the performance and robustness of the proposed method, the proposed method is compared with time-varying Kalman filter based method through simulation.

Development and Acceptance Test Results of 75-tonf Class Liquid Rocket Engine Gas Generator (75톤급 가스발생기 개발시험 및 수락시험 결과)

  • Lim, Byoungjik;Kim, Munki;Kang, Donghyuk;Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Kim, Jong-Gyu;Choi, Hwan-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, development and acceptance test results of 75-tonf class liquid rocket engine gas generators are described. Up to now, more than 330 times and cumulative time of 7,000 seconds gas generator autonomous tests have been carried out with 44 gas generator models. Through the tests it was verified that 75 tonf gas generator shows very reliable and reproducible characteristics in terms of chamber pressure, combustion efficiency, pressure loss, combustion stability, burnt gas temperature, and etc. 5 gas generators which are the last series of 75 tonf gas generator for the Korea Space Launch Vehicle II, will be manufactured until end of 2019 and their acceptance tests will be executed at the first half of 2020.

Prediction of Covid-19 confirmed number of cases using SARIMA model (SARIMA모형을 이용한 코로나19 확진자수 예측)

  • Kim, Jae-Ho;Kim, Jang-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2022
  • The daily number of confirmed cases of Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) ranges between 1,000 and 2,000. Despite higher vaccination rates, the number of confirmed cases continues to increase. The Mu variant of COVID-19 reported in some countries by WHO has been identified in Korea. In this study, we predicted the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Korea using the SARIMA for the Covid-19 prevention strategy. Trends and seasonality were observed in the data, and the ADF Test and KPSS Test was used accordingly. Order determination of the SARIMA(p,d,q)(P, D, Q, S) model helped in extracting the values of p, d, q, P, D, and Q parameters. After deducing the p and q parameters using ACF and PACF, the data were transformed and schematized into stationary forms through difference, log transformation, and seasonality removal. If seasonality appears, first determine S, then SARIMA P, D, Q, and finally determine ARIMA p, d, q using ACF and PACF for the order excluding seasonality.

A study on the development of an automatic detection algorithm for trees suspected of being damaged by forest pests (산림병해충 피해의심목 자동탐지 알고리즘 개발 연구)

  • Hoo-Dong, LEE;Seong-Hee, LEE;Young-Jin, LEE
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the forests in Korea have accumulated damage due to continuous forest disasters, and the need for technologies to monitor forest managements is being issued. The size of the affected area is large terrain, technologies using drones, artificial intelligence, and big data are being studied. In this study, a standard dataset were conducted to develop an algorithm that automatically detects suspicious trees damaged by forest pests using deep learning and drones. Experiments using the YOLO model among object detection algorithm models, the YOLOv4-P7 model showed the highest recall rate of 69.69% and precision of 69.15%. It was confirmed that YOLOv4-P7 should be used as an automatic detection algorithm model for trees suspected of being damaged by forest pests, considering the detection target is an ortho-image with a large image size.

An Investigation of the Cumulative Effects of Depressive Symptoms on the Cognitive Function in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Analysis of the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (지역사회 거주 노인의 우울 증상이 인지기능에 미치는 누적적인 영향에 관한 연구: 고령화연구패널조사 Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging 자료를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Eunmi;Oh, Jinkyung;Huh, Iksoo
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.453-467
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study investigated the cumulative effects of depressive symptoms on cognitive function over time in community-dwelling older adults. Methods: Data were investigated from 2,533 community-dwelling older adults who participated in the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (KLoSA) from the 5th (2014) to the 8th wave (2020). The association between cumulative depressive symptoms and cognitive function was identified through multiple regression analysis. Results: When the multiple regression analysis was conducted from each wave, the current depressive symptoms scores and cognitive function scores were negatively associated, regardless of the waves (B5th = - 0.26, B6th = - 0.26, B7th = - 0.26, and B8th = - 0.27; all p < .001). Further, when all the previous depressive symptoms scores were added as explanatory variables in the 8th wave, the current one (B8th = - 0.09, p < .001) and the previous ones (B5th = - 0.11, B6th = - 0.09, and B7th = - 0.13; all p < .001) were also negatively associated with the cognitive function score. The delta R2, which indicates the difference between the model's R2 with and without the depressive symptoms scores, was greater in the model with all the previous and current depressive symptoms scores (6.4%) than in the model with only the current depressive symptoms score (3.6%). Conclusion: Depressive symptoms in older adults have a long-term impact. This results in an accumulated adverse effect on the cognitive function. Therefore, to prevent cognitive decline in older adults, we suggest detecting their depressive symptoms early and providing continuous intervention to reduce exposure to long-term depressive symptoms.

