• Title/Summary/Keyword: 나우캐스트

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A Model for Nowcasting Commodity Price based on Social Media Data (소셜 데이터 기반 실시간 식자재 물가 예측 모형)

  • Kim, Jaewoo;Cha, Meeyoung;Lee, Jong Gun
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.12
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    • pp.1258-1268
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    • 2017
  • Capturing real-time daily information on food prices is invaluable to help policymakers and development organizations address food security problems and improve public welfare. This study analyses the possible use of large-scale online data, available due to growing Internet connectivity in developing countries, to provide updates on food security landscape. We conduct a case study of Indonesia to develop a time-series prediction model that nowcasts daily food prices for four types of food commodities that are essential in the region: beef, chicken, onion and chilli. By using Twitter price quotes, we demonstrate the capability of social data to function as an affordable and efficient proxy for traditional offline price statistics.