Performance Comparison of Neural Network Models for the Estimation of Instantaneous and Accumulated Powder Exhausts of a Bulk Trailer (벌크 트레일러의 순간 및 누적 분말 배출량 추정을 위한 신경망 모델 성능 비교)

  • Chang June Lee;Jung Keun Lee
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.174-179
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    • 2023
  • Bulk trailers, used for the transportation of powdered materials, such as cement and fly ash, are crucial in the construction industry. The speedy exhaustion of powdered materials stored in the tank of bulk trailers is relevant to improving transportation efficiency and reducing transportation costs. The exhaust time can be reduced by developing an automatic control system to replace the manual exhaust operation. The instantaneous or accumulated exhausts of powdered materials must be measured for automatic control of the bulk trailer exhaust system. Accordingly, we previously proposed a recurrent neural network (RNN) model that estimated the instantaneous exhaust based on low-cost pressure sensor signals without an expensive flowmeter for powders. Although our previous study utilized only an RNN model, models such as multilayer perceptron (MLP) and convolutional neural network (CNN) are also widely utilized for time-series estimation. This study compares the performance of three neural network models (MLP, CNN, and RNN) in estimating instantaneous and accumulated exhausts. In terms of the instantaneous exhaust estimation, the difference in the performance of neural network models was insignificant (that is, 8.64, 8.62, and 8.56% for the MLP, CNN, and RNN, respectively, in terms of the normalized root mean squared error). However, in the case of the accumulated exhaust, the performance was excellent in the order of CNN (1.67%), MLP (2.03%), and RNN (2.20%).

An Ultrasonic Vessel-Pattern Imaging Algorithm with Low Computational Complexity (낮은 연산 복잡도를 지니는 초음파 혈관 패턴 영상 알고리즘)

  • Um, Ji-Yong
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes an ultrasound vessel-pattern imaging algorithm with low computational complexity. The proposed imaging algorithm reconstructs blood-vessel patterns by only detecting blood flow, and can be applied to a real-time signal processing hardware that extracts an ultrasonic finger-vessel pattern. Unlike a blood-flow imaging mode of typical ultrasound medical imaging device, the proposed imaging algorithm only reconstructs a presence of blood flow as an image. That is, since the proposed algorithm does not use an I/Q demodulation and detects a presence of blood flow by accumulating an absolute value of the clutter-filter output, a structure of the algorithm is relatively simple. To verify a complexity of the proposed algorithm, a simulation model for finger vessel was implemented using Field-II program. Through the behavioral simulation, it was confirmed that the processing time of the proposed algorithm is around 54 times less than that of the typical color-flow mode. Considering the required main building blocks and the amount of computation, the proposed algorithm is simple to implement in hardware such as an FPGA and an ASIC.

A Study on the signification of TV advertisement narrative for enhancing brand image - Based on long-run brand 'Bacchus' - (브랜드 이미지 제고를 위한 TV광고 내러티브의 의미작용 연구 - 장수브랜드 '박카스'를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Eun Ju;Kim, Chong Hyuck;Kim, Geon
    • Design Convergence Study
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyzes the long-run brand Bacchus's TV advertisement narrative, which copes actively with changes in social and cultural circumstances. The paper focuses on the types of narrative and the consequent semantic effects used in the television advertisement of Bacchus. Through this, we aim to investigate the processes of brand strategies and transitions taken by the brand that made it a solid one. In conclusion, the summaries of distinctive meaning and value of long-run brand by examining the narrative of Bacchus in TV ads are as follows. Firstly, the narrative should be reflected in consumer's demands closely associated with changes in social and cultural circumstances. Secondly, a strong brand identity can be built by consistent management of brand image and through the cultivated effects. Lastly, it forms a bond of relationship between socio-cultural context and consumers, and functions as a communication message.

Relationship between Radiation and Yield of Sweet Pepper Cultivars (광량과 파프리카 품종에 따른 수량과의 상호관계)

  • Myung, Dong Ju;Bae, Jong Hyang;Kang, Jong Goo;Lee, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.243-246
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    • 2012
  • The study was aimed at the development of the simple linear regression model to estimate the fruit yield of sweet pepper and to support decision-making management for growing sweet pepper crop in Korea. For quantitative analysis of relationship between environmental data and periodical yield of sweet pepper the data obtained from the commercial Venlo-type glasshouse for 2 years. Obtained periodical yield data of five different cultivars and radiation data were accumulated and fitted by linear regression. A significant linear relationship was found between radiation integral and fruit yield, whereas the production per unit of radiation was different between cultivars. The slope of linear regression could indicate as light use efficiency for fruit production ($LUE_F$, $g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$). $LUE_F$ of 'Ferrari' was $5.85g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, 'Fiesta' 5.32 for first year and $4.75g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$ and for second year, 'President' was $4.66g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, 'Cupra' was $3.86g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, and 'Boogie' was $6.48g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$. The amount of light requirement for the unit gram of fruit was between $25.88J{\cdot}g^{-1}$, for 'Cupra' and $15.42J{\cdot}g^{-1}$ for 'Boogie'. Although we found the linear relationship between radiation and fruit yield, $LUE_F$ was varied between cultivars and as well as year. The linear relationship could describe the fruit yield as function of radiation, but it needed more variable to generalization of the production, such as cultivar specifications, temperature, and number of fruits set per plant or unit of ground.